Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:
http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537320903262447 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.
and should be verified independently with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses
and bio-society (7) Information and communications (8) Understanding and human interaction (9) Materials (10) Global economy Apart from its title, each panel was characterised by a description of about 150
Information and communications) were driven partly by the comparatively strong global positiio of Finland while others (e g.
For each driving force, the full distribution of the assessment ratingswas shownto convey information about the variability of perceptions among the panellists.
Management and modelling of biological knowledge 7. Information and communications Sensor technology applications Data mining, analysis, management and retrieval Bio-information technology 8. Understanding and human interaction Multicultural
and information and communication industry and services; built environment. Although the establishment of these centres cannot be attributed to Finnsight,
In view of citations, Finnsight has served also as a source of information for various regional and organisational strategy processes in Finland.
For instance, Finnsight synthesised consensual information about overarchiin developments that were relevant to many organisations in the R&i system (e g. universities, industrial federations, private enterprises.
The panels were fed not'by any prior information and the results could be attributed fully to the panels.
and discuss information and insights with each other. This picks up the point above, that stakeholder engagement and participation is at the core of foresight activities
which they process information and deconstruct the scenario workshop process in detail to illustrate the organisational learning
of knowledge into a company is just as important as managing information flows within the company.
An abstract includes source information, a short summary of the article or event in question, and a description of the implications that the scanner believes that the item presents.
The observation is a to-the-point example of the continuing expansion of the information economy into the broader service economy and of
Patton is available at kpatton@sric-bi. com. More information about SRIC-BI's Scan program is available at www. sric-bi. com. K. M. Patton/Technological forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005
In the process of generating the list it is likely that the types of information needed to make decisions will also be collected.
and codify information that allow a better understanding of the future drivers and challenges, develop visions,
Instrumental The 8th Japanese technology foresight program aims to provide necessary information for making the 3rd S&t basic plan of Japan.
namely to provide necessary information for making the 2nd Korea S&t Framework plan. Consensual The‘‘Revision of 3rd Korean TF''has analysed the impacts of 19 megatrends & issues,
NTFC aims to provide also necessary information for making five-year plan of science & technology development.
Technology foresight towards 2020 in China Informative TF2020 aims to provide necessary information for making long term strategy for science and technology development in China,
by the Nordic council. d The EU Integrated Project IRRIIS Integrated Risk Reduction of Information-based Infrastructure Systems. e Commissioned by the Office of the National science Advisor (ONSA.
a term put forward by Castells 15 to describe a society built on technologies of information storage, retrieval,
Furtheron, if the coordinate systemof Fig. 2 ispositionedtoeachquadrant of Fig. 1, the foresightprojects canbepositionedin the coordinates to provide detailed information on the nature of the outcomes and process of each project (Fig. 3). Hence
characterised not only by convergence of technology and by exchange of information other many different networks,
"Today, with the i2010 policy framework, the EU aims to"promote the positive contribution that information
the processes served policy-making by providing relevant background information, but they were meant not as such to engage policy-makers in the process.
and generated a number of debates on the future of information and communication technologies and the development of a knowledge society in Europe.
in order to make the information included in the report both comprehensive and independent. The work is the product of analysis by the DCDC
http://www. h2foresight. info (2009-11-10). 19 The EU Integrated Project IRRIIS Integrated Risk Reduction of Information-based Infrastructure Systems, available at:
and displaying information, such as network analysis, dynamic graphs and charts, even computer simulations and use of images and dramatic interpretations of posits
For example, methods are indicated for each of the subtasks of collection, collation and summarisation of information.
Enactment participants identify information that influences their view of an issue and then‘bracket 'and‘label'it,
Retention the products of the two preceding steps are stored (as published information or individual experience) so that they can be retrieved
and eliciting information from them in a form that can be used readily, are important here.
as in the case of genomics (controversies over stem cells, use of genetic information, etc.;
some actors have more access to sources of information and information-processing capabilities, and to the levers of power and capacities to commandandcontrol others.
But there isnomonopoly of these resources, and even the bestinfoorme and most powerful actors have to work with others to a limited extent in totalitarian regimes, to a huge extent in liberal democracies.)
FTA is liable to involve large volumes of information that can be processed through such TKM systems.
linking, presenting and discussing information and insights with each other. This also enables them to internalise this knowledge through interpretations in specific contexts.
and information codified in reports, lists, and other such external manifestations and products of knowledge as suggested by Dawson 20.
and information (that can be codified and embodied in texts and other artefacts). The tacit/explicit terminology is embedded so well,
Individual actors in FTA organise information in ways that are relevant to their purposes practical problems, conceptual challenges,()TD$FIG Knowledge Information Knowledge Socialisation:
Transfer of knowledge between people (through interaction rather than mediated through captured information) Externalisation: Capturing people's knowledge by rendering it as documents or structured processes Informationinternalisation:
and the like, provides information resulting from the knowledge. This information may be an account of the knowledge
and/or posits, or may simply imply such an account (which an observer equipped with relevant knowledge will be able to reconstruct).
and organise the information in different ways, deriving different sorts of knowledge from it. For example, a detailed account of a scenario represents a codification of posits,
What is transferred is information about knowledge, rather than the knowledge itself. New knowledge and posits is constructed on the basis of this new information and past knowledge.
The agents in question may well make use of technological aids and texts notably whiteboards and flip-charts on which diagrams
This involves sharing information, not only about the results of research but also about the views and opinions (preferably well-grounded ones) that participants hold;
and share such information, although it may be less easy to capture in a structured way as would be the information from, for example, statistical data or trend extrapolations.
Some of these methods yield relatively unstructured information; some organise this information into lists or more structured frameworks even models;
some allow for synthesising information into posits, views of alternative futures, such as those incorporated into scenarios and roadmaps.
Eerola suggests that these activities of capturing information and forging posits from it can be seen as the‘‘E
''and‘‘C''stages of the SECI model. The cycle continues with‘‘I''and a new‘‘S''stage,
as the posits are put into the context of specific stakeholders'circumstances, and in turn used for formulating explicit priorities, recommendations and decisions.
to provide workshop participants with a common information base (and sometimes some shared terminology), or materials collated,
As well as background reading, provision of information from research and analysis is included often formally in the workshop,
and then proceeding to draw on this (critically) in subsequent activities where this formally presented material is added to by information and opinions input by participants,
Yet already some‘‘combination''of information is likely to have been performed outside of the workshop, in the course of the preparation of the background material.
with discussion about the connections between ideas proving a good basis for exchanging information about implicit models and theories.
and visualising data and information. Miles et al. 23 discuss numerous ways in which new IT is liable to be employed in FTA in coming years.
Admittedly, the key information may be created‘‘on the fly''in interaction between participants in the system. A. Eerola,
SWAMI took a more critical approach to the social, economic, legal, technological and ethical implications surrounding such issues as privacy, control of information, and identity.
/Papers%20from%20posters/New%20-forms%20of%20knowledge%20management. pdf (accessed 09/02/10)).17 M. H. Boisot, Information Space.
Securing Competitive advantage in the Information Economy, Oxford university Press, Oxford, 1999.19 I. Nonaka, H. Takeuchi, The Knowledge-creating Company, Oxford university Press, Oxford, 1995.20 R. Dawson, Developing Knowledge-Based Client Relationships, Butterworth-Heinemann, London, 2000.21 A. Eerola, B. H
How Organizations Use Information to Construct Meaning. Create Knowledge and Make Decisions, Oxford university Press, Oxford, 1999.36 J. Naisbitt, Megatrends, Warner Books, New york, 1982.37 L. Georghiou, J. Cassingena Harper, M. Keenan,
It also means that information is freely available in easily understandable forms and directly accessible to all who will be affected by such decisions,
information disclosure; competition'taxation; and science and technology. Their aimis to ensure thatmnes operate in harmony with the policies of the countries where they operate.
Fourth Report on Economic and Social Cohesion, European communities, 2007.20 C. H. Cagnin, An information architecture to enable business sustainability.
by providing some basic profile information without any attribution of responses to individuals. The BPS methodology was straightforward:
which relevant Foresight information might be inferred. Sometimes, mistakenly, wild cards and weak signals are considered as synonyms,
and similar innovations create powerful forces that change the business and social environments and personal information practices;
Sometimes it is referred as future oriented information, sometimes more like emerging issues. Hiltunen 16 has tried to clarify the confusion about the weak signal definitions
In the first part, the respondents were asked to provide descriptive information around three sorting variables:
Sub-categories (A b c) to classify Domains of Interest 1. Society & Culture Social Norms, Education, Information & Knowledge society Demographics, Urbanization, Population Health & Migration Equity, Ethical
law and life styles Dependence on anti-factual information, failing roots of knowledge and understanding Declining male fertility Human cloning Science & Tech. 33 Ubiquitous connectivity web
In summary, the authors are excited by how this information might be dissected further and examined for themes
and public information centres to enable to disseminate the value and benefits of FTA and to help build an FTA culture across society through awareness raising''.
Rather than focussing too much on accurate information FTA techniques need to embrace different perspectives including those considered impossible now
In general, these can be gathered based on information by using a broad range of advanced tools and methods that can be allocated to the field of Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA,
the most important of which might be the energy sector and the development of information and communication technologies.
The rapid progress in information and communication technologies enabled the application of sophisticated transport models.
and have limited side effects) without forgetting that the reliability of these information is limited, varying and depending on the nature of these information themselves.
Or, to put it paradoxically, how to reduce the level of uncertainty while at the same time acknowledging that uncertainty is limitless.
which a decision maker lacks most of the information about his options and of the values of the different outcomes.
and as a web of Table I Knowns and unknowns in decision-making Category Unknown unknowns Known unknowns Knowns Description Most features of the situation neither known nor well-defined (options, their possible consequences, reliability of information,
The basic principle of integrating information is the formulation of arguments, perspectives and judgements. This can be done in form of one-way communication as it is usually practiced in expert hearings
The information might not be detailed enough to get new insights into the probabilities for the occurrence of any known effects.
The key element for successful application of the method is the choice of expert group that produces the information.
the goal of the second questionnaire was to fill in the gaps in the information required to forma solid general view of the future.
the reliability and information value of calculations made using the kind of information that was available at the time of the task,
Further refinement in the changes in the operational environment that affect the possibilities to reach the emission goals of 2050 would have been needed to make the foundation for attaching numerical information more solid.
In a political process there is a need for practical and easily digestible information, such as clear figures.
and to have a high information value, without too much deliberation given on how one arrived at these numbers.
If the user of the resulting numerical information concerning the scenarios is not aware of the uncertainties behind scenarios,
Since all involved actors scientists, firms, policy makers have to act under the condition of insufficient information,
because the information is still present on the memory (this is called instant booting). In 2000, Rueckes et al.
Charles Lieber's group 14 Cientifica is the business information and consulting arm of CMP Cientifica, providing global nanotechnology business intelligence and consulting services to industry and investors worldwide.
bthis proof of principle raises hopes that a nanotube lattice could form computer memory, storing one bit of information at each junction.
parametric and spatial are displayed to provide substantial information for policy makers. Originality/value The value of the present work lies in the synergy that can be generated between territorial foresight and urban planning
A GIS tool will show graphic information about urban growth, urban sprawl and infrastructure networks. This step requires sophisticated quantitative and graphic tools,
At a more general level, the increasing availability of information in electronic form and the computing techniques and processes for exploiting such data constitute the most recent methodological developments in the field of FTA.
and assess results with timely and accurate information''(Gasco'n, 2005). ) As Beck (2009) explains,‘‘b y bringing all crime and arrest data together by category and neighbourhood,
enabling officers to focus their efforts in problem areas, armed with real-time information, accurate intelligence, rapid deployment of resources, individual accountability,
or threat increase the ability to create information-based approaches to prevention, thwarting, resource allocation,
These surveys constitute adequate tools to collect information and to provide a range of different ideas based on which scenarios can afterwards be designed and presented.
for instance, knowledge based systems and intelligent information retrieval. With the development of modelling techniques and instruments such as the one described above,
not only be able to receive relevant information of future societal trends (which would certainly aid lawmakers to better determine the content, objectives and direction of their legal reforms proposals),
a powerful instrument and an important source of information that should be used to improve legislative making processes.
In this respect, legislators should have at their disposal the largest quantity and quality of information available about the society,
Based on data mining techniques, intelligence-based tactics and information communication strategies, predictive policing demonstrates that Law,
For more information on the Compstat, see Delorenzi et al. 2006). ) 18. For two views sustaining the impossibility to anticipate the future,
Technological forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 1112 1121 other hand, decision support and policy making require information on the potential consequences of the introduction of new technologies before they are implemented widely,
information on future developments of technology and its interaction with society before they are implemented widely, i e. at early stages of their development when the direction of the innovation process already can be influenced.
energy technologies or information and communication up to biotechnologies without their interdependence being always obvious at first glance.
This information is necessary not only for the analytical step, it may offer valuable insights for the entire TA process.
Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:
http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715475 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.
and should be verified independently with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses
Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 04:57 03 december 2014 730 Editorial information era will be followed by a molecular era,
These invade both the qualitative and quantitative pieces of information that are joined to create outcomes for policy and management in all the STEEPV themes (Social, Technological, Economic, Ecology, Politics and Values and Norms.
Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:
http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715476 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.
and should be verified independently with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses
and information networks make distributed downstream innovation increasingly visible. Ontological unpredictability thus becomes importaan for technology analysis, foresight,
Information gathered on previously important characteristics simply misses the essence of the thing. Innovation as creative evolution According to Schumpeter, innovation can be defined as a historic and irreversible change in the way of doing things.
Indeed, speaking informally,‘a state embodies that information about a natural system which must be encoded in order for some kind of prediction about the system to be made'(Rosen 1985,75).
because the natural system may be mapped into inaccurate predictive models using codings that leak information, and because the observables can be measured with error.
The social life of information. Boston, MA: Harvard Business school Press. Bukszar, E. 1999. Strategic bias:
Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:
http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715477 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.
and should be verified independently with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses
These invade both the qualitative and quantitative information co-joined to create outcomes for policy and management in all the STEEPV (Social, Technological, Economic, Ecology, Politics andvalues and Norms) themes.
qualitative opinion and the quantitative information including all its uncertainties? How would the risk of disaster
Personal behavioural patterns (Loveridge 1977) will influence the information sought, including data before its transformation and its integration, via learning, appreciation and anticipation, into a systemic outcome.
Transformation of quantitative data from science, technology and pseudo-science into information then plays a role, in conjunction with thesteepv constituents,
Many of the perceived‘uncertainties'of quantitative information arise from these sources and from the nature of expert opinion:
and O. Saritas The horizontal axis concerns the source and kind of information used. Empiricism lies at the natural pole (deriving explanation from concrete
or effective way to obtain information about the situation artificial reconstruction of object reality is attempted in almost all modelling
such as analytical models, computer simulations or information constructs Meredith chose a number of measures to describe the poles of the horizontal dimension.
or models to specify the information to be collected process is highly efficient since aberrations (classified as‘noise')do not have any causal source At the natural pole,
Clearly, the most valid information is obtained by direct involvement with the phenomenon. The references to‘truth'in the matrix are not relevant as FTA depends on subjective opinion,
It was invoked in the IFTFS study to gather information for the main parts of the study that later involved scenario generation The elicitation process used facilitated the later combination of quantitative
The next step in the elicitation explained the kinds of information being sought: these were substantive knowledge, assessing ability and imagination.
technical impressions of the kind of information described earlier relating to the Japanese earthquake. Verbal equivalents to different probability levels (Alpert and Raiffa 1982) were used during this part of the elicitation to seed the interviewee's thinking processes.
It also indicates how very different kinds of information from throughout the STEEPV set can emerge from elicitation procedures
Currentftacomponents of foresight, forecasting and TA are simply not able to cope with the welter of information now available to anyone with the wit to look for it nor is FTA able to cope with the increasing complexity of the tasks it faces, often with very significant political interventions and implications.
Monibot goes on to claim that much of the information used by the anti-nuclear lobby is supported not by peer reviewed research
The latter is made possible by access to‘infinite'sources of‘information'of unknown quality and veracity.
in all its STEEPV components, towards that fuzzy‘event horizon'beyond which lie the unknown unknowns (6) The quantitative data that features in FTA do not escape from behavioural influences in its transformation into information
Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:
http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715478 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.
and should be verified independently with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses
and Stein (1992) shows that investors tend to use the speculatiiv information that others use as well;
Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:
http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715487 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.
and should be verified independently with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses
and Siemens in the information and communication industry. These cases are extremely explanatory: on the one hand, the selected firms operated in distinct industries that underwent considerably different (kinds of) drivers of change and conditions of uncertainty.
and comprehend information about changes and new events. More specifically‘‘environmental uncertainty'arises when managers lack accurate information Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:03 03 december 2014 Strategic foresight 785 about organisations, activities,
and events in their external environment; namely, when they are not confident that they can predict what the major changes are
on the other hand, Philips and Siemens operated in fastpaace industries (consumer electronics and information and communication technology (ICT))
as they are seen as providing information inputs essential for assessing the profitability of curreen and potential business areas and for assessing investment
The outputs from foresight activities provide a wide basis of information which explores longaan medium-term changes in customers'needs and lifestyles,
In this paper, we focus on its operations in the information and communication sectors (ICT consumer electronics, information and communication solutions and services.
Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:
http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715488 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.
and should be verified independently with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses
heavily dependent on the flow of ideas, data and information into a business and its network decision-making in its place in society.
a cooperative interactive network rooted in communication channels that allow relevant and agreed information to flowfreely to create a common base of knowledge shared among partners to ensure that trust is enhanced;
according to needs (access to past information)- Policies defined and the firm has strengths in doing similar work;
, common vision Competencies-Information paper processing and fast accountability-No individual, team or organisational learning-Information general support,
comply with speed requirements-Individual learning to comply with functional roles-Information improve decisions-Team learning promoted to improve decision-making
and business efficiency-Information strategic resource-Training and education-Quality of transferable knowledge is predicted Information flow free and a common base of knowledge in the net maximises individuals'learning and creativity Communication
-Minimal processes and channels in place-Processes and channels are on project-to-project basis-Based on the firm's core competencies
and objectives-Based on feedback loops and information persistence-Interpersonal and technological channels in use-Based on cross boundary learning and knowledge flow-Intuition
and allow data-sharing stimulus to support decisions-Information based; IT used to build applications centred on processes rather than on functions,
and information flow through the firm; firm's self-organising capability-Cooperative sustainabiliit net-Network's self-organisation-Continuous learning/adaptation-Creativity in decisionmakkin Operations-Focus on understanding
functional silos removed (information flow)- Systemic processes/systems Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:04 03 december 2014 A framework, with embedded FTA,
Living systems share matter, information and energy with their external environments: there is simultaneous autonomy and interdependence.
The information and knowledge which are shared throughout the business networks can lead to the networks'adaptation and evolution,
Dialogue and information-sharing, founded on trust, are pre-requirements. Features of universal ethics or universal principles and those of respect (Zohar 1990;
and monitoring relevant information to keep the business on track of its vision of sustainability Strategy Performance, environment, capabilities, constraints, opportunities,
An information architecture to enable business sustainability. Phd thesis. Manchester: University of Manchester. Cajazeira, J. E. R. 1997.
Monitor the business C It is to monitor all necessary information of how the business is running
Overtext Web Module V3.0 Alpha
Copyright Semantic-Knowledge, 1994-2011