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To cite this article: Ying Guo, Tingting Ma, Alan L. Porter & Lu Huang (2012) Text mining of information resources to inform Forecasting Innovation Pathways, Technology analysis & Strategic management, 24:8, 843-861, DOI:
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Here, we go further to apply text mining tools (see www. thevantagepoint. com) to such compilations of research article and patent abstracts.
4104 documents (including 3134 articles) appearing in the Science Citation Index (SCI) of WOS (fundamental research emphasis;
2 3730 documents from EI Compendex (journal and conference articles; 3097 patent families from DWPI;
Extracting the organisational entities particularly those publishing R&d articles, those patenting, and those discussed in the business-oriented literature identifies possibly important actors in the DSSC arena.
The Subject Categories are grouped into‘macro-disciplines'based on the degree of co-citation of the Subject Categories in a large sample of articles indexed bywos (Porter and Raflos 2009.
visit www. interdisciplinaryscience. net or www. idr. gatech. edu/.4. DSSCS were reported first there in a hugely cited 1991 article (O'Regan and Gratzel 1991);
He is the author of some 220 articles and books, including Tech Mining (Wiley, 2005).
yokoo@nistep. go. jp PAGE 18 jforesight jvol. 15 NO. 1 2013 To purchase reprints of this article please e-mail:
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) The provenance and scope of the grand challenges are discussed in the article, below; they are understood broadly in terms of DOI 10.1108/14636681311310123 VOL. 15 NO. 1 2013, pp. 29-39, Q Emerald Group Publishing Limited,
) This article will use‘‘grand challenges''as the main term for these developments. This article presents some recent experience of how national research and innovation systems use futures to construct responses (such as new investment priorities) to emerging global challenges and opportunities.
It relates the case of foresight or future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) used for research and innovation policy agenda-setting, conducted in Ireland.
The article takes the structure that follows. The second section sets the scene, and briefly traces the provenance and meaning of grand challenges.
this article introduces a country level case study using a foresight approach to look at the implications of global drivers and trends for Ireland,
The points made in relation to the exercise in the article are my own, and do not represent the views of Forfa's. 3. See www. forfas. ie/newsevents/news/title, 6828,
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a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history:
r a c t Article history: Received 14 may 2011 Received in revised form 9 july 2012 Accepted 3 september 2012 Available online 8 november 2012 The FTA COMMUNITY relies on a set of disciplines and methods,
This article, drawing on a position paper written for the conference, reports and expands on the lessons learnt during the event.
and sustainability 43 (See http://www. sitra. fi/en/articles/2012/strategic-design-finlandsneewapproach-problem-solving).
He has been publishing articles and reports on anticipatory and analytical research in support of European RTDI policy and on new methods and tools for FTA.
Beijing 100081, PR China a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history:
She is the author of more than 10 articles. Alan Porter is a Professor Emeritus of Industrial & Systems Engineering,
GA. He is the author of some 220 articles and books, including Tech Mining (Wiley, 2005) and Forecasting and Management of Technology (Wiley, 2011.
He is the author of more than 20 articles. Shu Fang is a Professor and the Director of Chengdu Library of Chinese Academy of Sciences.
She is the author of one academic book and over 30 articles. Tingting Ma is a Ph d. candidate of School of management & Economics at Beijing Institute of technology.
The fourth part with conclusions closes the article, making six fundamental theoretical considerations that were accounted not yet for in formal models
but as demonstrated in a recent article published by Geoffrey Hodgson 20 in the Journal of Evolutionary economics,
The netherlands a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history:
t Article history: Received 14 may 2011 Received in revised form 12 july 2012 Accepted 27 august 2012 Available online 29 october 2012 Exploratory Modeling
a b s t r a c t Article history: Received 4 july 2011 Received in revised form 24 june 2012 Accepted 23 august 2012 Available online 11 november 2012 In recent years, accelerated by the economic and financial crisis,
i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history: Received 24 july 2011 Received in revised form 7 july 2012 Accepted 3 august 2012 Available online 2 november 2012 This paper analyzes the role that different types of future-oriented technology analysis (FTA
i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history:
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history:
Almost all the articles in the Special issue take on this challenge the rationale for matching particular tools to particular tasks.
On the positive side the articles in this Special issue show a vibrant community of practice that has been actively innovating
and academics who are studying foresight processes need to simplify Futures 59 (2014) 5 17 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:
structured and applied in different ways by using various foresight methods (see, among other things, 1). In this article,
In addition, scenario analysis is the systematic analysis of a variety of uncertainties combined into distinctive stories about the future (see 2). In this article
We are interested in finding out (1) how scenario analysis as a Futures 59 (2014) 18 26 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:
one of the co-authors of this article interviewed the coordinator of the Trendbureau. In the case about The hague, a scenario analysis was carried out by 16 civil servants of the Department of Urban Development,
One of the authors of this article was involved actively in two of the four local case studies.
One of the authors conducted both national level inquiries that were used as data sources for this article.
The initial results of the scan are presented in this article and will be elaborated in the coming years.
less attention has been paid to the theory and Futures 59 (2014) 27 38 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:
This article aims to begin filling the gap by analysing the authors'experience with an international foresight project.
and (iii) peer review articles and an edited book. 4. Revisiting the principles for global foresight The IMS2020 scenario
10.1016/j. techfore. 2008.03.001 The six articles included in this Special issue were presented in 2006. The overarching theme was the impact of fta approaches on policy and decision-making,
The last article in this Special issue entitled‘Devising Futures for Universities in a Multilevel Structure: a methodological experiment'by Havas, is a contribution to the Higher education theme.
He is author of some 200 articles and books, including Tech Mining (Wiley, 2005). He focuses on text mining for technology intelligence, forecasting and assessment.
(and even hyped) in the literature is a Futures 59 (2014) 39 49 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:
and have contributed to both case studies presented in this article and to the reviewers, for their very helpful feedback and suggestions.
Appendix A. Supplementary data Supplementary material related to this article can be found, in the online version, at http://dx. doi. org/10.1016/j. futures. 2014.01.009.
Article history: Available online 30 january 2014 Keywords: Performance measurement systems FTA Strategy Implementation A b s T R A c T Despite the growing number of publications on firms'performance measurement systems (PMS), consensus
as firms look to advance their technology''6. Since Futures 59 (2014) 62 78 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:
This article seeks to investigate how innovation networks and foresight are related to what extent networked foresight activities exist
The article finishes with concluding remarks. 2. Toward networked foresight 2. 1. Analogies in the development of innovation management and futures research Liyanage 13, Niosi 14 and Ortt and van der Duin 15
this article seeks to analyze the apparent next step in the development of futures research: networked foresight. 2. 2. Linking futures research to innovation networks 2. 2. 1. Trends driving corporate innovation toward open innovation processes Innovation, i e.,
'The cases in this article allow the focal phenomenon to be described and discussed in great depth,
in this article scope, type and the impact of its results. Finally the link of future orientation, futures research and the network is analyzed by connecting the CIM analysis with the character of the foresight activities. 3. 2. Analytical framework 3. 2. 1. The Cyclic Innovation Model The main
and the interconnectedness of futures research In this article the CIM is used as a tool to structure
In this article the network orientation of foresight is described and analyzed, but not formalized. The CIM provides a common basis for the analysis of the three cases
Fig. 3. Visualization of the EICT concerning openness and network orientation. 8 During the revision of this article a regular strategy meeting took place
In the sense of this article the WINN activities can be characterized as foresight supported by a loosely linked network.
It should be noted that this article is based on data from three cases. Although these give important impulses for research addressing foresight
Available from<http://www. rechercheinnovvationequipement. gouv. fr/article. php3? id article=102>,last accessed 1 june 2009.
Most of the articles referenced in this section proviid evidence for the broad benefits, both direct and indirect, associated with foresight exercises.
In an article in People's Daily in August 2010, prominent academmic complained that the current S&t system is overfunnde but institutionally weak (Zhao et al. 2010.
and the personal herbal medicines should be delivered by herbal doctors. 5. This article distinguishes herbal medicines from herbaceous medicines.
ERA NET PLUS and Article 185.4 JPIS go beyond existing relevant schemes by implementing joint research programmes towards real public-to-public partnerships between Member States and the EU (ERAC-GPC 2010.
Article 185 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European union (ex Article 169 of the Treaty establisshin the European community) enables the EU to participate in research programmes undertaken jointly by several Member States,
and featured in an article in Nature (Macilwain 2011). This can be taken as a strong signal of the likely interest of the science policy community in the scenarios. 4. 2 Lessons in conducting international foresight Reflecting on the approach taken in the ICSU foresight,
the ERA NET Scheme (ERA NET Actions and ERA NET Plus Actions), Article 185 Initiatives (old Art. 169), European Technology platforms, Joint Technology initiatives, Eureka, JP, the Open
They are usually articles or presentations by an author or group of authors, which describe a future narrative with a foreseen great impact on future science,
Only items (articles websites and videos) with more or less full storylines that connect factual findings or plausible assumptions in a logical way with a foreseen future high impact are considered.
scientific articles, statisttica analysis, trend reports and foresight exercises. The storyline may address conflicts or common interests as well as emotional, ethical and legal aspects.
Written sources included scientific and nonscientific articles in e-journals and newspapers, but also in wikis, specialised websites, specialised web-blogs, policy papers and reports.
because most of the contributors did not want to spend time writing new full-length articles on issues that had already been described elsewhere.
and articles that were already available from other sources. This makes that specific tool less appropriate for the identification phase.
Articles, websites, videos for focused expert review. Any other info piece for second-round scanning (observation time depends on scanner) Experts'knowledge;
For literature review and selection of conferences same reference framework Verification method Cross-referencing with other articles Discussions with experts Discussions with experts;
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