Synopsis:
Time & dates: Dates: Years: 2030:
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, Comparing Technology Forecast Surveys, Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg, 1994.48 Science and Technology foresight Center (NISTEP), The Seventh Technoloy Forecast Future technology in Japan toward the Year 2030, No. 72
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and uncertain factors for further analysis. During the first stakeholder workshop the participants project different possible states of each of the factors in the year 2030+of each of the suggested influencing factors.
They construct the context scenarios for the year 2030+discursively by describing coherent and plausible scenarios that are regional specific 63,64.
In the first workshop, the stakeholders elaborated four alternative scenarios describing context conditions in the year 2030+based on the set of influencing factors
Rev. 51 (2)( 2009) 30 50.3 OECD, Infrastructure to 2030: Telecom, Land Transport, Water and Electricity, OECD Publishing, Paris, 2006.4 B. Flyvbjerg, Policy and planning for large-infrastructure projects:
transport in Great britain in 2030, Transp. Policy 13 (3)( 2006) 254 264.41 Vision 2030 Consortium, Vision 2030 Final Report.
An Investigation into the Long-term challenges and Opportunities for the UK's Strategic Highway Network, Highway Agency for England, London, 2003.42 Office of Science and Technology, Intelligent Infrastructure Futures, Foresight Directorate
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2030 and the Kyoto Protocol's timeframe of 2008 2012. An interesting observation in both the cases analysed is that the members of the core strategy groups are also those responsible for implementing the strategy.
-oriented Technology-oriented and methods Time horizon 10 20 years 2008 2012 and 2030 Method, systematics and tools Invited vision papers Council discussions Council members'own
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transport and reduced CO2 emissions in the UK by 2030'',Transport Policy, Vol. 14, pp. 377-87.
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which three spatial scenarios were set out for the horizon 2030 (European foresight Platform, 20115). Finally, the European foresight Platform, another European commission funded body, has made an intense effort to compile several regional foresight exercises within its Knowledge sharing Platform (European foresight Platform, 2011.
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which it later designed a number of alternatives visions of Law in 2030. This project, most welcome for its originality
Scenario planning law scenarios for 2030. Based on the analysis of the various expert think pieces submitted,
or scenarios for 2030 (described along with their own basic characteristics) 13:1. The Global Constitutionalism scenario:
Law Scenarios to 2030. Signposting the legal space of the future. 14. A concrete example of a combination between quantitative and qualitative methods in FTA, namely between scenario and modelling analysis, can be found in the so-called International Futures (IFS.‘‘
www. futurict. ethz. ch/data/Whatfuturictwilldo4media. pdf HIIL (2011),‘Law scenarios to 2030. Signposting the legal space of the future'',available at:
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Therefore for this additional investigation the RF Ministry of Education and Science initiated the second cycle of the National S&t Foresight until 2030.
2030 (FS2) The aim of this study was an evaluation of required resources and possible innovation projects for the most important S&t fields.
2030 was based on the FS1 results and also on a renewed version of the National S&t priorities and Critical technologies.
Thus, the major development areas relating to the‘‘Rational Use of Natural resources''field for the period until 2030 were described in the course of the exercise
and promote solving the key problems identified in the FS2 framework FS3 An identification of innovation priorities for the Russian management system in natural resources until 2030 The innovation priorities
2030 (2009), Russian Energy Strategy: 2030, Russian Federation, Moscow. Russian Federation (2009), On the Current State and Utilisation of Mineral resources of the Russian Federation in 2009, State Report, Russian Federation, Moscow.
Sokolov, A. 2008a),‘Science and technology foresight in Russia: results of a national Delphi'',3rd International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA), 16-17 october, Seville, Book of Abstracts.
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The Delphi method is especially useful for long-range forecasting (2030 years), as expert opinions are the only source of information available.
& future technology of Korea-challenges and opportunities (Korea 2030) China's Report of Technology foresight 2004 Report year 2005 2005 2004 Project promoter/initiator Ministry of Education
and Technology policy Research institute (STEPI) Technology foresight Research team, National research Center for Science and Technology for Development Time horizon 2035 2030 2020 Original category Energy and resources Energy
The remaining six and three Delphi topics are regarded as having realization between the years 2021 and 2030 and after the year 2031, respectively.
only one topic regarded as having realization between the years 2021 and 2030. In China, all the topics were regarded as having realization before the year 2020.
and the possible Table V Realization time distribution of Delphi topic in Japan, South korea and China Before 2020 2021-2030 After 2031 Time horizon Topics Ratio (percent
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and Innovative Approaches) and EFONET (Energy Foresight Network) and is rapporteur of the EC Working group Global Europe 2030 2050.
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Dauvellier, H. C a. van der Cammen, Limburg 2030: uitstekend in Europa,(Limburg 2030: Excellent in Europe), TNO-Eindrapport, TNO Inro, Delft, 1998.17 Provincie Limburg, Limburg, een generatie verder. 4 scenario's over demografie, economie en milieu
(Limburg, One Generation Further. 4 Scenarios on Demographics, Economy and the Environment), Maastricht, 2006.18 Provincie Limburg, Provinciaal Omgevingsplan Limburg.
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2030). ) 3. 2. 1. Methodological approach A multi-method approach was used to stimulate users'creative and imaginative potential in the IF process.
Science.PublicPolicyVol39\7. On concepts and methods in horizon scanning.pdf
Czaplicka-Kolarz, K.,Stanczyk, K. and Kapusta, K. 2009)‘ Technology foresight for a vision of energy sector developmeen in Poland till 2030.
Science.PublicPolicyVol39\8. Facing the future - Scanning, synthesizing and sense-making in horizon scanning.pdf
OECD. 2008) OECD Environmental Outlook to 2030. Paris: OECD. Rossel, P. 2011)‘ Beyond the obvious:
Science.PublicPolicyVol39\9. Fraunhofer future markets.pdf
Future radar 2030 (Zukunftsradar 2030)',International Journal of Foresight and Innovation policy, forthcoming special issue. Lund Declaration.
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