Steps towards the development of a framework conceptualising the dynamics of‘foresight systems'Effie Amanatidou a,,
Additionally, such an interpretation is conceived as a step towards the development of a conceptual framework aimed at understanding the dynamics of‘foresight systems'.
the foresight system's interaction with the wider environment has to be studied in order to identify the factors affecting the success of the whole process.
An approach for developing an impact assessment framework the foresight system. b: An approach for developing an impact assessment framework the wider environment. 547 E. Amanatidou,
focusing first on impacts before moving‘outwards'(or‘backwards')towards the basic elements of the foresight system.
'The focus thus shifts from what happens within a foresight system (Fig. 3a) to a new focus on the way a foresight system affects,
effectiveness, appropriateness, sustainability and additionality. 6. Understanding the dynamics of foresight systems in three countries A first attempt to understand the dynamics of foresight systems can be based on the evaluation of three foresight exercises;
Impact assessment framework foresight system (based on the cases of UK, Sweden and Malta. b: Impact assessment framework wider environment (based on the cases of UK, Sweden and Malta.
551 E. Amanatidou, K. Guy/Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008) 539 557 Given that all the elements of a foresight system can now be identified,
b) coping with greater Fig. 5. An impact assessment framework for foresight systems capable of enhancing a more participatory‘knowledge society'.
thus capable of explaining the interdependencies and interrelatiionship between foresight system elements such as actors, processes, inputs, outputs and impacts,
'It also helps in the identification of external factors affecting the success of the foresight system as a whole.
and external factors to build up an understanding of how a foresight system works (Fig. 4a and b). Needless to say,
and a list of considerations that are relevant for designers of foresight systems, structures and processses The key requirement seems to be creating the close linkages with policy-makers that in turn appear to be mainly dependent upon their sensitivity to futuur challenges,
steps towards the development of a framework conceptualising the dynamics of‘foresight systems'.'Paper presented at the Second International Seville Seminar on Futuureoriented Technology analysis, held 28 29 september 2006, Seville, Spain.
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