(i) anticipation of the drivers and weak signals of change with the intention of being prepared for whatever might follow from the ongoing and future social, economic and political mayhem with a rich understanding of systems, their history and possible futures,(ii) analysis of different stakeholder perspectives
An Analysis of the Possible Roles of Parliamentary Technology assessment in Innovation policy, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht, 2004.19 K. De Moor, K. Berte, L. De Marez, W. Joseph
and its environment will serve as input for a continuous feedback related to its mission, values and politics.
Proceedings of the World Congress of the Systems sciences and ISSS, 2000.57 R. N. Anthony, V. Govindarajan, Management Control systems, Mcgraw-hill, New york, 1998.58 A m. Schneiderman, Why balanced scorecard
Proceedings of the World Congress on Engineering, 2008. S v. Marinho, C. Cagnin/Futures 59 (2014) 50 61 61
economic, social, political, cultural and technological. Up to the 1980s, futures research focused on forecasting future developments by applying s-curves, Delphi studies and mathematical models 18 20.
As a result it was subject to considerable political scrutiny. Leadership had the tasks of (1) managing the program in this political context,
(2) establishing a common understanding of innovation,openness'and involved risks, and (3) coordinating partner expectations.
/Futures 59 (2014) 62 78 67 to act as guards against defective outside political influences while also making sure that the internal components of the network were aligned. 4. 1. 5. Networked foresight activities Foresight activities inside Rijkswaterstaat
a general assembly consisting of core and associate partners, an 7 See http://www. softwarecampus. de/en/for details.
regular general assemblies and strategy meetings take place. EICT's own foresight competences could complement these meetings. 4. The existing foresight activities could be utilized to capture external developments adequately to guide EICT prepare it for the future. 5. Foresight would benefit from additional network partners that add to the existing knowledge base.
and politics and public services. Although some issues could be placed in two or even three categories,
A Table 2. Subcategories Society S&t Economy and finance Environment (ecological) Politics, government, public services Social values S&t reflection Market Hydrosphere Legitimacy-democracy
and education S&t development Economical context/finance Economics Economy Physical environment Environment Nature Resources Political, administrative and legal Public services Politics State Global Joint horizon scanning Science and Public policy February 2010 11 first discussion with this network was held
in March 2007 and a second in October 2007. The possible use of the horizon scan data at the European commission (EC) level was discussed in interviews with representattive of different directorates within the EC.
Morton Wied Joint horizon scanning Science and Public policy February 2010 14 responsible, whatever its political constitution. Issuue were selected on the basis of indications in the literature of either positive and/or negative impact on these values.
cultural and social respeects The horizon scan was mandated by the Danish parliament in 2006 to feed directly into the research agenda setting.
if data can be incorporated from scans developed by countries on the other side of the world, at different stages of economic development or with contrasting political (and geopolitical) systems.
/ecology 13.7 15.2 23.3 17.7 Politics/public services 30.1 32.0 35.2 32.6 Total number of issues 146 125 159 430 Note:*
He is currently in charge of a study on ubiquitous computing for the German Federal Parliament
of the entire creative content market in Europe Political and legal issues Six theses, e g.
Controversial positiion may call into question current political agendaas and make the definition of new ones difficult.
In this approoach we are not attempting to question the degree to which the prevailing political-foundational conteex is supportive,
we conclude the paper by identifying a series of questions that will require further research to confiir the influence of political-foundational
not designed to directly influence political decision making, but to prepare knowledge that is relevant for decision making.
Buetschi and Nentwich (2000) identified several context or foundational success factors for influencing the political role of participatoor technology assessment (see Table 3). These studies tell us that FTA EXERCISES should not be viewed independently of their contexts
innovations implemented and legislation adopted Table 3. Success factors influencing the political role of participatory technology assessment Societal Institutional Process properties Good timing
and public controversy Alignment with policy-making agenda schedule Political relevance of topic Political culture open to informal participation Political connections
and performing institutions Precise definition of political goals Perceived fairness of the process Orientation of the product
and practical implementation Involvement of political actors in the process Critical success factors for government-led foresight Science and Public policy February 2010 35 asked what they thought were the best contemporary foresight organizations,
Results and policy impact/implications Scenarios and EID life cycle model The scenario workshop listed key drivers for EID in the areas of social, technology, economics, environmeent and politics (STEEP.
technical, social, economic and political Ownership and sharing of biological material Long-term budget system for EID technology development and deployment, APECCenters of Excellence'APEC collaboration projects
Impact of technology policy on innovation by firms Science and Public policy February 2010 65 consensus not only among political actors but also among organizations representing business interests.
Griessen and Braun (2006) deal with the problems of political coordination of innovation policies in Switzerland.
The political coordination of knowledge and innovation policies in Switzerland. Science and Public policy, 35 (4), 277 288.
environmental issues are at the center of political debate, and are also being questioned by those beyond the strict sphere of science and technology (S&t).
the political changes that could affect it as a government-owned company. 5. 2 Future perspectives A tool the future timeline was developed
if somewhat unevenly, developiin elements of both political planning and institutional empowerment, often under the political banner ofcontrolled modernization'.
With the tougher fiscal climate of the 1960s and 1970s and the rise of several political challenges, a new steering model emerged where political priorities invaded the decisionmakkin process more explicitly (Elzinga 1985.
15) The next phase, of deepening, occurred with the 14th Congress of the CCPCC (in 1992),
. and Fangyun Chen) to national leaders, calling for the acceleration of China's high-tech development. They stressed the need to meet the challenges of the global technology revolution and competition and pointed to the US Strategic Defense Initiatives as well as Europe's EUREKA Program.
is considered widely to have been the response by then-Premier Li peng to concerns voiced by scientists at the Political Consultation Conference (zhengxie) in March 1997 that basic research was being neglected in S&t funding.
The Political Consultation Conference is a political body in the Chinese political system. Its members are well-known scientists
drawing S&t ever closer into the political core. The 1978 Science Conference functioned as a starting-point for a renovation of the S&t system by acknowledging S&t as a productive force.
which gave science policy a widened political mandate. More recently, apost-catching up'strategy has emerged,
The sub-plans are organized more loosely and open to rank political debates: indeed one of the goals of the political elite has been to foster such open exchanges.
Hence, we find a combination of top-level control and bottom-up deliberations. In themselves, the MLPS represent an important articulattio of science and innovation policy with the broader fields of policy:
will play out in the future is a key issue for students of Chinese politics in the years to come.
Braun, D. 2008) Organising the political coordination of knowledge and innovation policies',Science and Public policy, 35: 227 39.
Fuller, D. B. 2009) How law, politics and transnational networks affect technology entrepreneurship: Explaining diverrgen venture capital investing strategies in China',Asia Pacific Journal of Management, 27: 445 59.
In fact, during the colonizzatio by Japan, for political reasons, the development of Chinese herbal medicines was constrained strictly.
Political consensus despite divergeen concepts of precaution',Science and Public policy, 32: 277 84. Wong, J. 2005) Remaking the developmental state in Taiwan:
The challenges of biotechnology',International Political science Review, 26: 169 91. Wong, J.-W. 1998) The relationship between bureaucratic organizzatio and agricultural innovation:
But they also reflect a more overt steering of STI efforts at least those funded by the public purse to meet explicit political goals.
The aim is to rejuvenate the European research area (ERA), an overt political project, which, since its adoption a decade ago, has yet to meet the expectatiion of European policy-makers.
In other words, it is important to move beyond the often glib political statements of the importance of innovation for grand challenges
business, societal, policy and political opportunities Increase awareness of possible risks, and hence the basis for more effective contingency planning,
At the same time the Europe 2020 Strategy notes that a partnership approach should extend to EU committees, to national parliaments and national, local and regional authorities,
The need to transform current systems is heightened by emerging global trends, in particular democratic crises in many societies worldwide, the growing political and economic power of Brazil, Russia, India and China,
economic and political to social (pervasive and quick to diffuse with longer term effects emerging over time)
and the need for faster delivery of FTA results to policy and decisionmakking The rediscovery of parliamentary technology assesssmen (TA) is also a sign of renewed interest in institutionalised forms of TA (cf.
for instance in the case of external FTA organisation that provide semi-institutionalised FTA services (e g. parliamentary TA organisations,
whereas institutionalised forms of FTA are more suitable under unstable political conditions and in situatiion with a high level of fluctuation.
as reflected, for instance, in the creation of new dedicated horizonscanning centres, the strengthening of parliamentary technology assessment offices and the establishment of dedicated foresight units in firms and public administration.
In the case of parliamentary TA, the argument in favour of dedicated future intelligence can be made in a very straightforward manner.
In general, parliamentarians need better access to knowledge about current and future developments in technology and society.
and the accumulation of FTA knowledge needed to translate advice into political and administrative decision-making.
Salo, A. and Kuusi, O. 2001) Developments in parliamentary technology assessment in Finland',Science and Public policy, 28: 453 64.
The purpose of its current foresight exercise is to explore the potential development of international science over the next two decades in a changing economic, social, political and environmental context.
'167 the height of the Cold war, it demonstrated that even during tense political times scientists from around the world could work together for the betterment of society.
conduct a broad consultaation in particular utilising the ICSU General assembly as a forum for member opinions including 170.
and become increasingly complex as non-state actors influence the international political and policy agenda.
but this may be influenced by a range of external pressures, e g. political contexts, career incentive structures, etc.
The exercise and its results were debated extensively at ICSU's General assembly in September 2011, a gathering of the ICSUfamily'of member organisations that occurs every three years.
Science versus politics. A front-line report',presentation at the Joint Programming Conference, held Brussels, 18 9 october 2010.<
environmental and political developmennts National horizon scanning activities have been carried out as in the UK, The netherlands and Denmark (Van Rij 2010a).
Horizon scanning typically builds on concepts such as weak or early warning signals within the framework of political discourse and decision-making.
It comes close to the concept of future narratives as used by Van der Steen (2008) in his political discourse analysis. Van der Steen (2008) sees future narratives asstories about what the future,
and that connect these possible futures to current issues for political debate (the discourse)'.'Recent horizon scans of the UK, Netherlands and Denmark show us many examples of smaller and larger potential emerging issues.
2010) Discourse and decision-making Political discourse refers to the continuous communicative debate that takes place in the political arena.
The outcome of a political discourse is partly dependent on the contents and shape of the communicative expressions of the participants their cognition in wide sense as well as the power relationships between the participants (Chilton 2004;
have to fight for attention in the political discourse except for situations in which they fit
I.,Soentgen, J. and Wehling, P. 2010) Scientific nonknowledge and its political dynamics: The cases of agri-biotechnology and mobile phoning',Science Technology and Human Values, 35: 783 811.
P. A. 2004) Analyzing Political Discourse: Theory and Practice'.'London: Routledge. Choo, C. W. 2001) Environmental scanning as information seeking and organizational learning',Information Research, 7/1<http://choo. fis. utoronto. ca/IR/choo choo
Political debate about ageing in The netherlands',Science and Public policy, 35: 575 83. Van dijk, T. A. 2002) Political discourse and political cognitioon'In:
Chilton, P. and Scha ffner, C. eds) Politics as Text and Talk: Analytic Approaches to Political Discourse, pp. 203 31.
Philadelphia, PA: John Benjamins. Van Rij, V. 2010a) Joint horizon scanning: identifying common strategic choices and questions for knowledge',Science and Public policy, 37:7 18..(
2010b) Horizon scanning: Monitoring plausible and desirable futures'.'In: Int Veld, R. J. ed.)Knowledge Democracy:
Consequences for Science, Politics, and Media, pp. 227 240. Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer..( (2012) Wild cards as future shakers and shapers'.
towards a multi-polar world and world governance. towards a new universalism (political-cultural transition.
of Action for the Sustainable development of Small Island Developing States and 22nd General assembly provisions) Target 15 Deal comprehensively with debt problems of developing countries through national and
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