Synopsis:
Time & dates: Dates: Years: 2025:
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The Sixth Technology Forecast Survey Future technology in Japan toward The Year 2025, No. 52, NISTEP Report, Tokyo,(1993.
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in Section 4 alternative visions are devised at three levels, with the time horizon of 2020 2025.
These visions offer a description of future states in 2020 2025 rather than fully fledged or path scenarios
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Consensual‘‘Innovation 25''has set 5 scenarios of Japan society in 2025 and it includes‘‘Long Health Society'',Safe and Secure Society'',Society with Multiple Career Path,
ART42.pdf
or Coates'2025 11.7 This is not to endorse all of the specific conclusions or forecasts of either study.
The Handbook of Technology foresight, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK, 2008.11 J. F. Coates, J. B. Mahaffie, A. Hines, 2025:
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and 2025 as the character of the 21st century begins to become firmly established. What are the shaping forces,
Global Futures Forum Vancouver April 2008, Europe@2025 European commission. Contents lists available at Sciencedirect Futures journal homepage:
2016 2025; beyond 2025.3.1.2. Data set Total surveys submitted: 293; substantive completion: 106 (about 50%of FTA Conference attendees;
The time of occurrence for most of the trends was considered to be from 2016 to 2025.
More than half of the respondents from North america and the EU countries suggested a medium time horizon (between 2016 and 2025) for the occurrence of the trends identified.
Whereas, the majority of respondents from Academia and NGOS (51%and 58%respectively) considered that the trends will occur between 2016 and 2025
The majority of respondents from the EU member and associate countries and North america considered that around half of the drivers will occur between 2016 and 2025.
The majority of the all respondents (around 50%)consider that the drivers will emerge from 2016 to 2025.
As the years of experience increased, the time horizon for the occurrence of wild cards tended to remain between 2016 and 2025.
Respondents with no experience expected that the wild cards would occur after 2025, whereas the respondents with maximum 3 years of experience had a shorter time horizon (2008 2015).
Different from the other groups, respondents with 5 15 years experience considered that more than 50%of the discontinuities will occur with the realisation time between 2016 and 2025.
whereas the most experienced respondents expect that the discontinuities will occur in the medium run (2016 2025.
On the other hand 67%of the respondents from Australasia considered the likelihood of occurrence medium. 45%of North american respondents expect that the discontinuities will occur after 2025,
whereas most of the EU member country respondents suggest that the discontinuities will emerge between 2016 and 2025.
to 2025. These differences suggest some further survey or focus group opportunities to probe the differences in perception of discontinuities. 3. 2. 5. 3. Joint assessment of Foresight affiliation and discontinuities.
This time Academia and Business suggested that most of the discontinuities would emerge from 2016 to 2025
whereas students and Governmental respondents expected a longer time horizon (beyond 2025. 3. 2. 6. Weak signals The radar diagram below (Fig. 12) shows the orientations of the 171 weak signals identified by the respondents of the Big Picture Survey.
The respondents with a Foresight experience longer than 1 year expect most the majority of the weak signals to emerge in the medium term future (2016 2025),
whereas the inexperienced respondents have a longer time horizon (beyond 2025). This is likely due to the familiarity that older
The majority of the Business respondents have a longer term time horizon (beyond 2025) compared to the respondents from Academia
and Governments who consider that most of the weak signals will occur in the mid-term (2016 2025).
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which social attitudes towards sustainable development were explored in the Spanish context for the horizon 2025 (Fundacio'n OPTI, 2007).
plausible representation of the alternative futures into which the SD concept may evolve by the year 2025.
green paradigm (circa 2025. This scenario takes place when there is both a proactive and a favourable response by public and private agents to SD and also an abundance of all types of resources required to achieve sustainable development.
predator development (circa 2025. This scenario occurs when resources of all types are abundant, but at the same time public and private agents have either a slow or a passive reaction to sustainability challenges.‘‘
back to basics (circa 2025. In this scenario, there is a significant shortage of all resource types due to a prolonged recession,
is used to guide the implications analysis. Functional implications of Scenario A (2025). The‘‘green paradigm''scenario reflects a proactive social response to SD
Functional implications of Scenario B (2025. The‘‘predator development''scenario evolves when resources are abundant,
Functional implications of Scenario C (2025. The‘‘back to basics''scenario takes place when economic and environmental crises are recurrent,
Projections for the year 2025 are displayed using diverse tools and analysis methods. The ultimate purpose of these parameters is to translate functional implications into quantitative values,
Spatial implications of Scenario A (2025. The predominant philosophy of the‘‘green paradigm''scenario will be to thrive in economic and social terms with lower consumption of energy, water and natural resources.
Spatial implications of Scenario B (2025. In the‘‘predator development''scenario, population growth coupled with strong economic development
I Main scenarios indicators 2025 Indicators Measurement unit 2010 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Analytical methods and tools used for estimating indicators Society Population growth K
Spatial implications of Scenario C (2025. In the‘‘back to basics''scenario, sustainable development will be imperative due to the lack of energy resources and low economic activity.
Figure 8 Spatial implications of Scenario A (2025) VOL. 14 NO. 4 2012 jforesight jpage 329 B Build a new economic model that is environment-friendly
Figure 9 Spatial implications of Scenario B (2025) PAGE 330 jforesight jvol. 14 NO. 4 2012 B Pursue a massive incorporation of new technologies into public administration to improve
Figure 10 Spatial implications of Scenario C (2025) VOL. 14 NO. 4 2012 jforesight jpage 331 5. Applied approach to territorial foresight The proposed method to reconcile territorial
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The first roadmapping phase traced the big picture of the service landscape from the present moment (2009) until 2025.
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Delphi topics that were forecasted to be realized by 2025 were extracted and reframed as a form of scenes. 2. 3. 3 Future society as discussed by the younger generation.
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In 2007, the RF Ministry of Education and Science initiated the National S&t Foresight until 2025 to identify S&t priorities (Sokolov, 2008a,2009.
2025 (FS1) The aim of this foresight study was the identification of the most important and well-developed S&tareas in Russia in the long-term perspective.
the identification of such priorities was the objective of FS3. 3. 3 Innovation priorities for the Russian natural resources sector (FS3) Innovation priorities for the Russian natural resources sector for the period until 2025
The innovation priorities until 2025 for the development of the Russian natural resources sector was developed on the basis of identification of the most important problems and challenges regarding the natural resources sector's management system and necessary conditions for S&t development.
2025 underlined the importance of improving the infrastructure and increasing the budget for R&d funding and training;
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Airfield Capacity Model, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington D c, 1981.40 FAA, FAA Aerospace Forecast Fiscal years 2008 2025, U s. Department of transportation, Federal Aviation
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Available at http://www. eea. europa. eu/multimedia/interactive/prelude-scenarios/prelude. 8. The world in 2025 European commission (2009
The world in 2025. Rising Asia and socio-ecological transition. Research*eu, Brussels. Last accessed on 29/06/11 and available at http://ec. europa. eu/research/social-sciences/pdf/theworrldin-2025-report en. pdf. 9. Givaudan
Givaudan (2011) Sustainability, translating vision into action. Last accessed on 29/06/11 and available at www. givaudan. com. 10.
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Four scenario snapshots of possible states of the future by 2025 were developed. Based on these the IMS2020 Vision was defined.
6. Developing the selected snapshots highlighting how their main features interact within each possible state of the future by 2025.
The timeframe 2025 was selected both to break from current mindsets and to allow partners to think freely without trying to connect these possible states of the future with the desired IMS2020 vision,
Science.PublicPolicyVol37\2. Joint horizon scanning.pdf
and which will focus on the use of scan data to address particular challenges that were indicated in the EC's World 2025 exercise (Fauroult, 2009).
The world 2025, contribution from an expert group. European commission, Directorate-General for Reseaarch Socioeconomic Sciences and Humanities.
Science.PublicPolicyVol39\4. Orienting international science cooperation to meet global ‘grand challenges’.pdf
Scenarios for the European research Landscape 2025. Munich: Fraunhofer Gesellschaft. ICSU. 2006) Strengthening International Science for the Benefit of Society:
Science.PublicPolicyVol39\5. Innovation policy roadmapping as a systemic instrument for forward-looking.pdf
The long-term vision, targeted towards the year 2025, for the roadmap of environmentally sustainable ICT was the following:
Science.PublicPolicyVol39\8. Facing the future - Scanning, synthesizing and sense-making in horizon scanning.pdf
with the aim of identifying future trends and disruptive events that could have major implications on EU policy-making by 2025 (cf.
relevance to EU policy-making. novelty in comparison with earlier policy debates. probability of occurrence by 2025 In total, 381 issues were evaluated on a seven-point Likert-scale
and its impacts will be felt more intensely in the period 2025 50. According to the OECD (2008), 2. 8 billion,
European communities (2009)‘ The world in 2025. Rising Asia and socio-ecological transition',EUR 23921 EN.
Science.PublicPolicyVol39\9. Fraunhofer future markets.pdf
'One is‘The World in 2025'(EU Commission 2009), which argues about trends, tensions and major transitions.
) The Asian century is approaching, with nearly twothiird of the world's population living in Asia (in 2025), with increasing inequalities and Asia as the first producer and exporter of the world..
2009) The World in 2025. Rising Asia and Socio-ecological Transition, EUR 23921 EN. Brussels:
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