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| Changing environment (9) | |
| Climate change (108) | |
| Ecology (48) | |
| Environment (463) | |
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natural resources Development of bioproduction Measurement methods and diagnostics Management and modelling of biological knowledge 7. Information and communications Sensor technology applications Data mining, analysis, management and retrieval Bio-information technology 8. Understanding and human interaction Multicultural
while making best use of the resources at their disposal through the sustainable use of natural resources
allowing their renovation (in the case of renewable natural resources), in proportion to the needs of future generations.
and expand the natural resources base. Sustainability emerges from the exhaustion crisis of economic development based on rational‘
technology, environment, natural resources, biomedical aspects, institutional and legal matters as well as the socioeconomic aspects.''Davitaya 41 enlarged Evan's definition describing,
Cyber crime and network vulnerabilities from failure of human systems Increased barriers to access to natural resources Growing organizational and governance incapacity Water recognised as a valuable resource
This axis included all critical uncertainties regarding the abundance or scarcity of technological, economic, human, institutional, and natural resources.
The predominant philosophy of the‘‘green paradigm''scenario will be to thrive in economic and social terms with lower consumption of energy, water and natural resources.
for example, the increase of population or the scarcity of natural resources; the legal trends dealt with the possible shift from a predominantly national to a predominantly international legal environment,
individual abilities-Policies support practicces aim to reduce impacts with better use of materials and natural resources-Structured processes/activities-Firm-wide understandiin of activities, roles and responsibilities-Idea
use of renewable energy sources and fewer natural resources-Processes/activities/values aligned across the net;
4. conservation and management of natural resources; 5. public health; 6. social inclusion, demography and migration; and 7. global poverty and sustainable development challenges.
whilst meeting its international commitments to carbon emission reduction and without damaging its international competitiveness How can Ireland achieve this delicate balance taking advantage of its natural resources (wave
S&t&i priorities for the Russian natural resources sector Sergey Shashnov and Anna Sokolova Abstract Purpose This paper aims to analyse three individual foresight projects referring to the natural resources sector in Russia, their interconnection
Originality/value For the first time the paper presents an analysis of Russian foresight projects connected to the natural resources area and an evaluation of their influence on policy decision making.
Keywords Priority-setting, Russia, Natural resources, Long term planning, Foresight project planning, Innovation, Technology led strategy, Sciences Paper type Research paper 1. Introduction In recent years
including the efficient use of natural resources and environmental protection. However, approaches and techniques used to identify priority areas for S&t&i development in various countries strongly depend on local peculiarities, socioeconomic policy objectives, the availability of natural resources, the state of the environment,
and various other socioeconomic factors. The prospects and problems of the natural resources sector constitute a major section in most national science and technology foresight studies.
Many individual foresight exercises are devoted specifically to the rational use of natural resources and environment protection. These aspects are analysed also during the course of various foresight studies undertaken in such sectors as transport, energy, agriculture, etc.
In the last ten to 15 years, Japan (National Institute of Science and Technology policy, 2010), Finland (University of Joensuu, 2010), the UK (Loveridge et al.
This study was implemented in the framework of the Programme of Fundamental Studies of the Higher School of economics in 2011. been active in the development of long-term strategies for the rational use of natural resources and in the sphere of environmental protection.
Mining of natural resources generates more than 20 per cent of the total output, while the mineral resources sector's share of total Russian exports is as high as 80 per cent (Russian Federation, 2009).
The natural resources sector includes numerous players (federal and regional government agencies, public and private companies and industrial enterprises, R&d centres, environment protection organisations,
In particular, these include problems with the efficient utilisation of natural resources, environmental protection, and management of the natural resources sector.
Russian companies that are active in the natural resources sector routinely display high emissions figures several times higher than in other countries.
Accordingly, a difficult environmental situation has been developing in Russia over the decades, which negatively affects the quality of life, health and life expectancy.
is by radically increasing innovation activities in the natural resources sector. However, accomplishing this is not an easy task due to a number of reasons, the most important
Therefore, identifying S&t and innovation priorities for the natural resources sector has become an extremely important issue
Within the implementation of this foresight study it was realised that S&t priorities should be complemented by innovative priorities for corresponding development of the Russian management system in the field of natural resources,
The third foresight study commissioned by the RF Ministry of Natural resources and Ecology was devoted to exactly this task:
So, in Russia, three foresight projects related to the topic of natural resources were conducted. They were interconnected and the results of the earlier projects were used in the subsequent studies to accomplish the overall objective,
i e. to prepare recommendations for shaping Russian national S&t and innovation policy in the sphere of natural resources and environmental protection.
B Rational Use of Natural resources; B Transportation, Aviation and Space Systems; B Power Engineering and Energy Saving;
The thematic area‘‘Rational Use of Natural resources''covers the following five technology areas: 1. environmental monitoring and forecasting (atmosphere and hydrosphere;
4. environmentally safe mining and extraction of natural resources; and 5. risk and damage containment after natural and technogenous disasters.
More than 150 experts were recruited to assess development prospects for the Rational Use of Natural resources area.
The characteristics of five major topics for the thematic area‘‘Rational Use of Natural resources''are given in Table
Table I Major topics of the‘‘Rational Use of Natural resources''thematic area No. Topic Importance indexa Expected time of developing S&t solution Possible results (percentage of experts;
The characteristics of the five most developed topics in the‘‘Rational Use of Natural resources''thematic area are given in Table II.
Table II Characteristics of most developed technology groups in the‘‘Rational Use of Natural resources''thematic area Technology group Index of R&d levela Cumulative effectb Monitoring and control systems,
natural and anthropogenic disasters and their consequences based on monitoring data and advanced understanding of their origins and development 57.1 1. 71 Techniques for prospecting natural resources,
''This index shows the cumulative effect of each group evaluating technology according to aggregated expert opinion Figure 1 Support measures for‘‘Rational Use of Natural resources''PAGE 46 jforesight jvol. 15 NO. 1
and forecasting the future state of the environment, based on Russian meteorological and natural resources satellites (2015-2020);
Thus, the major development areas relating to the‘‘Rational Use of Natural resources''field for the period until 2030 were described in the course of the exercise
and appropriate innovative product groups with the potential to significantly increase the competitiveness of Russian natural resources companies.
At the same time, the FS2 results showed that the Russian management system in the natural resources area could be more effective
the identification of such priorities was the objective of FS3. 3. 3 Innovation priorities for the Russian natural resources sector (FS3) Innovation priorities for the Russian natural resources sector for the period until 2025
were identified in the course of a special study commissioned by the RF Ministry of Natural resources and Ecology.‘‘
‘‘Innovation priorities''in the above study were considered to be major activities in the Russian natural resources sector's management system that would contribute to achieving the RF S&t priorities and solving the main problems in the area.
The following structural components of the natural resources sector were analysed in the framework of the project:
representing all sectors related to natural resources. The innovation priorities until 2025 for the development of the Russian natural resources sector was developed on the basis of identification of the most important problems and challenges regarding the natural resources sector's management system and necessary conditions for S&t development.
So two main criteria were used for the identification of innovation priorities for the Russian natural resources sector, i e.:
1. solving key problems; and 2. conditions for S&t priority realisation. VOL. 15 NO. 1 2013 jforesight jpage 47 As a result of this study, the innovation priorities and corresponding tasks were formulated for each structural component of the natural resources sector.
Also, suggestions on amendments to strategic documents of RF Ministries were proposed. As an example, below are presented priorities for innovation-based development of the‘‘industrial waste and cumulative ecological damage''sphere:
priorities for the Russian natural resources sector. FS3 was interrelated not with FS1 and FS2 structurally, but the results of FS2 showed (on the basis of the expert survey) that the Russian management system in the natural resources area needed to be much more effective
and that this was preventing S&t development. FS3 was initiated on the basis of these results and commissioned by the RF Ministry of Natural resources and Ecology (because the focus of FS3 is in the the sphere of responsibility of this Ministry).
Also, the results of FS1 and FS2 that showed the crucial support measures for the government (FS1)
the FS2 project showed that for full use of the priorities identified for the natural resources sector,
the results showed that the Russian management system in the natural resources area is not now really effective
and this is preventing S&t development Innovation priorities for the Russian management system in the natural resources area, which should create conditions for S&t development
and promote solving the key problems identified in the FS2 framework FS3 An identification of innovation priorities for the Russian management system in natural resources until 2030 The innovation priorities
components of the natural resources sector. Also, suggestions for amendments to strategic documents of RF Ministries were proposed Update of the list of innovation priorities PAGE 50 jforesight jvol. 15 NO. 1 2013 create an adequate management system for the sector.
In the framework of this study proposals to amend the relevant RF Ministry of Natural resources strategic documents (for example, Ecological Doctrine of the Russian Federation, Civil Code of the Russian Federation, Land Code of the Russian Federation
federal law‘‘About Environmental Protection''and others) were prepared in accordance with the selected priorities and major tasks for each component of the natural resources sector.
Also the RF Geologic Strategy and Water Strategy were developed on the basis of the innovation priorities for the Russian natural resources sector.
and major challenges that the natural resources sector is facing, its significant scale, and the large number of players, imply the need to use integrated approaches for identifying S&t and innovation priorities for this sector.
The innovation and S&t priorities for the Russian natural resources sector were identified in the framework of three connected foresight projects.
proposals to amend relevant strategic documents of the RF Ministry of Natural resources (e g. Ecological Doctrine of the Russian Federation, Civil Code of the Russian Federation, Land Code of the Russian Federation, federal law‘‘About Environmental Protection,
''and others) were prepared in accordance with the selected priorities and major tasks for each component of the natural resources sector.
Also the RF Geologic Strategy and Water Strategy were developed on the basis of the innovation priorities for the Russian natural resources sector Direct (high) VOL. 15 NO. 1 2013 jforesight jpage 51
The first of these projects identified major S&t results in the‘‘Rational Use of Natural resources''area,
the most promising markets (and their segments) for Russian natural resources companies. Assessment of personnel, financial and technological requirements,
and corresponding tasks for improving the management system the Russian natural resources sector, which would contribute to its innovation-based development
Energy, climate change, natural resources, food, water, and migration are among the most widely referred grand challenges. These are very large topics with fuzzy boundaries.
e g. climate changes, energy, water, use of other natural resources, migration induced by war and other conflicts, economic hardship,
changes in regulation, changing/stronger ethical concerns, scarcity of natural resources, environmental issues, etc. as well as due to new combinations of existing and/or emerging technologies.
and benefits that can be expected from the diffusion of the technologies under scrutiny (how will their diffusion affect quality of life, the conservation of natural resources, landscape integrity, ecosystem services etc.).
This is especially relevant for certain challenges like those related to environment and natural resources. Finding a solution to the problem of scarce energy resources,
Extending natural resources Technology roadmap 3: Optimizing systems Increasing awareness of global consequences of climate change Economic recession Emission trading starts to have effect on companies Rising living standards in BRIC countries Green values:
Utilization of natural resources; Progressive public procurement of green ICT solutions; Economic incentives Increasing prices of energy and raw materials No regulation or economic incentives governmental activities do not encourage the utilization of sustainable ICTS Systemic issues:
virtual worlds ICT solutions, like cloud computing, for smart grids Electricity storages for smart grids 3d Internet technologies Figure 5. Technology roadmap on‘extending natural resources'as a subset of a transformation
and refer to more‘standard'types of practicces like regulation that affects consumer behaviour, standardization and the utilization of natural resources.
technology roadmap on‘extending natural resources'In the final part of the case study section we present an example of a technology roadmap constructed as a subset of the transformation roadmap (see Fig. 5). The topic of the exemplary roadmap is‘extending natural resources'.
The need to change current ways in which essential natural resources are used..The need to anticipate
The need to change the uses of essential natural resources by aligning all policy realms towards sustainabillity extending from policy design through implementtatio to evaluation..
the recommendations have been useful in discussiion within the EC, for instance on the sustainable use of natural resources
Issue code Key words from issue description (optional) Save natural resources (water, food) to prevent conflicts over their scarcity
Measures to save natural resources (mainly water and food) have to be applied worldwide. In addition, technologies have to be developed
The last trend is the increasing scarcity of natural resources and the vulnerability of the planet with the new geopolitics of energy,
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