| Sociology (40) |  |
| Sociology of expectations (35) | |
| Sociology of science (5) | |
| Sociology of technology (3) | |
| Sociology (40) | |
| Sociology of expectations (35) | |
| Sociology of science (5) | |
| Sociology of technology (3) | |
model 14 16 and sociology of expectations) 9, 17,18. Evolutionary theories of technical changes emphasise that for innovation one should think of variation and selection (and retention of those selections.
which would combine path dynamics 26 28 with the sociology of expectations 29 to prospect micro-level innovation chains.
Path Dependence and Creation, Lawrence Earlbaum Associates, Mahwah, 2002, p. 138.29 M. Borup, N. Brown, K. Konrad, H. Van Lente, The sociology of expectations
'They emphasise that future negotiating processes have to be studied according to how they are performed instead of looking at them as mere problem-solving tools for more prudent strategic decision making. 6 The Sociology of expectations analyses foresight practises as structured around expectations and promises in technology,
and of power. 7. The sociology of expectations is influenced by Science and Technology studies (STS) and Actor-Network-theory (ANT),
The sociology of expectations in science and technology. Technology analysis and Strategic management 18, no. 3/4: 285 98.
A sociology of expectations: retrospecting prospects and prospecting retrospects. Technology analysis and Strategic management 15:3 18. Brown, N.,A. Nelis, B. Rappert, A. Webster, F. Anton, C. Cabello, L. Sanz-Menéndez, A. Lohnberg,
who looks at the literature on the sociology of expectations and what it can offer for foresight.
as well as the main results of the sociology of expectations, which studies the informal production and circulation of expectations in science and technology.
He derives three generic lessons from the sociology of expectations and discusses how these support or limit the ambitions of foresight.
The sociology of expectations in science and technology. Technology analysis & Strategic management 18, nos 3 4: 285 98.
lessons from the sociology of expectations Harro van Lente a a Department of Innovation studies, Copernicus Institute of Sustainable development, Utrecht University, 3508 TC, Utrecht, The netherlands Published online:
lessons from the sociology of expectations, Technology analysis & Strategic management, 24:8, 769-782, DOI: 10.1080/09537325.2012.715478 To link to this article:
lessons from the sociology of expectations Harro van Lente*Department of Innovation studies, Copernicus Institute of Sustainable development, Utrecht University, 3508 TC Utrecht, The netherlands Foresight can be described as the articulation of possible futures.
and discusses the implications of this condition for foresigght The range of foresight studies is reviewed as well as the main results of the sociology of expectations,
Finally, three generic lessons from the sociology of expectations are derived, and it is discussed how these support or limit the ambitions of foresight.
Section 3 will discuss the main findings of the sociology of expectations, which studies the informal production and circulation of expectations in science and technology.
markets. 3. Sociology of expectations In the last decade, the so-called sociology of expectations has studied how in scientific and technological developments actors continuously and explicitly refer to what is possible in the future:
they draw from and add to a repertoire of images, statements and prophecies and by doing
According to the sociology of expectations, this general future orientation is in particular present in technological development. A central theme is that expectations are statements that do something,
then, is the dynamics of expectations depicted in the sociology of expectations? The wellknnow story of Moore's Law is used often as a prime example (Mackenzie 1990.
The sociology of expectations however, points to the central role that the prediction has been playing in the strategic game between the manufacturers of memory chips (Mackenzie 1990.
The sociology of expectations has detailed three forces of expectations in the dynamics of technical change: legitimation, heuristic guidance and coordinattion First,
The review of the sociology of expectations provides various generic lessons about the viability and limits of foresight.
by Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:02 03 december 2014 778 H. van Lente Table 3. Lessons of the sociology of expectations for Foresight objectives of foresight Lessons of sociology of expectations Expectations are drawn from repertoires Expectations
however, can only be limited, according to the sociology of expectations. Since foresight necessarily draws from existing repertoiire of expectations,
Third, the sociology of expectations claims that estimates of the future are rooted deeply in the developments of which they seek to give an assessment.
As the latter are studied in the sociology of expectations, the question is what this body of literature has to offer for foresight.
This article investigated the lessons of the sociology of expectations for the various practices of foresight. A review of foresight highlights the diversity in methods, objectives and settings(‘arenas'.
'The review of the sociology of expectations discussed how expectations legitimise, inform and coordinate efforts in research, firms and government.
The sociology of expectations in science and technology. Technology analysis & Strategic management 18, nos. 3 4: 285 98.
A sociology of expectations: Retrospecting prospects and prospecting retrospects. Technology analysis & Strategic management 15, no. 1: 3 18.
lessons from the sociology of expectations, Technol. Anal. Strateg. Manage. 24 (8)( 2012) 769 782.20 D. Loveridge, O. Saritas, Ignorance and uncertainty:
Lente, The Sociology of expectations in Science and Technology, Technology analysis & Strategic management 18 (2006) 285 298.18 P. den Hertog, R. Smits, The Co-evolution of Innovation theory, Innovation Practice
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