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when aiming at seemingly desirable scenarios? It is known commonly that socio-technical change is tied to a wide range of uncertainties
when possibilities are sought to move the basic scenario in a more desirable direction. Adaptive options are
and chances, discuss desirable and undesirable futures, prospect the potential impacts of current research, technology and regulatory policy, focus selectively on economic, technological,
one can attempt to modulate/steer dynamics towards the more desirable actor arrangements and entanglements. 2. 2. The models of path used in this project For this project we draw on the notion of socio-technical path in its two forms:
exchanging these sorts of experience among the concerned actors is desirable, as are promoting strategic dialogues among the stakeholders,
A Monte carlo simulation provides a systematic search process which guarantees several desirable properties. The procedure can start with any proposed network
While a mix of node types might be desirable (for instance technology as well as process), it may be difficult to establish a uniform definition of the technological components of the network.
Repeated trials and a more complete analysis based on an evolving network are desirable items for future research.
and rank each option on an ordinal scale ranging from well suited to not desirable.
Points to the left of the diagonal indicate potential sustainability deficits as the option is more desirable from the average stakeholder groups'perspective than from a balanced sustainability perspective.
In the high quality of life and the powerful region scenario, both groups ranked the solution as rather problematic or not desirable.
3. What is desirable? For inclusivity these three questions are interrelated in social, technical, economic, ecological, political and value/norm (acronym STEEPV) aspects of society.
-The assumption that all technologies are desirable and that people possess an infiniteplasticity'toward the adoption of ever more invasive, complicated, if not complex technologies-The lack of trust between all the parties involved, especially between theexpert'community and the general public,
without much overt questioning of whether many of the possible uses and outcomes were feasible, wise and desirable.
what are likely to be desirable uses of anticipated future technologies through public participation in:°°Placing Foresight programmes in context
of any kind that depends on the systemic interaction between nanoscience, nano-technology and the artifacts themselves for their evolution into desirable artifacts:
Nano artifacts depend on the convergence of sets of sciences and technologies, elsewhere called genus sciences and technologies 23, of very different kinds for their evolution into feasible and (hopefully) desirable artifacts.
and codification of the research and technological development needed for the creation of desirable artifacts. There are parallels here with the events that surrounded the success of gene-splicing in the early 1970s.
and widely accepted as desirable artifacts including high factor sun screens, tennis racquets reinforced with carbon nanotubes,
and placing emphasis on desirable end points. This approach is developed as a support tool for Constructive technology assessment (Constructive TA),
or would be desirable: what processes would lead to stabilisation, what options are there, should stabilisation be sought at this time
if they agree societally desirable end points, their open-endedness is reduced somewhat). The co-evolution of regulatory approaches and technology options was discussed also throughout the workshop,
but the closeness to policy making implied that some of the exploratory andout-of-the-box'thinking that would usually be part of a foresight process was regarded not desirable
'Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:10 03 december 2014 976 S. Jenssen Figure 1. The future picture of Lundal was situated clearly within the possible and desirable.
This pointed towards a relative flexibility of what was regarded as possible and desirable development. Yet these three areas were situated already around one central dotted line
What is desirable?''18 In the case of the Lundal vision project, long-term social planningwas intended to be influenced by young people between 14 and 19 years of age.
Through both image construction and the pre-processual framing of contributions, the project leaders thus ensured that the future ideas contributed by the young were well within the possible and the desirable.
Warnke and Heimeriks caution that this alone will not lead towards certain socially desirable areas of innovation
what are likely to be desirable uses of anticipated future technologies through public participation. -Avoid the assumption that people have infinite plasticity towards new technology.
and ethically desirable is needed. Implicitly, sustainable development recognises the need for technology to develop solutions that conserve the Earth's resources,
by an analogy relating industrial systems to natural systems, a model for a desirable transition to cleaner production:
and polarities so that scenarios development appears to be both possible and desirable; Overall the many obviously very thoughtful responses and the depth and scope of imaginative thinking inherent in these responses suggest a robust series of discussions
and its emergent change, in a way that ensures that generally desirable outcomes will thrive, irrespective of
to ensure that the desirable ones are supported and the undesirable ones diverted. Axelrod and Cohen (2001) VOL. 14 NO. 4 2012 jforesight jpage 299 describe the idea of harnessing complexity to deliberately change the structure of the system,
whether some development paths are more desirable than others. The scenario process was facilitated by the Finland futures research centre (FFRC) of the University of Turku in late 2008.
2011) 7. As stated by its organizers and promoters, the projectis based on the premise that prospective thinking about law is not only desirable
and their performance by contrasting their initial (and desirable) visions of the future with the one effectively accomplished;
challenges and opportunities and the relevance of knowledge for a particular situation More than future-oriented research Normative combining socio-techno-economic feasibility and scientific possibility to yield desirable outcomes
and puts them into practice to influence situations in desirable directions. In its context, FTA helps to develop hypotheses as to how present situations may evolve into the future,
and coordinate resources Design the business FTA as a source of strategic intelligence provides insights into possible and desirable directions
it is desirable to elicit ideas from the experts onissues'.'That is, what important hurdles must be surmounted along the various innovation pathways?
whilst always desirable, may not always be possible, either because the cultural differences are rooted deeply, or because the language used is intrinsically different.
Energy is a crucial domain inwhich a fundamental transition toward clean generation technologies is desirable 47 for environmental and security reasons.
Moreover, it illustrates how one can identify the ranges of uncertainties that are favorable to a desirable transition and
J. Cassingena Harper/Technological forecasting & Social Change 80 (2013) 467 470 but may not be desirable to achieve.
1 being not desirable or not likely, and 3 being desirable or likely to happen by 2020.
The results of this exercise were used then as an input for the development of the IMS2020 Vision during a vision building workshop,
or trends that are desirable or undesirable, likely to happen or unlikely to happen, possible to influence or inevitable.
The underlyyin justification for public policies to support innovaatio is provided by the economic argument that otherwise the private sector would invest less in innovaativ activities than is socially desirable.
as should the dynamics of research and innovation processes and the scope and opportunities for steering their reorientation along more desirable pathways of development.
and towards an operational agenda that appreciates both the dynamics of innovation processes and the scope and opportunities for their steering or reorientation along more desirable paths of development.
and/or the articulation of widely shared visions that steer evolutiion along desirable pathways. This might involve thinking out of the box and challenging mind-sets,
and/or the articulating widely shared visions that steer evolutions along desirable paths. As noted earlier,
In order to create a desirable vision of the future that is somewhat grounded, it is first important to explore the so-called futurepossibility space'.
and explored before any attempts would be made to fashion a desirable vision..Resources: Foresight exercises depend upon a number of different resources,
The four exploratory scenarios articulated in Phase 2 provided stimulus for more creative thinking on a desirable success scenario
The resulting success scenario has a 20-year time horizon outlining the contours of a desirable state of international cooperation in science in 2031 and ICSU's role in its achievement.
a number of practical steps were identified as milestones along the way to achieving this desirable outcome.
there is every likelihood that the success scenario will be adopted formally as ICSU's long-term desirable vision for internatioona science
for delineating research directions, for contributing to the construction of advocacy coalitions in support of desirable change,
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