and policy circles (Cagnin, Loveridge, and Saritas 2011). During the last decades, dedicated foresight practices have emerged and various approaches and tools have been developed
Eerola and Miles 2011. Schoen et al. 2011,235) give the following definition: Foresight can be characterized as a systemic instrument aiming at enhanced capabilities in innovation systems and their parts.
Schoen et al. 2011. The first objective, priority-setting, concerns the ambition to identify a shared agenda,
2011) label these settings as‘arenas 'and distinguish between (i) the arena of strategic orientation of research,
2011). ) by universities and firms, the production, diffusion and transfer of knowledge;(iii) the arena of programming,
2011) also link these arenas to the various objectives and present the following comprehensive overview (Table 2). Foresight is exercised also in firms,
such as the roadmaps on the hydrogen economy (Bakker, van Lente, and Meeus 2011). 3. 2. Force of expectations The case of Moore's Law is extreme,
For foresight exercises, it is relevant to consider that the constructivist perspective acknowledges that others are in the same situation as those who judge the expectations (Van't Klooster and Van Asselt 2011.
and M. Meeus. 2011. Arenas of expectations for hydrogen technologies. Technological forecasting and Social Change 78, no. 1: 152 62.
and O. Saritas. 2011. FTA and equity: New approaches to governance. Futures 43, no. 3: 279 91.
and I. Miles. 2011. Methods and tools contributing to FTA: A knowledge-based perspective. Futures 43, no. 3: 265 78.
and S. Kuhlmann. 2011. Tailoring foresight to field specificities. Futures 43, no. 3: 232 42.
and Van Asselt, M. B. A. 2011. Accommodating or compromising change? A story about ambitions and historic deterministic scenarios.
according to Tuomi (2011), is critical to address some of the epistemic and ontological assumptions that underlie much of the current FTA practice.
Pilot Draft, SIGMA Project Management Team. http://www. projectsigma. co. uk/Guidelines/default. asp (accessed January 2004) Tuomi, I. 2011.
The project was realised in 2011 2012 byvtt and 10 companies represented the business network. The construction machinerywas defined as machines, tools,
FTA TOOLS have expanded from technology forecasting of incrementally advancing technologies (e g. consider Moore's law describing some six decades of continual advances in semiconductor capabilities)( Roper et al. 2011).
Recently, Robinson (Robinson et al. 2011) has introduced the approach of‘FIP'.'That paper provides conceptual background for the endeavour of combining‘Tech Mining'(Porter
2011) elaborate on a means to formulate a TDS for a given NEST the approach is qualitative
Table 1 partitions publication and citation shares of these 11 top institutions for (1) the period extending through 2008 and (2) that since then (2009 2011, with 2011 incomplete.
when we compared topical concentrations in the SCI DSSC publications between 2005 2007 and 2010 2011,
including nanobiosensors (Huang et al. 2010), deep brain stimulation (Robinson et al. 2011), and NESCS (Guo, Huang, and Porter 2010).
and A l. Porter. 2011. Forecasting innovation pathways for new and emerging science & technologies. Technological forecasting & Social Change, doi:
and J. Banks. 2011. Forecasting and management of technology. 2nd ed. Newyork: Johnwiley. Shi, H.,A l. Porter,
Securing our Economic growth and Prosperity''in 2011 (National Economic Council, 2011. The European commission released‘‘Innovation Union''as a flagship initiative in Europe 2020 (European commission, 2010.
2011) the focus on a problem-solving approach becomes more apparent: solving global or national issues through the effective application of science and technology.
Government of Japan (2011), The 4th Science and Technology Basic Plan, Government of Japan, Tokyo.
National Economic Council (2011), Strategy for American Innovation: Securing our Economic growth and Prosperity, National Economic Council, Council of economic advisors, Office of Science and Technology policy, WASHINGTON DC.
Cagnin and Loveridge (2011) discuss challenges as well as detailed models and processes. They describe how a business can become more and more receptive to foresight results,
of which is given by Warnke and Cuhls (2011). For the focus area‘‘Produzierenkonsumieren 2. 0''(Production Consumption 2. 0), the strategic dialogue involved seven organizational units within the BMBF drawn from the full range of BMBF departments concerned with research policy.
Cagnin, C. and Loveridge, D. 2011),‘A business framework for building anticipatory capacity to manage disruptive and transformative change and lead business networks towards sustainable development,
www. bmbf-foresight. de (accessed May 1, 2011. German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (2010b),‘Zukunftsbild Morgenstadt'',available at:
www. bmbf. de/pubrd/morgenstadt. pdf (accessed May 1, 2011. Meister, H. and Oldenburg, F. 2008),‘Foresight und Innovation:
Warnke, P. and Cuhls, K. 2011),‘Embedding systemic priorities into the STI landscape. Experience from the German BMBF-Foresight process,
Georghiou and Cassingena-Harper, 2011. Such approaches are built often into prioritisation exercises, where national governments formulate strategic responses that take into account the existing and anticipated developments in the sciences
2011; Ko nno la a et al. 2011). ) The provenance and scope of the grand challenges are discussed in the article, below;
they are understood broadly in terms of DOI 10.1108/14636681311310123 VOL. 15 NO. 1 2013, pp. 29-39, Q Emerald Group Publishing Limited,
http://register. consilium. europa. eu/pdf/en/06/st10/st10917. en06. pdf Georghiou, L. and Cassingena-Harper, J. 2011),‘From priority-setting
Georghiou, L.,Cassingena-Harper, J. and Scapolo, F. 2011),‘From priority-setting to societal challenges in future-oriented technology analysis'',Futures, Vol. 43 No. 3, pp. 229-31.
Ko nno la A t.,Scapolo, F.,Desruellec, P. and Mu, R. 2011),‘Foresight tackling societal challenges:
This study was implemented in the framework of the Programme of Fundamental Studies of the Higher School of economics in 2011. been active in the development of long-term strategies for the rational use of natural resources and in the sphere of environmental protection.
and a new version of the IPC is published regularly by the WIPO (World Intellectual Property Organization, 2011).
Curran and Leker, 2011. Based on the IPC code given to each patent document, statistics regarding the code or advanced analysis can be done easily to compare development or the trajectory among different technology domains.
Curran, C. S. and Leker, J. 2011),‘Patent indicators for monitoring convergence examples from NFF and ICT'',Technological forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 78, pp. 256-73.
www. nistep. go. jp/achiev/ftx/eng/stfc/stt018e/qr18pdf/STTQR1802. pdf (accessed March 8, 2011.
http://ec. europa. eu/research/social-sciences/pdf/efmn-mapping-foresight en. pdf (accessed March 8, 2011. Powell, J. H. and Bradford, J. P. 2000),‘Targeting intelligence gathering in a dynamic competitive environment'',International Journal of Information management, Vol. 20, pp. 181-95.
www. oeaw. ac. at/ita/ebene5/GTDEL99IND. pdf (accessed March 8, 2011. Turoff, M. 1970),‘The design of a policy Delphi'',Technological forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 2, pp. 149-71.
i 87550 World Intellectual Property Organization (2011),‘Preface to the International Patent Classification (IPC)''World Intellectual Property Organization, available at:
Received 14 may 2011 Accepted 18 september 2012 Available online 28 november 2012 This paper reflects on the potential of future-oriented analysis (FTA) to address major change
bhttp://ftp. jrc. es/EURDOC/JRC55981. pdf>,accessed Oct 2011. 11 C. Hamarat, J. H. Kwakkel, E. Pruyt, Adaptive Robust Design under deep uncertainty, Technol.
Received 14 may 2011 Received in revised form 9 july 2012 Accepted 3 september 2012 Available online 8 november 2012 The FTA COMMUNITY relies on a set of disciplines and methods,
and this paper summarises and furthers the discussion developed during the 2011 edition, building on the debates at the conference and between members of the conference Scientific Committee, to which the authors of this paper belong.
For the 2011 edition, the Scientific Committee decided to focus specifically on the combination of quantitative and qualitative methodologies.
Nevertheless in the discussions at the 2011 FTA Conference some trends were identified suggesting that methodological combination may potentially become more common amongst FTA scholars and practitioners.
the 2011 FTA Scientific Committee argued that the exclusive use of qualitative methods can lead to partial views on possible futures,
Comparison of outcomes of qualitative and quantitative approaches Participants at the 2011 International Seville Conference on FTA raised the potential of the use of qualitative and quantitative methods for identifying
During the 2011 International Seville Conference on FTA, the use of images and visualisation techniques was suggested as a tool,
is therefore of the essence. 9 8 During the 2011 FTA Conference a lively discussion was devoted to the shift of FTA usage from exploring potential risks to inspiring sustainable innovation.
The different and highly heterogeneous contributions to the 2011 International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis in this area share a common bottom line:
and both the Scientific Committee and the participants of the 2011 Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis for the fruitful discussions that helped shaping and refining it.
Fourth International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis, May 12 13 (2011) Seville, 2011, Available at: http://foresight. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2011/documents/download/PRESENTATIONS/Keynotes/FTA%202011%20%205-9%20%20hl%20%20
Accessed July 2012.13 H. A. Linstone, Three eras of technology foresight, Technovation 31 (2011) 69 76.14 I. Tuomi, Foresight in an unpredictable world, Technol.
FTA and Grand Societal Challenges Shaping and Driving Structural and Systemic transformations, 2011, Available at: http://foresight. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2011/FTA2011 CALL FINAL. pdf. Accessed August 2012.19 H. Van Lente,
a knowledge-based perspective, Futures 43 (2011) 265 278.23 For-Learn, Online foresight guide, European foresight platform.
a pocket primer of comparative and combined foresight methods, Foresight 13 (2)( 2011) 79 96.25 R. Popper, How are selected foresight methods, Foresight 10 (6)( 2008) 62 89.26 In:
Change 78 (2011) 274 282.34 H. M. Järvanpää, S. J. Mäkinen, M. Seppänen, Patent and publishing activity sequence over a technology's life cycle, Technol.
Change 78 (2)( 2011) 283 293.35 D. Thorleuchter, D. Van den Poel, A. Prinzie, A compared R&d-based
Change 78 (2011) 256 273.38 P. Lee, H. Su, F. Wu, Quantitative mapping of patented technology the case of electrical conducting polymer composite, Technol.
Methods 9 (2)( 2011) 96 108.72 O. Da Costa, P. Warnke, C. Cagnin, F. Scapolo, The impact of foresight on policy-making:
Received 14 may 2011 Received in revised form 22 june 2012 Accepted 23 august 2012 Available online 28 november 2012 To estimate the future development of one technology
including Tech Mining (Wiley, 2005) and Forecasting and Management of Technology (Wiley, 2011. Jing Wang is an Associate professor of Huaqiao University.
Received 14 may 2011 Received in revised form 2 july 2012 Accepted 27 august 2012 Available online 8 november 2012 Developing strategies,
(2011) 292 312.12 P. Goodwin, G. Wright, The limits of forecasting methods in anticipating rare events, Technol.
Received 14 may 2011 Received in revised form 12 july 2012 Accepted 27 august 2012 Available online 29 october 2012 Exploratory Modeling
Received 4 july 2011 Received in revised form 24 june 2012 Accepted 23 august 2012 Available online 11 november 2012 In recent years, accelerated by the economic and financial crisis,
Appendix 1. Overview of the case studies 1. AG2020 DG RTD (2011 Foresight analysis for world agricultural markets (2020) and Europe. www. ag2020. org 2. Danish Technology foresight on Environmentaall Friendly Agriculture K. Borch,(in press) The Danish Technology foresight
Last accessed on 29/06/11 and available at http://ec. europa. eu/research/agriculture/scar/pdf/scar 2nd foresight exercise en. pdf 6. 3rd SCAR Foresight exercise EC (2011), Sustainable
Givaudan (2011) Sustainability, translating vision into action. Last accessed on 29/06/11 and available at www. givaudan. com. 10.
Workshop Proceedings, OECD, Paris, 2011.16 EC, Innovation Union Competitiveness Report 2011. Executive Summary) European commission, DG Research and Innovation, Brussels, 2011.17 G. Hamel, C. K. Prahalad, Competing for the Future, Harvard Business school Press, Boston, 1994.18
Futures 43 (2011) 130 133.47 S. A. van't Klooster, M. B. A. van Asselt, Accommodating or compromising change?
A story about ambitions and historic deterministic scenarios, Futures 43 (2011) 86 98.48 P. W. F. van Notten, J. Rotmans, M. B. A
an exploratory study of solar energy, Futures 43 (2011) 52 66.76 B. Höijer, R. Lidskog, Y. Uggla, Facing dilemmas:
OECD (Ed.),Fostering Innovation to Address Social challenges, Workshop Proceedings, OECD, Paris, 2011, pp. 59 64.80 M. Godet, The art of scenarios and strategic planning:
Received 24 july 2011 Received in revised form 7 july 2012 Accepted 3 august 2012 Available online 2 november 2012 This paper analyzes the role that different types of future-oriented technology analysis (FTA
41 (2011) 457 485). 4 Participating agencies included the Department of commerce (DOC), Department of Defence (DOD), Defence Advanced Research projects Agency (DARPA), Department of energy (DOE), Department of transportation
The need to increase multi-stakeholder and public participation in nanotechnology governance is stated as one of the main lessons learned after ten years 3. In 2011, the key architect of the National Nanotechnology Initiative
The second foundational phase (2011 2020) is planned to be focused on the integration of nanoscale science
The goals defined in the latest NNI strategic plan of 2011 address this user-centric ecosystem by covering the whole ecosystem of innovation:
which worked in two phases until 2011, identified more than 25 examples of German dialogue processes concerned with the potential benefits and risks of nanotechnologies.
One of the recommendations published in the Nanokommission's final report in 2011 is that the German federal government should establish a national cross-departmental internet platform providing information on developments and activities in the field of nanotechnologies 51.
Towards a Common Strategic Framework for EU. COM (2011) 48, Green Paper, European commission, Brussels, 2011.5 NSTC, National science and Technology Council, IWGN, E. A t.,The Interagency
Res. 13 (2011) 427 445.17 K. E. Drexler, Engines of creation, The Coming Era of Nanotechnology, Anchor Press, New york, 1987.18 K. E. Drexler
Policy Res. 28 (2011) 197 217.24 M. Powell, D. L. Kleinman, Building citizen capacities for participation in nanotechnology decision-making:
a knowledge-based perspective, Futures 43 (2011) 265 278.29 M. Rader, A l. Porter, Fitting future-oriented technology analysis methods to study types, in:
Sci. 41 (2011) 457 485.37 NSTC, National science and Technology Council, Nanostructure Science and Technology, R&d Status and Trends in Nanoparticles, Nanostructured Materials,
Strategic Plan, 2011. Washington. 46 M. C. Roco, Environmentally responsible development of nanotechnology, How the U s. Government is Dealing with the Immediate and Long-term issues of this New technology, Environmental science & Technology, 2005.
report and recommendations of the German Nanokommission 2011, in: W.-M. Catenhusen, A. Grobe (Eds.
Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU), 2011, Berlin. 52 BMBF, Action Plan Nanotechnology 2015, BMBF, Bonn, 2011.53 T
Received 14 may 2011 Revised 25 june 2012 Accepted 23 august 2012 Available online 2 november 2012 The paper aims to contribute towards building foresight capacities for systemic and structural transformations.
ISPIM conference Hamburg, 17 20th of June 2011, Lift conference Marseilles 2/3 july 2011 (INFU workshop), FTA conference Sevilla 2011,
Chang. 78 (1)( 2011) 90 102.8 R. Bleischwitz, B. Bahn-Walkowiak, W. Irrek, P. Schepelmann, F. Schmidt-Bleek, et al.
She has been Deputy Head of the Competence Center Innovation and Technology management and Foresight between 2009 and 2011.
)( 2011) 229 231.7 A. Geim, Curiosity-driven science: philanthropy or economic necessity, in: Plenary Address to European commission Innovation Convention, 2011.8 L. Georghiou, J. Cassingena Harper and F. Scapolo op cit. 9 L. Georghiou, J. Cassingena Harper
foresight for research and innovation policy and strategy, Futures 43 (3)( 2011) 243 251.10 L. Georghiou, Europe's research system must change, Nature 452 (2008) 935
(2011) 808 final, 2011 12 C. Cagnin, E. Amanatidou, M. Keenan, Orienting innovation systems towards grand challenges and the roles that FTA can play, Sci.
T. Konnola, P. Warnke, R. Barré, S. Kuhlmann, Tailoring foresight to field specificities, Futures 43 (April 3 2011) 232 242.14 M. Weber
In this case, the window on the state of Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) is provided by a conference held in 2011 in Seville, at the Institute of Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) of the European commission's Joint research Centre.
The 2011 conference focused on an important topic, the need and potential of FTA to address disruptive transformations in response to grand societal challenges.
and discussed at the 2011 FTA Conferences. Papers that overall covered a wide range of points-of-view
and practice that made up the 2011 FTA conversation in the light of subsequent developments.
This implementation came in the form of political negotiations in the context of the budget bill for 2009,2010 and 2011.
Acknowledgements An earlier version of this paper was presented at the 4th International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA), 12 13 may 2011, JRC Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) in Seville, Spain.
impacts and implications on policy-making, Futures 43 (April 3))(2011) 252 264.3 A. Havas, D. Schartinger, M. Weber, The impact of foresight on innovation policy-making:
An International Journal 18 (1)( 2011) 10 20.22 G. Hofstede, M. Minkov, Long-versus short-term orientation:
Universiteit Twente, 2010.22 J. W. Kooijmans, M. Rours, Decision making Under Uncertainty, Plandag 2011, Brussel, 2011.23 P. A. van der Duin, R. van
the case of Japan, Technological forecasting & Social Change 78 (2011) 431 447. N. Rijkens-Klomp, P. Van der Duin/Futures 59 (2014) 18 26 26
These start from the implementation of the identified research topics and supporting actions between 2011 and 2013
Developing National Priorities for the Forest-Based Sector Technology platform, International Journal of Technology management 54 (4.)(2011.
new approaches to governance, Futures 43 (3)( 2011. 13 A. Salo, T. Ko nno la, M. Hjelt, Responsiveness in foresight management:
new approaches to governance, Futures 43 (2011) 279 291.42 K. Koschatzky, Foresight as a governance concept at the interface between global challenges and regional innovation potentials, European Planning
To enhance transparency a formalized stage gate process was introduced in 2011. Since then, proposals for future activities have to meet a set of predefined criteria
lessons learned from a water innovation programme, Irrigation and Drainage 60 (2011) 122 128. P. van der Duin et al./
Mark. boden@ec. europa. eu. The Fourth International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) held in May 2011, focussed on the need and potential of FTA to address disruptive transformations in global and national structures
Shaping and Driving Structural and Systematic Transformations organised by the Institute of Prospective Technological Studies of the European commission's Joint research Centre (JRC-IPTS) was held in May 2011.
adapt and respond pro-actively to change. 1 A closing summary of the FTA Conference outcomes in relation to policy needs by Georghiou (2011) highlighted the extent to which the global scale, complexity,
One particular feature of the 2011 FTA Conference was the organisation of two invitation-only sessions devoted to good practice in foresight for policy.
Georghiou, L. 2011)‘ Connecting conference outcomes with policy needs, options and implications'paper presented during final plenary session at the Fourth International Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis, held Seville, Spain
, 12 3 may 2011.<<http://foresight. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2011/Programmeandpapers. htm>accessed March 2012.
and cannot be formalized as a deliverabbl (European commission 2011). Intangibles are deemed to be very important and foresight practitioners should pay heed to their generation as strategic foresight exercises develop.
'This simply means that the synergy among them, the network articulation potentiial the intensity of the exchanges and the intrinsically democratic nature of the process benefit individuals and collectivity in more extensive ways than the results of the study themselves (European commission 2011.
which is also known as the Brazilian Innovation Agency (Coelho et al. 2011). The following items are presented:.A brief description of FINEP's context..
regarrdin what is envisaged in the literature (European commission 2011:.The creation, expansion, mobilization and maintenance of networks, are considered often as important as the tangible results, such as reports or recommendations..
2011)‘ Strategic foresight applied to the management plan of an innovation development agency',Technology analysis & Strategic management, 24: 267 83.
2011)‘ The FOR-LEARN Online foresight Guide, '<http://forlearn. jrc. ec. europa. eu/guide/0 home/index. htm>accessed 12 december 2011.
Glenn, J. C. 2010)‘ Collective Intelligence: one of the next big things'.'In: Wagner, C. G. ed.)Worldfuture 2010:
2011)).)) We aim to remedy this by studying the processes and interests shaping the priorities in China's R&d programs and policies.
Block and Keller 2011 on the USA. Instead, China seems to be forging its own way with an evolving mixture of planning, decentralization and deliberation. 1. 1 Trends in setting priorities Explicit models for science policy priority-setting devellope late and with great tensions.
The Ministry of S&t (MOST) plays a key role both through its responsibility for formulating S&t policy for example in the Medium and Long-term Plan and in the five-year plans for S&t development and as a key dispenser of research funds (Springut et al. 2011.
2011), further accentuating the bias against diffusion in the S&t programs. 3. 5 Institution-and capacity-building Several programs aim at building and strengthening China's emerging institutions and capacities.
or less than 0. 5%of the total number of universities, account for around a quarter of all Chinese scientific publications and citations (Springut et al. 2011).
and that hundreds of suggestions had been given by the public (Shi 2004) References Block, F. and Keller, M. eds)( 2011) State of Innovation:
2011)‘ Entrepreneurship in China. Let a million flowers bloom',10 march 2011. Elzinga, A. 1985)‘ Research, bureaucracy and the drift of episteemi criteria'.
'In: Wittrick, B. and Elzinga, A. eds) The University research System. The Public policies of the Home of Scientist, pp. 191 220.
Liu, F.-C.,Simon, D. F.,Sun, Y.-T. and Cao, C. 2011)‘ China's innovation policies:
Shi, D. 2004)‘ The policy-making of the medium-and long-term plan for S&t',<http://www. 93. gov. cn/kjxg/ghdt/ghdt16. htm>accessed 20 may 2011.
Springut, M.,Schlaikjer, S. and Chen, D. 2011)‘ China's Program for Science and Technology Modernization:
<http://www. uscc. gov/researchpapers/2011/USCC REPORT China's program for Science and technology modernization. pdf>accessed 25 may 2011. Suttmeier, R. P. 1980) Science, Technology and China's Drive for Modernization.
A view from the top',<http://www. fas. org/nuke/guide/china/doctrine/stpol1. htm>accessed 25 may 2011.
'<http://scitech. people. com. cn/GB/12444910. html>accessed 20 may 2011. Zhou, P. and Leydesdorff, L. 2006)‘ The emergence of China as a leading nation in science',Research policy, 35:83 104.
2011). ) 146. C. Cagnin et al. 6. Implications for European collaborative programmes This section examines some of the recent STI policy initiatiive of the EU that seek to better orient policy agendas towards grand challenges
or Art. 185 initiatives (Wintlev-Jensen, cited in Amanatidou 2011). Experiment and learning Knowledge develop Direct search
In 2011, the JRC-IPTS supported the European Institute of technology to identify potential priority areas for new KICS from 2013.
menu/standard/file/lund declaration final version 9 july. pdf>accessed Dec 2011. References Acheson, H.,Amanatidou, E. and Boekholt, P. 2007)‘ Optimising research programmes and priorities',Report of the ERA Expert Group, EUR 23324.
Amanatidou, E. 2011)‘ Strategy workshop on Innovation Union: Joint programming and its instruments',Final Report.
<http://netwatch. jrc. ec. europa. eu/static/download/workshop april 2011/Report%20strategy%20workshop%20jp%20and%20itss20instruments. pdf>,accessed 11 oct 2011.
Yale university Press,<http://cyber. law. harvard. edu/wealth of networks/Main page>accessed Apr 2011. Bergek, A.,Jacobsson, S.,Carlsson, B.,Lindmark, S. and Rickne, A. 2008)‘ Analyzing the functional dynamics of technological innovation systems:
<http://ftp. jrc. es/EURDOC/JRC55981. pdf>,accessed Oct 2011. Bright, D. S.,Fry, R. E. and Cooperrider, D. L. 2006)‘ Transformative innovations for the mutual benefit of business society,
/p=21>accessed Apr 2011. Cagnin, C.,Keenan, M.,Johnston, R.,Scapolo, F. and Barre',R.,eds,(2008) Future-oriented technology analysis Strategic intelligence for an Innovative economy.
Cagnin, C.,Loveridge, D. and Saritas, O. 2011)‘ FTA and equity: New approaches to governance',Futures, 43: 279 91.
Section 3 will draw primarily on recent empirical research presented at the FTA 2011 Conference, 1
including those presented at the FTA 2011 Conference, address the challenge of transformation, FTA organisation and governance modes,
by analysing recent contributions to the literature as presennte at the 2011 FTA Conference. The analysis identifies the types of transformations addressed, the governance modes in
In a search for effective organisational forms of FTA systems, the papers presented at the 2011 FTA Conference call for a stocktaking of diverse forms of FTA ACTIVITIES
2011) have analysed types of Table 3. Changing rationales for FTA APPROACHES on FTA systems Dimensions Transformation types and consequent challenges Governance modes Organisational models of FTA Traditional
The majority of the paper presented at the 2011 FTA Conference, despite reporting on experiences derived from a single foresight exercise, indicate increasing evidence of institutionalised forms of FTA.
In particular Warnke (2011) recommends the use of strategic dialogues to foster the embedding of suggested‘future fields'into the national research, technology and innovation (RTI) landscaape Ahlqvist et al.
2011) outline paths to enable anticipattor culture in research and technology organisations (RTOS) and other organisations.
2011) address the importance of engaging stakeholders in foresight exercises from the very beginning in order to improve support for policy options and their implications.
Tiits and Kalvet (2011) learned from recent foresight exercises in Estonia that the Table 4. Diversity of FTA systems in practice Approaches in FTA systems Transformation types Governance modes Organisational models
2011) Deals with a deliberate roadmapping approach both to rapid and gradual systemic transformations characterised by complexity
Recent experience from Germany'Warnke (2011) Focuses on deliberate design of transformations from viewpoint of post-Foresight phase
where matters of priority setting have acquired greater prominence (Georghiou and Harper 2011). Decisionmakkin in organisations themselves has become more complex,
because the 2011 FTA Conference was explicitly dealing with disruptions and how to deal with them from the side of FTA.
2011 (SEC 2010) References Ahlqvist, T.,Valovirta, V. and Loikkanen, T. 2012)‘ Innovation policy roadmapping as a systemic instrument for forward-looking policy design',Science and Public policy, 39
2011)‘ Constructing systemic transformation capacities in a research and technology organisation: Applying diversified roadmap concept at VTT, Finland,
'Paper presented at the FTA 2011 Conference, held 12 13 may, Seville, Spain.<<http://foresight. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2011/Programmeandpapers. htm>accessed 15 dec 2011.
Amanatidou, E. 2008)‘ Joint foresight':'towards a mechanism for joint programming in Europe? Foresight, 10: 103 17.
<http://ec. europa. eu/invest-inreseearchpdf/download en/aho report. pdf>accessed 15 dec 2011..(2008)‘ Challenging Europe's Research Rationales for the European research area (ERA)',Report of the ERA Expert Group, EUR 23326 EN.
<http://ec. europa. eu/research/era/pdf/eg7-era-rationales-final-report en. pdf>accessed 15 dec 2011.
<http://ec. europa. eu/research/erab/pdf/erab-first-annual-report-06102009 en. pdf>accessed 15 dec 2011.
Subfolder=WP2>accessed 15 dec 2011..(2011)‘ From priority-setting to societal challenges in future-oriented technology analysis',Futures, 43: 229 31.
Joos, W.,Carabias, V.,Winisto rfer, H. and Stu cheli, A. 1999)‘ Social aspects of public waste management in Switzerland',Waste Management, 19: 417 25.
<http://ec. europa. eu/research/conferences/2004/ntw/pdf/final report en. pdf>accessed 15 dec 2011.
<http://ec. europa. eu/research/innovation-union/pdf/rationale en. pdf#view=fit&pagemode=none>accessed 15 dec 2011.
Tiits, M. and Kalvet, T. 2011)‘ Foresight as an innovation policy tool in smaller catching-up economies:
'Paper presented at the FTA 2011 Conference held 12 13 may, Seville, Spain.<<http://foresight. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2011/Programmeandpapers. htm>accessed 15 dec 2011.
Tukker, A. and Butter, M. 2007)‘ Governance of sustainable transitions: about the 4 (0) ways to change the world',Journal of Cleaner Production, 15:94 103.
Warnke, P. 2011)‘ Implementing systemic RTI priorities Recent experience from Germany, 'Paper presented at the FTA 2011 Conference, held 12 13 may, Seville, Spain.<
<http://foresight. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2011/Programmeandpapers. htm>accessed 15 dec 2011. Weber, M. and Georghiou, L. 2010)‘ Dynamising innovation policy:
Giving innovation a central role in European policy',Farhorizon project report.<<http://farhorizon. portals. mbs. ac. uk/Portals/73/docs/Farhorizon%20dynamising%20inno vation%20policy. pdf>accessed 15 dec 2011.
Weber, M.,Havas, A. and Schartinger, D. 2011)‘ Exploring the potential impact of FLA on national innovation systems,
'Paper presented at the FTA 2011 Conference held 12 13 may, Seville, Spain.<<http://foresight. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2011/Programmeandpapers. htm>accessed 15 dec 2011.
Coping with a fast-changing world. 165
Overtext Web Module V3.0 Alpha
Copyright Semantic-Knowledge, 1994-2011