Synopsis: Scenario: Scenario:


Science.PublicPolicyVol39\6. Embedding foresight in transnational research programming.pdf

therefore Development of scenarios, desirable futures and pathways towards these futures for specific Urban Europe topics Use of a pilot call to improved understanding of future trends

and research needs beyond initial analysis Development of scenarios for long-term urban developments Establishment of an UEF,

Alternatively, current and planned programmes can be checked against alternative future scenarios to test their robustness over time.

scenarios and other relevant data (by dedicating a pilot call to research on such future-oriented issues)


Science.PublicPolicyVol39\7. On concepts and methods in horizon scanning.pdf

It may even be used as a highly evidence-based source to provide plausible discontinuities in the development of scenarios.

They usually describe a future narrative or mini scenario that, according to the cited author or source, should be taken into account by policymakers, society and/or research.


Science.PublicPolicyVol39\8. Facing the future - Scanning, synthesizing and sense-making in horizon scanning.pdf

Bunn, D. W. and Salo, A. 1993)‘ Forecasting with scenarios',European Journal of Operational Research, 68: 291 303.


Science.PublicPolicyVol39\9. Fraunhofer future markets.pdf

Some researchers from different areas made use of these approaches and set‘megatrends'as a framework or a driver for their scenarios (Kolz et al. 2012 forthcoming.


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