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The work is linked to a programme of Future oriented technology assessment (FTA ACTIVITIES coordinated within a European nanotechnology research network.
and can be integrated into FTA ACTIVITIES enhancing the quality of assessment/alignment activities. We mapped initial, potential multiplicity paradigms with path characteristics,
Yet, the likely impacts of potential changes in these broader systems are analysed not at all in the reviewed FTA ACTIVITIES.
exercises) are part of the broaderfamily'of prospective analysis or FTA ACTIVITIES. They have three distinguishing features:
and workshop within a programme of future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) in a nanotechnology research network called Frontiers. 3 The FTA ACTIVITIES in this network revolve around multi-(potential) stakeholder workshops where the aim is to explore the complex dynamics in and around specific areas of nanotechnology important for the Frontiers
+8 Still the focus of technology developers in their FTA ACTIVITIES, focus on paths (such as roadmapping) rather than journeys.
and emphasis was placed on the delivery of concrete and valued policy outcomes and impacts from FTA ACTIVITIES.
Furthermore, in order to better address major societal challenges with foresight and other FTA ACTIVITIES we consider that another relevant future avenue might be to enhance the international foresight collaboration in terms of exchange of experiences and the implementation of common foresight projects.
In the last decade, FTA ACTIVITIES and in particular national and Regional foresight programmes have often been oriented to supporting the functioning and development of innovation systems.
Similar conflicting forces will affect many smaller-scale FTA ACTIVITIES, in private organisations as well as in the policy sphere. 4 DEMATEL=decision making trial and evaluation laboratory, a structural modelling technique;
I. Miles/Futures 43 (2011) 265 278 267 As with other practices, FTA ACTIVITIES involve several phases,
which this activity is embedded in, in later FTA ACTIVITIES, or in the organisations from which stakeholder participants have been drawn.
while a large-scale FTA ACTIVITY may well encompass a sequence of steps that move around in Popper's diamond.
FTA ACTIVITIES aimto informdecisions that will help shape, or adapt to, future circumstances, providing and working with relevant knowledge to build capabilities for better action.
FTA ACTIVITIES necessarily involve, in a very central position, engaging knowledgeable agents, and deploying the knowledge
including FTA ACTIVITIES. The four steps, captured under the label SECI (socialisation, externalisation, combination and internalisation) represent a knowledge cycle undertaken in the course of organisational learning.
we might need to think of any large-scale FTA ACTIVITY as likely to involve several intertwined SECI processes that go iteratively through the various transformation phases in a spiral-like process.
Several rounds of the SECI processes are needed usually to accomplish the required steps of the FTA ACTIVITY.
and collaborative modelling approaches are creating opportunities for much broader engagement in FTA ACTIVITIES. This will pose considerable challenges for KM:
Setting a new landscape for FTA ACTIVITIES around the concept of governance, is the aim of the paper while shedding some light on the issues
However, the discussion about multiple stakeholders'participation in public policy and corporate decision making has received very little attention from the FTA COMMUNITY who have taken for granted that FTA ACTIVITIES are participative.
Analysis of the relationship between governance and each of the three pillars poses a number of questions to the FTA COMMUNITY that reflect on the potential impacts of FTA ACTIVITIES in governance.
The later discussion intends to enable the FTA COMMUNITY to reflect on how FTA ACTIVITIES can support the move towards more democratic societies and the potential impacts of FTA in governance.
The foregoing review is intended only to place FTA ACTIVITY in context. It is as well to remember Wittgenstein's claim thatmethods pass the problem situation by.'
How FTA ACTIVITY can support such moves must be set against the three pillars of corporate industrial activity, sociocultural evolution and government interests,
although it is claimed that FTA ACTIVITIES are inclusive, but thequality'of such inclusion is arguable.
since it led to the understanding that FTA ACTIVITIES, and its umbrella communities, should adopt necessarily more complex perspectives.
and had a special emphasis on the delivery of policy outcomes and impacts from FTA ACTIVITIES on policy and decision-making processes.
case studies 3. 1 Introduction FTA ACTIVITIES, techniques and research have registered an impressive growth over the past decade.
the scope of FTA ACTIVITIES has widened to cover a wide variety of issues. This has been mainly due to the increasing importance of technological and organisational innovation;
and call for appropriate FTA ACTIVITIES to support and enable large entities such as nations and group of nations, businesses and other organisations,
This can be achieved through regular FTA ACTIVITIES, assisting networking and co-operation within and across organisations,
when framing and managing an FTA ACTIVITY within the fuzzy boundary between what can be known and what cannot be at the time 2, p. 765.
when designing and running an FTA ACTIVITY that the selection of experts 4, 5 would strongly influence the analytical results and recommendations. 380 C. Cagnin et al./
In other words, while FTA ACTIVITIES generate new knowledge, actually both practical and scientific knowledge, these are not scientific projects per se.
with FTA ACTIVITIES being governed by one ministry (BMBF), focused largely on science-industry relations, and moving from forecasting activities and expert-driven identification processes towards the inclusion of expertise from a broader range of disciplines, a wider range of stakeholders and sometimes also the knowledge of lay people.
and knowledge gained in distributed FTA ACTIVITIES. Further in Germany the process is less coordinated and does not involve heterogeneous stakeholders nor make use of the knowledge gained in various FTA.
She is involved currently in several FTA ACTIVITIES including the European foresight Platform and the ERA NET Rus project. 396 K. Haegeman et al./
In the case of nanotechnology, a variety of FTA ACTIVITIES have been in use over the last quarter of a century to structure the field itself
At this stage, the FTA ACTIVITIES did not involve a broad range of stakeholders. Rather, it was driven a process by technology experts.
In summary, for over a decade, the German variety of FTA ACTIVITIES was governed mainly by one ministry (BMBF) and focused largely on science industry relations.
FTA ACTIVITIES were used in this early stage to facilitate a common understanding, develop visions, build up policy networks, as well as shape and prepare funding programs.
On the one hand, the emergence and increase of participatory FTA ACTIVITIES is a positive reflection of increasing public attention to nanotechnology after the funding programs were established.
Participatory FTA ACTIVITIES increased in both countries after 2004, when nanotechnology risks was perceived first as problems
The vision-building process of 2010 served as an instrument to pool and coordinate FTA ACTIVITIES among government departments, agencies, and research communities.
In Germany, early FTA ACTIVITIES also provided justification for a policy under consideration (symbolic function) and were used also for policy conceptualization,
and conclusion FTA ACTIVITIES were used to shape the emerging field of nanotechnology in the early stages (priority-setting
Expert-driven FTA ACTIVITIES were used in the first stages to build a common understanding and develop these visions.
In the last two decades, FTA ACTIVITIES were important means for integrating the field and in spreading the idea that nanotechnology would become one of the key enabling technologies of the 21st century.
and knowledge gained in distributed FTA ACTIVITIES. While early FTA involved experts almost exclusively fromscience and industry and governmental bodies, current future-oriented activities involve at least in the US experts from social science and humanities.
This landscape has formed the demand environment for FTA ACTIVITIES and has influenced largely the practice of the field.
For FTA ACTIVITY breakthrough science is less something to be anticipated 2 From the well-known quote by the former US Secretary of defense,
which means that an FTA ACTIVITY can end up as a proxy for coordinated views that would normally rest within agencies.
FTA ACTIVITY is situated mostly nationally or regionally and so is handicapped potentially in dealing with the transnational nature of the challenges.
A practical consideration is that much FTA ACTIVITY depends upon expertise but the very act of selecting the experts goes some way to predetermining the outcome.
In slightly more familiar territory, FTA ACTIVITIES clearly have a role in articulating recognised grand challenges. If approached correctly FTAS,
b) The other set considers how FTA influences practices and disciplines outside of the direct organizational or topical source of the FTA ACTIVITY.
2 placing emphasis on the delivery of valued policy outcomes and impacts from FTA ACTIVITIES. 1. FTA assumptions,
and fine-tuning FTA ACTIVITIES to fit particular context and clients. The challenge remains to have FTA ACTIVITIES more closely integrated within the policy-making process.
However, influencing policy-making and decision-making requires addressing the cloudy world of the relationship of knowledge to power. 4 http://forera. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta/conclusions. html. 460 F. Scapolo et al./
the Third International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis arrived at various general recommendations for increasing the impacts of FTA ACTIVITIES in policy-making,
Horiizo scanning does not replace the more focused FTA ACTIVITIES but can be considered highly supportiiv of them
Pleas from sponsors of FTA ACTIVITIES for better accounts of demonstrable impacts are as old as FTA itself.
and businesses to shift FTA ACTIVITIES from individual large-scale foresight programmes and projects, to investing in developing in-house competencies for coping with sudden change.
Enhancement of the strategic capabilities of individuals and organisatiion through the development of a foresight culture can be an important side effect of any FTA ACTIVITY provided appropriate provisions are made in the design of the new instruments.
Transformations linked to disruptive events are causing a shift in future-oriented technology analysis (FTA ACTIVITIES from individual large-scale foresight actions to smaller in-house exercises and capacity building.
What do these findings suggest with regard to the future direction to take for organising FTA ACTIVITIES? The structure of the remainder of this paper is as follows:
FTA ACTIVITIES are geared largely to deliver specific responses to specific questioons Most national Delphi (cf. Cuhls 2001;
There is an emerging stream of FTA ACTIVITY geared to providing future-oriented knowledge for decision-making on a more continuous Figure 2. Modes of governance (modified from Thompson et al. 1990.
and consequent models on organising FTA ACTIVITIES (see Table 4). Our analysis of the selected papers indicates an increasing emphasis in FTA objectives on improved understanndin of transformations.
In a search for effective organisational forms of FTA systems, the papers presented at the 2011 FTA Conference call for a stocktaking of diverse forms of FTA ACTIVITIES
Exploring the balance between these three forms of FTA ACTIVITIES in empirical terms helps to improve our understanndin of how effectively different combinations of activities work in their respective decision-making context and governance modes.
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