Climate change

Changing environment (9)
Climate change (108)
Ecology (48)
Environment (463)
External environment (29)
Institutional environment (4)
Legal environment (6)
Natural resources (93)
Water management (16)

Synopsis: Environment: Climate change:

Human choice and climate change, vol. 2, Batelle Press, Columbus, 1998.47 R. O. van Merkerk, H. van Lente, Tracing emerging irreversibilities in emerging technologies:

The situation gets worse with increased pressures from climate change like floods and droughts. This also leads to a decrease in farming activity.

Climate change effects with extreme weather events might impact the receiving river and considerably increase the cost characteristics of the centralized system.

Human choice and climate change resources and technology, Battelle Press, Columbus, 1998.13 M. S. Jørgensen, U. Jørgensen, C. Clausen, The social shaping approach to technology foresight

risk and uncertainties in new business creation and a project related to the climate change (CES. The case projects are positioned according to their important design dimensions (informative vs. instrumental outcomes;

as a result of the method development. 3 3. 3. Climate change adaptation and risk assessment (CES) A joint project concerning the climate change adaptation in Finland

and consequences of the climate change affecting the Nordic energy production system are developed in the project. The risk assessment procedure is developed at the first stage of a case study concerning Nordic hydropower production 37.

Potential climate change effects are added then to the seasonal plan and changes to the normal seasonal routines can be noticed;

Risk assessment procedure in CES is designed on the basis of brainstorming sessions between power plant operators and managers as well as climate change experts.

Background information contains, for instance, the modelling of the changes in the river flows based on the climate change scenarios.

Besides natural science kinds of changes climate change poses also social changes in the society. Political decisions are affected by the climate change.

In the future, for instance, the need of energy and population migration may be different. Hence, it is also important that social aspects are addressed in the risk assessment procedure.

or climate change will pose to the society. In addition, business, policy making and the whole broad spectrum of decision making call for future-oriented technology analysis as well as risk assessment.

Risk analysis methods and climate change scenarios were integrated. How case studies contributed to risk management methodology? The results show that the integration of proactive risk assessment

The new framework help companies to create climate change strategies. How case studies contributed to risk resilience thinking?

ISPIM, 2008.37 R. Molarius, N. Wessberg, J. Keränen, J. Schabel, Creating a climate change risk assessment procedure hydropower plant case, Finland,

and stakeholders of a California water agency and measured participants'increasing understanding of the challenges posed by climate change

Views on climate change changed, however, rather slightly, confirming insights from the policy analysis literature that it is very difficult to change core belief systems in the short term.

In summarizing the arguments in the climate change community for and against including probabilities with climate scenarios a key study concludes that probabilities may be useful in some situations,

their development and use, Sub-report 2. 1b of Synthesis and Assessment Product 2. 1 by the U s. Climate change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research, Department of energy

L. Wainfan, Presenting Uncertainty About Climate change to Water Resource Managers, 2008, RAND Corporation, TR-505-NSF. 28 R c.

Human Choice and Climate change, vol. 2, Batelle Press, Columbus, 1998.31 A. Stirling, Opening up or closing down?

Human Choice and Climate change, vol. 2, Batelle Press, WASHINGTON DC, 1998.16 K. Smith, Innovation as a systemic phenomenon:

For instance, some major sustainability challenges address climate change, global equity and competiveness. Security: the term refers to the condition of being protected against danger

we are led typically to think of the‘‘obvious catastrophes''and more or less wild cards mass epidemics, asteroid impacts, supervolcanoes, accelerating climate change, and the like.

and other technological solutions to the climate change crisis as opposed to change in lifestyle and corporate practice);

Firms will need to focus on themes like creativity, breakthrough innovation, entrepreneurial solutions to great challenges, like pandemics and climate change,

Dignity, equity and peace together with globalisation, world trade, Africa and climate change were the highlights in the 2007 Annual Meeting.

On the same theme The World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2008 opened with calls from the Co-Chairs to exercise‘‘The Power of Collaborative Innovation''to meet the top challenges of economic instability, climate change and equitable growth.

Ethics, human rights, how to deal with bribery and corruption, climate change and other societal concerns should be dealt with in a transparent and participative way.

Weak signal examples In the 1980s the first mention was made of global warming and climate change;

Trade, Debt and Related Globalization Issues BRIC Rapid Development Economies Climate change, Global Warming=sustainable ecology, new economy 5. Geopolitics & Security East-West

and climate change lead to descent scenarios Ecology Economy 50 Global financial imbalances create national commercial rivalries China's role in international affairs:

of disease radically changed by climate change Geopolitics & Security 35 Cooperative and concerted policies among nations Nuclear proliferation-incidence from terrorism in Middle east Renewed awareness of the limits to growth Uni-bio-multi-polar world

redistribution of wealth to enable the achievement of millennium development goals New Islamic superpower Rapid climate change overwhelms human capacity Massive failure of capitalism

-based World war Change of earth rotation causes climate change Accidental nuclear spasm leads to war Terrorist attacks create police states Global disasters from alignment of volcanoes, tsunamis

ecological behaviour reverse perception of a resource scarce world Discontinuities in national and international policy approaches toward climate change Breakdown of world order Resource scarcity creates new motivations

Economy 27 Widening the rift between rich and poor More rights of China Induced migration due to inundation and climate change Price hikes in energy,

materials and food Democratisation of China Sunspot theory of climate change Privatisation criticised more China implodes due to several political conflicts Diverse opinions on environmental issues Geopolitics

‘‘A significant feature of this era is the strange combination of more than ever long term challenges like climate change with the need for leaders to react in the very short-term conditions of a crisis''.More than ever,

Decision-makers need a global vision of the future that addresses financial structures, climate change, poverty, etc''.

Keywords Future-oriented technology analysis, FTA, Grand challenges, Forward looking activities T oday's grand challenges from climate change to unemployment go beyond current national policies.

such as climate change, the emission of pollutants and noises, accidents, congestion; or of the consumption of nonrenewable resources (like oil.

http://optic. toi. no van Asselt, M. B. A. and Rotmans, J. 2002),‘Uncertainty in integrated assessment modelling'',Climate change, Vol. 54, pp. 75

or adapt to climate change. Among the things investigated were prerequisites for the global limitation of climate change,

cost-effectiveness of climate policy and mainstreaming of the climate perspective among the general population.

The reduction of at least 80 per cent is at the lower end of the range (80-95 per cent) estimated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change (IPCC, 2007) for industrialised countries in accordance with the two-degree target.

B Climate change will alter the conditions in Finland by 2050: the need for heating energy will diminish

and restraining climate change: the variety of opinions in society as well as the best possible knowledge of what is technologically feasible, economically affordable and socially acceptable.

regarding to climate change mitigation as well as a variety of futures visions of sustainable Finland. This material was used as building blocks for the next phase of the exercise,

As for the public's approval for the actions needed to prevent the unwanted effects of climate change

IPCC (2007), IPCC AR4 WGIII, Climate change 2007: Mitigation of Climate change, WGIII Contribution to the IPCC AR4, Cambridge university Press, Cambridge and New york, NY, chapter 13, Box 13.7, p. 776, available at:

www. ipcc. ch/publications and data/publications ipcc fourth assessment report wg3 report mitigation of climate change. htm (accessed 20 december 2011. Jungk, R. 1987), Futures Workshops:

Human Choice and Climate change, vol. 2, Batelle Press, Columbus, 1998, pp. 327 399.8 M. C. Roco, Nanoparticles and nanotechnology research, Journal of Nanoparticle Research

Suggested strategies for Scenario A. The green paradigm scenario offers a favourable context to successfully tackle the major challenges such as fighting climate change

In Human choice and climate change, ed. S. Rayner and E. L. Malone, 327 99. Columbus:

when responding to the so-called‘grand challenges',such as climate change or global resource scarcity. For companies and organisations alike, tackling these kinds of complex challenges,

The world faces a number of complex problems, such as climate change and population problems, and each country also has its own specific issues, for example rapid aging of the population or economic stagnation.

Climate change and environmental consciousness have reinforced a concern with the global and holistic. In this framing, the grand challenges are a manifestation of the extent to

1. climate change and clean energy; 2. sustainable transport; 3. sustainable consumption and production; 4. conservation and management of natural resources;

3. Climate change; 4. Demographic pressures; 5. Mobility and transport; 6. Education and skills; 7. Technological development;

and experiential consumers Climate change Global warming Rising sea waters Can mitigation succeed? Consequences of climate change adaptation Acidification Demographic pressures Global population growth Ageing populations Urbanisation Migration impacts Mobility and transport Traditional transport modes Infrastructure

investment Smart travel Carbon taxes Transport market liberalisation versus environmental regulation Education and skills The knowledge economy ICT in education Social mobility and higher education Social

Some of the major themes frequently cited in this regard VOL. 15 NO. 1 2013 jforesight jpage 37 are climate change

there is a relatively strong consensus on the definition of several of them especially energy, climate change, demographics, etc.

Energy, climate change, natural resources, food, water, and migration are among the most widely referred grand challenges. These are very large topics with fuzzy boundaries.

e g. climate changes, energy, water, use of other natural resources, migration induced by war and other conflicts, economic hardship,

Making scanning results public would allow people concerned with complex phenomena, like geopolitics, climate change, or issues at the interplay between science and society, to keep track of the content of one's intellectual portfolio of knowledge

www. efonet. org), transport and climate change. Also in regional cohesion policy there are possibilities for blending quantitative and quantitative approaches,

and the uncertainty that derives from an insufficient knowledge of complex phenomena (e g. climate change). Ultimately, what matters is that methods

His applied interests include climate change/energy issues, public health and health policies, financial crisis and energy systems. His current research interests are adaptive policy making and the use of optimization in policy-making.

Applied interests include economic-financial crises, climate change and energy system transitions, and inter/national safety and security. 418 C. Hamarat et al./

The prime example being the role of uncertainty in relation to models used in the context of climate change debates.

Today's grand challenges from climate change to unemployment and poverty go beyond economic and social policies 9. Grand challenges are interrelated usually

climate change, food security, rural development, agricultural knowledge systems. The 2nd SCAR Foresight exercise. Last accessed on 29/06/11 and available at http://ec. europa. eu/research/agriculture/scar/pdf/scar 2nd foresight exercise en. pdf 6. 3rd SCAR Foresight exercise EC (2011), Sustainable

N. Rijkens-Klomp, P. Van der Duin/Futures 59 (2014) 18 26 25 14 M. Van de Kerkhof, Debating Climate change.

At the end of 2009, the first three KICS in the areas of climate change (Climate KIC), energy (KIC Innoenergy) and Information and Communication Technologies (EIT ICT Labs;

HE RECENT ONSET OF CRISES AND challenges ranging from climate change, finanncia and economic downturns, to security threats highlight a rising need to incorporate more forward-looking approaches into the decisionmakkin processes of public and private organisations and stakeholders all around the world.

but also to the widely assumed connection to climate change, the futuur technological possibilities and scientific breakthroough (which all may lead to better ways for saving,

and changing food supplies due to the impact of climate change on land and water supplies. Emerging infectious diseases While severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and avian influenza have attracted major attention in receen years,

His recent research interests incluude converging technologies to combat emerging infectiiou diseases and climate change. Ponpiboon Satangput graduated from the University of Cambridge in 2001

These grand challenges include the dynamics of demograpphic (ageing and migration), food supply, environmentta sustainability, climate change, decarbonised economic systems, poverty, terrorism, not to mention the continuing fallout from the long-running‘global financial crisis':

Nowhere is this impotence more apparent than in the response to the issue of climate change

understanndin and preparing for the effects of climate change and the associated development of a decarbonised global economic system:

and the future of complex themes, such as climate change, demography, biodiversity, bioethanol, energy efficiency etc. In the last three years, CGEE has conducted some relevant national strategic foresight exercises,

and has formulated ambitious policy objectives for climate change, energy security, demographic ageing and resource efficiency. At the same time the Europe 2020 Strategy notes that a partnership approach should extend to EU committees, to national parliaments and national, local and regional authorities,

The first ones were created in the areas of climate change, energy and informmatio and communications technologies. In 2011, the JRC-IPTS supported the European Institute of technology to identify potential priority areas for new KICS from 2013.

the global reach of climate change and associated health and environmental risks. These call for new types of institutiion that effectively design,

Social and environmental challenges deal with the causes and consequences of issues such as climate change, food and energy security and the ageing society,

and the medium-to long-term impacts associated with them, for example in the case of climate change or environmental change.

Examples of grand challenges from climate change to increasing resource depletion emphasise the need for international, indeed, global responses.

following signals of potential climate change as a consequence of increasing CO2 emissions, the scientific community, under the aegis of ICSU, established the International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme.

In the area of climate change the International Panel on Climate change (IPCC) was established also by the WMO

and the UN Environment Programme in 1987 to carry out integrated assessments of scientific evidence. It has engaged over 3,

from climate change to AIDS, are inherently international in nature, has led also to a new global approach to research in many areas.

particularly climate change, involve change over relatively long time periods measured at least in decades. But this is too long for an exercise that is focused on organisational agility and a vision for international science cooperatiion Given the relative trade-offs,

With regard to a set of pressing‘grand challennges such as climate change, an aging population, depletiio of mineral resources or shortages of food and water, roadmapping can identify latent societal demand, for example, in the context of sustainability.

Optimizing systems Increasing awareness of global consequences of climate change Economic recession Emission trading starts to have effect on companies Rising living standards in BRIC countries Green values:

The first is increasing awareness of the global consequences of climate change. The second is the economic recession.

In the long term, drivers other than just climate change will play a larger role globally. The scarcity of some critical resources, such as fresh water and rare earth metals, will have major effects.

Food Security and Climate change have no openness to other EU Member States. 7. Platforms collecting data on foresight exercises can offer deeper insights into possible and desired futures of research priorities, e g.<

the vast majority of people appear to be vulnerable to social and economic instability and hostility due to the economic recession, lack of fresh water, shortages of food and energy, climate change, regional conflicts,

Here, the need for horizon scanning is intensified effecttivel by the long lead times for bringing about desired policy impacts (cf. climate change mitigatioon) Taking this remark further,

demography, migration and health. economy, trade and financial flows. environment, energy, climate change and agriculture. research, innovation and (e)- education.

and other impacts such as migration 1 DI04 Massive migration due to climate change 3 ENV03 Global underpricing

energy consumption results in resource depletion The development of alternative energies, revival of nuclear energy, decreasing consumption of resources Climate change Slowing climate change through political processes, additional stress caused by population growth and wealth

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