| Technological change (63) |  |
and tracing the role of dirreversibilitiest of technological changes (i e. expectations that guide the research activities of scientists and firms,
achievements and deficits In the light of insights from research on innovation and technological change, much foresight thinking and practice have struck us as somewhat over-simplistic and in particular over-optimistic in its hopes, e g. with respect to the ability to mobilise innovation system stakeholders to act
and bring it closer to a contemporary understanding of processes of innovation and technological change. Over the last ten to fifteen years
of the scope of forward-looking exercises can be interpreted as a reflection of the abandoning of linear models of technological change and the adoption of a systemic understanding of socio-technical change.
Mccarthy, Linking technological change to business needs, Res. Technol. Manag. 46 (2 march April 2003) 47 52.15 K. Matzler, M. Rier, H. H. Hinterhuber, B. Renzl, C. Stadler, Methods and concepts
) 34 G. Dosi, Technical paradigms and technological trajectories a suggested interpretation of the determinants and directions of technological change, Res.
Technological change and Company Strategies, Academic Press, London, 1992, pp. 72 102.46 A. Rip, R. Kemp, Technological change, in:
Technological changes offer more sophisticated and thus more expensive equipment for conducting research, but in the meantime it also becomes a must to purchase these pieces of advanced equipment,
the combined effects of technological changes, together with the pressure on public funding, open a gap between rapidly increasing research costs
Technological changes increasingly stem from the novel recombination of existing technologies. Changes are multitudinous. Therefore, new techniques are needed for analyzing technology architecture.
Technological changes increasingly stem from the novel recombination of existing technologies. Therefore, new techniques are needed for analyzing technology architecture.
because the analysis of a very significant feature of technological change the recombination of existing components is not being supported by most technology opportunity analysis techniques.
Relevant research has approached the problem of forecasting radical technological change with methods for supporting analysis for both decomposition and integration of new technologies.
A structured representation of the data provides a principled account of where technological change is most likely to occur. 1139 S w. Cunningham/Technological forecasting & Social Change 76 (2009) 1138 1149 The article
In summary, the hierarchical random graph did seem to anticipate new technological changes in the area of new standards for accessible rich Internet applications.
a cyclical model of technological change, Adm. Sci. Q. 35 (1990) 6045 6633.4 A l. Porter, A t. Roper, T. W. Mason, F. A. Rossini, J. Banks, Forecasting and Management of Technology
Pol. 35 (5)( 2006) 609 625.12 A. Rip, R. Kemp, Technological change, in: S. Rayner, E. L. Malone (Eds.
When the contribution of FTA is emphasized on revealing technological changes and their impacts in the future, the contribution from other areas is needed also.
and technological change, but also the methodological approaches used in their analysis vary greatly. There are few attempts to aggregate futures data
Institutional and Technological change in Japan's Economy, Routledge, London, 2005.1196 K. Cuhls et al.//Technological forecasting & Social Change 76 (2009) 1187 1197 22 P. Warnke, G. Heimeriks, Technology foresight as innovation policy instrument:
Eburon Press. 1993.19 G. Dosi, Technical paradigms and technological trajectories a suggested interpretation of the determinants and directions of technological change, Res.
33 1238 D. K. R. Robinson/Technological forecasting & Social Change 76 (2009) 1222-1239 30 A. Rip, R. Kemp, Technological change, in:
a new approach for analysing technological change. Technological forecasting and Social Change 74, no. 4: 413 32. Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:11 03 december 2014 Axes of balance in foresight 1001 Irvine, J,
Research policy 6 (1)( 1977) 36 76.15 A. Rip, R. Kemp, Technological change, in: S. Rayner, E. L. Malone (Eds.
Technological change and Industrial Dynamics, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, MA, 2001.18 L. Georghiou, J. Cassingena Harper, Challenging Europe's Research Rationales for the European research area
Indeed, understanding the dynamics of technological change is just one part of a broader mandate. This is in part
Examples of wild cards shocks by category A b c Society & Culture 42 Rise of dogma, e g. creativism/creationism, social resistance to technological change New diseases from pharmaceutical and space
We will focus on two ingredients of technological change that are especially important in the early stages:(
Managing Technology in Society, Pinter, London, 1995, pp. 307 330.7 A. Rip, R. Kemp, Technological change, in:
Socio-demographic, economic and technological changes were taking place at a fast speed with nonlinear patterns
The paper then makes the claim that technological change can be understood as an especially human form of Bergsonian élan vital or creative flux.
Technical paradigms and technological trajectories a suggested interpretation of the determinants and directions of technological change. Research policy 11, no. 3: 147 62.
expectations of technological change; foresight; technological change and dynamics 1. Introduction While foresight has been developed into an important instrument for both firms
and policymakking the active exploration of the future is by no means a privilege of foresight methods. Anticipation occurs in many more domains, in particular, in areas of science and technology,
Foresight will thus enhance the reflexive and strategic character of technological change including self-fulfiling and self-denying dynamics.
Technological change. In Human choice and climate change, ed. S. Rayner and E. L. Malone, 327 99.
To facilitate the analysis of technological change, Hekkert et al. 2007) articulate‘functions of innovation systems'.'Some researchers look into what kind of innovation transfer is most effective (e g.
A new approach for analyzing technological change. Technological forecasting & Social Change 74, no. 4: 413 32. Huang, L.,Z. C. Peng, Y. Guo,
mobility and higher education Learning as a lifelong behaviour Vocational skills gaps Technological development Converging technologies The increasing pace of technological change Technology platforms Open innovation models Death of intellectual property?
but is challenged increasingly by the pace of technological change, globally mobile investors and concerns within the country regarding the scale and constant need for significant research investments Does Ireland have in place the enabling mechanisms
and staying abreast of technological change, acquiring an advanced understanding of technology and its potential market shifting effects,
Drivers of change and sudden disruptive transformations range from profound technological changes, emergence of new business models and major economic restructuring, environmental disruptions, to shifts in social norms, values and lifestyles.
The concept of the technology life cycle (TLC) was presented by Arthur 9 to measure technological changes. It includes two dimensions the competitive impact and integration in products or process and four stages.
the indicators can serve to measure technological changes. In this paper, we focus on combining multiple indicators to calculate the life cycle stages for an object technology
and tries to answer the question on the validity of evolutionary models of technological change. After some introductory thoughts in the first part, it is tried in the second part to summarize in five points some of the still missing pieces to complete the puzzle to developing a firmly based Evolutionary theory of technological change (ETTC.
Technological change; Complex systems; Universal Darwinism 1. Introductory thoughts The main objective of this seminar concerns the exploitation of the powerful new capabilities provided by the Information technology Era to advance Future-oriented technology analysis (TFA), both product and process.
Theorizing about the evolutionary (Darwinian) aspects of technological change is then not merely a question of using metaphors and making analogies,
model of technological change, Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 3 (1971) 75 88.10 C. Marchetti, Society as a learning system:
, Vieweg, Braunschweig, 1978.19 J. Mokyr, Evolutionary Phenomena in Technological change, in Ref. 15.20 G. M. Hodgson, Darwinism in economics:
and robust policies for socioeconomic and technological changes (i e. energy transitions). This study illustrated the potential of EMA for FTA as suggested by Porter et al. 17.
For instance, Hekkert et al. 40 highlight that stimulating knowledge flows (alone) is not sufficient to induce technological change and economic performance.
a new approach for analyzing technological change, Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 74 (2007) 413 432.41 M. S. Jørgensen, Visions and visioning in foresight activities, in:
what is going on by observing that the rate of social change has overtaken the rate of technological change
1 Fast technological change 31 and increasing complexity of products 32.2. High innovation speed 33.3. Shortening product life cycles 34.4.
fast technological change and innovation speed to corporate foresight through the necessity of companies to renew their strategic resources as a result of these factors.
An Integrated Framework of Cyclic Networks for the Assessment of Technological change and Sustainable growth, Delft University Press, Delft, 2000.48 G. Berkhout, The Cyclic Nature of Innovation.
Drivers of dynamic processes of change and sudden disruptive transformations range from rapid technological changes to shifts in social norms, values and lifestyles.
A new approach for analysing technological change',Technological forecasting and Social Change, 74: 413 32. IDEA Consult. 2010)‘ The impact of European policy on the development of the ERA in the areas relevant to environmennt'Draft Final Report.
The drivers of these changes may range from rapid technological changes to shifts in social norms, values and lifestyles.
The fast pace of technological change and the complexity of its societal repercussions make the interpretation of contextual developments very difficult.
Technological change: while the nature and implicatiion of technological breakthroughs cannot be known in advance, there is a high degree of certainty that these will occur over the next two decades, probably in several fields..
The idea of IPRM is to integrate the analysis of technological change and the analysis of the wider societal setting and to enable systematic analysis of future-oriented ideas that could spring either from technological development, policy practices or more generic societal development.
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