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Industrial leaders consisted of R&d and business managers in the forestry-related industry. They assessed the proposed research issueswith regard to their industrial relevance and suitability forww-Net.
or which roads to support (for programme managers). A map of paths can be embedded as a central element in a support system to articulate the most robust8 strategy for research groups, start-ups and programme committees (strategic/strategy support system, SSS.
MPM can be of use at the level of research group leaders, portfolio managers, and start-up companies.
programme managers in particular can use it to be flexible in the selection of projects into a portfolio,
The maps can be used to train programme officers/portfolio managers on anticipated issues along respective innovation chains,
Changing political circumstances and the turnover of senior foresight managers or members of foresight directorates were mentioned also as factors adversely affecting the positioning of foresight in the policymakkin arena.
training the future generation of researchers, engineers, managers (including R&d managers), experts, and policy-makers (among many other fields, for STI policies);
Risk assessment procedure in CES is designed on the basis of brainstorming sessions between power plant operators and managers as well as climate change experts.
Technology assessment for managers, Routledge, London, 1998.12 R. Fairman, C. D. Mead, P. W. Williams, Environmental risk assessment approaches, experience and information sources, European Environment
Managers often do not know what risks are associated with particular strategies. A lot of work is needed here. 5. Planning in nonlinear,
Philine Warnke is scientific project manager in the Competence Center Innovation and Technology management and Foresight at the Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation research in Karlsruhe, Germany.
One example is the study of Groves et al. who presented decision aids incorporating scenario concepts in a series of workshops to managers
managers can reject the scenarios because no viable options existed that would enable the business to address the threats the scenarios conveyed 32.
L. Wainfan, Presenting Uncertainty About Climate change to Water Resource Managers, 2008, RAND Corporation, TR-505-NSF. 28 R c.
Axel Volkery, Phd, is a project manager for policy and scenario analysis at the European Environment Agency in Copenhagen, Denmark.
Others concern psychology and the credence the study sponsors and their managers give to subjective opinions expressed by participants from an ever-widening range of contributors.
The evidence for this lies in the age, occupation, gender and background of the majority of Foresight participants who have been middle-to late-middle aged, professional managers and scientists, male and university graduates.
and other conditions of success, ought to be controlled by the managers of the programme for reasons of operational effectiveness. 6. The conditions under
which the programme managers operate ought to include ways that enable any participant to challenge anonymously decisions relating to their participation,
know-how or opinion relevant to the dynamics of the situation ought to be the judgemental criteria exercised by the programme managers with respect to the evolving population of participants. 9. The heuristic nature of inclusive foresight means that the implementation of proposals ought to be dynamic and relevant
Critical systems Thinking for Citizens and Managers, Working Paper No. 23,1998. 1220 D. Loveridge, O. Saritas/Technological forecasting & Social Change 76 (2009) 1208 1221 23
The programme managers and the institutions involved in the core group subscribed to and felt committed to the common strategies developed,
the intention of the programme managers and the core group of the strategy activities to interact with key actors in energy research.
A manager's guide to technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods. Columbus/Richland, OH: Batelle Press.
Notes on contributors Frank Glod is senior programme manager at the National research Fund of Luxembourg
Carlo Duprel is senior programme manager at the National research Fund of Luxembourg and was involved in the conduct of the FNR Foresight study.
Self-evaluation tool for foresight project managers. http://www. eranet-forsociety. net (accessed 19 november 2007. Freeman, C. 1991.
A major impediment to the utilization of FTA results is their unfamiliarity to managers and policy-makers.
But, even more importantly, it familiarizes users with data-based technology analyses The manager who gets the prescribed FTA A l. Porter/Technological forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 1070 1081 1071 outputs upon
and some managers (e g.,, occasional users of the databases and analytical tools! decision-makers (e g.,, policy-makers and managers who weigh emerging technology considerations as either their main focus or as contributing factors,
but do not perform the analyses personally). Process management calls for explicit attention to how the analyses and their outputs can best be organized to enhance utility.
process managers realized that dramatic improvements in quality were possible. There would be no bsix Sigmaq quality standards without empirical manufacturing process data and analyses thereof.
and R&d managers to gain a global perspective on entire bodies of research. That can help position research programs
Q Note that this seriously alters relationships and expectations between manager users and technology analysts. Particularly for academic researchers, we have an inclination to say bwe can deliver a fine analysis;
Provide each researcher, development engineer, project manager, intellectual property analyst, etc. with direct, desktop access to a couple of most useful S&t information databases.!
The manager who incorporates data-based intelligence into decision processes will be informed better and that will lead to competitive advantage.
and the project manager of Finnsight. 3. 2. Foresight panels and phases of the foresight process The delineation of foresight panels was an iterative process where the Core group explored some alternative rationales for choosing panel titles, even in view of international experiences,
Interdependent risks constitute a form of risk that requires adjustment on the part of managers and planners accustomed to more direct and predictable cause-and-effect chains of events and their associated risk assessments.
The very title of Andy Grove's (former chairman and CEO of Intel's) management book Only the Paranoid Survive 4 trumpets the premise that a necessary behavioral tic of successful managers is the constant,
Scanning processes can provide quick, occasional doses of chaos to employees and managers. Management literature is short,
or for cultivating a futures orientation in employees and managers. The companies that currently incorporate externalities well usually depend on a leader at the top of the corporation who performs the scanning function on a continual basis,
and brainstorming session by analysts, researchers, managers, sales and marketing staff, and consultants. SRIC-BI's staff in Croydon, England, holds a bimonthly Scan meeting.
and managers of the importance of a heads-up attitude about the external environment. The likelihood of strategic plans'being blindsided by external developments increases every year with the increasing complexity and competition in the business environment.
and questions that scanning regularly surfaces are not typically on the radar screen or agenda of managers, planners,
The presence of a senior manager can inhibit the discussion and stifle innovative ideas and input.
Senior managers must understand their role (refraining from normal decision-making, judgmental behavior patterns), and junior staff must feel comfortable in expressing themselves.!
It will be the task of the‘‘knowledge manager''to design systems that can facilitate this,
-Managers'attitudes towards CSR and related concepts. -Instrumental research attempting to either confirm or disprove the link between corporate social and environmental performance and financial performance.
and managers approach the business case for CSR in practice. Empirical studies suggest that the relationship between financial performance
Descriptive research suggests that managers focus on the economic dimension of CSR revealing two shortcomings on firms'approach CSR
and risk managers define vulnerabilities within a given system and to then consider what type of event might de-stabilise that system.
From 1997 until 1999 he was research manager at KPMG Inspire Foundation, a think tank of the KPMG consulting firm,
He was a Senior Manager of Strategic Services at Andersen consulting (1988-1998) and a Senior Partner at Gu ell & Partners Consulting (1998-2005.
After serving as a project manager for several technology assessment studies for the Institute for Technology assessment and Systems analysis (ITAS) of Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Germany,
how do managers design their strategic foresight approach in different environments and thus under different conditions of uncertainty?
and this instability creates uncertainty for rationally bounded managers who are not able to fully collect, process,
when managers lack accurate information Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:03 03 december 2014 Strategic foresight 785 about organisations, activities,
and refers to managers'inability to predict what the consequences of drivers of change will be on their organisations (e g. will customers switch from a traditional product fuel-based car to an innovative one hybrid car?).
how do managers design their strategic foresight approach in different environments and thus under different conditions of uncertainty?
and the selected firms, including historical annual reports, financial analysts'reports, conference presentations by top managers,
Third, we interviewed a sample of senior and mid-level managers in particular, the heads of the organisational unit in charge of foresight activities.
These different pieces of insight are matched finally through an interactive process that brings the social researchers from Philips Design and the technologists from Philips Research together with the business managers from all the product divisions of the company.
Daimler's managers could be quite confident as well of the main activities of the value chain for example, assembly of components and production and distribution of cars and the main markets industrialised and emerging countries.
Managers at BASF and Daimler could be quite confident about the key decisions they would have to make in the next 20 years or even more
First, these techniques allowed managers to think about the alternative evolutions of drivers of change (state uncertainty) in an organic and systematic way.
Second, they allowed managers to exploit effectively what they already knew (and needed to know) about the boundaries of their business.
because they helped managers focus on emerging forces of change. Scenarios provided an organic framework for thinking about how these forces could develop in the next 10 or 20 years.
managers at Philips and Siemens had to address the crucial task of identifying the new boundaries of their business.
which help managers to figure out the (new) identity of the main components of the business micro environment and the new activities (and products and services) of the value chain.
A senior manager of Philips emphasised In our business foresight must address an essential prerequisite before using traditional techniques like scenarios:
and EIRMA (European Industrial research Management Association) in the European union. 2. A significant number of managers of the firms we studied pointed out that they had great difficulty in finding
but that different approaches offer different perspectives and levels of detail that can each be of benefit to the analyst or manager.
'Anticipating innovation pathways can assist R&d managers as they set priorities, new product managers as they compose development teams,
and national policy-makers as they formulate infrastructures to encourage innovation. 2. Background 2. 1. Tech Mining and FTAS Bibliometrics counting activity levels and identifying patterns in R&d bibliographic records,
Dr. Petra Schaper-Rinkel, political scientist, is a senior scientist and scientific project manager at the AIT Austrian Institute of technology in Vienna.
Elna Schirrmeister is a senior researcher and project manager at Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation research since 1999.
Therefore, managers, specialists, craftsmen, etc. often shift employment from one company to another or from a public institution to a private firm.
among others) 6. Managers of international exercises must also take into account the distinctiveness of local, regional and national subsysstem around the world.
In a next research phase, these potential Lead User-ideas were evaluated by a group of 15 Flemish experts in the field of digital TV (consisting of content managers and innovation managers from Flemish broadcasters
The organisations facilitated access to information through meetings between managers and the staff responsible for implementing the proposed system.
the involvement of managers in the implementation of the proposed system generated commitment on the one hand and, on the other hand,
Moreover, the insights generated via discussions with the managers were used to promote an indeept analysis of the existing BSC
The project was intended to increase the understanding of the US car market by having managers live with ordinary American families for a certain time
''Therein, Rijkswaterstaat aimed at acting as network manager and facilitator to integrate all interested parties.
and the overall manager to define a set of‘themes'that together should constitute the vision for the innovations developed in WINN.
the network manager had Table 2 The three roles of foresight as described by Rohrbeck
interviiew with foresight practitioners, managers responnsibl for national foresight efforts in various countries, and; reviews of foresight project level summaries and overviews from the EFMN (part of the European foresight Knowledge sharing Platfoor which monitors
and train over 300 senior government staff and managers in foresight methods so that at least a portion of the policy advisory system has had some exposure/familiarity to these methods Communications strategy:
An example of one of the archetypes is Patricia (see Table 1). Patricia is 40 years old, a manager in a major international firm,
involvement of managers, employyees experts and stakeholders in all stages of the process'.'Senior management commitment:
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