There are several types of foresight approaches and methodologies, each aiming at different purposes and stressing different facets.
Historically this trend is linked to the adoption of the term‘technology foresight'as 2 For a typology to systematise foresight approaches,
Furthermore, most foresight approaches actively involve stakeholders and their inputs. Foresight methodologies can also be used to assess ex ante the impacts of just released,
In the present paper, we aim at explicating the contribution of the foresight approach to the identification of trade-offs.
We developed a specific methodological layout of a strategic planning process the Regional infrastructure foresight method that builds on a combination of foresight approaches that focus on exploratory context scenarios, option assessment and multiple perspectives.
and technology oriented forecasstin practices and called for new participatory and systemic foresight approaches 3. Also the R&d functions are moving from the basic science
and therefore not always productive, to apply systematic risk assessment methods together with more loosely formulated foresight approaches
risk analysis, and foresight approach into one anticipatory methodological concept of strategic policy intelligence. In principle, this concept could be applied in the study of different kinds of societal objects and objectives, related to national innovation system, regions, research programmes or societal actors, engaging private enterprises and public organizations.
In order to address objectives 1 and 2, in the foresight approach, well-known search strategies as well as other methods from innovation research,
and M. Borup 2. 2. Foresight approaches and methods Whereas the rationale for foresight gets its legitimacy from the tradition of evolutionary econoomi foresight,
This interest is fuelled by the recognition that there is a‘translation problem'appareen in foresight approaches that predominantly rely on broad participatory processes, namely the translation of shared collective problem perceptions and visions into actual decisions of individuua actors and organisations.
Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:11 03 december 2014 998 A. Salo et al. 4. 2. Extensive vs exclusive stakeholder engagement Extensive stakeholder engagement refers to foresight approaches where the number of participants is high
and learning capability could be improved substantially by tailoring the Foresight approach to the targeted innovation arena. 2010 Elsevier Ltd.
and demand sides, opening the possibility for the application of foresight approaches. We note the emergence of a combination of corrective, disruptive and creative roles. 2010 Elsevier Ltd.
or more areas of science or technology and uses foresight approaches to assess their potential and the actions needed to take them forward.
The use of foresight approaches to build linkages for innovation represents a focus for foresight activity in innovation.
Considering these issues there is a prima facie case for the application of foresight approaches on a substantial scale.
what most foresight approaches are about. How then does this relate to trends in innovation policy? An emergent opportunity for the application of foresight is in demand-side innovation policy.
The application of foresight approaches to these areas has been explored by Blind who focuses on approaches which identify future fields for regulatory action
The use of foresight approaches allows procurers to open up their thinking to technical or other solutions
Use of network building foresight approaches can help to redress this situation. In sum, as Wilkinson et al. put it in a guide to procurement for innovation:‘‘
Second, this foresight approach may be welcomed by both strategic and physical planners. On the one hand, it offers a comprehensive future vision of a territorial issue and its functional implications,
focusing on the development of an innovative foresight approach to identify major trends and develop visions of alternative futures for a transition towards a more sustainable model.
The key features of foresight approaches are reviewed against the background of this observation, as well as the main results of the sociology of expectations,
Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 04:57 03 december 2014 732 Editorial Should a firm match its foresight approach with the types of uncertainty it faces?
This particular condition will have consequences for the established foresight approaches. This paper conceptually and empirically investigates the phenomenon that socio-technical developments are shot through with informal anticipations
We grouped our sample firms into two clusters on the basis of the similarities in the kinds of drivers of change they faced and the foresight approaches they adopted:
Foresight in mature industries Environmental uncertainty and foresight approach The chemical and automotive industries throughout the last decade were typically mature and global industries where trajectories of technologies
Foresight in fast-paced industries Environmental uncertainty and foresight approach The consumer electronics and ICT industries
and implement very different foresight approaches. So far, scholars in strategic management have unexplored left a key issue of environmental change:
we believe that matching the right foresight approach with the specific kind of uncertainty faced by a firm is an essential condition in order to foster and nurture the learning process about the future
this article introduces a country level case study using a foresight approach to look at the implications of global drivers and trends for Ireland,
whether organisations (including private companies) that consistently adopt foresight approaches, perform ultimately better than those that do not.
Inductive foresight approach with an emphasis on capturing indications for extra-systemic change at a micro level instead of extrapolating seemingly dominant macro-trends.
Inductive foresight approach Visual inspiration Assessment of coverage of dimensions of change Extended openness for diversity (prolonged divergence.
In the following sub-sections these features are described in more detail. 2. 1. Inductive foresight approach There is a wide variety of foresight approaches differentiated not only by their objectives
We feel that the integration of elements fromdifferent foresight approaches such as weak signal scanning and diverse scenario approaches might help in addressing structural transformation.
In addition, one of the characterristic of the foresight approach involves the ample possibilities offered to investigate
if it is to continue to play a leadership role for the global scientific community. 3. Foresight approach
and results ICSU is no stranger to using foresight approaches. In 2002 it commissioned a meta-analysis of the results of several existing national foresight exercises with the aim of identifying future priority areas for international science cooperation (Teixera et al. 2002.
More recently, ICSU has started to use foresight approaches in some of its thematic work. For example, it has been carrying out a visioning exercise On earth systems research with a view to identifying a single strategic framework for global environmental change research and its policy relevance (ICSU 2010.
In contrast to these earlier foresight approaches, the exercise described in this paper neither attempted to identify research priorities nor did it focus on any particulla research field.
Many of the ICSU membership have adopted foresight approaches to help them become more flexible and responsive.
This risk of partiality can be limited by introducing a foresight approach into the process. Considering the national differences in foresight capabilities and capacities, particcula efforts in organising training35 for possible national coordinators could enhance the overall quality
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