| Alternative approach (9) |  |
| Approach (1095) | |
| Evolutionary approach (9) | |
| Forward-looking approach (4) | |
| Holistic approach (8) | |
| Inductive approach (13) | |
| Methodological approach (59) | |
| New approach (60) | |
| Promising approach (6) | |
| Qualitative approach (23) | |
| Quantitative approach (24) | |
Scenario skeletons can then be derived by clustering such storylines based on consistency the so-called inductive approach. The deductive alternative is to analyse systematically the scenario space spanned by the most prioritised uncertain drivers.
Inductive approaches more easily allow focusing on wild cards, the authors argue, and extend the scenario building process to introduce seemingly paradoxical elements to force a sensitivity analysis on the assumptions underlying claims of inconsistency 36.
Inductive approaches, in opposition to deductive approaches, are guided not by a structuring Framework scenarios rather evolve by brainstorming events and spinning larger stories around these events.
However, one might argue that the higher costs of inductive approaches in the beginning might pay off later in the process given the fact that unmet expectations about the ability of scenarios to deliver novel insights about future developments oftentimes lead to frustration or rejection of the approach by policy-makers.
The postulate of some studies that inductive approaches seem to perform relatively less well in comparison to more inductive approaches
inductive approaches are considered also often to be too time-consuming and ambiguous in their outcomes, highlighting the need for further methodological improvements.
inductive approach, visual inspiration, assessment of coverage of dimensions of change, and prolonged divergence. Finally, Georghiou and Harper 3 set the scene against which change is considered
Vision Structural transformation Inductive approach Foresight methodology Innovation pattern Visualisation Scenarios Weak signals 1. Introduction Envisioning structural transformation in foresight exercises is challenging.
The aim is to explore the future of innovation in a rigorous inductive approach with a strong emphasis on open collection of phenomena
The inductive approach of the project was successful in integrating diverse perspectives and stimulating diverse experts to participate in the process.
The inductive approach (focussing on signals of change at the micro level) and the extended openness for diversity are typical elements of weak signal scanning processes.
In particular in the case of an inductive approach where a large number of micro-level findings need to be structured
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