Motives behind the selection of foresight methods, the timing involved in using insights from foresight studies in strategic policy-making processes, the added value of foresight methods,
Different insights are related to different activities in the policy cycle i e.,, agenda-setting, policy preparation, decision-making, implementation, and evaluation.
The insights presented in this paper are based on recent policy document analyses in depth interviews, and questionnaire research involving users in the local and national policy domain. 2014 Elsevier Ltd.
we may be able to gain insight into the value added of scenario method 6 7. 2. Research approach 2. 1. Research questions In setting up
The aim is to increase insight into topics such as the level of acquaintance and experience with scenario analysis methods in strategic policy-making,
We combine these insights with the different elements or phases of a policy cycle: in which phase (s) of the policy cycle is the scenario analysis method used,
The insights from this analysis were juxtaposed with the insights from the interviews. Because we were aware of the potential bias of in depth interviews (for example
and serve as a source of inspiration for new dialogues within the foresight research community. 3 Results The insights from the local
to gain insight into how future-proof and future-oriented policies really are evaluating policies (after implementation:
it is still difficult to connect the insights of a scenario exercise to different steps in a strategic policy process.
It appears to be a huge step for policy-makers at the local level to link scenario insights to the agendasetttin and policy preparation phases.
In retrospect, they felt that insights from future analyses could be connected better to and embedded in on-going policy development processes.
For example, combining insights from a future analysis with the development of a policy vision and various strategies was seen as a sluggish process.
Often, it was unclear how the insights from the foresight study were applied in the policy analyses.
and communicate the foresight method and insights themselves. In all case studies, external organisations specialising in foresight assisted in developing
and the insights generated by future analyses are integrated into the various strategic levels and sectoral departments of their organisation.
and discover how to use the insights of foresight studies in strategic policy processes. At the national level, there is more experience,
In appropriate timing of the foresight study has been deemed a factor contributing to the failure to apply the insights of a foresight study.
There were also similarities with regard to the implementation of foresight studies and the use of foresight insights, for example the important success factors of leadership and confidence in the process.
insights from the FORLEARN mutual learning process, Technology analysis & Strategic management 20 (2008) 369 387.26 J. Schoonenboom, Toekomstscenario's en beleid,(Scenarios and policies), Beleid en Maatschappij
could have been justified in the IMS2020 project to gain more insight on the developments of different systems. 10 The mentioned framework has been used by JRC-IPTS in a number of projects
insights from the fostering of innovation ideas, Technological forecasting and Social Change 74 (2007) 608 626.16 L a. Costanzo, Strategic foresight in a high-speed environment, Futures 36 (2004
Insights from the FORLEARN mutual learning process, Technology analysis and Strategic management 20 (3)( 2008) 1 232.24 T. Ko nno la, Innovation roadmap:
Nonetheless, there was a push to extend concepts and theoretical insights from these areas to a larger variety of social sciences and humanities disciplines, such as epistemology, political science, sociology, economics
the need for accurate insight into and anticipation of user's needs and expectations; and the emerging necessity of diagnosing the changing innovation landscape to address these issues for‘Foresightful Innovation.'
Drawing on insights yielded through the scanning exercise in Phase 1, six current user profiles were identified.
to gain a better and richer insight into their needs, aspirations, visions and to drive the sharing of expectations among the different stakeholders involved.
Insights from three practical cases Sidnei Vieira Marinho a,,*Cristiano Cagnin b c a Universidade do Vale do Itajai'(UNIVALI), Floriano'polis, Brazil b Joint research Centre for Prospective and Technological Studies (JRC-IPTS), Seville, Spain
Moreover, the insights generated via discussions with the managers were used to promote an indeept analysis of the existing BSC
which social relations and the communication of insights and knowledge 44 are critical for successful outcomes.
These studies have provided insight into how futures research methods and innovation processes can be combined and integrated 3, how technology intelligence processes can be organized 4
it led to the insight that significantly different characteristics are attributed to the brand than expected.
This insight eventually led to new car configurations, i e.,, the results of the foresight project challenged existing development projects
The integration of new partners with additional competences, ideas and insights broaden the innovation potential of the network. 4. 2. 5. Networked foresight activities Futures research activities are conducted in particular within the innovation management unit of EICT.
The outcome of the applied futures research methods is broadened substantially in projects with interdisciplinary character and a combination of knowledge and insight from various industries.
Dedication to quality, insights, effective communications and innovation are also important. Translate and transfer FTA outputs into policy and decision outcomes.
and their insights can be translaate into technical requirements. The authors descrrib how user involvement can be applied during three different research stages in the innovation process,
and create more insights into their many purposes. Finally, we are persuaded that horizon scanning gives us a tool to create a common understanding and shared awareness of a wide variety of future problems, threats and opportunities (PTOS),
but also for promising opportunities, some of which may originate in new or Emerging s&t findings and insights. All the scans are designed to generate themes and questions that cross policy domaain and research disciplines,
technology assessment and other foresigght) By repeating the scanning on a regular basis more insight can be gained on the impact of these activities
a stepwise approach was allowed followwed It new insights on the nature of potentially disruptive changes, which had been generated in a previous stage,
23 The scenarios aimed to synthesise the insights about potential impacts (including the differences in opinion about the impacts of some trends.
The above technology and social/societal trends and the way they interact with one another provide intereestin insights for market players devising business plans
It also made it possible to adapt successsfull to changing requirements and insights duriin the process,
and insights to feed directly into formulation of current-day policy options. Acknowledgements The authors wish to thank Prof W Edward Steinmueller, Dr Aldo Geuna and Juan Mateos-Garcia from SPRU (University of Susseex UK) for their key role in the EPIS
and evaluation in generral Barre and Keenan (2006) concluded that an Jonathan Calof is recognized as one of the leaders in intelliggenc and business insight.
he combines research and consultiin in competitive intelligence, foresight and management insight in the creation of the university's management insiigh program.
so as to gain agility and strengthen preparedness Learning effects impacts Supports system actors to create their own futures Creates a shared vision amongst diverse actors Gain insights into complex interactions
Your advice and insights would be welcomed In the second phase, we examined the institutions viewed as having the best foresight practices
Results The definition of success Overall the studies provide a rich array of insights and observations-data on the most dynamic public foresight programs in the world.
At an operational level, the nascent Canadian foresiigh initiative (2002 2008) was able to produce some excellent projects with strong insights,
Scope and main insights Better understanding of patterns of infectious diseaase needs input from anthropology,
The key insights include: the mappiin between key technologies that should converge in each stage of the EID life cycle,
Bibliometric analysis and online survey complement each other in providing insights which provided scope and focus to the study.
Consequently, a clear insight into users'needs and experiences has becoom indispensable (De Marez and Verleye
it deals with insights both at an observable and a more latent level that are quite difficult to grasp (Rosted, 2006).
it deals with insights at an observable and at a more latent level that are quite difficult to grasp User involvement in future technology analysis Science and Public policy February 2010 54 narrow and technology-centric scope of many projects.
Furthermore, as userdriive innovation deals with those user insights (needs, expectations etc. that users cannot always easily articulate,
Although it is crucial that the user insights generated find their way into the development process,
the adequate translation and transformation of user insights and requirements into more technical requirements (and vice versa), is still a challenge.
and companies to gain an insight into the main drivers and constraints in service innovation and into the conditions for meeting social and user requirements (Lievens and Pierson, 2006).
the analysis yielded valuable insights into the appeal of certain types of application to certain user clusters, by means of profound analysis of interest,
The intention of this stage is to translate insights from the user research into workable requirements.
and how insights from user research might be translated adequaatel into technical requirements. Future research will include the testing of this multimettho approach with a large number of users and several usage contexts and parameters in a living lab setting.
the establishment of real user-driven living labs might provide a more accuraat insight into users'current and future needs.
The need for more accurate consumer insight. Illustration of the PSAP scale as a segmentation instrument.
FTA can support the development of knowledge by providing, for example, insights on longer-term developments, the scope and opportunities for shaping futures,
The scenarios that have been developed provide important insights into organisational options for international science and the roles that science, including the social
and use the insights arising in organizattionall useful ways, viz: detect adverse conditions, guide policy, shape strategy,
Aside from contributing to the understanding of China's research and innovation policy and system, this paper provides insights into policy change in China more generally and also into the processes
and to gain insights into complex interactions and emerging drivers of change Identify New s&t, business, societal, policy and political opportunities Increase awareness of possible risks,
for example, provide insights into longer-term developments, scope and opportunities for shaping futures, and mutual positioning of other innovation system actors vis-a vis the future.
improovin the quality and robustness of anticipatory intelligeenc and preparedness for disruptive events through systematic approaches and shared insights and perceptioons creating an effective dialogue between key players in the different policy domains;
and gives access to insider knowledge of the embedding organisation that allows them to bring their FTA insights fully to bear
It provided major new scientific insights, influenced inter-governmental policies and provided a prototype for subsequent internatioona research planning and coordination efforts by ICSU.
insights from particiipant at ICSU-related meetings; a web consultation of ICSU members, bodies, partners,
Insights from the FORLEARN mutual learning process',Technology analysis and Strategic management, 20: 369 87. Innovation policy roadmapping. 189 Eerola, A. and Loikkanen, T. 2009) Governance and Research of Nordic Energy system Transition-Summary Report of the Gorenest Project, VTT Research Notes 2505.
Insights about dynamics and change from sociology and institutional theory',Research policy, 33: 897 920..(2005)‘ Processes and patterns in transitions and system innovations:
regional and (international levels providing significant insights into the challennge of managing multilayered research and innovation systems.
as well as criteria to assess potential call topics, such as providing input and insights for developing new concepts and providing input for research roadmaps.
Food Security and Climate change have no openness to other EU Member States. 7. Platforms collecting data on foresight exercises can offer deeper insights into possible and desired futures of research priorities, e g.<
or new insights in combinaatio with the domain demarcating keywords..Broad scanning for signals: The preliminary identificatiio of signals can use various sources, like wikis, Twitter,
Database tools that are connected to search engines such as Google news Timeline, Google Insight, Web of Science, 9 or Gapminder10 are very helpful for this purpose.
The SESTI experience provides insights on how to organise and implement exploratory and issue-centred horizon scanning processes to produce alerts but also to Table 4. Description of three combined approaches (a) Semi-automated,
Tools such as Google Insight, Statistics or Google news Timeline that allow us to obtain metadata as well as backward views on issue-related information,
See<http://www. google. com/insights/search/>accessed 21 december 2011.7. See<http://www. bing. com/>accessed 21 december 2011.8.
or the insights that may have guided their aggregation. One may therefore wish to strive for a traceability that allows users to explore which issues a given cluster was built from and
Insights from the fostering of innovation ideas',Technological forecasting and Social Change, 74: 608 26.230. T. Ko nno la et al.
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