Appl. 39 (3)( 2012) 2927 2938.38 E. Hajime, Obstacles for the acceptance of technology foresight to decision makers, lessons from complaint analysis of technology forecasting, Int. J. Foresight Innov.
Change 79 (1)( 2012) 16 29.40 A l. Porter, Technology foresight: types and methods, Int. J. Foresight Innov.
Foresight analysis for world agricultural markets (2020) and Europe. www. ag2020. org 2. Danish Technology foresight on Environmentaall Friendly Agriculture K. Borch,(in press) The Danish Technology foresight
Denmark Green Technology foresight M. S. Jørgensen, Case Denmark Green Technology foresight, Phase 1, in: K. Borch, S m. Dingli, M. S. Jorgensen (Eds.
I. Miles, R. Popper, The Handbook of Technology foresight: Concepts and Practice, Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham, UK, 2008.60 T. Webler, D. Levine, H. Rakel, D. Renn, A novel approach to reducing uncertainty the group
Governments that established nanotechnology funding programs later, such as Denmark, used national level technology foresight processes to prepare
In this paper, FTA is used as the umbrella term covering subfields such as technology foresight, technology forecasting, technology roadmapping and technology assessment cf. the list in 29 and combining tools, ranging fromquantitative methods
In contrast to many other developed economies where technology foresight is used to support strategic decision-making, national-level technology foresight studies are seen not as a prominent activity in the science
and technology landscape of the United states. The U s. stands virtually alone in specifically avoiding centralized S&t planning
In contrast to the US, the German government has launched several technology foresight processes in the last decade 33,34.
In their United states case study on technology foresight in general, Porter and Ashton conclude: The pluralistic nature of the US R&d system, the diverse, dynamic nature of US national political bodies and the limitations of US foresight history makes centralized goal-setting across many
The term technology foresight has not been used with regard to future-oriented activities in nanotechnology, but considering the nano-related FTA of the last fifteen years,
As is the case in fully fledged technology foresight programs cf. 47 the activities under the umbrella of the National science and Technology Council Subcommittee were per se closely policy-related and, in the last decade,
2009.26 P. Dannemand Andersen, B. Rasmussen, M. Strange, J. Haisler, Technology foresight on Danish nanoscience and nano-technology, Foresight, J. Futur.
107 112). 47 I. Miles, The development of technology foresight: a review, Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 77 (2010) 1448 1456.48 A. Zweck, G. Bachmann, W. Luther, C. Ploetz, Nanotechnology in Germany:
the term‘future-oriented technology analysis'seeks to apply a wider collective identity around several strategic intelligence activities including technology foresight, forecasting, intelligence, roadmapping, assessment and modelling but faces a reality where the community regards FTA as the name
The Handbook of Technology foresight, has chapters on four of such regions: the Nordic countries, industrialising Asia, Latin america,
JRC-IPTS has defined FTA as‘a common umbrella term for technology foresight, technology forecasting and technology assessment'12.
and (c) Danish experiences with technology foresight. Empirically, this section is based on publicly available reports and internet information from relevant governmental bodies (ministries and agencies.
and formulating the technology foresight programmes. Third, the low level of power distance and uncertainty avoidance combined with dense networking
This changing context has created a need for foresight understood to be political priority-setting for strategic research. 3. 2. Danish experiments with technology foresight In a green paper from 1995,
and assess the feasibility of a technology foresight programme in Denmark. In this study, technology foresight was defined as‘‘dialogue activities and analyses of long-term developments in science, technology,
economy and society with the aim of identifying technologies which may have economical and/or societal significance''29.
The working group recommended that the Danish parliament launched a programme for technology foresight that has a budget of DKK 25 30 million (ca. EUR 3. 3 4. 2 million) over three years.
A technology foresight programme was established with the centre-left government's 2000 business development strategy 30. The strategy contains the following statement:‘.
‘the Government will take the initiative to implement a project on technology foresight in Denmark. The aim is to increase knowledge
'1 Hence, technology foresight was seen to be part of the government's business policy and not, in particular, part of science policy,
and the technology foresight programme was moved to 1 Authors'translation. P. D. Andersen L. B. Rasmussen/Futures 59 (2014) 5 17 11 the new Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation.
the budget for the technology foresight programme was reduced to DKK 18 million (ca. EUR 2. 4 million).
Under this pilot programme, nine technology foresight exercises were carried out in three rounds. Following the second round, an additional two exercises were carried out by the Agency for Forest and Nature and the Agency for Environmental Protection.
Handbook of Technology foresight, Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham, UK, 2007.9 F. Glod, C. Duprel, M. Keenan, Foresight for science and technology priority setting in a small country:
I. Miles, R. Popper, The Handbook of Technology foresight, Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham, UK, 2008.11 M. Keenan, R. Popper, Comparing foresight‘style'in six world
Examples range from the European commission through the Framework programmes and its Joint research Centre, the OECD through its International Futures Programme, UNIDO through its Technology foresight Initiative, the Asian-Pacific Economic cooperation (APEC) Centre for Technology foresight, the UK Foresight
152.18 G. Reger, Technology foresight in companies: from an indicator to a network and process perspective, Technology analysis and Strategic management 13 (4)( 2001) 533 553.19 F. J. Contractor, P. Lorange (Eds.
new approaches to governance, Futures 43 (2010) 279 291.4 P. Warnke, G. Heimeriks, Technology foresight as innovation policy instrument:
and shape future technological developmennts mainly, technology foresight, technology forecasting and technology assessment. The FTA labbe brings together a set of widely differing techniqques
In The Handbook of Technology foresight: Concepts and Practices, L Georghiou, J C Harper, M Keenan,
This paper discusses the usefulness of horizon scanning as an additional tool for future-oriented technology analysis activities, such as technology foresight and scenario building.
Denmark and the Netherlannds Before he became the senior advisor he assisted the national coordinator for science and technology foresight of The netherlands Royal Academy of Science.
European commission, Directorate-General for Research Scientiifi and Technological foresight 2006. Creative system disrupttion towards a research strategy beyond Lisbon, Report of the Key technologies Expert Group.
Technology foresight directorate of the office of the national science advisor. Available from<http://www. techforesight. ca/Publications/Whatbroadsecuritychallenges Maycanadaface. pdf>,last accessed 1 june 2009. van Rij, V 2008.
Since founding the Office of Technology foresight at the National research council in 2002, he has led or been an advisor to collaborative foresight projects in several emergiin science and technology (S&t) domains such as:
APEC Center for Technology foresight in Thailand; Finnsight 2015 (encompassing a mix of Nokia plus three government agencies (VTT, TEKES and SITRA) and Helsinki University of Technologgy in Finland UK Foresight, third phase 2004 2008;
The APEC Center for Technology foresight is located a Bangkok applied research and foresight center established and supported by APEC, through active co-operation of Thailand and other APEC member economies,
but the key organizattiona factor is that there is a strong historical commitment to technology foresight and a central innovation and futures committee of the parliameen chaired by the prime minister.
APEC Center for Technology foresight in Thailaan has had its strategy planning and scenario approaches used by their host department to help the government itself establish its longer term strategies.
Using technology foresight to create business value. Research Technology management, 47 (5), 51 61. European foresight monitoring Network Mapping Reports 2005 2007.
B Nares Damrongchai is at the APEC Center for Technology foresight, National science Technology and Innovation policy Office, 73/1 Rama 6 Road, Rajdhevee, Bangkok 10400, Thailaand Email:
Ponpiboon Satangput was at APEC Center for Technology foresight. He is now at the Government Information technology Services, National science and Technology development Agency, 17th Floor, Bangkok Thai Tower Building, 108 Rangnam Rd, Phayatthai Ratchatewi, Bangkok 10400, Thailand;
He is currently the executive director of the APEC Center for Technology foresight and the director of Policy Research and Management at the National science Technology and Innovation policy Office, Bangkok,
A major activity has been his association with the APEC Center for Technology foresight since its inception in 1998.
In 1997, he joined the Natioona Science and Technology development Agency (NSTDA) of Thailand as co-director of the APEC Center for Technology foresight,
NEMS based Biochip) Figure 1. Examples of converging technologies, APEC Center for Technology foresight (www. apecforesight. org) 2006 Source:
References APEC Center for Technology foresight 2006. Future Fuel Technollogy Summary Report of an APEC-wide Foresight study.
APEC Center for Technology foresight. APEC Center for Technology foresight, 2008. Roadmapping Converging technologies to Combat Emerging Infectious Diseasses Bangkok:
APEC Center for Technology foresight. APEC Leaders'Declaration, APEC, 2006. 14th APEC Economic Leaders'Meeting, Ha Noi Declaration, Ha Noi, Viet nam, 18 19 november 2006.
Available at<http://www. apec. org/apec/leaders declarations/2006. html>,last accessed 20 february 2010. Nordmann, Alfred 2004.
Suggestions from a 2020 Technology foresight: Technological Approaches to Combating Emerging Infectious diseases (EIDS. Paper presented at the APEC Scenario Workshop on Converging technologies to combat EIDS,
I. and Popper, R. eds) The Handbook of Technology foresight: Concepts and Practice, pp. 3 23.
I. and Popper, R. eds) The Handbook of Technology foresight: Concepts and Practice, pp. 44 88.
I. and Popper, R. eds) The Handbook of Technology foresight, pp. 342 75. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
Miles, I. 2005)‘ Scenario planning',in UNIDO Technology foresight Manual, Vol. 1, pp. 168 93. Vienna: UNIDO.
I. and Popper, R. eds) The Handbook of Technology foresight, pp. 3 23. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
Barker, D. and Smith, D. J. H. 1995)‘ Technology foresight using roadmaps',Long Range Planning, 28:21 8. Blackwell, A f.,Phaal, R.,Eppler, M
2012)‘ UNIDO Technology foresight Guide',<https://www. unido. org/foresight/registration/dokums raw/volume2 unido tf manual. pdf>accessed 15 march 2012.
Czaplicka-Kolarz, K.,Stanczyk, K. and Kapusta, K. 2009)‘ Technology foresight for a vision of energy sector developmeen in Poland till 2030.
Martin, B. and Johnston, R. 1999)‘ Technology foresight for wiring up the national innovation system: Experiences in Britain, Australia and New zealand',Technological forecasting and Social Change, 60:37 54.
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