and the interpretation of resulting clusters as an important step towards the coordinated development of joint policy measures.
By building on the encouraging experiences of this exercise, we outline methodological steps in support of comparable scanning processes which facilitate the incremental development of crosscutting challenges
But one can also argue that the very remit of horizon scanning is to challenge the mindsets of esteemed incumbents whose perceptions may reflect well-established evidence rather than surprising interpreetation of incipient developments (Taleb 2007.
for instance may allow new meanings (Nonaka 1994) to be synthesized through the shared development of crosscutting challennges From a methodological perspective, internet-based tools for continuous idea generation (Graefe et al. 2010), idea management
participatory workshop activities offer policymakker an inspiring environment where they can openly discuss the implications of alternative future developments for policy-making in general as well as for their own responsibilities in particular.
so fragmented that it does not lead to the development of overarching policy agendas, expressed as coherent and crosscutting challenges that can be 224.
Overall, the collaborative development of crosscutting challenges may help reframe the‘bigger picture 'whose exploration paves way for policy coordination and the attainnmen of systemic policy objectives (Schoen et al. 2011).
by doing so, foster the development of joint policy measures without necessitating potentially time-consuming and cumbersame changes in existing organizational structures and practices (Anderson 2005).
Boden et al. 2010) which focused on long-term developments and their policy implications on EU policy-making, as a means of preparing for the development of the Europe 2020 strategy and related policy initiatives such as the EC Communication on the Innovation Union.
In this context, JRC-IPTS and BEPA started collaboratiiv horizon scanning efforts which evolved gradually from initial exchanges of relevant foresight studies to more systemaatic comprehensive scanning and detailed analysis of reports,
Indeed, the resulting list may appear fragmennte and lead to the development of piecemeal and possibly even conflicting action plans.
'towards a new‘socio-ecological production model'(here it is assumed that the ecological and demographic challenges will be tapped/harnessed to invent a new development model.
They made use of different trend lines from historical data and identified longlasstin developments, sometimes in combinations of more than one line, with large impacts that were identified additionally.
The Millennium Development Goals as a focus for action (see also Cuhls 2008 and citations there are listed in Table 1. These targets
Others are rather new developments. All the problems and challenges identified here are those that can somehow be dealt with by the means human beings have at their disposal.
The State of the Future reports that are published every year take stock of these permanent challenges and report on the developments:
These developments were addressed directly in the Fraunhofer foresight process at that time (Klingner et al. 2008. 2. 1. 5 Fifth example.
partnership for development Target 12 Develop further an open, rule-based predictable non-discriminatory trading
and financial system (includes a commitment to good governance, development, and poverty reduction, both nationally and internationally) Target 13 Address special needs of least developed countries (includes tariff
and more generous official development assistance for countries committed to poverty reduction) Target 14 Address special needs of landlocked developing countries and small island developing states (through Program
development and evaluation of new therapies for chronic skin diseases (b) Sterihealth: reducing the potential infection in hospitals, doctor's offices and care of the aged by new technologies for highly efficient on-site sterilisation.
VTT, the Finnish research organisation, has a rather centralised research and technology development portfolio development. Although VTT is a governmental agency
noncommercial organisation investing the profits of its projects in new research, scientific equipment and competence development.
energy consumption results in resource depletion The development of alternative energies, revival of nuclear energy, decreasing consumption of resources Climate change Slowing climate change through political processes, additional stress caused by population growth and wealth
Other institutes were involved often quite late in the development and formulation of the problem-solving process.
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