#Ancient baby boom holds a lesson in over-populationwashington State university researchers have sketched out one of the greatest baby booms in North american history a centuries-long growth blip among southwestern Native americans between 500 to 1300 A d. It was a time when the early features of civilization--including farming and food storage--had matured to where birth rates likely exceeded the highest in the world today the researchers write in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. A crash followed said Tim Kohler WSU Regents professor of anthropology offering a warning sign to the modern world about the dangers of overpopulation. We can learn lessons from these people said Kohler who coauthored the paper with graduate student Kelsey Reese. Funded by the National Science Foundation the study looks at a century's worth of data on thousands of human remains found at hundreds of sites across the Four Corners region of the Southwest. While many of the remains have been repatriated the data let Kohler assemble a detailed chronology of the region's Neolithic Demographic Transition in which stone tools reflect an agricultural transition from cutting meat to pounding grain. It's the first step towards all the trappings of civilization that we currently see said Kohler. Jean-Pierre Bocquet-Appel a French expert on prehistoric populations and guest editor of the PNAS article has called the transition one of the fundamental processes of human history. Maize which we know as corn was grown in the region as early as 2000 B c. At first populations were slow to respond probably because of low productivity said Kohler. But by 400 B c. he said the crop provided 80 percent of the region's calories. Crude birth rates--the number of newborns per 1000 people per year--were by then on the rise mounting steadily until about 500 A d. The growth varied across the region. People in the Sonoran Desert and Tonto Basin in what is today Arizona were advanced more culturally with irrigation ball courts and eventually elevated platform mounds and compounds housing elite families. Yet birth rates were higher among people to the north and east in the San juan basin and northern San juan regions of northwest New Mexico and southwest Colorado. Kohler said the Sonoran and Tonto people would have difficulty finding new farming opportunities for many children since corn farming required irrigation. Water from canals may have carried also harmful protozoa bacteria and viruses. But groups to the northeast would have been able to expand maize production into new areas as their populations grew he said. Around 900 A d. populations remained high but birth rates began to fluctuate. The mid-1100s saw one of the largest known droughts in the Southwest. The region likely hit its carrying capacity with continued population growth and limited resources similar to what Thomas Malthus predicted for the industrial world in 1798. From the mid-1000s to 1280--by which time all the farmers had raged left--conflicts across the northern Southwest but birth rates remained high. They didn't slow down--birth rates were expanding right up to the depopulation said Kohler. Why not limit growth? Maybe groups needed to be big to protect their villages and fields. It was said a trap Kohler. A Malthusian trap but also a violence trap. The northern Southwest had as many as 40000 people in the mid-1200s but within 30 years it was empty leaving a mystery that has consumed several archaeological careers including Kohler's. Perhaps the population got too large to feed itself as climates deteriorated but as people began to leave it would have been hard to maintain the social unity needed for defense and new infrastructure said Kohler. Whatever the reason he said the ancient Puebloans point up that population growth has its consequences. Story Source: The above story is provided based on materials by Washington state University. The original article was written by Eric Sorensen. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. Journal Reference e
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