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Synopsis: Scientific literature: Publication:

and technology publication and patent abstract databases to better inform technology management. This paper describes, through a case study on solid oxide fuel cells, the value of quick text mining profiles of emerging technologies.

The Journey of Strategic management, Sage Publications, London, 1998.49 R. Popper, I. Miles, L. Green, From Seville to success:

He has written around 90 professional publications including well over 40 articles in refereed scientific journals. 495 V. Brummer et al./

Among the OECD countries, regulatory impact assessment gained a certain momentum after the publication of the OECD report on best practices in impact assessment 2. The growing interest in RIA in other countries, especially in Europe 3

The most important science and technology indicators are publications in scientific journals and patents 20. The former indicator reflects better the activities in basic research

However, one outcome of the second study was the publication of a programming mandate addressed to CEN

environmental and safety aspects addressed in scientific publications or patents, and even the identification of stakeholders, especially companies,

Best Practices in OECD Countries, OECD Publications Service, Paris, 1997.3 R. E. Löfstedt, The Swing of the Regulatory Pendulum in Europe:

OECD Publications Service,(2003. 514 K. Blind/Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008) 496 516 5 European commission, European Governance:

and especially that of the government sector, is higher in the less developed countries (Figs. 1 2). Third, output indicators, such as publications, citations,

Furthermore, this sector is often less visible in public indicators (such as the number of scientific publications

universities are likely to be evaluated by using new metrics, besides the conventional criteria of academic excellence (notably publications, citations).

Implications for Innovation policy, Office for Official Publications of the European communities, Luxembourg, 1999.580 A. Havas/Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008) 558 582 15 OECD, New Rationale

The European Challenge, HLEG report, DG Research, Office for Official Publications of the European communities, Luxembourg, 2005.24 OECD, Frascati Manual:

of Knowledge, Sage Publications, London, 1994.31 L. Sanz-Menéndez, The Future of Key Actors in the European research area:

Towards a Knowledge-Based Economy, Office for Official Publications of the European communities, Luxembourg, 2003.39 OECD, Main Science and Technology indicators, OECD, Paris, 2006.40 M. Thorne (Ed.),Universities

Policy 35 (10)( 2006) 1450 1464.43 EC, Key Figures 2005, Towards a European research area, Office for Official Publications of the European communities, Luxembourg, 2005.44 EC Cohesion Policy

Water Policy (submitted for publication. 6 R. Popper, M. Keenan, I. Miles, M. Butter, G. Sainz, Global Foresight outlook 2007, Mapping Foresight in Europe and the rest of the World, EFMN, Manchester, 2007.7 E. A. Eriksson, K

Collection of EFMN Briefs Part 1, Office for Official Publications of the European commission, Luxembourg, 2008.45 I. Chatrie, J. Rachidie, AGORA 2020 Transport, housing, urbanism and risk, in:

Collection of EFMN Briefs Part 1, Office for Official Publications of the European commission, Luxembourg, 2008.46 H. Thenint, L. Lengrand, Démarche Prospective Transport 2050 For a better French

Collection of EFMN Briefs Part 1, Office for Official Publications of the European commission, Luxembourg, 2008.47 H. J. van Zuylen, K. M. Weber, Strategies for European

/Technological forecasting & Social Change 76 (2009) 1177 1186 composite indicators to avoid datamanipulation andmisrepresentation 1. OECD publications 1,

and the barometer publications consist of a lot of complementary and comparative data and analysis of considered indicators.

This has raised certain worried reactions in the media after the barometer's publication. Assessments of the younger citizens clearly point out that in the future science

and the publication of the last barometer is assessed to well fulfill transparency requirements of the stakeholders.

and barometer type scoreboards and publications. With regard to the development of international comparisons the conclusions for the moment could be that at this stage it is important to let all flowers bloom in this field.

The project nonetheless proceeded without consensus by producing multiple publications that treated the axes in different ways.

in Decision making, Millennium Project publication, 2001, download at: www. millennium-project. org/millennium/applic-exsum. html (accessed 10/02/09). 30 P. C. Light, The Four Pillars Of high Performance:

She has authored co several scenario and foresight publications at the European and international level. Teresa has worked in environmental policy issues for over 20 years

through methodology and application development and is about to be submitted at the time of publication of this article.

Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:

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Any opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors,

what policy developments have taken place after to the publication of foresight results. The exercise has identified through its panels about 6 10 focal competence areas and, for each of these,

Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:

http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537320903262280 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

Any opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors,

publication rates and citation indices. Using foresight the focus is shifted from science-internal quality terms

numbers of publications and patents, citation indices, peer review, etc. 3. Case studies 3. 1. Research councils and national research programmes Research councils and national research programmes account for a smaller percentage of total research funding than direct government funding of universities and research institutions,

The final Strategy plan was a publication of 28 pages with many pictures, brief passages of text and boxes containing short examples of the use of science and technology research and quotes from well-known and highleeve industry representatives.

A professional designer and a PR company were hired also to work on the final publication. Contrary to the earlier 5-year plans, the Strategy plan 2003 2007 was targeted primarily at politicians,

3) Publication of a final version of the strategy plan;(4) Planning for specific actions and follow-up activities (roadmaps, etc..

Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:

http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537320903262298 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

Any opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors,

as well as to the immediate implementation phase after the publication of its results. By doing so, it covers the evolution of the foresight exercise over its two-year life span,

Second, it is clear that a forward-looking process like foresight needs to be underpinned by sufficient and appropriate‘objectivised'data, e g. publication data, statistics on the national R&d environment, reports on the state of economy, environment or society

Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:

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Any opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors,

Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:

http://dx. doi. org/10.1080/09537320903262397 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the Content) contained in the publications on our platform.

Any opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors,

schools and publications that discuss foresight as practice and as a‘school of thought'(Van Notten 2005,5).

and technology publication and patent abstract databases to better inform technology management. To do so requires developing templates of innovation indicators to answer standard questions.

The resulting information for btech miningq consists primarily of science and technology (S&t) publication and patent abstract records.

For the SOFC queries, we examined 1286 of the publication abstracts that included SOFC in their title

The publication trends (lower left) show this nano-combo of topics increasing strongly in contrast to the other clusters.!

o publication and patent activity relating to the candidate hot topic (bnano-comboq-nano-surfaces

as measured by S&t publications, is hot, o patenting, especially new (priority) patenting is much less recent,

o another indicator of how hot a research area is the ratio of conference to journal publication relatively low for this subtopic in comparison to the larger research domain we might want to explore this discrepancy with our subject experts,

o several terms appear for the first time in the most recent year's publications we could use these to stimulate discussion with our subject experts,

On another level, the Dutch government allocates research support to universities based in part upon their publication records.

Publications are weighted according to disciplinary journal impact criteria. Journal Citation Reports provide the basis for calculating the merits of individual and unit outputs.

and EI Compendex, downloading 500-record samples of recent publication abstracts with SOFC in titles or keywords.!

I search a compilation of Georgia Tech publication records to augment the VP's awareness of who is active in fuel cells.

which open literature publication is not appropriate.!10:20 am: Powerpoints with interpretive comments, and a short background technical report, are provided to the VP.

Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:

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what policy developments have taken place after to the publication of foresight results, in the belief that our analysis may be instructive for the planning of large-scale foresight exercises that need to serve high-level policy objectives subject to demanding time constraints and expectations.

Further to the publication of the reports Finnsight received quite a bit of media attention, as evidenced by the large number of related articles in professional magazines, for instance.

Some commentators noted that this variabilitywould have been of sufficient interest to deserve publication (cf. Ansoff 1975;

According to the‘World of Science'the average yearly growth of publications is around 1, %while e g. genomics has been growing for the last 10 years at 8,

These figures of change synthesise the evolution and reconfiguration of professional communities, pools of scientific publications.

%‘‘all plants''(80%)publications. 12 Pattern of growth: Plant genomics is a well-defined cluster in the post human genome project scientific landscape.

Table 3 Search regimes analysis through scientific publications and patents'network properties assessed at journal,

of citations within cluster Platform cited within scientific publications Words network Number of words Persons network Number of persons Academic patenting Industrial publications Co-active researchers'collaborations

one third of the publications and one quarter of the clusters 46.5.2.2. N&n: Knowledge dynamics Growth:

The high growth rate which characterises the field (the number of scientific publication has grown from 134%between 1998 and 2006) 46.

It is characterised by a strong coactivity (publications'authors that are as well as inventors) and an intense institutional complementarity between academia and industry.

They most typically come from publications but can also derive from personal experience, interpersonal networking sources,

http://www. vtt. fi/inf/pdf/publications/2007/P653. pdf (2009-11-10). 18 Nordic H2 Energy Foresight for the Nordic Council

http://ipts. jrc. ec. europa. eu/publications/pub. cfm? id=1208 (2009-11-10). 23 R. Compan o',C. Pascu, J.-C. Burgelman, M. Rader, R. Saracco, G. Spinelli

http://ipts. jrc. ec. europa. eu/publications/pub. cfm? id=1431 (2009-11-10). 24 A. Fujii, Foresight on information society technologies in Europe, in:

http://ipts. jrc. ec. europa. eu/publications/pub. cfm? id=1919 (2009-11-10). 26 L. Georghiou, Third generation foresight:

(if generally less-hyped) publications and modes of study. With the rise of Foresight programmes, and‘‘fully fledged foresight''as an ideal, 8 FTA often involves much wider engagement and involvement of stakeholders,

what is at stake is ways of handling‘‘hard facts'',through, for example, websites, databases, publications, dissemination procedures, etc.

(which retains the tacit/explicit terminology used in the original publication). The earlier discussion of sensemaking and foresight phases can readily be related to such a SECI approach.

accessed 29/07/09.13 The main publication from SWAMI iswright et al. 42, though much other material is available in journal articles

, Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, Calif, 1995.33 F. Scapolo, I. Miles, Eliciting experts'knowledge: a comparison of two methods, Technological forecasting and Social Change 73 (6)( 2006) 679 704.34 H. Linstone, M. Turoff (Eds.

a point made forcefully at least as early as 1972 in the publication of the‘‘Limits to Growth''38.

The Dynamics of Science and Research in Contemporary Societies, Sage Publications, London. Gordon, T. J.,Glenn, J. C. and Jakil, A. 2005),‘Frontiers of future research:

A Guide for Policymaking in an Uncertain World, Sage Publications, Ottowa. Waldrop, M. 1992), Complexity, The Emerging science at the Edge of Order and Chaos, Simon & Schuster, New york, NY.

It is interesting to note that the results produced in the FFRC's process were altered slightly as they were presented in the final publication by the Prime minister's Office.

this would mean that in the future wellbeing is defined in a different fashion from today) was presented in scenario B. In the final publication of the results of the scenario process this notion was replaced with stable growth.

Publication of the report launched a wide public discussion on low emissions communities and low-carbon society,

Towards a Low-carbon Finland, Prime minister's Office Publication 30/2009, available at: www. vnk. fi/julkaisukansio/2009/j28-ilmasto-selonteko-j29-klimat-framtidsredogoerelse-j30-climate /pdf/en. pdf (accessed 20 december 2011.

Assessment of the Foresight report on Long-term Climate and Energy Policy'',Prime minister's Office, Helsinki, Prime minister's Office Publications 3/2011, available at:

The new outlet for publication on a new topic, and the early definition of a new audience indicate a next step in an emerging structure.

liquids or solids, are brought together in this single publication. Q 4 Earlier one of the authors has analysed this ongoing dynamic as the dpromise-requirement-cyclet 5. Alternatively,

Since the publication of Rueckes et al. 16, where they introduce the architecture of nonvolatile memory based on nanotubes,

Nanotechnology should give the answers here. 3. 1. 3. Research group The expectations of using nanotubes for nonvolatile memories started with the Nature publication of Charles Lieber's group 16.

but it also made possible the very first publication of a legal nature that addresses the future of law in such a broad

moreover, have given way to the publication of a series of various journal editions, such as the special editions of Technological forecasting and Social Change vol. 75 (4);

as well as to the publication of the book Cagnin et al. 2008). ) 5. Although not referring specifically to Law,

being freely accessible as an e-publication. See Muller et al. 2011). ) 10. For a comprehensive guide as to how scenarios can be developed

Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1t 3jh, UK Technology analysis & Strategic management Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:

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but its sponsors (16 major companies and a UK Government department) agreed to publication of the methods used.

Throughout publications about or adjacent to the nano-artefact, biotechnology, information technology and cognitive science quartet (NBIC), there is a continual introduction of ideas,

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Publications Office of the European union. http://ftp. jrc. es/EURDOC/JRC55981. pdf (accessed July 2012.

and mapping between fields from different data sources Calls (RFP) New proposals Continuation proposals Project reports Publications U s. DOE LDRD data ID number ID

and abstracts from peerreviiewe publications resulting from funded projects from FY20013 through FY2004 (see Table 1). Given that we are in the midst of FY2004,

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VTT Publications, Edita Prima Oy. Ahlqvist, T.,H. Carlsen, J. Iversen, and E. Kristiansen. 2007b.

Publication of Nordic Innovation Centre. Ahlqvist, T.,V. Valovirta, and T. Loikkanen. 2012. Innovation policy roadmapping as a systemic instrument for forwardloookin policy design.

University of Cambridge. http://www. ifm. eng. cam. ac. uk/ctm/publications/tplan/trm white paper. pdf (accessed August 18, 2009.

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We added exclusion terms for the publication databases. We tested the performance of the search modules.

and 2771 documents from Factiva (treating a range of press releases, trade publication items, etc. 4. Results We emphasise the relatively novel steps in our 10-step FIP process (Figure 1) for the DSSC case:

Tech Mining the various publication and patent abstract records can track the emergence of key terms over time to spotlight new (appearing only in the most recent time period) and hot subtechnoologie (i e. those appearing

We begin by showing trends based on the annual activity from each database in Figure 3. It is clear that the research publications drawn from the SCI

Figure 3. DSSC publication and patent trends. not sure why this is so; we observe that the Japanese government did cancel solar energy subsidies in 2006.

for a set of publications indexed by WOS (in this case, by SCI, which is part of WOS),

The DSSC research concentrations appear as nodes in the map, with larger nodes reflecting greater numbers of publications.

Figure 4 locates the DSSC publications based on the journals in which they appear overlaid on a base map of science. 3 This illustrates that global DSSC research involves an extensive range of research fields concentrated in the Materials Science and Chemistry macro-disciplines.

4. 3. Profile innovation actors and activities (Step D) Since 2009, WOS has been providing a funding acknowledgement field as it indexes publications.

The US National science Foundation (NSF) shows forth on 42 of 1691 publications since 2009. The swiss NSF accounts for 35 of some 41 papers with Swiss funding;

and also examined how heavily cited their publications are. Especially notable leaders are Swiss Federal Institute oftechnology,

and three others have 1330 to 1717 cites (to their many publications. Table 1 partitions publication and citation shares of these 11 top institutions for (1) the period extending through 2008 and (2) that since then (2009 2011, with 2011 incomplete.

The swiss Federal Institute of technology is certainly the dominant single institution researching DSSCS. 4 Especially in recent years,

when we compared topical concentrations in the SCI DSSC publications between 2005 2007 and 2010 2011,

publications in environmental journals increased dramatically from 2 to 29, suggesting small, but growing, attention to such facets.

A further milestone in the explicit recognition of directing research and innovation resources towards grand challenges came with the publication of a report on the European Technology platforms by DG Research (European commission DG Research, 2010.

) Previous publications have proved that the technique is established an method for foresight activities and that Delphi outperforms other group formats such as statistical groups or standard interacting groups in terms of effectiveness (Rowe and Wright, 1999).

revealing how Europe and other world regions navigate into the future'',Publications Office of the European union, European commission, Luxembourg, available at:

The papers discussed below have been selected initially by the scientific committee of the fourth Seville International Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis to be considered for publication with several other papers.

Time for the EU to Meet Global Challenges, EUR 24364 EN, Publications Office of the European union, Luxembourg, 2010.

and is illustrated well by the existence of dedicated publication outlets such as the Journal of Mixed Methods.

Integrating Quantitative and Qualitative approaches in the Social and Behavioral Sciences, Sage Publications, 2009.6 M. Wood,

I. Sakata, K. Matsushima, Detecting emerging research fronts in regeneration medicine by the citation network analysis of scientific publications, Technol.

Publications, 1998.62 A. Bryman, Barriers to integrating quantitative and qualitative research, J. Mixed Methods Res. 1 (1)( 2007) 8 22.63 J. Mahoney, G. Goertz

He authored over 120 publications in Russia and internationally devoted to Foresight and S&t and innovation policies;

Watts and Porter 14 have introduced nine indicators that look at publications of different types during the technology life cycle.

and most often used are (mentioning only some important publications for each approach): NK technology landscapes, initially proposed by Stuart Kauffman 26 and further pursued by other researchers of the Santa fe Institute, like Jose'Lobo 27 and Walter Fontana 28;

Time for the EU to Meet Global Challenges, EUR 24364 EN, Publications Office of the European union, Luxembourg, 2010.

and output indicators such as publications and patent applications 7, 8. More than ten years have passed since the U s. National science and Technology Council published its first vision for nanotechnology research

Innovationsschub aus dem Nanokosmos, VDI Technologiezentrum, Düsseldorf, 1998, p. 220.7 J. Youtie, P. Shapira, A. Porter, Nanotechnology publications and citations by leading countries

State-of-the-art and expectations Analysis of co-patents and co-publications Use common foresight framework User of partner contacts and established networks for outreach (survey, interviews,

time for the EU to meet global challenges, Publications Office of the European union, Luxembourg, 2010.2 L. Y. Tang, Q. Shen, Factors affecting effectiveness and efficiency of analysing stakeholders

Performance measurement systems FTA Strategy Implementation A b s T R A c T Despite the growing number of publications on firms'performance measurement systems (PMS), consensus

Time for the EU to Meet Global Challenges, Publications Office of the European union, Luxembourg, 2010, http://dx. doi. org/10.2791/4223eur 24364 EN, ISSN 1018

Design and Methods, 4th ed.,Sage Publications, Inc.,London/New delhi/Singapore/Thousand Oaks, 2009.44 R. K. Yin, Qualitative Research From start to finish, The Guilford Press

Furthermore, it was expected that publication of the issue lists on the horizon scan website would have the effect of raising public awareness of the issue.

RESEARCH2015 A Basis for Prioritisation of strategic Reseaarch Available from<http://en. fi. dk/publications/publications-2008/research2015-a-basis-for-prioritisation-ofstrattegicres/research2015-net. pdf

Available from<http://www. erff. org. uk/publications/reports/20071212-horizonscanning-report. aspx>,last accessed 1 june 2009.

Available from<http://www. isn. ethz. ch/isn/Digital-Library/Publications/Detail/?/ots591=EB06339B-2726-928e-0216-1b3f15392dd8&lng=en&id=96274>,last accessed 1 june 2009.

Available from<http://www. techforesight. ca/Publications/Whatbroadsecuritychallenges Maycanadaface. pdf>,last accessed 1 june 2009. van Rij, V 2008.

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