As a second important trend, foresight has become an increasingly participatory activity. Initially, foresight activities were mainly based on S&texpert opinion,
whereby the participants were invited to put forth their thoughts on them (approx. 1. 5 h). Second, within each 492 V. Brummer et al./
However, one outcome of the second study was the publication of a programming mandate addressed to CEN
In the following Sixth Japanese and Second German Delphi studies 45,46, all obstacle categories were changed into policy measures
Even though neither the second nor the first round were organised by government but by a consortium of agencies,
An Evaluation of the Second Round of Swedish Technology foresight, Teknisk Framsyn, 2002 2004,2005. 7 J. Cassingena Harper, L. Georghiou, The targeted and unforeseen impacts of foresight on innovation policy:
and its standing vis-à-vis the Triad regions are considered as majorvariables'of the alternative futures for the EU. At the second,
The second refers to lists of priorities and proposed actions (for different stakeholders, in this case e g. university rectors and deans, regional, national and EU policy-makers, businesses and local communities as partners of universities), inputs
Status and Impact of future-Oriented Technology analysis, Anchor Paper for the Second International Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis: Impact of fta Approaches on Policy and Decision-making, Seville, 28 29,september 2006 available at:
Policy 30 (6)( 2001) 953 976.21 A. Havas, Futures for Universities, paper presented at the Second International Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis:
The second is the clustering coefficient, which is a measure of excess links between closely related nodes.
board minutes and stakeholder interviews, they identify the strength and weaknesses of the prevailing technical and organizational setup to address claims from customers, public, regulatory bodies and the affected environment 62.
we introduce a second visual representation of the data (see Fig. 3). As a first dimension,
and thus lack employees to guarantee 24 hour availability. Therefore, the idea of an organizational integration of the associations had been raised.
Environmental impact ranked only second in their priorities. In contrast, the industry's stakeholders favor besides low tariffs, additionally low levels of bureaucracy as well as voice and participation in the associations decision board. 4. 4. Exploring the trade-off landscape The virtual future stakeholder groups
and second, to a technology barometer based on a survey study of the visions and attitudes of relevant national key actor and interest groups.
According to this index figure Finland rates as second after Sweden in Technology barometer 2007. In the same way other combined composite indicators determine Finland's proportional rating compared to the reference group countries in different areas of technology barometer (the content of Technology barometer 2007 is presented in Appendix B
The contrast between the extremes of narrow expert and widespread consultation illustrates the simplicity of the first by comparison with the second and how this stems from its exclusivity in clear distinction to the inclusive nature of widespread consultation.
the Futur process, Second International Conference on Technology foresight Tokyo, 27 28,february 2003. 3 D. Loveridge, P. Street, Inclusive foresight, Foresight:
Akademische Verlagsanstalt, 2009.37 Mayer Brown, Minutes of Debate on Governance Initiatives for the European Nanotechnology Community in the Public and Private Sectors European commission, Brussels, December 5th 2007.38 Investing
In the second phase, during the second half of 2001 the council members described and discussed the different areas of research in science and technology, building on, among other things, the vision papers.
In the second half of 2003 and in 2004, two other areas were defined as priorities for strategy development.
and second, to use a foresight exercise to identify and develop those domain areas that might be of interest,
Paper presented at the Second FTA Conference, 28 29 september, Sevilla, Spain. Keenan, M. 2003. Identifying emerging generic technologies at the national level:
The empirical study is based on 34 hours of in depth interviews and fieldwork observations in those various settings.
they can be done in minutes. One can thereby take advantage of wide availability of rich science
The time to conduct certain technology analyses can be reduced from months to minutes by taking advantage of four factors enabling QTIP Quick Technology intelligence Processes:
These databases can be searched from one's computer, enabling retrieval of electronic records in seconds.
In a minute or so, we can examine several alternatives, select the one (s) for presentation,
200 binnovation indicatorsq. 2 We gratefully acknowledge support of the U s. National science Foundation for"QTIPS-24-Hour Technology intelligence & Forecasting"(DMI-0231650.
Nonetheless, the entire process can usually be completed in minutes. The complete search and retrieval process can often be completed in under an hour,
contingent on how delicate the search specification and refining processes are. Those depend on the sensitivity of the MOTISSUES being addressed.
requiring less precision than the second (is this a suitable partner?.In this case, we actually began with searches on bfuel cellsq in general.
We mutually recognized that certain preliminary analyses could be done in 3 minutes enabling refinement of information searches that would drastically upgrade subsequent FTA work.
whether the focus area was among the most importaan third, the second most important third,
even if the field is not ready to tolerate a new collective term. 2 This leads to the second persistent theme.
Daheim and Uerz 7 at the Second FTA Conference in Seville conference noted the emergence of open foresight as a trend,
and that the programme moved sharply towards its second, networking, objective, which saw priorities (in the sense of funded areas) emerge as bottom up projects at a much more focussed level.
The second important factor is thecrisis of science policy''more generally as pressures to restrict burgeoning public expenditure collided with demands from Big science
safeguards in a world of ambient intelligence (SWAMI), Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis, Seville, September 28 29,2006 (available at:
at least, the Second International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis (September 2006. The greater acknowledgement of the co-evolution of technology and society,
The candidate country respondents constituted the second largest group. Impact assessment. The impacts of the discontinuities identified were considered to be high by most of the respondents around the globe.
Unfortunately, she shunned Apollo at the last minute and he added a twist to her gift:
phase change could result inno cabs for half an hour and then six come around the corner at once''.
In the second half of the twentieth century, urban planning abandoned its visionary origins and became more technocratic,
Megawatts hour of electricity per inhabitant consumed in a year Economic growth. Increase of per capita gross domestic product (GDP) or other measures of aggregate income, typically reported as the annual rate of change in real GDP Environment Selective collection of solid waste.
Many second homes will be abandoned by their owners because of maintenance problems, and they will be demolished either or recycled for other urban uses.
methodologies and selected applications'',paper presented at the Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis: Impact of fta Approaches on Policy and Decision-making, Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, Seville.
The scores from the second assessing ability test were a form of calibration of each interviewees assessing ability.
The second iseffect'uncertainty and refers to managers'inability to predict what the consequences of drivers of change will be on their organisations (e g. will customers switch from a traditional product fuel-based car to an innovative one hybrid car?).
many hours of exploring, including reading abstracts, would be required. An alternative approach to tedious review is the development of a link analysis map coupled with an unstructured text-tagging rulebook.
The second is the social/actor space, which covers all the issues that are primarily dependent on relations between different social actors inside and outside the organisation.
US National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL) is second with 4780, but much reduced activity recently;
He and the co-authors are preparing a Second Edition of Forecasting and Management of Technology (Wiley.
85 90%solar cell market Multi-crystalline silicon Second generation Amorphous silicon To decrease cost To take silicon as the thin film Silicon thin-film solar cell Now,
In the Second and Third Basic Plans, which started in 2001 and 2006 (Government of Japan, 2001,2006),
and results described in the case study. 3. 2 Scope and context of the exercise In the second half of 2010,
During the second half of the project, Forfa's posed the question of how the global drivers
It included three critical technologies (at the second thematic level: B prevention and liquidation of environmental pollution, monitoring
Technology 19 (Basic materials chemistry) is prospected also by these three countries as second hot application technology before the year 2020,
The second most intensive linkage of the interaction is source technology 17 (Macromolecular chemistry, polymers) to application technology 1 (Electrical machinery, apparatus, energy.
and the label information of the second 12 test points (1997 2008) of NBS can be matched with that in the growth stage of TFT-LCD.
& Social Change 72 (2005) 1137 1152 1145 never correctly realized that Darwin in his second
Proceedings of the Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis: Impact of fta Approaches on Policy and Decision-making-Seville 28 29,september 2006, 2006.4 H. S. Becker, Scenarios:
Proceedings of the Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis: Impact of fta Approaches on Policy and Decision-making, Seville, 28 29,september 2006, 2006.30 H. Lawson, Reflexivity, The Postmodern Predicament, Open Court, La Salle, IL, 1985.31 J
The second foundational phase (2011 2020) is planned to be focused on the integration of nanoscale science
The second powerful strand has been a package of measures designed to reinforce research business linkages,
A second related weakness is signalled by the difficulty of making a credible case for the links between the case studies and the associated methodologies.
and stakeholders the second planned workshop was devoted to develop a common vision. Here, although JRC-IPTS was facilitating and giving direction to the discussions,
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe and Karlsruhe Institute of technology, Karlsruhe, Germany Received 29 february 2008 Introduction The contributions included in this special issue build on material presented at the Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA
the first a monitoring and control circuit (single loop) and the second a learning circuit (double loop.
and as an instrument to increase the number of new innovations the second of the key roles described above.
data collection instruments included access to key documents, such as reports, internal documents, presentations and meeting minutes and observations through active participation within the organizations and, to some extent, in the build up Phase in the WINN
These functions were an important outcome of the Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis held in 2006.
Paper presennte at the Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis, held 28 29 september 2006, Seville, Spain.
Paper presented at the Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis, held 28 29 Septembbe 2006, Seville, Spain.
Paper presented at the Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis, held 28 29 september, Seville, Spain.
Paper presented at the Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis, held 28 29 september 2006, Seville, Spain
in March 2007 and a second in October 2007. The possible use of the horizon scan data at the European commission (EC) level was discussed in interviews with representattive of different directorates within the EC.
The second involves the emergeenc of proprietary and convergent platforms for content selection and distribution.
and the open issue of the likely development and importtanc of virtual worlds (like Second Life) and multiplayer online games (like World of Warcraft.
and websites devoted to key stakeholders to an approach of getting in the elevator with key decision-makers to give them 60 second elevaato speeches.
'Paper presented at the Second International Seville Seminar on Futuureoriented Technology analysis, held 28 29 september 2006, Seville, Spain.
Paper presented at the Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis, held 28 29 september 2006, Seville, Spain.
Paper presented at the Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis, held 28 29 september 2006, Seville, Spain.
For the firms that compleete their subsidized R&d during the second half of the reference period, particularly in the year 2002, it is questionable,
The second is related to institutiionand capacity-building and governance of the S&t system, and in particular floor funding of academic institutiions Ergas'work
and constitute the second main dimension. However, which of these three basic organisatioona models best fits the requirements is also a matter of the governance mode (co-existence, competition, cooperattio or integration)
This approach was especially important in the first phase where numerous existing project meetings were able to set aside an hour
The second selected axis was based on thescience and society'driver. At one end of this axis
The second is the building of advocacy coalitions. Foresight builds up aninteraction space'by stimulating new networks and communities through the formation of a common vision.
The second is the emerging culture of strategy roadmapping in which the roadmapping is perceived more as a dynamic
companies that operate across several jurisdictions report high compliance costs due to multiple regulatory frameworrks The second bottleneck is based the project nature of construction, with little replication at the design level.
The second is the economic recession. Recession is empathetically a double-edged phenomenon: it can be a driver for environmental solutions by focusing on issues such as the reduction of materials
for instance, indicates that the first criterion is the most importtant followed by the second and then the third.
2. 1. 2 Second example. The State of the Future reports of the UN Millennium Project can be regarded as another source formegatrends'and long-lasting challenges for the future.
The specific challenges served as a framework for the second bottom-up, part of the process. Within a competitive call, institutes teamed up to develop technological solutions to the challenges in the form of collaborative project proposals.
Sum 25 5 137 Table 4. Second Round Round 2 Challenge Project ideas Selected Projects Teams involved Mobility 6 tbd
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