| Expert opinion (22) |  |
| Opinion (153) | |
| Personal opinion (4) | |
| Subjective opinion (17) | |
| Expert opinion (22) | |
| Opinion (153) | |
| Personal opinion (4) | |
| Subjective opinion (17) | |
and voices This session concentrated on the combination of expert opinion with qualitative techniques. There was no discussion of data based systems
and moulding expert opinions into good conclusions remains an elusive goal. 4. Tales from the frontier The contributions to this session had a fairly common theme in that they focussed on the establishment of databases and the associated data collection,
and interpreting existing data, information and expert opinions. Creating shared understandings among the stakeholders about the possible future developments is also important in each field;
while future workshops are interactive and expert panels more for addressing expert opinions. Popper 9 lists and describes 33 different foresight and assessment methods altogether.
and how that is expressed in the credibility of expert opinion. Foresight sponsors have the task of bridging the outcome into the political world
and Miles 33 for a detailed comparison of two different approaches to eliciting expert opinion (cross-impact versus Delphi method).
trend extrapolation, stakeholder mapping, eliciting expert opinion, and so on are among the panoply of FTA METHODS. Indeed, each of the sets of tools just mentioned can be used in applications other than FTA in demographic forecasting,
and Delphi and other methods for eliciting expert opinion are frequently put online. Knowledge management can also draw on social networking
Many of the perceived‘uncertainties'of quantitative information arise from these sources and from the nature of expert opinion:
Elicitation of expert opinion is a deep and arduous process. It was invoked in the IFTFS study to gather information for the main parts of the study that later involved scenario generation The elicitation process used facilitated the later combination of quantitative
We illustrate the use of multiple information resources in conjunction with expert opinion to inform FIP, with special attention to the experiences in devising a TDS model
This index shows the relative importance of each topic according to aggregated expert opinion VOL. 15 NO. 1 2013 jforesight jpage 45 New objectives of the study also demanded adjusting evaluation criteria for the technology groups (accordingly to the FS1 results.
this index shows an average estimation of R&d level according to aggregated expert opinion. bcalculated as sum of the number of answers for the two top scores (among the following possible answers:‘‘
''This index shows the cumulative effect of each group evaluating technology according to aggregated expert opinion Figure 1 Support measures for‘‘Rational Use of Natural resources''PAGE 46 jforesight jvol. 15 NO. 1
The overall structure of the project provided opportunities for broad involvement of all stakeholders into priority setting, developing a shared expert opinion concerning preferred medium-and long-term development alternatives,
However, according to summarised expert opinion the FS2 policy recommendations are impossible to realise without solving problems in the management system.
as expert opinions are the only source of information available. Meanwhile, the communication effect of Delphi studies and the value of the process are acknowledged also. 2. 2 Basic information for the scanned Delphi topics The Delphi topics used for sustainable energy are chosen from foresight reports from Japan, South korea and China.
In this respect taking into account expert opinions is also important for the identification of key clusters
and/or formal expert opinion to check the results and to identify factors apt to alter the course of development that TLC suggests.
Res. 109 (1998) 428 441.35 J. W. G. M. van der Pas, J. H. Kwakkel, B. Van Wee, Evaluating Adaptive Policymaking using expert opinions, Technol.
curve modelling, leading indicators, envelope curves, long wave models Expert opinion Survey, Delphi, focus groups, participatory approaches Modelling and simulation Innovations systems descriptions
'and‘expert opinions'to justify allocating research funding on grounds other than scientific excellence. As a result, they argue,
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