| Environmental scanning (18) |  |
| Horizon scanning (199) | |
| Scanning (139) | |
| Scanning process (33) | |
| Environmental scanning (18) | |
| Horizon scanning (199) | |
| Scanning (139) | |
| Scanning process (33) | |
The effort is part of a continuous scanning process and Scan program that allows SRICBB to gauge the ongoing turbulent confluence of culture, commerce,
This article describes the scanning process as SRIC-BI practices it, the importance of open intelligence systems,
what benefits the scanning process can provide to organizations, and what problems organizations typically run into when setting up scanning systems.
Scanning process; Open intelligence systems; SRIC-BI 1. The premise Predicting the future is impossible. The inherent unpredictability of technology development and commercialization processes, legal and regulatory developments,
and cultural environments on a monthly basis. James B. Smith originally brought the scanning process to SRI International in 1979 with the assistance of the futurist consulting group Weiner, Edrich, Brown, Inc,
The scanning process is the foundation of the open intelligence services that the Scan program provides to its clients.
This paper describes the scanning process and how it works. Uncertainties and risks have proliferated during the past decade as a result of the increasing complexity of and turbulence in the marketplaces in
and for nurturing a futures orientation more broadly in an organization. 3. The process The scanning process is necessarily a continuous one.
and the documentation of findings for management are all part of the normal, ongoing cycles of the scanning process.
Our description of the scanning process begins with the collection of data points from the business, cultural,
The breadth of scope inherent in the diversity of the categories represents one of the most important strengths of the scanning process.
New employees at SRIC-BI generally participate in the scanning process for 6 months before managing to submit consistently valuable abstracts.
First time observers or participants in the scanning process frequently comment on the fact that the meetings are dramatically different from meetings that people typically experience in a corporate setting.
and potential implications. 4. The players Because the scanning process profits from a wide variety of perspectives in the abstract-collection process and the Scan meeting,
Scanning experience on the part of participants is highly valuable for success with the scanning process. Learning what constitutes a good Scan abstract can take 6 months to a year of attending Scan meetings.
unless new developments merit a resurfacing of the topic. 5. The product The most important product of the scanning process is increased an awareness on the part of planners, employees,
The scanning process provides a language, infrastructure, and mind-set for cultivating a future orientation in any organization.
After the initial scanning process for signals of change the signalswere clustered by dimensions of change.
The list of sources was extended during the scanning process in order to include knowledge gained while searching. The sources selected include daily newspapers from Europe and other world regions
which underpin the scanning process. One way of approaching scanning is to differentiate between exploratory and issue-centred scanning.
while issue-centred scanning spans throughout phases 1 and 2 of the SESTI scanning process (cf.
and seminars. a special SESTI wiki to evoke contributions to the scanning process. active use of blogging and micro-blogging (Twitter) 8. text-mining. expert/stakeholder workshops Based on the experience of SESTI,
the main phases of the SESTI scanning process should first be clarified. 3. 1 SESTI scanning process Three main phases can be distinguished,
Thus, the last phase of the scanning process should be devoted to this particular task. In the SESTI project this task was complemented by workshops
in order to draw conclusions about the implications for policy. 3. 2 Comparative analysis of methods and tools applied during the SESTI project The focused expert review could be used for the entire scanning process.
A first assessment of the tools used in the scanning process in the SESTI project is given in Table 2. 3. 3 Policy workshops
These particularly helped the third phase of the scanning process (analysing and interpreting the relevant implicatiion of emerging issues for policy-making).
used in scanning process (rate of appropriateness and usefulness: low, medium, high) Phase 1: Identification of weak signals Phase 2:
some methods are better for the initial phases of the scanning process, while others fit better into the analysis phase (cf.
On the other hand, in the focused expert review, the main scanning process of the issue-centred scanning, spans through all the different phases of the scanning cycle
and methods presented in Fig. 2 certain combinations of methods can be created to provide a complete evaluation along the scanning process.
and recommendations are of crucial importance for the last stages of the scanning process. At the same time, semi-automated methods are appreciated, especially those drawing on large expert communities,
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