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from 44.5%at the beginning of the 1990s to 57.5%at the turn of the millennium (43, p. 57.
http://www. acunu. org/millennium/FRM-v2. html. 2 Robert J. Lempert, Popper Steven, Steven C. Bankes, Shaping The next One hundred Years:
Theodore J. Gordon is Senior Fellow and cofounder of the Millennium Project of the American Council for the United nations University.
Jerome C. Glenn is the director of the Millennium Project bwww. acunu. orgn for the American Council for the United nations University
He can be contacted at jglenn@igc. org. Ana Jakil is interning with Millennium Project for the American Council for the United nations University.
Economy, Society and Culture, vol. II, Blackwell, Cambridge, MA, 1997.13 M. Castells, The End of the Millennium, The Information age:
as in the case of global environmental assessments such as the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment or the IPCC, work on the systematization of methods
MA Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (in prep. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: A Manual for Assessment Practitioners, forthcoming. 7 B o'Neil, S. Pulver, S. Vandeveer, Y. Garb, Where next with global environmental scenarios?
in Decision making, Millennium Project publication, 2001, download at: www. millennium-project. org/millennium/applic-exsum. html (accessed 10/02/09). 30 P. C. Light, The Four Pillars Of high Performance:
How Robust Organisations Achieve Extraordinary Results, Mcgraw-hill, New york, 2005.31 O. da Costa, et al. The Impact of foresight on Policy-making:
Since the turn of the millennium we can observe a shift in policy-making practices from shaping framework conditions and structural settings towards strategic decision making:
redistribution of wealth to enable the achievement of millennium development goals New Islamic superpower Rapid climate change overwhelms human capacity Massive failure of capitalism
Gordon, T. J. 2010),The Delphi method'',in Gordon, T. J. and Glenn, J. Eds), Futures research methodology CD Version 3. 0, Ch. 4, Millennium Project, WASHINGTON DC.
Forlearn Online Guide (n d.)and Millennium Project (n d.))shows that most scenarios exercises conclude with a description of the geopolitical, economic, societal and technological contexts.
Millennium Project (n d.),available at: www. millennium-project. org (accessed 16 september 2011. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2001), Les lignes directrices du CAD Strate'gies de de'veloppement durable, Organisation for Economic Co
-operation and Development, Paris. Schwartz, P. 1991), The Art of the Long View, Doubleday Currency, New york, NY.
American Council for the United nations, The Millennium Project. Grant, R. M. 2003. Strategic planning in a turbulent environment:
One example constitutes the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment scenarios, linking ecosystem change and human well-being by combining qualitative storyline development and quantitative modelling through several iterations between both parts 44.
Scenarios, Volume 2, Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, Washington: ISLAND PRESS, 2005.45 D. T. Campbell, A Study of Leadership Among Submarine Officers, Ohio State university Res.
Futures research methodology Version 3. 0.,Millennium Project, WFUNA, WASHINGTON DC, 2009, Chapter 8. 35 E t. Popper, B. D. Buskirk, Technology life cycles in industrial markets, Ind.
Futures research methodology, Version 2. 0 AC/UNU Millennium Project, American Council for the United nations University, Washington D c.,US, 2003.57 In:
446 P. Schaper-Rinkel/Technological forecasting & Social Change 80 (2013) 444 452 support nanotechnology education, research and development the fastest will thrive in the new millennium 1. These statements illustrate that the report
and Power in Denmark'that was launched by the Danish Parliament shortly before the new millennium 27.
Slaughter, R. A. 1999) Futures for the Third Millennium: Enabling the Forward View. Sydney: Prospect Media.
and institutionalized in the UK after the millennium (Schultz 2006). For example, the Department for Environment, Food and Rural affairs (DEFRA) defined horizon scanning in 2002 as:..
The Millennium Project. Graefe, A.,Luckner, S. and Weinhardt, C. 2010) Prediction markets for foresight',Futures, 42: 394 404.
The State of the Future reports of the UN Millennium Project can be regarded as another source formegatrends'and long-lasting challenges for the future.
The Millennium Project is designed to provide an ongoing capacity as an intellectually, geographically, and institutionally dispersed think-tank.
The challenges pointed out in the State of the Future reports are based on the UN Millennium Challenges and Goals Project (2005.
The Millennium Development Goals as a focus for action (see also Cuhls 2008 and citations there are listed in Table 1. These targets
and targets of UN Millennium Challenges Goal 1 Eradicate extreme hunger and poverty Target 1 Halve between 1990 and 2015,
The most convincing projects were funded internally. 4. 2 Deriving Fraunhofer-specific challenges from global challenges The 2009 State of the Future report of the UN Millennium Project was chosen (Glenn et al. 2009) as a starting point for deriving the Fraunhofer
Cuhls, K. 2008) Millennium Project 2050',inEuropean commission/Directorate General for Research: The European foresight monitoring Network:
The Millennium Project'.<'<http://www. millennium-project. org/millennium/sof2009. html>accessed 20 july 2011. Horx, M. 2007) Megatrends'.<
'<http://www. horx. com/Reden/Macht-der-Megatrends. aspx>accessed 15 july 2011 (authors'own translation.
UN Millennium Challenges. 2005), See<http://www. millennium-project. org/millennium/challenges. html>accessed 19 july 2011.244.
K. Cuhls et al
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