| Delay (21) |  |
| Duration (58) | |
| Longness (3) | |
The affiliations of the core team members in the decision making bodies guaranteed the persistence of the argumentative structure in later stages of the planning process.
To show continuity with the earlier work, we have called sometimes it innovation chain plus (IC), +but it is actually a mosaic of arenas through
Anticipation on further regulatory delays sees shift in private investments from nano to other promising technologies.
but in practice reduce pressure on regulators causing delays in regulatory mechanics. Regulators rely on current law (or modifications of them) for nanomaterials and applications.
complexity of nano and the lack of coherent regulatory infrastructure means big delays for certain areas..
descriptions of areas of strategy effort Analysis of areas (present state and actor views) Hearings Roadmaps (as follow-up) Duration of the process 15 months Approximately 18 months Legitimization
the exercise quickly started to accumulate delays, owing in large part to the aforementioned misunderstandinng between the FNR Board, the MCHER,
although this would also cause delays in the formulation of new FNR programmes. Accordingly, a second phase of the exercise was instigated with a stronger deliberative process.
and third on the time lag, at which an impact occurs3 (Table 1). This framework will be taken as the background against
Function Time lag Targeted and/or unintended impact Informing Immediate Increased recognition of a topic area Awareness of science,
In this paper, we describe Finnsight 2015 (henceforth Finnsight for brevity), the national foresight exercise of the Academy of Finland and the Finnish funding agency for technology and Innovation (Tekes),
but the postponement becomes indefinite.)For selection to be successful, this step results in a model of
or continuity in the horizon of a transforming intervention of the‘world of needs'22.1 Cf.
Some analysts have attempted to distinguish trends by their degree of influence 3. 3 It is also possible to further analyse trends according to their duration, scale,
life prolongation Technological innovation to create inexpensive self-diagnostic devices Development of a global e-science community The new human:
So wait for the next iteration in 2010. In summary, the authors are excited by how this information might be dissected further
Instead of continuities they build on possible discontinuities to reach the solution desired and try to break the trend of business-as usual.
the continuity of the financial investment presupposed in the application of fta tools?).Given the systemic unpredictability of the future 20, how can FTA-based
or research is vital for the consolidation and continuity of this approach, as otherwise the suggested application of fta to Law may run the risk of losing credibility in the eyes of policy and decision makers. 4. 2. 2 Neutrality and objectivity.
How do businesses develop successful continuity and become economically wealthy while simultaneously following their vision of the tenets of sustainable development?
Out of this continuity, intellect, in turn, constructs a world that consists of discontinuities and potential breaking points.
It thus tells us how to break the continuity and create distinctions that matter. The distinctions that our intellect generates are not arbitrary, however;
Similarly, any business has a certain momentum that will ensure its continuity for an uncertain time into the future in the absence of some new
but above all else to ensure successful continuity of the business based on securing future profits and a strong share price.
FTA has a strong role to play in businesses achieving successful continuity through offensive and defensive activities.
and what responses it could adopt (e g. postponement of the launch of new models: response uncertainty.
and a model of how companies create enduring continuity needed for sustainable development (Brundtland 1987). This paper suggests a dynamic framework of continual learning to enable businesses to anticipate
thus contributing to a business's successful continuity. The sustainable development of a business depends on the integration of sustainable thinking into mainstream decision-making and core operational processes:
For most, the undeclared psychological imperative is to maintain‘successful continuity'and their independence. The secoon unspoken but implicit theme for a company is knowing that successful continuity,
measured by being able to secure future profits and a strong share price, for a limited time horizon, will be maintained through interdependence between itself and a swarm of suppliers and customers.
which are seeking successful continuity for themselves and indirectly for the network itself. What role does FTAPLAY in successful continuity
while attempting to followwhat a firm believes to be its sustainable development and that of its mutually supporting network of businesses?
namely what may be important to do to help secure successful continuity and what to avoid doing to prevent self-destruction.
is a basic requirement for successful continuity. Foresight can also expose a range of equally likely paths into the future that may permit more insightful decisions to be made by a business.
and does contribute to a business's successful continuity. FTA cannot remove the uncertainty that surrounds its contribution to or nature of sustainable development in the wider context of its supporting network and society as a whole.
and objectives-Based on feedback loops and information persistence-Interpersonal and technological channels in use-Based on cross boundary learning and knowledge flow-Intuition
LDRD projects have a maximum duration of 3 years. Continuation proposals and an annual review are required for each existing project that has completed not its term.
''2.‘‘World's highest level medical environment underlying a healthy society with longevity'';''3.‘‘Health information infrastructure for eliminating disparities'';
they are of a shorter duration to foresight and are more of a predictive nature than STF.
and that ensures the organisational continuity to use the experience and knowledge gained in distributed FTA ACTIVITIES.
, Marcus Lange 15 Backward citations Immediacy of patent citations Forward citations Dependent claims Priorities Duration of the examination process Data base requirements Fig. 2
and it was only with considerable delay that more mathematical (algorithmically based) arguments and models were advanced.
but the matter-of-fact is that we still observe the same obstacle that has caused this delay:
lifetime of a technology Parametric Varying between 15 and 50 years for different technologies Delay orders of lifetimes Orders of the decommissioning delays Categorical 1st, 3rd, 10th,
Typically plus and minus 50%of the default value Orders of time delays There are various time delays, such as building of new recycling capacity and mines.
slope change fraction Yearly fractional change in the slope of the load duration curve-0. 01 0. 01 Planning horizon of the generation companies Upper bound for the planning horizon of the generation companies.
and that ensures the organizational continuity to use the experience and knowledge gained in distributed FTA ACTIVITIES.
and there would be no time lag, thanks to real time investigation. Fig. 2. Amplification example: web-extracted innovation. 456 E. Schirrmeister, P. Warnke/Technological forecasting & Social Change 80 (2013) 453 466 Fig. 3. Screenshot from the INFU web-based
Centralised-Distributed Innovation continuity Permanent-Occasional Innovation acessibility Free-Private Innovation tangibility Tangible-Intangible Innovation motivation Profit/Benefit-Normative/Mission
and continuity even if it were perceived not so at the time. In the current less stable economic, political and social environment it is possible to apply such a lens to the preceding two or three decades.
but a counter hypothesis would suggest that deeply embedded institutions are equipped better to fight for survival (one thinks of the persistence of at best partially-reformed institutions from the Soviet-dominated era in some post-transition countries).
But there are shared issues with the wider discipline of evaluation in dealing with time-lag between action
and effect and in seeking enough continuity to create the opportunity to apply lessons from previous experiences.
This was due, in part, to the longer duration of the development phase, particularly the time needed to generate support and commitment among policy-makers (and politicians).
the duration of the process does not appear to be a major issue. Initiating new foresight processes just before a new Minister
nor the shaping of a shared vision to be developed. 3. 2. An example from the higher education sector 3. 2. 1. Rationale The second case focused on a higher education institution that was pursuing a management model focused on efficiency standards for sustainability and continuity in the long run.
Moreover, working laws restricted the possibilities of continuity during the holiday's period. Through the Management of Strategic Initiatives (step 5 phase 3) the institution was able to properly map the university processes
the analysis implicates that networked foresight activities are more likely to be activities with a certain degree of continuity, i e.,
but also in different other societal value dimensions (health, longevity, human rights, social cohesion, law-based democratic society, international relations etc.).
quality of life, ecological quality (survival, health, longevity of (future) citizeens health of ecosystems; social dimension; economic financial dimension:
which are characterised by a decline in national identities but the persistence of regional differences;
persistence and innovation, especially in communications; synchronization with the business agenda of the organization Critical success factors for government-led foresight Science and Public policy February 2010 36 Ireland, Japan, Finland and the UK;
Such a continuity of effort to disseminate the outputs of the project and inspire other activities during the later stages of the project
one-and-ahaal years is an adequate time lag between R&d and realization of R&d outcomes for most industries and for incremental innovations.
but also and mainly with its continuity. This represents an important intangible gain, where the process was as important as the outcomes..
individual FTA projects or programmes of limited duration and with targeted objectives;.dedicated FTA units providing continuous input to their embedding or mother organisations;.
The institutionalisation of FTA provides continuity and permits the accumulation of knowledge and know-how in a single organisational unit.
Duration: Given available resources and the scope of the exercise, it was thought at the outset that the exercise would take about 12 8 months to complete from start to finish.
however, by delays due to changes in key staff. As a consequence, the results generated in the later stages of the project (essentially the visionary success scenario) have shaped perhaps not ICSU's new strategic plan to the degree that was planned originally
duration, upgradeability, recyclability Global treaties, initiatives and campaigns on environmental questions Shortage of fossil fuels and fresh water Standardization of green monitoring solutions REGULATION AND DEMAND-SIDE POLICIES:
given the role of time lags in transnational policy-making contexts. Table 3 links the four dimensions of policy co-ordination, as described above
and that short-term decisions do not contradict longer-term commitmeent(‘dynamic efficiency')Differences in degree of continuity of policy design
and implementation Differences in start and duration of national programmes Different national rules and cycles make collaboration impractical Differences in speed of implementation at national level Differences in degree of long-term planning
and design for the duration of the Embedding foresight in transnational research programming. 201 entire exercise,
Table 3. Evaluation criteria for scanning approaches and methods Connections, clustering of weak signals and degree of relevance to a specific area Duration of weakness of signal, also associated with time at
specific for survey and conferencces large for focused expert review, literature review Duration: observation time Through reports, blogs, groups, social networks, Twitter, sites, etc.
and clustering Cross-checking with results from recent foresight exercises Duration: observation time High Medium Medium As reported but also time series tracing possible in blogs, google etc.
The special nature of horizon scanning activities points to the importance of continuity to increase the relevance, validity and timeliness of the information.
such as available resouurce or the duration of the exercise, may impose comparrabl bounds. 2. 2 Sense-making:
individual projects or programmes of limited duration and with targeted objectives. dedicated units providing continuous input to their embedding
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