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Synopsis: Scientific literature: Article:

10.1016/j. techfore. 2005.02.002 B The views expressed in this article are those of the author only

whether the foresight community itself was locked-in in methodological terms given the age profile of methods. 7. This issue The articles of this issue only partly cover the richness of the papers delivered at the Seminar.

The articles were selected from three sessions. One contribution comes from the dmethodological selectiont, four articles were presented in dtales from the frontiert,

therefore dealing with new methods of FTA, and other two articles focus on analysis of methods and tools that have been

or could be adopted from other fields (i e. dimporting ideast session). In the first paper Gordon, Glenn and Jakil, describe boundaries

The article describes the F. Scapolo/Technological forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 1059 1063 1062 process on how the system operates, the players involved,

The two following articles, focusing on Technology assessment (TA) and, using as case study nanotechnology, stress the pressure that new technology developments are posing to the field of TA.

The article introduces the importance of understanding and tracing the role of dirreversibilitiest of technological changes (i e. expectations that guide the research activities of scientists and firms,

The article illustrates the use of roadmapping as a tool for TA contributions to the sustainability assessment of emerging technologies.

including well over 40 articles in refereed scientific journals. 495 V. Brummer et al.//Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008) 483 495

& Social Change 75 (2008) 496 516 related patent applications and in literature databases for articles addressing the various risk aspects.

Actors'alignment 1. Introduction The present article presents results to date2 from research leading towards the production of a Phd thesis entitled Assessing the contribution of Foresight to a more participatory knowledge society.

For the purpose of the present article, the area of networking and actors'alignment is discussed.

This article offers an alternative approach, using the case of EU universities as an example, to rectify these shortcomings.

This article offers an alternative approach, using the case of EU universities as an example, to rectify these shortcomings.

this article does not report on the results of an actual foresight process on universities: it is a proposal to apply the foresight toolkit in this field by following a new approach.

The theoretical framework of this article rests on the innovation systems school 10 15), and especially its emphasis on the importance of academia industry co-operation 16,17).

an extensive statistical annex can be found in the original report for the DG Research, EC, on which this article draws.

which would also enhance their visibility and social esteem. 34 5. Conclusions This article considered alternative futures for EU universities.

Acknowledgements This article draws on a report prepared for an expert group on The Future of Key Research actors in the European research area

t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history:

This review suggests an important avenue for research in this article, and in future research: creating software solutions to help innovative organizations develop new technologies within an open innovation environment.

A structured representation of the data provides a principled account of where technological change is most likely to occur. 1139 S w. Cunningham/Technological forecasting & Social Change 76 (2009) 1138 1149 The article

(whether it this be press releases, patents, or research articles). Rather, the participating organizations use the database as a coordination mechanism,

The description of distributed design in this article is, perhaps, somewhat at odds with the stated premise of technology roadmapping.

Nonetheless, the purpose of this article is not to advocate flexible networks of innovating firms as a preferred form of innovative activity.

Clauset 21 for instance, provides a useful survey article on the random hierarchical graph. We see to complement the technical literature with the following interpretive and example-oriented discussion of the methodology.

(or as we identify them in this article the nodes of the network), and change in the linkages between the concepts.

E 65 (6)( 2002) Article Number 066130.25 J. Gill, Bayesian Methods: A Social and Behavioral Sciences Approach, Chapman & Hall, 2002.26 J. J. Garrett, AJAX:

Switzerland a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history:

, FI-33101 Tampere, Finland a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history:

He is the innovator of several methods of futures research and author of several books and hundreds of articles dealing with the future research methodology, space, and innovation.

He has written over 100 articles and authored, co-authored, or edited 12 books on the future.

i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history:

The article presents the background, methodology and results of technology barometer, discusses its impacts on national discussion,

Wide interest in the technology barometer is indicated e g. by numerous articles in newspapers and professional journals.

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history:

When this article is written, most of the results are published not, therefore only the spectrum of the broader fields can be mentioned. 3. 5. Integration

Copenhagen K, Denmark a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history:

This article combines preliminary findings from a review of evaluative scenario literature with workshop discussions among scenario practitioners, using environmental relevant policies as a case study. Subject to the nascent evaluative scenario literature

and international organisations 1. Technological forecasting & Social Change 76 (2009) 1198 1207 This article does not represent any official opinion of the European Environment Agency,

Finally we would like to thank the reviewers and editors of this special issue for their helpful comments on earlier versions of this article.

This article aims to contribute to this discussion through a review of what we call the evaluative scenario literature,

or several aspects of using scenario planning 2. This article merges the findings from this review with the results from a workshop with environmental scenario practitioners and policy-makers.

Process is as important as the product 7. The remainder of this article is organised as follows:

Findings presented in this article are thus necessarily preliminary. Scenario planning is geared more towards indirect forms of decision support in the early phases of the policy cycle,

t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history:

succinct article by The british politician Enoch Powell 8: his view is universal, timeless and has never been surpassed

f o a b s t r a c t Article history: Received 24 november 2008 Received in revised form 15 july 2009 Accepted 17 july 2009 Potentially breakthrough science

This article focuses on the preparation and content of what we term co-evolutionary scenarios those

through methodology and application development and is about to be submitted at the time of publication of this article.

This article was downloaded by: University of Bucharest On: 03 december 2014, At: 05:08 Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number:

To cite this article: Ozcan Saritas, Cristiano Cagnin, Attila Havas & Ian Miles (2009) Impacts and implications of future-oriented technology analysis for policy and decision making, Technology analysis & Strategic management, 21:8, 915-916, DOI:

10.1080/09537320903262272 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537320903262272 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

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This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling,

This article was downloaded by: University of Bucharest On: 03 december 2014, At: 05:09 Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number:

To cite this article: Per Dannemand Andersen & Mads Borup (2009) Foresight and strategy in national research councils and research programmes, Technology analysis & Strategic management, 21:8, 917-932, DOI:

10.1080/09537320903262280 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537320903262280 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

However, Taylor & francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness,

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Based on this it is the aim of the article to investigate how foresight exercises can be improved

and journal articles have provided lists of foresight methods and discussed them in light of, for example, technology foresight, technology forecasting and technology assessment (Martino 1983;

In this article we anticipate that the literature has refined a more view on what strategy is than on

Acknowledgements The work behind this article received funding from the Danish Social science Research council through the project,‘Strategies and identity of science a study of strategy processes in national research programmes'.

This article was downloaded by: University of Bucharest On: 03 december 2014, At: 05:09 Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number:

To cite this article: Frank Glod, Carlo Duprel & Michael Keenan (2009) Foresight for science and technology priority setting in a small country:

10.1080/09537320903262298 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537320903262298 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

However, Taylor & francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness,

This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling,

This article was downloaded by: University of Bucharest On: 03 december 2014, At: 05:10 Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number:

To cite this article: K. Matthias Weber, Klaus Kubeczko, Alexander Kaufmann & Barbara Grunewald (2009) Trade-offs between policy impacts of future-oriented analysis:

10.1080/09537320903262314 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537320903262314 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

However, Taylor & francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness,

This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling,

This article was downloaded by: University of Bucharest On: 03 december 2014, At: 05:10 Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number:

To cite this article: Stefanie Jenssen (2009) Foresight and governance: how good can it get?

10.1080/09537320903262397 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537320903262397 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

However, Taylor & francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness,

This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling,

The case of stakeholder image construction in a municipal vision project Stefanie Jenssen*Centre for technology, innovation and culture (TIK), University of Oslo, Norway The article addresses the theme of foresight and equality in the area of stakeholder participation

The article contributes to discussions of inclusive foresight by showing how stakeholder image construction poses questions of power relationships in municipal long term governance.

This article focuses on the question: How did this particular image of young people as stakeholders influence their involvement and the final results of their participation in the project?

As the case of a municipal visioning project discussed in this article illustrates, visioning as a form of community participation does not yet follow commonly recognised principles and processes.

This article is based on the collection of specific moments in which the idea of assumed shared values collided with the ideal of community engagement. 9 The following discussion of how an image of schoolchildren as stakeholders

'In this article this argument is extended, including the aspect that participation is preconstructed often because a certain image of a group of participants forms their contributions and the expectations regarding their participation.

Forum Qualitative Sozialforschung 4, no. 2. http://www. qualitative-research. net/index. php/fqs/article/view/718 Cornish, E. 2004.

European Science Foundation. http://www. costa22. org/articles. php (accessed June 2009. Garfinkel, H. 1967.

261 articles 44%last 3 years 72 priority patents 14%last 3 years 133 family patents 32%last 3 years*Conference/Journal Ratio:

This article was downloaded by: University of Bucharest On: 03 december 2014, At: 05:11 Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number:

To cite this article: Ahti Salo, Ville Brummer & Totti Könnölä (2009) Axes of balance in foresight reflections from Finnsight 2015, Technology analysis & Strategic management, 21:8, 987-1001, DOI:

10.1080/09537320903262447 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537320903262447 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

However, Taylor & francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness,

This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling,

except for the first author of this article who served as its chairman and the project manager of Finnsight. 3. 2. Foresight panels

as evidenced by the large number of related articles in professional magazines, for instance. Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:11 03 december 2014 996 A. Salo et al.

Futures 43 (2011) 232 242 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:

The research field of GM plant is characterised by a strong growth of the number of articles.

Having illustrated the proposed framework all along this article with examples dealing with the European level, we suggest our methodology is applicable indeed for designing such ERA Foresight activities

This article describes the scanning process as SRIC-BI practices it, the importance of open intelligence systems,

An abstract includes source information, a short summary of the article or event in question, and a description of the implications that the scanner believes that the item presents.

Futures 43 (2011) 243 251 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:

While foresight is used commonly in connection with the public-Futures 43 (2011) 252 264 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:

Futures 43 (2011) 265 278 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:

though much other material is available in journal articles and online a convenient brief report is on the EFMN website at http://www. efmn. info/files/EFMN%20brief%20no.%

Futures 43 (2011) 279 291 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:

an opportunity to contribute to a value-adding Futures 43 (2011) 292 312 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:

Another pointed to the historical limitations of any attempt to Futures 43 (2011) 313 316 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:

Thus, the following articles explore not only the opportunities and limitations of DOI 10.1108/14636681211256062 VOL. 14 NO. 4 2012, pp. 279-281, Q Emerald Group Publishing Limited,

the article argues for equipping legal activities with a set of tools, methods and approaches that enables them to acknowledge

the article explains the various benefits that the application of specific FTA methodological approaches (such as scenario planning,

The article also examines the prospective perils that systematically applying FTA to Law may bring about.

To sum up, the articles in this special issue demonstrate a variety of FTA application fields and offer a glimpse onto possible consequences that grand challenges may imply for the development of FTA in the coming years.

VOL. 14 NO. 4 2012 jforesight jpage 293 To purchase reprints of this article please e-mail:

averil@alpha2omega. co. uk VOL. 14 NO. 4 2012 jforesight jpage 303 To purchase reprints of this article please e-mail:

Conclusions The backcasting process depicted in this article produced four different scenarios for climatically sustainable emission level

VOL. 14 NO. 4 2012 jforesight jpage 315 To purchase reprints of this article please e-mail:

Fig. 1 shows the growing attention in journals for a certain topic and indicates that the term dnanotubest was used increasingly in the titles of scientific articles (extracted from the Picarta database.

2000 2001 2002 Fig. 1. Number of times dnanotubet is mentioned in article titles (Picarta. 3 The fact that we use the emergence of this specialised journal for this paper is the fact that nanotubes is one of the major topics in this journal.

Reports by NGO's Reports by government agencies Spokesperson statements Reports that translate technological developments into market potentials Articles addressing the market potentials of technological developments Press releases of individual firms Articles that address the developments

and potentials of applications Articles in scientific journals Review articles that give an overview of the developments in the field Society Technological field (Research group Basic research Market Reports by NGO's Reports by government agencies Spokesperson statements

In this article they presented a proof of concept of the suspended SWNT crossbar and the architecture of the possible application.

This can be shown by a statement of Ball 27 in an article where he discusses these results:

Q He refers here to the original article 16, however these expectations are expressed 2 years later, after the new scientific results,

During these few years Nantero received a rather extensive media attention (37 articles in total) from technology as well as business journals.

and urban planning Jose'Miguel Ferna'ndez Gu ell and Leticia Redondo Abstract Purpose This article aims to show the opportunity

Likewise, several articles by the Institute for Prospective Technological Studies have drawn attention to the potential of territorial foresight for decision making at the regional level (IPTS

He is the author of several articles and books related to strategic planning and foresight tools. Jose'Miguel Ferna'ndez Gu ell is the corresponding author

VOL. 14 NO. 4 2012 jforesight jpage 335 To purchase reprints of this article please e-mail:

the article argues for equipping legal activities with a set of tools, methods and approaches that enables them to acknowledge

the article explains the various benefits that the application of specific FTA methodological approaches (such as scenario planning,

The article also examines the prospective perils that systematically applying FTA to law may bring about.

The views expressed in this article are purely those of the author and may not in any circumstances be regarded as stating an official position of the European commission. to find the factual evidence to justify its policy recommendations.

Law in the tripartite structure followed in this article: legal research, legislative drafting and law enforcement is only now adopting some of these FTA TOOLS.

and as explained in the last section of the article, there are important problems and challenges regarding the application of fta to Law that must be taken into account.

norberto. andrade@ec. europa. euvol. 14 NO. 4 2012 jforesight jpage 351 To purchase reprints of this article please e-mail:

To our knowledge, the term dscience roadmapt has been proposed first by Robert Galvin in a 1998 article in Science 9. Kostoff and Schaller without any explicit justification dreinteggrated both types.

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To cite this article: Karel Haegeman, K. Matthias Weber & Totti Könnölä (2012) Preparing for grand challenges:

10.1080/09537325.2012.715475 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715475 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

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This article was downloaded by: University of Bucharest On: 03 december 2014, At: 04:52 Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number:

To cite this article: Ilkka Tuomi (2012) Foresight in an unpredictable world, Technology analysis & Strategic management, 24:8, 735-751, DOI:

10.1080/09537325.2012.715476 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715476 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

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and other articles in the same special issue of foresight on anticipatory systems. Notes on contributor Ilkka Tuomi is Chief Scientist at Meaning Processing Ltd.

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To cite this article: Denis Loveridge & Ozcan Saritas (2012) Ignorance and uncertainty: influences on future-oriented technology analysis, Technology analysis & Strategic management, 24:8, 753-767, DOI:

10.1080/09537325.2012.715477 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715477 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

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but comes from press articles and books of unrestrained opinion that rely heavily on‘gut'reaction.

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To cite this article: Harro van Lente (2012) Navigating foresight in a sea of expectations:

10.1080/09537325.2012.715478 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715478 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

However, Taylor & francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness,

This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling,

This article investigated the lessons of the sociology of expectations for the various practices of foresight. A review of foresight highlights the diversity in methods, objectives and settings(‘arenas'.

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To cite this article: Riccardo Vecchiato (2012) Strategic foresight: matching environmental uncertainty, Technology analysis & Strategic management, 24:8, 783-796, DOI:

10.1080/09537325.2012.715487 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715487 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

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and articles and prior studies in the business press and scientific journals. Second, company archives such as internal memos

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To cite this article: Cristiano Cagnin & Denis Loveridge (2012) A framework, with embedded FTA, to enable business networks to evolve towards sustainable development, Technology analysis & Strategic management, 24:8, 797-820, DOI:

10.1080/09537325.2012.715488 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715488 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

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To cite this article: Toni Ahlqvist, Minna Halonen, Annele Eerola, Sirkku Kivisaari, Johanna Kohl, Raija Koivisto, Jouko Myllyoja & Nina Wessberg (2012) Systemic transformation, anticipatory culture

10.1080/09537325.2012.715490 To link to this article: http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537325.2012.715490 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

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Itäinen Pitkäkatu 4, 20521 Turku, Finland This article suggests that, in the current interlinked innovation meta-system,

In this article, we explore the questions of systemic transformations and the building of an anticipaator culture in the context of VTT Technical research Centre of Finland.

Hence, our article starts with a question of howto foster these kinds of strategic capabilities in an organisation.

In the article, we focus especially on research and technology organisations (RTOS. As argued by Arnold, Clark,

The article proceeds through five sections. Section 2 briefly outlines strategic development paths in an RTO

In this article, we open a view towards the systemic capacities, based on a perspective of an organisation as a complex system that is mobile in space time.

Concluding remarks The article discussed the construction of the systemic transformation capacities in an RTO. It proposed that two kinds of systemic capacities are of importance:(

and knowledge spaces 839 The article created insights for managing systemic entities, such as organisations or companies, in systemic environments.

As discussed in the article process-based roadmapping is one potential avenue for the construuctio of such mobile strategies.

and other organisations would benefit from thinking explicitly in all of the four knowledge spaces discussed in the article.

The lessons of the article could be ennobled by putting them in a dialogue with other foresight methodds such as scenario and weak signal analysis.

'Note 1. In this article, it is not possible to provide a review of the origins and different dimensions of roadmapping.

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