Sociology

Sociology (40)
Sociology of expectations (35)
Sociology of science (5)
Sociology of technology (3)

Synopsis: Sociology:


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Literature in the management of innovation, expectations management and sociology-of-technology fields has stressed repeatedly that for assessments during early stages of technological emergence, more‘open-ended'

Before delving into the context of lab-on-a-chip for cell analysis we explore what the literature can tell us with regards to insights into emerging path dynamics stemming from sociology of S&t, evolutionary economics and organization studies.

Making Use of Recent insights from Sociology and Economics of Technology, Technol. Anal. Strateg. Manag. 7 (4)( 1995) 417 431.3 Richard E. Albright, Thomas A. Kappel, Roadmapping in the corporation, Res.

New Directions in the Sociology and History of Technology, The MIT Press, Cambridge Massachusetts, 1987.37 P. A. David, Clio and the economics of QWERTY, American Economic Review, vol

John Law (Ed.),A Sociology of Monsters? Essays on Power, Technology and Domination, Routledge, London, 1991, pp. 132 161.45 M. Callon, The Dynamics of Techno-economic Networks, in:


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'The diversity of the above areas suggests that foresight process impacts should be interpreted through the lenses of epistemology, sociology, political science, management science and organisational theory.

the transaction cost approach, American Journal of Sociology 87 (3)( 1981) 548 575.556 E. Amanatidou, K. Guy/Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008


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A concluding section of the paper reflects upon the sociology of science, in an effort to confront the observed data with sociological theory.

and case studies. 6. Interpretations from the philosophy and sociology of science The hierarchical random graph is one possible model of science, technology and innovation data.

what is postulated about the sociology and epistemology of science. Towards this end, this section examines features of the hierarchical random graph

and to compare these ideas with prevalent theories in the philosophy and sociology of science. The goal in doing this survey is neither to validate the use of the model,

The sociology of science literature and the innovation policy literature, do offer such discussions, even going so far as to prescribe effective means of social organization.


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Retrospective studies of emerging technology applications/products (from disciplines of Management and Sociology of Innovation) reveal that the journeys twist

not only in the management and sociology of technology and innovation communities, but also by international and global actors. 4 To capture this non-linearity of innovation processes,

model 14 16 and sociology of expectations) 9, 17,18. Evolutionary theories of technical changes emphasise that for innovation one should think of variation and selection (and retention of those selections.

Green et al. 16 in their comparison of the techno-economic networks (micro-level analysis stemming from sociology)

which would combine path dynamics 26 28 with the sociology of expectations 29 to prospect micro-level innovation chains.

making use of recent insights from sociology and economics of technology, Technol. Anal. Strateg. Manag. 7 (4)( 1995) 417 431.13 A. Rip, A co-evolutionary approach to reflexive governance and its ironies, in:

New Directions in the Sociology and History of Technology, The MIT Press, Cambridge Massachusetts, 1987.16 K. Green, R. Hull, A. Mcmeeking, V. Walsh, The construction of the techno-economic:

J. Law (Ed.),A Sociology of Monsters: Essays on Power, Technology and Domination, Routledge, London, 1991, pp. 132 161.23 B. de Laat, Scripts for the future technological foresight, strategic analysis and socio technical networks:

Path Dependence and Creation, Lawrence Earlbaum Associates, Mahwah, 2002, p. 138.29 M. Borup, N. Brown, K. Konrad, H. Van Lente, The sociology of expectations

Yearbook Sociology of the Sciences, Berlin etc: Springer, 2009.36 M. Kearnes, A. Rip, The Emerging Governance landscape of Nanotechnology, in S. Gammel, A. Lösch, A. Nordmann (eds.


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'They emphasise that future negotiating processes have to be studied according to how they are performed instead of looking at them as mere problem-solving tools for more prudent strategic decision making. 6 The Sociology of expectations analyses foresight practises as structured around expectations and promises in technology,

and of power. 7. The sociology of expectations is influenced by Science and Technology studies (STS) and Actor-Network-theory (ANT),

The sociology of expectations in science and technology. Technology analysis and Strategic management 18, no. 3/4: 285 98.

A sociology of expectations: retrospecting prospects and prospecting retrospects. Technology analysis and Strategic management 15:3 18. Brown, N.,A. Nelis, B. Rappert, A. Webster, F. Anton, C. Cabello, L. Sanz-Menéndez, A. Lohnberg,

a sociology of prospective techno-science. Burlington, VT: Ashgate. Burt, G. 2007. Towards a research agenda for environment, learning and foresight.

Sociology 37, no. 1: 103 20. O'connor, K. 2004. Devising a new approach to capitalism at home.

a sociology of prospective techno-science, ed. N. Brown, B. Rappert, and A. Webster, 229 49.

Current Sociology 50, no. 3: 459 477. Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:10 03 december 2014


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. Brown, K. Konrad, H. van Lente, The sociology of expectation in science and technology, Technology analysis & Strategic management 18 (3/4)( 2006) 285 298.7 B. De

A Sociology of Prospective Techno-science, Ashgate, Aldershot, 2000.8 O. Da Costa, P. Warnke, C. Cagnin, F. Scapolo, The impact of foresight on policy-making:


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and Business administration from the Turku School of economics and is currently preparing his Phd in Economic Sociology at the University of Turku.


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a Sociology of Prospective Techno-Science, Ashgate Publishing company, London, 2000, pp. 43 64.6 M. Callon, Technological conception and adoption network:

As invited professor in philosophy and sociology of technology he stayed 6 months at the University of Oviedo, Spain.


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These authors claim that an examination of this kind should draw on the relevant disciplines of social sciences and humanities (SSH), such as epistemology, political science, sociology, economics,


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who looks at the literature on the sociology of expectations and what it can offer for foresight.

as well as the main results of the sociology of expectations, which studies the informal production and circulation of expectations in science and technology.

He derives three generic lessons from the sociology of expectations and discusses how these support or limit the ambitions of foresight.


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New directions in the sociology and history of technology. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press. Borup, M.,N. Brown, K. Konrad,

The sociology of expectations in science and technology. Technology analysis & Strategic management 18, nos 3 4: 285 98.

Sociology of science in the real world. Houndmills, Basingstoke: Macmillan. CEPT-CCH-GSM. 1982. Report from meeting no. 1. T/CCH (83)/ 9 GSM Doc 32/83.

New directions in the sociology and history of technology, ed. W. E. Bijker, T. P. Hughes,

Images of the future as a tool for sociology. American Behavioral Scientist 42, no. 3: 493 504.


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lessons from the sociology of expectations Harro van Lente a a Department of Innovation studies, Copernicus Institute of Sustainable development, Utrecht University, 3508 TC, Utrecht, The netherlands Published online:

lessons from the sociology of expectations, Technology analysis & Strategic management, 24:8, 769-782, DOI: 10.1080/09537325.2012.715478 To link to this article:

lessons from the sociology of expectations Harro van Lente*Department of Innovation studies, Copernicus Institute of Sustainable development, Utrecht University, 3508 TC Utrecht, The netherlands Foresight can be described as the articulation of possible futures.

and discusses the implications of this condition for foresigght The range of foresight studies is reviewed as well as the main results of the sociology of expectations,

Finally, three generic lessons from the sociology of expectations are derived, and it is discussed how these support or limit the ambitions of foresight.

Section 3 will discuss the main findings of the sociology of expectations, which studies the informal production and circulation of expectations in science and technology.

markets. 3. Sociology of expectations In the last decade, the so-called sociology of expectations has studied how in scientific and technological developments actors continuously and explicitly refer to what is possible in the future:

they draw from and add to a repertoire of images, statements and prophecies and by doing

According to the sociology of expectations, this general future orientation is in particular present in technological development. A central theme is that expectations are statements that do something,

then, is the dynamics of expectations depicted in the sociology of expectations? The wellknnow story of Moore's Law is used often as a prime example (Mackenzie 1990.

The sociology of expectations however, points to the central role that the prediction has been playing in the strategic game between the manufacturers of memory chips (Mackenzie 1990.

The sociology of expectations has detailed three forces of expectations in the dynamics of technical change: legitimation, heuristic guidance and coordinattion First,

The review of the sociology of expectations provides various generic lessons about the viability and limits of foresight.

by Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:02 03 december 2014 778 H. van Lente Table 3. Lessons of the sociology of expectations for Foresight objectives of foresight Lessons of sociology of expectations Expectations are drawn from repertoires Expectations

however, can only be limited, according to the sociology of expectations. Since foresight necessarily draws from existing repertoiire of expectations,

Third, the sociology of expectations claims that estimates of the future are rooted deeply in the developments of which they seek to give an assessment.

As the latter are studied in the sociology of expectations, the question is what this body of literature has to offer for foresight.

This article investigated the lessons of the sociology of expectations for the various practices of foresight. A review of foresight highlights the diversity in methods, objectives and settings(‘arenas'.

'The review of the sociology of expectations discussed how expectations legitimise, inform and coordinate efforts in research, firms and government.

The sociology of expectations in science and technology. Technology analysis & Strategic management 18, nos. 3 4: 285 98.

A sociology of prospective techno-science. Aldershot: Ashgate. Brown, N, . and M. Michael. 2003. A sociology of expectations:

Retrospecting prospects and prospecting retrospects. Technology analysis & Strategic management 15, no. 1: 3 18. Cagnin, C.,D. Loveridge,

A historical sociology of nuclear missile guidance. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Merton, R. K. 1968.

A sociology of prospective techno-science, ed. N. Brown, B. Rappert and A. Webster, 43 64.


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Insights about dynamics and change from sociology and institutional theory. Research policy 33, nos. 6 7: 897 920.


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lessons from the sociology of expectations, Technol. Anal. Strateg. Manage. 24 (8)( 2012) 769 782.20 D. Loveridge, O. Saritas, Ignorance and uncertainty:

Developments in Sociology, Causeway Press, 2004.57 A. Sayer, Method in Social science: A Realist Approach, Routledge, London, 1992.


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making use of recent insights from sociology and economics of technology, Technol. Anal. Strateg. Manag. 7 (1995) 417 431.50 J. W. Forrester, Industrial Dynamics, MIT Press, Cambridge, 1961.51 J. D. Sterman, Business Dynamics:


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Section 3 describes how we conceptualize inspiring issues and paradigms from different scientific disciplines such as business and innovation research, futures studies, sociology and policy analysis.


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Sociology of the Sciences Yearbook, Springer, 2010.15 R. A w. Rhodes, Understanding governance: ten years on, Organ.


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She holds a Phd in sociology of technology from Darmstadt Technical University and a diploma in mechanical engineering.


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Some papers proceed by integrating insights and concepts from other disciplines such as sociology, design and innovation management while others mainly draw on empirical analysis and established FTA theory.

Dannemand Andersen and Baungaard Rasmussen delve into the national policy context for FTA by drawing on insights from sociology and anthropology.


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Nonetheless, there was a push to extend concepts and theoretical insights from these areas to a larger variety of social sciences and humanities disciplines, such as epistemology, political science, sociology, economics

studied sociology, psychology, political science and economics. Senior researcher at the Institute for Technology assessment and Systems analysis (ITAS) of the Research centre Karlsruhe, joined ITAS'forerunner AFAS in 1979 and has worked


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Lente, The Sociology of expectations in Science and Technology, Technology analysis & Strategic management 18 (2006) 285 298.18 P. den Hertog, R. Smits, The Co-evolution of Innovation theory, Innovation Practice


Science.PublicPolicyVol39\2. Orienting European innovation systems towards grand challenges and the roles.pdf

Notes 1. Following other authors, the notional use of‘function'in this paper should not be confused with functionalist approaches found in sociology.


Science.PublicPolicyVol39\5. Innovation policy roadmapping as a systemic instrument for forward-looking.pdf

Insights about dynamics and change from sociology and institutional theory',Research policy, 33: 897 920..(2005)‘ Processes and patterns in transitions and system innovations:


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