decision support

Decision support

Corporate decision making (5)
Decision (351)
Decision making (500)
Decision process (8)
Decision support (48)
Decision-making process (15)
Democratic decision-making (3)
Political decisions (6)
Sequential decision-making (6)
Strategic decision-making (32)
Strategic decisions (15)

New approaches to forward-looking decision support are currently being developed that take these requirements into account. Conventional forecasting approaches with their aim of predicting the future were based on a linear understanding of processes of socio-technical change that is simply an inappropriate representation of reality and thus misleading rather than enlightening with respect to informing decisions.

we suggest an approach to forward-looking decision support that addresses the aforementioned shortcomings of conventional foresight. Under the headline of Adaptive foresight (AF) it combines elements from the foresight and adaptive planning traditions.

we discuss the broader potential of Internet-based decision support tools and participatory workshops in promoting foresight activities within ERA NETS and European coordination tools. 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Decision support; Foresight; European research area; Innovation policy; Networking; Robust Portfolio Modeling Available online at www. sciencedirect. com Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008) 483 495 Corresponding author.

so that extensive use was made of Internet-based decision support tools (see the consultation process homepage5). More specifically, the consultation processes sought to respond to the general objectives of embedded foresight in the following ways, among others:

as well as by the treatment of research areas and research themes as relevant‘units of analysis'that experts could be assessed with the Internet-based decision support tool.

In the first phase, National Coordinators invited Researchers in their respective countries to submit research issues through the Internet questionnaire. 8 These questionnaires were implemented by using Opinions-Online decision support tool9

we have discussed the use of decision support methodologies in the development of a shared research agenda inwoodwisdom-Net, an ERA NET on wood material research that is an example of the coordination tools for EU innovation policies.

selected foresight activities and selected process elements such as decision support for the bottom up thematic prioritization and the formation of new networks may shift the locus of activities closer to national actors.

2005) is Researcher and doctoral student at the Systems analysis Laboratory of Helsinki University of Technology, with research interests in foresight, decision support systems and strategic decision making.

Ahti Salo (M. Sc. 1987, D. Tech. 1992) is Professor at the Systems analysis Laboratory with research interests in decision analysis, decision support systems, technology foresight, and risk management.

and is geared mostly towards indirect decision support such as agenda-setting and issue framing. The authors analyze the role of scenario planning to prepare public policy-making for the uncertainties

and delivered by decision support systems, may contribute to an open innovation paradigm where firms work together as part of an extended technological network 11.

a conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support, Integrated Assessment 4 (1)( 2003) 5 17.8 G. S. Altshuller, Creativity as an Exact Science

and its regional context 30.2) Other applications of scenario planning are framed as decision support instruments for the assessment of strategic options:

and is geared mostly towards indirect decision support such as agenda-setting and issue-framing. The slim evidence base aggravates the assessment,

Scenario planning Decision support Political and institutional context Evaluation 1. Introduction Policy-makers and business leaders often face strategic decisions with uncertain future outcomes.

and Section 6 synthesizes implications for the future development of the evaluative scenario literature. 2. Functions of scenario planning in the policy-making process The scenario planning literature highlights a wide range of decision support functions 8,

The different functions of scenario planning can be distinguished into indirect and direct forms of scenario-based decision support (17,

or is there no clear picture? Which impacts can be observed? 2. Which lessons can be drawn from current practices?

and weaknesses of several different exercises and assessments of the impacts scenario planning approaches can have on decision-making processes Fig. 1. Forms of scenario-based decision support. 1200 A. Volkery, T. Ribeiro/Technological forecasting

Treatment of surprise and discontinuities A reason often quoted for using scenario planning as a decision support tool is its ability to reduce overconfidence about the future 35.

while four were decision support exercises. All but one exercise with surprises was developed via an intuitive rather than formal process.

and success of direct and indirect forms of decision support To validate and extend the findings from our literature review,

On the basis of their personal experience, workshop participants were asked to rate the direct and indirect forms of scenario-based decision support both on a scale from 1 (very low) to 5 (very high) with regard to the specific relevance (importance)

Overall, participants identified a higher relevance of more indirect forms of scenario-based decision support. Stimulating wider debates about possible futures and clarifying an issues importance were ranked as the objectives of highest relevance.

The level of political difficulty is higher for these forms of scenario-based decision support, as they touch upon a number of vested interests around policies,

Scenario planning is geared more towards indirect forms of decision support in the early phases of the policy cycle,

Does this assessment mean that future efforts should concentrate rather on indirect forms of scenario-based decision support,

Current conditions in many governments and public administrations constrain the ability to effectively pursue direct forms of scenario-based decision support.

The Prima Approach to Decision support, Springer, Berlin, 2000.25 United states Commission on National Security in the 21st century, New world Coming:

That implies bworking backq from the decision support requirements to the data. It makes less sense for a bdata miningq mindset in

What the technology focus and organizational focus profiles hold in common is a compilation of empirical information to help answer a particular MOT question. 3. Discussion This paper illustrates how to compose informative decision support from empirical information concerning various

group decision support 1. Introduction As an instrument of strategic policy intelligence (Smits and Kuhlmann 2004), foresight must often serve multiple objectives that are shaped by its policy context.

This has made use of foresight in the form of internet-based decision support tools. As an example of embedded foresight, Brummer et al. indicate three roles for such an application of foresight:(

Technological forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 1112 1121 other hand, decision support and policy making require information on the potential consequences of the introduction of new technologies before they are implemented widely,

A conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support. Integrated Assessment 4, no. 1: 5 17.

Model-based decision support Deep uncertainty Adaptive policy-making Exploratory Modeling and Analysis 1. Introduction Conceptual, formal, and computational models are used commonly to support decision-making

a conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support, Integr. Assess. 4 (2003) 5 17.5 G. Yucel,

He currently works as a postdoc on the treatment of uncertainties in model-based decision support for fresh water supply in The netherlands at Delft University of Technology.

It has been developed mainly for model-based decision support. This paper investigates the extent to which EMA is a promising approach for future oriented technology analysis (FTA).

EMA aims at offering decision support even in the face of many irreducible uncertainties, by systematically exploring the consequences of a plethora of uncertainties ranging fromparametric uncertainties (e g. parameters ranges), over structural uncertainties (e g. different

Particular attention is given to the potential of EMA in offering decision support for shaping systemic and structural transformation.

and the political sciences, are involved in providing model-based decision support. In these various fields, people are grappling with the treatment of deep and irreducible uncertainty

and implications for FTA This paper started from the observation that model-based decision support under conditions of deep uncertainty is problematic.

His research focuses on the treatment of uncertainty in model-based decision support. He has worked on cases in various domains including air transport, port planning, fresh water supply in The netherlands, world water scarcity issues,

and research themes as relevant‘units of analysis'that experts could assess with an internet-based decision support tool.