Epistemic uncertainty

Deep uncertainty (50)
Epistemic uncertainty (12)
Fundamental uncertainty (4)
Great uncertainty (5)
Uncertainty (741)

Synopsis: Uncertainty: Epistemic uncertainty:


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which is therefore subject to epistemic uncertainty 7. Technological design entails the recombination of components in new and often unexpected fashion.


ART39.pdf

A strong epistemic uncertainty exists a premium is given to top quality universities (signalling effect. Nano excellence seems to be concentrated highly (role of‘technology platforms'to work at the nanoscale) in 200 clusters where Asia has a strong presence:


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uncertainty is characterised by a limited quantifiability, a lack in knowledge, epistemic uncertainty/or unresolved scientific controversies.


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epistemic uncertainty and ontological unpredictability. When disruptive and downstream innovations become frequent, ontological unpredictability becomes increasingly important for innovation policy and strategy.

The next section introduces the two sources of unpredictabilitty epistemic uncertainty and ontological unpredictability. The following section then further elaborates the idea of ontological unpredictability in the context of innovation theory,

which in competitive markets remains the only source of profits. 1 Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 04:52 03 december 2014 Foresight in an unpredictable world 737 Epistemic uncertainty Integrating the numerous extant typologies

Epistemic uncertainty, according to these authors, is uncertainty due to the imperfection of our knowledge, which can be reduced by more research.

Therefore, we use the term epistemic uncertainty below to cover both variability uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty. In this paper, the focus is on a specific form of unpredictability that looks terminologically similar to ontological uncertainty

we distinguish between (epistemic uncertainty and (ontological) unpredictability. A central claim made in this paper is that ontological unpredictability is becoming the dominnan form of unpredictability as communication

we may now reformulate the distinction between epistemic uncertainty and ontological unpredictability. Epistemic uncertainty is located on the right-hand side of the figure.

It arises because a natural system can be constructed using inappropriate categorisation systems because the natural system may be mapped into inaccurate predictive models using codings that leak information,


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