| Expert opinion (22) |  |
| Opinion (153) | |
| Personal opinion (4) | |
| Subjective opinion (17) | |
| Expert opinion (22) | |
| Opinion (153) | |
| Personal opinion (4) | |
| Subjective opinion (17) | |
In addition, innovation research tends to deal in procedures and not the actions of individuals and their subjective opinions with appropriate probability measures.
Others concern psychology and the credence the study sponsors and their managers give to subjective opinions expressed by participants from an ever-widening range of contributors.
unknown knowns and unknown unknowns) that give rise to an over-reliance on subjective opinion. These invade both the qualitative and quantitative pieces of information that are joined to create outcomes for policy and management in all the STEEPV themes (Social, Technological, Economic, Ecology, Politics and Values and Norms.
and the authors conclude that FTA's practical outcomes are underpinned by subjective opinion in many dimensions.
of three kinds (known unknowns, unknown knowns and unknown unknowns) that give rise to its basis in subjective opinion.
subsumed under subjective opinion in many dimensions and will be more so as FTA becomes involved with technologies of great social and commercial complexity.
while conventional methodological matters are placed deliberately in diminuendo in Section 5. An example is given of how subjective opinion,
uncertainty and ignorance that are subsumed generally under the title of subjective opinion in many dimensions. It is not the intention to debate the merits of the methods
How individual subjective opinions invade many aspects of FTA needs some clarification. Savage (1954) distinguishes between three different interpretations of probabillity objectivistic (frequentist),
The second (subjective opinion) can be either individual or group depending on the situation involved. Cooke (1991), Lipinski and Loveridge (1982) and Amara and Lipinski (1983) have described all similar processes for elicitiin expert (subjective opinion from either individuals or small groups.
The difference between group elicitations (reminiscent of a small scale Delphi without the consensus seeking element) is its‘corporate'nature.
there can be confusion over the use of the words possibility, plausibility and reality in relation to subjective opinion.
The references to‘truth'in the matrix are not relevant as FTA depends on subjective opinion, expressed probabilistically, which is influenced heavily by the notions of ignorance.
and sectors of society probabilistically to express their relevant uncertainties How to deepen dialogue with society How to improve governance Because of the dominant role of subjective opinion,
Seeking subjective opinion about a situation and its future from these three types of expert had to be tailored carefully to each
FTA's practical outcomes are characterised by human behaviour under subjective opinion. The subjectivity and associated ignorance due to the choices and decisions made will increase as the FTA begins to deal with more complex and uncertain issues
The information, knowledge and interpretation and resultant subjective opinion of FTA participants are decisive when dealing with grand challenges 3. Thus,
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