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In our view, the most promising benefit in integrating risk assessment and FTA APPROACHES seems to be the aspect of creating safety and opening up new future possibilities.
In turn, there is a shift towards a more contingent approach also in risk assessment as is in FTA APPROACH.
which is more common nowadays, for instance, in FTA APPROACH. Either way, both approaches may benefit methodologically from each other in developing better methods for assessing the futures.
For example, in case of emerging risks new methods applying the sufficient features of as well risk assessment as FTA APPROACHES are welcome.
In general FTA APPROACH encourages to build new risk analysis techniques which are more capable of taken into consideration the longer time frames than have been common in risk analysis tradition before.
Risk assessment and management will benefit from the FTA APPROACH by gaining more holistic viewpoints. Due to the need of developing more holistic risk management processes responding the continuous change,
FTA APPROACHES are locked also in a spiral of co-evolution with research and innovation policy, finding new applications in aligning actors around societal challenges (as described by Ko nno la et al.)
There is therefore an urgent need for even greater efforts to inform decision-makers of the potential value of FTA APPROACHES.
and persuading decision-makers of the value of FTA APPROACHES. This signals a need for the major focus of FTA to be moved from the twin goals of methodology refinement
Findings FTA APPROACHES create spaces where an effective dialogue between key players in different policy domains facilitates vision-building
illustrated the existing variety of FTA APPROACHES to address structural and systemic transformations in a diversity of application fields responding to grand challenges.
Furthermore, FTA APPROACHES create spaces where an effective dialogue between key players in different policy domains facilitates vision-building
Further research is needed therefore on better ways to incorporate quantitative FTA APPROACHES to legal activities, studying how for example modelling techniques can assist Law without threatening its independence as a fundamental human (and not machine driven) activity. 4. 2. 4 Distinction and legitimacy.
and at novel FTA APPROACHES to push the frontier of what can be done to better address them.
They see a key role for FTA APPROACHES and methods in this. How to navigate in a landscape of interrelated innovation systems?
which can be achieved through FTA APPROACHES and methods (Cagnin et al. 2008). This is a key aspect for policy interventtion Ultimately,
These present various methodological aspects of FTA APPROACHES as well as some advances needed in practice to assist FTA practitioners
when considering what FTA APPROACHES and tools would be appropriate to address certain policy needs. The first two are general ones,
Given the nature and diversity of FTA APPROACHES, one can think of an FTA toolbox, but not a uniform and proven FTA methodology, to be followed by all FTA projects.
which certain FTA APPROACHES would clash). By putting together these major building blocks, one can better devise
(i) the perceived policy needs/opportunities to be tackled by FTA,(ii) the chosen FTA APPROACH and its methods and (iii) the policy governance sub-system,
and social innovations to achieve a structural transformation. 6. Papers in this special issue The papers in this special issue of TFSC discuss various methodological aspects of FTA APPROACHES as well as some advances needed in practice to assist us in comprehending transformations.
and use this as a basis for looking at current practices in combining qualitative and quantitative FTA APPROACHES. 3. 1. Independent (parallel
which is a suboptimal use of available FTA APPROACHES. Examples of current and upcoming FTA practices Output of qualitative approaches as input to quantitative approaches New indicators:
Examples of current FTA practices Examples of research with deep integration of qualitative and quantitative FTA APPROACHES are not many.
and reinforced by, the lack of researchers, practitioners and evaluators skilled in both quantitative and qualitative FTA APPROACHES. 10 It is for instance neither common, nor easy,
A possible item on such research agenda could be screening specific sectors where quantitative FTA APPROACHES are represented traditionally stronger, in view of identifying good practices.
These disciplines could provide frameworks to analyse some of the advantages and benefits of FTA APPROACHES.
and that there is an urgeen need to inform decision-makers of the potential value of future-oriented technology analysis (FTA APPROACHES (Johnston and Cagnin, 2010).
As a consequence, future-oriented technology analysis (FTA APPROACHES like foresight have gained growing attention in recent years in the EU and worldwide,
We further draw some lessons about the impact of using this particular FTA APPROACH on European commission policy-making,
2011) have analysed types of Table 3. Changing rationales for FTA APPROACHES on FTA systems Dimensions Transformation types and consequent challenges Governance modes Organisational models of FTA Traditional
and exploitation of FTA networks to provide agile and strategic support for decision-making. 3. 2 Reflecting on the way forward with FTA systems The above review of recent research work indicates a consideerabl diversity of FTA APPROACHES and systems with coexisting diverse
Empirical research highlights a diversity of FTA APPROACHES and systems in practice, which reflect the differren mixes of transformations, governance and organisatioona modes.
This indicates that FTA APPROACHES based on linear extrapolation or causal modelling do not suffice (Linstone 1999).
For this, we need first of all to look at the Fraunhofer Society itself. 3. The Fraunhofer approach 3. 1 Strategic R&d planning within the Fraunhofer governance model Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA APPROACHES have been used within corporate strategic R&d planning at Fraunhofer for several years.
which led to three additional projects in mobility and security. 6. Discussion and lessons learnt 6. 1 FTA APPROACHES of other research
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