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Navigating the complex landscape of policy strategies E. Anders Eriksson A k. Matthias Weber b a FOI Defence Analysis, SE-16490 Stockholm, Sweden b ARC systems
Policy strategy Available online at www. sciencedirect. com Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008) 462 482 Corresponding author.
and modification of actual policy strategies because the perception and the expectations of actors with respect to future developments have changed as a result of the process.
but it is made based on experiences by the authors over the past ten years in a number of European and national foresight and policy strategy processes.
Especially from the perspective of small countries the adaptive element is crucial for devising policy strategies.
Especially when it comes to defining policy strategies, where the fundamental orientations and guidelines for policy need to be discussed as a basis for triggering
and even policy strategies is just an input to actual policy design and implementation. In other words, so far we have been mainly discussing the early phases of the 477 E. A. Eriksson, K. M. Weber/Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008) 462 482 policy process.
the impact of guiding policy strategies should not be underestiimate because in particular public policy strategies fulfill an orienting function for many private actors as well,
and/or leading to waste of public resources. 573 A. Havas/Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008) 558 582 all five of them are equally relevant from a policy strategy) point of view.
Policy 27 (6)( 1998) 569 588.46 K. Aiginger, Copying the US or developing a New European Model policy strategies of successful European countries in the nineties, paper presented at the UN
navigating the complex landscape of policy strategies, Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 75 (4)( 2008) 462 482.8 A. Salo, K. Cuhls, Technology foresight past and future, J. Forecast. 22 (2 3)( 2003) 79 82.9 P
Navigating the Complex Landscape of Policy strategies, Technological forecasting & Social Change, vol. 75,2008, pp. 462 482.20 J. C. Harper, K. Cuhls, L. Georghiou, R. Johnston
navigating the complex landscape of policy strategies, Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 75 (4)( 2008) 462 482.13 A. Volkery, T. Ribeiro, T. Henrichs, Y. Hoogeveen, Your vision or my model?
Instead, a better STI policy strategy is to foster an innovation system that is sufficiently flexible to support such areas at their time of emergence. 5. 3. Deliberative processes Foresight exercises are characterised by deliberation between various stakeholders, often in workshhop and working groups.
participation, accountability, openness, effectiveness, coherence. 2. 2. Foresight in support of policy strategy formation The aforementioned shift in conceiving of policy-making processes is reflected in the evolving practices of foresight.
which served as a backdrop for later elaborating elements of an RTI policy strategy for the city of Vienna.
'Over the following 12 months, a broad participative debate on RTI policy strategies for the city was conducted.
navigating the complex landscape of policy strategies. Technological forecasting & Social Change 75, no. 4: 462 82.
navigating the complex landscape of policy strategies. Technological forecasting and Social Change 75, no. 4: 462 82.
In order to improve Foresight impact on policy strategy building it has been proposed to complement collective Foresight processes with a strategic counselling phase where the outcomes are translated into strategic choices 9. To sum up,
navigating the complex landscape of policy strategies, Technological forecasting and Social Change 75 (4)( 2008) 462 482.10 B.-A°.Lundvall (Ed.),National systems of Innovation:
Navigating the complex landscape of policy strategies, Technological forecasting and Social Change 75 (4)( 2008) 462 482.16 M. Jaspers, H. Banthien, J. Mayer-Ries, New forms
Based on the presented analysis, his paper clarifies the reasons why policy strategy and future-oriented analysis need to move beyond evidence-based approaches.
and foresight frequently fail to grasp socially and economically important technical developments and clariffie why policy strategy,
policy strategy. 5 has had your organisation contact with other governments internationally in discussing these drivers and trends?
navigating the complex landscape of policy strategies, Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 75 (2008) 462 482.16 J. H. Kwakkel, W. E. Walker, V. A w. J. Marchau, Classifying
navigating the complex landscape of policy strategies, Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 75 (2008) 462 482.11 D. Sarewitz, R. A. Pielke, R. Byerly, in:
new types of R&d projects and pathways for integration of policy strategies across diverse policy realms.
5. 1), www. innovation-futures. org 2011.30 K.-H. Leitner, W. Rhomberg, P. Warnke, E. Schirrmeister, A. Kasztler, INFU Policy strategy Report
Due to the low degree of power distance in Denmark, major societal stakeholders expect to be involved in the development process of national research policy strategies.
navigating the complex landscape of policy strategies, Technological forecasting and Social Change 75 (May 4))(2008) 462 482.6 O. Saritas, Systemic foresight methodology, in:
and policy strategies innovating (policy preparation phase): to gather inspiration for innovative policy visions and policy strategies testing policies (policy preparation phase:
to gain insight into how future-proof and future-oriented policies really are evaluating policies (after implementation:
'Here the results are translated into policy strategies, thus enabling results to be adapted to different policy making bodies or organisations 23.
Adaptive foresight Navigating, the complex landscape of policy strategies. Paper presented at Second International Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis:
which aim to support the formattio of policy strategies and associated governance models. Among others, he has been involved in the Europeea projects FISTERA and EPIS, both dealing with the future of the information society.
Navigatiin the complex landscape of policy strategies. Technological forecasting and Social Change, 75 (4), 462 482. Friedewald, M, von Oertzen, J and Cuhls, K 2007:
navigating the complex landscape of policy strategies',Technological forecasting and Social Change, 75: 462 82. European commission, Joint research Centre, Institute for Prospective Technological Studies.
Different types of grand challenges call for different transformation models and policy strategies. The distinction between disrupptiv and recognised grand challenges referred to in the European Science Foundation report (European Science Foundation 2010) highlights the fact that areas of disruptiiv grand challenges can be exogenous
and in particular policy strategies Various governance modes are addressed in examination of instituutiona change for uptake of foresight results in design of systemic innovation policy Discusses how the findings of foresight project are embedded in institutional structures and policy design 160.
participants are typically senior decision-makers who are in a position to influence policy strategy outcomes and to take action to implement the emerging vision.
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