alternative future

Alternative future

Alternative future (64)
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Desired future (30)
Different futures (6)
Endogenous futures (14)
Expected future (7)
Future (2392)
Future challenges (39)
Future changes (13)
Future development (114)
Future fields (16)
Future impacts (9)
Future innovation (24)
Future research (148)
Future scenarios (45)
Future science (7)
Future technology (57)
Future vision (29)
Future-oriented analysis (32)
Future-oriented analysis methods (3)
Futures analysis (32)
Futures methodology (4)
Futures studies (41)
Long-term future (14)
Near future (12)
Possible future (95)
Potential future (24)
So-called future (3)
Sustainable future (10)
Uncertain future (7)
Unknown future (5)

Thus, it is timely to consider alternative futures for them, to be prepared better for their new roles.

First, alternative futures are developed for the EU by considering (i) the overall rationale of EU policies;

Alternative futures for the EU; The European research and Innovation Area (ERIA) and universities; Trends and drivers for changes;

i e. do not consider alternative futures; a striking example of that approach is the recent EU Green Paper on the European research area 3. Georghiou

and its standing vis-à-vis the Triad regions are considered as major‘variables'of the alternative futures for the EU. At the second,

they consider alternative futures (as opposed to e g. forecasting exercises; they are oriented action (unlike e g. academic papers in the tradition of futures studies;

'As already mentioned, visions for universities are built on alternative futures for the EU and ERIA, that is, Double success and Successful multi-speed EU, respectively.

the alternative futures devised at EU and ERIA levels. Thus, their impacts should be discussed separately. As for legitimisation and validation of knowledge

which would also enhance their visibility and social esteem. 34 5. Conclusions This article considered alternative futures for EU universities.

although not a trivial task to start this exercise by devising alternative futures (visions) on their broader socioeconomic context.

including the alternative future states, towards which these broader systems might evolve, and hence they might be equipped better to devise‘future-proof',robust strategies.

which consider alternative futures in a transparent and systematic way. Foresight is among these techniques, and it offers additional advantages, too,

alternative futures as a case study, Futures 18 (5)( 1986) 658 670.23 L. Börjeson, M. Höjer, K. Dreborg, T. Ekvall, G. Finnveden, Scenario types

For instance three alternative futures were created for the opportunities in order to evaluate their business potential after 5 10 years in a medium-size company.

identifyyin and fostering alternative and competing coalitions and value networks as well as exploring alternative futures and generating rivalling visions.

shaping problem solutions and determining the solution that works best across a range of alternative futures.

i e. offering possible alternative futures to assess and evaluate, or for presenting the playing outs of complex processes.

and thus to the consideration of alternative futures had been addressed in the forward-looking part Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:10 03 december 2014 Trade-offs between policy impacts of future-oriented analysis 967 of the preceding research programme on the Viennese innovation system,

which an expert academic‘produces its vision of the future or of alternative futures'.'Apart from that, many methods, also forecasting methods can be included.

Foresight can support the exploration of alternative futures and respective techno-institutional arrangements 27. All three Foresight objectives have a particular significance in relation to the governance arenas.

of shared knowledge and examination of alternative futures. Foresight activities are seen also increasingly as crucial functions in order to prepare for the future

and value networks as well as exploring alternative futures and generating rivalling visions. Addressing both consensual and diverse future perspectives are crucial dimensions when dealing with sustainability, and security.

and value networks as well as identify alternative futures and rivalling visions. This relieves participants on the intensive search for consensus and direct support for decision-making

However, the lack of projects with outcomes emphasising diverse future perspectives may lead to limited exploration of alternative future pathways

(and make posits about alternative futures). This has similarities to, but also differences from, the ways in which we create knowledge about the past and present.‘

comparison of alternative futures that have been posited, and selection of what might be the preferable future given one or other sets of criteria.

some allow for synthesising information into posits, views of alternative futures, such as those incorporated into scenarios and roadmaps.

Due to its focus on alternative futures, discontinuities and long-term perspective, backcasting suits especially well for solving of environmental issues,

The scenario implications show that by encouraging participants to think of discontinuities the backcasting process can help imaging alternative futures

Further developing of participatory elements in backcasting processes could increase their potential for enabling alternative futures thinking even more.

because it provided an adequate management of the topic's complexity and uncertainty while at the same time unfolding alternative futures.

plausible representation of the alternative futures into which the SD concept may evolve by the year 2025.

and develop visions of alternative futures for a transition towards a more sustainable model. VOL. 14 NO. 4 2012 jforesight jpage 335 To purchase reprints of this article please e-mail:

along with the future of legal theory, the future of space law and the alternative futures of crime and prisons.

This was, in fact, the strategy tool chosen by the project to reflect on alternative futures for law and legal systems.

providing the foundation for the following three alternative futures or scenarios for 2030 (described along with their own basic characteristics) 13:1.

provide ideal types of the alternative futures of the global legal environment. They are the analytical coordinates that together make up a compass,

and alternative futures, preparing legal systems for the matrix of different possibilities that compose the Future scenarios, in this respect, should be used‘‘as a tool to deal with uncertainty,

which aims to create transformative spaces for the creation of alternative futures (Inayatullah 1998). 3 Other examples are immersive decision theatres (offering a virtual environment facility to visualise output of predictive and scenario-based models with the aim to support decision-making (Edsall and Larson

Stronger emphasis on creativity and exploration of truly Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 04:57 03 december 2014 Preparing for grand challenges 733 alternative future developments are called for to be prepared better to address both the existing Grand challenges

or to the exploration of several alternative futures (Könnölä, Brummer, and Salo 2007. Apart from methods and objectives, foresight exercises also differ in the settings in which they are used.

but rather credible and coherent stories that describe different paths leading to alternative futures (Fahey and Randall 1998;

and strategy to a long-term common vision of where an organisation wants to position itself within possible alternative futures.

It also considers where all actors see themselves both individually and collectively within these alternative futures.

Institute for Alternative futures. http://www. rockefellerfoundation. org/uploads/files/cf248c9f-3d6c-434a-9d1e-7909bb4c1feb. pdf (accessed July 2012.

However, in the visionary space, the actual exploration of alternative futures is the core. In our ideal model, we have depicted, for example, disruptive futures (phenomena that change the name of the game),

alternative futures (trajectories that are alternatives to the hegemonic futures), ‘black swans'(utterly unsuspected phenomena that have significant impacts),

but recognizes the possibility of alternative futures and also tries to shape or create PAGE 54 jforesight j VOL. 15 NO. 1 2013, pp. 54-73, Q Emerald Group Publishing Limited, ISSN 1463-6689 DOI

in order to identify truly alternative future developments and to enhance our capacity to live in an unpredictable world 14,20, 21.

while most of the other techniques described produce narratives or images of alternative future states. Practices are very diverse and often combinations of techniques 61.

and conceptualize future situations where uncertainties are high Allows strong imagination including alternative futures that are competing Weak on acceptance,

When exploring alternative futures, many foresight exercises do not look into paradigm shifts but rather tackle different variants of the established system view.

Learning to think in terms of alternative futures was seen as an eye-opener, especially at the local level. In the past, some local policy-makers experienced a tendency among politicians to underpin policies by most likely scenarios.

thinking in terms of alternative futures and taking longer-run uncertainties into account is a rather new area of expertise that is still not broadly incorporated into the workings and cultures of local policy organisations.

exploring alternative futures of industrial renewal, in: Contributed paper for the 2007 conference on corporate R&d (CONCORD:

SWOT analyses provide the foundations for defining alternative futures. The Global Business Network (GBN) method enables an assessment of the resources

and strategy to a long-term vision of where the organisation wants to position itself within possible alternative futures;

and strategy to a long-term common vision of where the organisation wants to position itself within possible alternative futures.

Also, it considers where all actors see themselves both individually and collectively within these alternative futures.

and its partners in the value chain considering alternative futures and building upon increased participation in decision making processes for applications such as:

Accelerating and Enhancing Pro-Poor Development Opportunities, Institute for Alternative futures, Alexandria, VA, 2009.51 C. Cagnin, T. Ko nno la, Global foresight:

exploring alternative futures and shaping the direction to follow, coupled with an evaluation of what has or has not been achieved from time to time to correct deviattion

Alternatively, current and planned programmes can be checked against alternative future scenarios to test their robustness over time.

participatory workshop activities offer policymakker an inspiring environment where they can openly discuss the implications of alternative future developments for policy-making in general as well as for their own responsibilities in particular.