and application of the ways that science and technology contribute to economic and social development, of the possibilities for managing research and technology more effectively,
multipath mapping (Robinson and Propp, 2006) Scenarios Scenario management, quantitatively based scenarios, different emphases and dark scenarios (Punie et al.
Die Zukunft der Zukunftsforschung im Deutschen Management: eine Delphi Studie. Available at<http://www. jan-schwarz. de/downloads/executivesummary. pdf>,last accessed 1 june 2009.
Assessing the future of futures studies in management. Futures, 40 (3), 237 246. Spring, L, R Crawhall, J Smith and K Andrews 2007.
and the issue of technical protection means like digital rights management systems; the structure of the creative content sector and the fundamental transformation process it is undergoinng of particular importance is the question of how new,
(32) Most media users accept digital rights management because it helps them to conveniently use
Associated with this are opposed the often views on management of IPRS and the challenge that loosening them could pose for prevailing business models,
he combines research and consultiin in competitive intelligence, foresight and management insight in the creation of the university's management insiigh program.
interviiew with foresight practitioners, managers responnsibl for national foresight efforts in various countries, and; reviews of foresight project level summaries and overviews from the EFMN (part of the European foresight Knowledge sharing Platfoor which monitors
and train over 300 senior government staff and managers in foresight methods so that at least a portion of the policy advisory system has had some exposure/familiarity to these methods Communications strategy:
survival and the dynamics of managing regime transitions that remain a continuing challenge to foresight advocates
Sripaipan This paper presents a future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) project on the control and management of emerging infectious diseases (EID) in the Asia-pacific Economic cooperation region.
and creating capabilities for managing international crises. In the US the term‘converging technologies'was used first at a 2001 workshop organized by the US National science Foundation and the US Departmeen of Commerce entitled‘Converging Technologiie for Improving Human Performance'.
He is currently the executive director of the APEC Center for Technology foresight and the director of Policy Research and Management at the National science Technology and Innovation policy Office, Bangkok,
and project management. Greg Tegart has had a long and varied career. After graduattin in Australia he was an academic in the UK
and shared a longer term perspective to enhance the region's capaciitie to contribute to the successful prevention and management of EID.
and management of EID Aim to develop roadmaps of technology applications that have high impact to combat EID Aim to develop roadmaps of technology research domain
A key area of interest for the project is how technoloogie can converge to contribute to the overall capabilities for more effective applications in biosecurrit and EID management in the four designated life cycle domains.
the concept of smarter informmatio collection and management is an integrra part of adoption of new processes and tools.
The‘people factors'are crucial features of disease management through all phases of the life cycle model from detection to response.
and experimeenting facilitate the management of interfacces foster new alignment of elements and stimulate demand articulation, strategy and visiio building.
An example of one of the archetypes is Patricia (see Table 1). Patricia is 40 years old, a manager in a major international firm,
Journal of Product innovation Management, 21 (1), 4 14. User involvement in future technology analysis Science and Public policy February 2010 61 Latour
Journal of Creativity and Innovation Management, 16 (1), 35 45. Soldani, D 2006. Means and methods for collecting
The Journal of Product Innovatiio Management, 22 (2), 128 143. Von Hippel, E 1986. Lead users:
a source of novel product conceppts Management Science, 32 (7), 791 805. Von Hippel, E 2005.
761,137 7. 2 213,686 Production/management concepts 51 8. 0 8, 406,303 7. 0 164,829 Other 112 17.7 16,631, 768
48 24.1 Microelectronics 21 10.6 Nanotechnology 6 3. 0 Process engineering 16 8. 0 Production/management concepts 14 7. 0 Other
33 20 60.6 Microelectronics 27 16 59.3 Nanotechnology 6 5 83.3 Process engineering 29 15 51.7 Production/management concepts 23 14
and also the challenges posed to foresight design and management. They elaborate three central guiding foresight principles:
Nehme, de Miranda Santos, Filho and Coelho provide a case study of the application of foresight by the Brazilian Center for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE), over the past nine years.
*Marcio de Miranda Santos1, Lelio Fellows Filho1 and Gilda Massari Coelho1 1center for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE), SCN Q. 2, Bl.
and complexity of the themes being considered, the level of stakeholder participatiio and, quite frequently, the communication skills of those managing the process.
as well as a case study developed by the Center for Strategic management and Studies (CGEE), Brasi'lia. Keywords:
It represents a merger of future methods with those of strategic management. It is defined by Habegger (2010) as a deliberate attempt to broaden the‘boundaries of perception
stakeholders'decision-making culture and management styles. These are aspects in relation to which a good communication approach may help make the difference between good and bad final results.
journals. permissions@oup. com experience dealing with complex strategic foresight exercises, developed by the Center for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE), Brazil.
Brummer's thoughts about mind-sets in management are interesting and capture the essence of this concept:..
and in particular that of its management creed, as well as the group dynamics of such a management team, may have prominent influence on determining how such competitive force will approach the possible opportunities, uncertainties and threats of the future business environment.
Brummer (2005: 156) The idea is thought a-oriented process aiming to make decisions or share perceptions, free from prejudice, cultural influence,
Participatory management structures are recommended highly to allow for‘on the fly'decisions to be made once the exercise starts.
Implicit in its mission is the requirement for management and operatiiona structures and staff to be prepared to implement a variety of financing possibilities,
FINEP's strategic management plan was developed in 17 months, in an intense and challenging process of looking into the future of the agency and its role in the national ST&I system.
The main objective of the exercise was to design a new management model for the agency,
and the results were discussed with FINEP's senior management, employees and other stakeholders. The methods used were interactive,
which is meant to consolidate all the elements necessary to create the strategic management plan (SMP). The final workshop,‘FINEP of the future',provided a forum for further discussions between employees and stakeholders, resulting in the construction of the key elements of the proposed plan:.
This was created due to FINEP's need to promote changes in its organizational and management processes,
The four phases proposed for the development of the SMP (see Fig. 5) were defined to meet the needs of the process, taking into consideration FINEP's culture and experience in planning and management over the years.
involvement of managers, employyees experts and stakeholders in all stages of the process'.'Senior management commitment:
regarding the whole process, from methodology development to the analysis and validation of the results obtained..
Management group (MG: assigned to manage process and ensure interaction between advisory (AG) and operattiona levels (thematic groups (TGS)).
2011)‘ Strategic foresight applied to the management plan of an innovation development agency',Technology analysis & Strategic management, 24: 267 83.
Godet, M. 2001) Creating Futures Scenario planning as a Strategic management Tool. Washington: Economica. Habegger, B. 2010)‘ Strategic foresight in public policy:
A paradoxical journey',Management Learning, 36: 335 52. Vecchiato, R. and Roveda, C. 2010)‘ Foresight in corporate organizations',Technology analysis & Strategic management, 22:99 112.
Challenges in communicating the outcomes of foresight studies. 257
Head in the clouds and feet on the ground: Research priority setting in China Mats Benner1, Li Liu2,
In the last decades, the rise of new public management within state administration has had also a major impact on science policy-making,
such as the Chinese Academy of S&t for Development (CASTED) but also the Institute for Policy Management at the CAS and academics at selected universities, such as Tsinghua.
459). 4. Some suggestions about the reform of the national S&t programs management (guanyu guojia keji jihua guangli gaige de ruogan yijian),<www. most. gov
Explaining diverrgen venture capital investing strategies in China',Asia Pacific Journal of Management, 27: 445 59.
OECD. 1999) Managing National Innovation systems. OECD: Paris. Senker, J. 2004)‘ An overview of biotechnology in Europe:
and Center for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE), SCN Quadra 2, Bloco A, Ed. Corporate Financial center, 11andar, Sala 1102, CEP 70712-900, Brazil 2manchester
6. Protection, management and sharing of intellectual property rights. 9. One example refers to the KICS.
and R&d units rather than fulfilling an exploratory think-tank function for top-level management, but this development is currently being reconsidered in several firms (Daheim and Uerz 2008.
Cuhls, K. 2001)‘ Foresight with Delphi surveys in Japan',Technology analysis & Strategic management, 13: 555 69. Daheim, C. and Uerz, G. 2008)‘ Corporate foresight in Europe:
From trend based logics to open foresight',Technology analysis & Strategic management, 20: 321 36. Dervin, B. 1998)‘ Sense-making theory and practice:
Joos, W.,Carabias, V.,Winisto rfer, H. and Stu cheli, A. 1999)‘ Social aspects of public waste management in Switzerland',Waste Management, 19: 417 25.
transition management in public policy',Foresight, 3: 15 31. Salo, A. and Kuusi, O. 2001)‘ Developments in parliamentary technology assessment in Finland',Science and Public policy, 28: 453 64.
IPRM can be compared to a transition management (TM) framework. TM was developed in The netherlands in the early 2000s (e g.
Energy management systems (EMS; Sensor technologies Product model technologies integrates building in urban infrastructure; Energy harvesting HVAC;
User-enabled energy management systems; Self-powered wireless sensors Cost-efficiency Customer-driven, flexibility, accessibility MARKETS:
Integrated building and facility management services; Solutions for non-disruptive repairs; Modular building services; Performance contracting;
Real-time energy management systems; Sensor networks and ubiquitous sensing Nanostructured materials; Low-exergy technologies renewable sources, energy storage;
A further enabler is energy management systems (EMS) that are also being integrated into the overall building design.
Management of complex of information systems; Policies for smart energy; Policies for lifecycle efficient production ACTOR-ORIENTED POLICIES:
such as smart appliances for automated decision making Intelligent and more automated transportation Intelligent products and services with life cycle management modules Remote collaboration solutions:
The first of the systemic policies emphassize the management of a complex of information systems, with a special emphasis on information transparennc and security.
same facility New ICT-based tools and processes for the design and operation of factories Digitalized production processes, like virtual prototyping Intelligent products with life cycle management modules
management solutions based on robotics Distributed small-scale energy production Remote collaboration products Enabling technologies Methods and processes for environmental impact assessment of products and services,
for waste management and recycling Web 3. 0 in advanced identification and recognition technologies for waste management and recycling Data mining technologies 3d environments and
Intelligent products and services are emerging with embedded life-cycle management modules. A considerable portion of the energy is generated in a distributed manner in buildings or at the neighbourhood level
There are advanced identificatiio and recognition technologies for waste management and recycling. Web technologies (web 3. 0) are utilized in both energy consumption monitoring and remote collaboraatio solutions.
How the structure of technological interdependennc affects firm performance in new technology generations',Strategic management Journal, 31: 306 33.
Insights from the FORLEARN mutual learning process',Technology analysis and Strategic management, 20: 369 87. Innovation policy roadmapping. 189 Eerola, A. and Loikkanen, T. 2009) Governance and Research of Nordic Energy system Transition-Summary Report of the Gorenest Project, VTT Research Notes 2505.
Transition management encounters environnmenta and innovation policy histories in Finland',Policy Sciences, 42: 409 27. Heracleous, L. and Jacobs, C. D. 2008)‘ Crafting strategy:
Kostoff, R. N. and Schaller, R. R. 2001)‘ Science and technoloog roadmaps',IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 48: 132 43.
Transition management in public policy',Foresight, 3: 15 31. Smits, R. and Kuhlmann, S. 2004)‘ The rise of systemic instrumeent in innovation policy',International Journal of Foresight and Innovation policy, 1: 4 32.
experiences from the innovation policy foresight and strategy process of the City of Vienna',Technology analysis and Strategic management, 21: 953 69.
but also shows major challenges in foresight design and management, which we address by way of elaborating guiding foresight principles of scalability, modularity and flexibility.
management and sharing of intellectual property rights (CEC 2010) In the ERA NET scheme a four-step approach is applied4 (Matrix-Rambøll 2009).
regional and (international levels providing significant insights into the challennge of managing multilayered research and innovation systems.
and management style to the case-specific context and to particular requirements of the participating organisations and related stakeholders.
Against this backdrop, the design and management of foresight may benefit from some principles that support the attainmeen of the objectives of the entire programming initiative and support its legitimacy in the wider research and poliic landscape.
We crystallise three principles for foresiigh design and management in transnational research programming. 4. 1. 1 Scalable design for transnational initiatives.
Stakeholder participation was also based on the definition of explicit roles and responsibilities for the different phases of the process. 4. 1. 3 Flexible and responsive management to accommoodat with stakeholder expectations.
capabilities and culture in transnational programming also calls for flexibility in the design and management of the foresight process.
and speeds up the implementation (see Fig. 4). Achieving the benefits of foresight activities in support of the implementation of other programming functions is related to the appropriate positioning of foresight design and management in the overall programming process.
and the principles we have outlined are integrated into the overall design and management from the outset of the programming activities.
and is linked directly to the Management Board. 32. The exchange platform serves the utilisation of existing infrastructures,
Kaiser, R. and Prange, H. 2004)‘ Managing diversity in a system of multilevel governance: The open method of co-ordination in innovation policy',Journal of European Public policy, 11: 249 66.
and Center for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE), SCN Qd 2, Bl. A, Ed. Corporate Financial center, Sl. 1112,70712-900, Brasi'lia-DF, Brasil 4eu DG JRC-IPTS, Seville, Spain;
for instance may allow new meanings (Nonaka 1994) to be synthesized through the shared development of crosscutting challennges From a methodological perspective, internet-based tools for continuous idea generation (Graefe et al. 2010), idea management
Ensuring effective cross departmental activity',Journal of Security Sector Management, 3: 1 20. Ansoff, H. I. 1975)‘ Managing strategic surprise by response to weak signals',Califonia Management Review, XVIII:
21 33. Blackburn, S.,Cudd, P. and Hawley, M. 2010)‘ A horizon scanning system for identifying new telehealth innovations',Global Telemedicine and ehealth Updates:
The limitations of environmental management systems for innovation',Journal of Business strategy and the Environment, 16: 525 37.
Mo ller, K. 2010)‘ Sense-making and agenda construction in emerging business networks How to direct radical innovatiion'Industrial Marketing Management, 39: 361 71.
Reflections from Finnsight 2015',Technology analysis and Strategic management, 21: 987 1001. Saritas, O. and Smith, J. E. 2011)‘ The big picture trends, drivers, wild cards, discontinuities and weak signals',Futures, 43: 292 312.
Schultz, W. L. 2006)‘ The cultural contradictions of managing change: Using horizon scanning in an evidence-based policy context',Foresight, 8: 3 12.
and technology organisations From an R&d management programme that is organised by international institutes with a similar background to Fraunhofer,
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