Synopsis:
Time & dates: Dates: Years: 2004:
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Introduction New horizons and challenges for future-oriented technology analysis The 2004 EU US seminarb Fabiana Scapolo European commission Directorate General Joint research Centre, Institute for Prospective Technological Studies
Forecasting and Assessment Methodst that was held in Seville on 13 14 may 2004, organised by the Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) of European commission's Directorate General Joint research Centre.
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Eval. 13 (3)( 2004) 143 153.14 PREST, Evaluation of the Hungarian technology foresight programme (TEP), Report of an International Panel, University of Manchester, Manchester, 2004.15 R. Slaughter, A new framework
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networking and priority setting in the development of a shared research agenda for an international research program. 3. Shaping of research agendas in Woodwisdom-Net Woodwisdom-Net4 was started in 2004 as one of the ERA NETS supported by European union.
Change 71 (3)( 2004) 287 303.5 L. Georghiou, D. Roessner, Evaluating technology programs: tools and methods, Res.
Policy 1 (1)( 2004) 4 32.16 A. Salo, J. Liesiö, A case study in participatory priority-setting for a Scandinavian research program, Int. J. Info.
Policy 1 (1)( 2004) 70 88.18 J.,Liesiö, P.,Mild, A.,Salo, Robust Portfolio Modeling with incomplete cost information and project interdependencies, Eur.
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in the final section we will present some results of a small-scale Delphi study among participants of an ITU (International Telecommunication Union) expert workshop on Adjusting Forecasting methods to the Needs of the Telecommunication Sector organised in September 2004.
Analysis of Regulations Shaping New Markets, European commission DG Enterprise (ed.),Luxembourg,(2004. 9 B. R. Martin, Foresight in science and technology, Technol.
EURAS Proceedings 2004, Wissenschaftsverlag Mainz in Aachen, Aachen, 2004, pp. 24 38.32 H. J. De vries, Standardization in service sectors exploration of market needs
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Change 71 (2004) 5 26.17 D. Probert, M. Radnor, Frontier experiences from industry academia consortia, Res.
Change 71 (1 2)( 2004) 161 185.23 G. Spinardi, R. Williams, The Governance Challenges of Breakthrough Science and Technology, in:
Change 71 (2004) 141 159.26 F. Lizaso, G. Reger, Linking roadmapping and scenarios as an approach for strategic technology planning
Plan. 1 (1)( 2004) 68 86.27 U. Fiedeler, T. Fleischer, M. Decker, Roadmapping as TA-Tool:
New technology Foresight, Forecasting & Assessment Methods, Seville, May 2004, pp. 13 14.28 T. Fleischer, M. Decker,
New technology Foresight, Forecasting & Assessment Methods, Seville, May 2004, pp. 13 14.29 S. Kuhlmann, et al.
Today 9 (2004. 64 F. W. Geels, Towards sociotechnical scenarios and reflexive anticipation: Using patterns and regularities in technology dynamics, in:
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‘Futur the German research dialogue',Research Evaluation 13 (3)( 2004) 143 153.3 R. Barre, Synthesis of technology foresight, in:
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Policy 33 (3)( 2004) 455 471.23 EC, Frontier Research: The European Challenge, HLEG report, DG Research, Office for Official Publications of the European communities, Luxembourg, 2005.24 OECD, Frascati Manual:
-ECE Spring Seminar 2004: Competitiveness and economic growth in the ECE region, Geneva, 23,february 2004 47 K. Aiginger, A. Guger, The European Socio-economicmodel:
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Building on the success of the 2004 and 2006 events, the third edition of the Conference in October 2008
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Technol. 49 (5 6)( 2004) 35 37.10 T. Larsen, W. Gujer, Waste design and source control lead to flexibility in wastewater management, Water Sci.
Asce 130 (1)( 2004) 2 13.39 Y. Shiftan, S. Kaplan, S. Hakkert, Scenario building as a tool for planning a sustainable transportation system, Transport.
Res. 158 (3)( 2004) 662 677.53 J. J. Winebrake, B. P. Creswick, The future of hydrogen fueling systems for transportation:
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Policy 1 (1)( 2004) 4 32.4 K. Smith, Innovation as a systemic phenomenon: rethinking the role of policy, Enterp.
Agency, 1993 2004, Available at: http://reports. eea. europa. eu/GH-07-97-595-EN-C2/en/riskindex. html (read June 12th 2008.
Guideline Scenarios General Summary, 2004 http://www. futuribles. com/pdf/Strategicenvironment. pdf. Read 28th 2009.
Minna Halonen (MSC) has been working as Research scientist at VTT Technical research Centre of Finland since 2004.
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13 may 2004; received in revised form 24 october 2004; accepted 1 november 2004 Abstract This paper describes some important frontiers of futures research with the aim of identifying new opportunities for improving the value and utility of the field.
These frontiers include the exploration and/or the reexamination of (a) Potential for integrating new technology with futures research methods,
(b) Ways to reduce the domain of the unknowable, (c) Ways to account for uncertainty in decision making,(d) Strategies for planning and management of nonlinear systems operating in the chaotic regime,
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The barometer has been undertaken in 2004 2005 and 2007, and a wide interest and emerged discussion of barometer proves that a social interest
The first technology barometer was published in 2004 and since then that barometer has been repeated twice in 2005
/Technological forecasting & Social Change 76 (2009) 1177 1186 The theoretical framework of technology barometer is based on various economic development stages since the first barometer exercise in 2004.
The first barometer was published in 2004. Having reached its 3rd round of implementation it is now possible to see what type of development trends are currently in progress in addition to the key numbers of each individual study.
Compared to the previous indicator studies (Technology barometer 2004 and 2005 positive development was observed in entrepreneurship and openness to internationalism. 1180 T. Loikkanen et al./
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and Innovation policy, vol. 1, 2004, pp. 4 32,2/3. 25 C. Cagnin, M. Keenan, R. Johnston, F. Scapolo, R. Barré, Future-oriented technology analysis
and since 2004 in the Department of Research Analysis, Research Communication and Science Coordination. Walter Ganz is director and member of the Leading Circle of the Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Engineering (IAO) in Stuttgart, Germany.
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lessons from regional projects, Development 47 (4)( 2004) 62 72.24 M. B. A. van Asselt, Perspectives on Uncertainty and Risk:
Futures 36 (2)( 2004) 145 159. Axel Volkery, Phd, is a project manager for policy and scenario analysis at the European Environment Agency in Copenhagen, Denmark.
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This element of the narrative was inspired by NIOSH 2004 which raised concerns around the manufacturing of nanoparticles.
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and lists of approaches and methood for foresight have been suggested by different authors in review articles on foresight and future-oriented technology assessment methods (Technology Futures analysis Methodsworking Group 2004).
and utilised foresight from this perspective (Eerola et al. 2004; Karlsen and Karlsen 2007. In this perspective the premises for foresight might be that:
The Danish advisory and funding system for research was subjected to a large reform in January 2004. Following this reform the Technical research Council was merged with another council
Steps 1 3 were carried out in 2003 and the first half of 2004, whereas the follow-up activities and the roadmaps for some of the areas are being undertaken currently.
In the second half of 2003 and in 2004, two other areas were defined as priorities for strategy development.
and E. A. Eriksson. 2004. Nordich2energy foresight complementary contribution of expert views and formal analyses.
PP-CT-M-2004-0004. Forskningsstyrelsen. 2003. Tal om forskning 2003 statistik. Copenhagen: Forskningsstyrelsen. Gavigan, J. P.,F. Scapolo, M. Keenan,
Technology Futures analysis Methodsworking Group. 2004. Technology future analysis: towards integration of the field and new methods.
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In addition, the government increased spending on publicr&dfrom 0. 08%of gross domestic product (GDP) in 1999 to 0. 3%in 2004 and plans a further increase to 0. 58%by 2010.3 Figure 1
000 000 120 000 000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Public research centres FNR UL Figure 1. Public
and the Seychelles as pilot countries (see Wehrmeyer et al. 2004). 2.‘Competence niches'refer to areas of potential economic success that develop from the establishment of an exceptionally strong knowledge base in a particular domain. 3. As the GDP of Luxembourg has increased by 50%(from¤22 to 33.1 billion) between 2000 and 2006,
and K. Lum. 2004. Foresighting and technology choice in small developing countries. In Paper presented at the EU US Seminar:
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Smits and Kuhlmann 2004. Initially, the prevailing technocratic and linear process models of policy making (e g. in terms of formulation implementation evaluatiio phases) were replaced by cycle models,
In fact, when the research programme was started at the end of 2004, the suggestion of launching a participatory foresight process as part of the research programme was rejected by the representatives of the City of Vienna in the management team of the programme.
and S. Kuhlmann. 2004. The rise of systemic instruments in innovation policy. International Journal of Foresight and Innovation policy 1, nos. 1/2: 4 32.
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Schwandt and Gorman (2004) argue that organisations do not necessarily follow a straight and rational logic of techno-scientific expectations and promises.
Grunwald 2004; Cunliffe 2005; Konrad and Voß 2006) in designing foresight processes and adaptive planning (Grin, Felix, and Bos 2004;
Weber 2006) and as a critical tool in qualitative research (Lynch 2000; Colombo 2003; Cañellas-Boltà and Strand 2006.
and highlighted‘contesting values or problematic social changes of some kind'(O'connor 2004). This article is based on the collection of specific moments in
'2. See Cuhls (2003), Cuhls and Georghiou (2004), Rask (2008), Van't Klooster and Van Asselt (2006).
For more insight into scenarios and visions work, see Van Notten (2005) and Gertler and Wolfe (2004.
2004). ) 6. Slaughter (2004,92 4) sees the development of Critical Future Studies (CFS) following the traditions of STS in‘challenging the inevitability
Forum Qualitative Sozialforschung 4, no. 2. http://www. qualitative-research. net/index. php/fqs/article/view/718 Cornish, E. 2004.
and L. Georghiou. 2004. Evaluating a participative foresight process: futur the German research dialogue. Research Evaluation 13, no. 3: 143 53.
and D. A. Wolfe. 2004. Local social knowledge management: community actors, institutions and multilevel governance in regional foresight exercises.
and B. Bos. 2004. Practises for reflexive design: lessons from a Dutch programme on sustainable agriculture.
Grunwald, A. 2004. Strategic knowledge for sustainable development: the need for reflexivity and learning at the interface between science and society.
O'connor, K. 2004. Devising a new approach to capitalism at home. Anthropology Matters Journal 6, no. 2. http://www. anthropologymatters. com/journal/2004-2/o'connor 2004 devising. htm (accessed September 2009.
Pløger, J. 2001. Public participation and the art of governance. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 28, no. 2: 219 41.
and M. Gorman. 2004. Foresight or foreseeing? A social action explanation of complex collective knowing. In Managing the future:
and R. Earley. 2004. Evaluating municipal visioning. Planning Practice & Research 19, no. 2: 195 209.
Slaughter, R. A. 2004. Futures beyond dystopia: creating social foresight. London: Routledge Farmer. Stoker, G. 1998.
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Suite 230, Norcross, GA, 30071, USA Received 13 may 2004; received in revised form 11 october 2004;
accepted 18 october 2004 Abstract Empirical technology analyses need not take months; they can be done in minutes.
One can thereby take advantage of wide availability of rich science and technology publication and patent abstract databases to better inform technology management.
What You Need from Technology information Products, Research-Technology management, 2004 (Nov 8 H. de Bruijn, A l. Porter, The education of a technology policy analyst-to process management, Technology analysis and Strategic management 16 (2)( 2004
and Retrieval, Springer, New york, 2004, pp. 185 224.11 See http://www. kdnuggets. com/.12 C. Chen, Mapping Scientific Frontiers:
The Quest for Knowledge Visualization, Springer, London, 2003.13 R. M. Shiffrin, K. Borner, Mapping knowledge domains, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 101 (Suppl. 1)( 2004
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group decision support 1. Introduction As an instrument of strategic policy intelligence (Smits and Kuhlmann 2004), foresight must often serve multiple objectives that are shaped by its policy context.
Salo, Könnölä, and Hjelt 2004.**Corresponding author. Email: ahti. salo@tkk. fi ISSN 0953-7325 print/ISSN 1465-3990 online 2009 Taylor & francis DOI:
Smits and Kuhlmann 2004. Such developments often build on various processes of sense-making and negotiation that draw upon on foresight conclusions.
As instruments of strategic policy intelligence (Smits and Kuhlmann 2004), foresight exerciise such as Finnsight must respond to implicit
Könnölä, and Hjelt 2004. Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:11 03 december 2014 Axes of balance in foresight 999 In Finnsight,
and that they could also adapt the use of methodological tools that were offered to them in a responsive manner (Salo, Könnölä, and Hjelt 2004).
and M. Hjelt. 2004. Responsiveness in foresight management: reflections from the Finnish food and drink industry.
and S. Kuhlmann. 2004. The rise of systemic instruments in innovation policy. International Journal of Foresight and Innovation policy 1, nos. 1 2: 4 32.
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In its first iteration in 2004 it was billed as an EU-US Scientific Seminar but the scope has widened
toward integration of the field and new methods, Technological forecasting and Social Change 71 (2004) 287 303, in press. 2 T. J. Gordon, J. C. Glenn (Eds.
and the long wave, Futures 34 (3 4 april 2002) 317 336.5 F. Scapolo, New horizons and challenges for future-oriented technology analysis the 2004 EU-US seminar, Technological forecasting
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+31 053 489 3353/3350.5 PRIME=Policies for Research and Innovation in the Move towards the European research area, European Network of Excellence (2004 2009;
In 2004, the European commission has lifted a 5-year moratorium on genetically modified produce. Since then, six countries Austria, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary and Luxembourg have chosen to ban Monsanto MON 810 modified maize contradicting EU Commission position.
The European Technology platform for Nanoelectronics European Nanoelectronics Initiative Advisory Council (ENIAC) was launched in 2004 with the mission to bring together all leading players in the field
the open method of co-ordination in innovation policy, Journal of European Public policy 11 (2)( 2004) 249 266.24 R. Barre',Essai d'interpre'tation de
Journal of Foresight and Innovation policy 1 (1/2)( 2004) 4 32.26 A. Salo, T. Ko nno la, M. Hjelt, Responsiveness in Foresight management:
industrial activities in wireless communications, Technological forecasting and Social Change 71 (9)( 2004) 897 912.41 A. Bonaccorsi, Search Regimes and the Industrial Dynamics of Science, in:
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The role of scanning in open intelligence systems Kermit M. Patton*Scan Program, SRI CONSULTING BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE, Menlo Park, CA 94025, United states Received 13 may 2004;
received in revised form 30 september 2004; accepted 1 october 2004 Abstract Every month, SRI CONSULTING BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE (SRIC-BI) professionals assemble more than 100 short abstracts of developments that they perceive to be signals of change, discontinuities, inflection points, outliers, or disruptive developments.
The effort is part of a continuous scanning process and Scan program that allows SRICBB to gauge the ongoing turbulent confluence of culture, commerce,
D 2004 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Keywords: Scanning process; Open intelligence systems; SRIC-BI 1. The premise Predicting the future is impossible.
and changes in cultural factors and 0040-1625/$-see front matter D 2004 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. doi:
rising obesity rates add up to a growing industry in plus-size design, I. D. 65 (2004 March/April) 61 63.
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toward integration of the field and new methods, Technological forecasting and Social Change 71 (3)( 2004) 287 303.2 T. Kuwahara, K. Cuhls, L. Georghiou, Foresight in Japan, in:
. Klusacek, Technology foresight in the Czech republic, International Journal of Foresight and Innovation policy 1 (1 2)( 2004) 89 105.10 K. Klusacek, Key technologies for the Czech National research Programme, in:
R. Smits, S. Kuhlmann, The rise of systemic instruments in innovation policy, International Journal of Foresight and Innovation policy 1 (1/2)( 2004) 4 32.32 P. Warnke
, Futures 36 (10)( 2004) 1063 1075.37 K. Blind, Regulatory foresight: methodologies and selected applications, Technological forecasting and Social Change 75 (2008) 496 516.38 J. Edler, L. Georghiou, Public procurement and innovation resurrecting the demand side, Research policy
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in innovation policy, International Journal of Foresight and Innovation policy 1 (1)( 2004) 4 32.3 T. Ko nno la, G. C. Unruh, J. Carrillo-Hermosilla
in Europe, Futures 36 (10)( 2004) 1063 1075.9 T. Ko nno la, V. Brummer, A. Salo, Diversity in foresight insights from the fostering of innovation ideas
reflections from the Finnish food and drink industry, International Journal of Foresight and Innovation policy 1 (1 2)( 2004) 70 88.11 O. Helmer, Looking Forward:
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toward integration of the field & new methods, Technological forecasting and Social Change 71 (3)( 2004) 287 303.4 R. Johnston, Historical review of the development of future-oriented technology analysis, in:
the case of‘Future',Seville, First International EU US Seville Seminar on Future-oriented technology analysis, 2004 (available at http://forera. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta/papers
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In its Science and Innovation Investment Framework 2004 2014, the UK Government committed to establishing a Centre of Excellence in Horizon scanning
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R. Johnston, C. Cagnin/Futures 43 (2011) 313 316 314 The first FTA Conference in 2004 gathered predominantly the EU-US community together to take stock of the developments
New technology Foresight, Forecasting & Assessment Methods, 2004, European communities Technical Report EUR 21473 EN. 5 F. Scapolo, New horizons and challenges for future-oriented technology analysis:
The 2004 EU-US Seminar, Technological forecasting and Social Change 72 (9)( 2005. 6 Cagnin, et al.
http://forera. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2008/conclusions. html. 10 UK Foresight programme, Flood and Coastal Defence, 2004, http://www. foresight. gov
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thus, is able to deal with unknowns (see Therivel 2004). 4. Illustrative exemplification of the approach The main intention of the differentiation between structurally open
Therivel, R. 2004), Strategic Environmental Assessment in Action, Earthscan, London. TSU Oxford et al. 2010), OPTIC Deliverable 1:
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2004). ) As complexity theory itself has developed, Mitchell (2009), so has limited some work in the foresight field, Ringland (2010) and Miller and Poli (2010),
PAGE 302 jforesight jvol. 14 NO. 4 2012 Mendonc¸A s.,Pine Cunha, M.,Kaivo-oja, J. and Ruff, F. 2004), Futures, Vol
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Received 13 may 2004; received in revised form 30 september 2004; accepted 1 october 2004 Abstract This paper contributes to the development of methods for mapping
and understanding the dynamics of emerging technologies. Our key concept is the notion of irreversibilities that emerge in the ongoing activities of researchers, institutes, policy makers and firms.
Emerging irreversibilities denote the first socio-cognitive patterns that decrease the fluidity and openness, and that, eventually constrain
In February 2004 Nantero 29 states they are on track for NRAM development. Here we see that Nantero over the years has built on the expectations that nonvolatile memories will be commercialised soon.
Q In 2004 Nantero 29 states: bthe proprietary manufacturing approach will enable for the first time the ultra-large scale integration (ULSI) of carbon nanotube-based devices in a deep sub-micron semiconductor fabrication line.
via a prototype (May 2003) to manufacturing a proprietary approach (2004). Hence, the developments at Nantero show a clear way towards commercialisation.
which it hopes to bring before a United nations agency in 2004. This should create a new mechanism that will make it possible for the international community to monitor the development of new technologies whose introduction could affect (positively and/or negatively) human health
Nantero Press release (February 2004. 30 ETC group, Playing god in the Galapagos, News Release (2004)( March), Issue 84.31 S. J. Tans, A r. M. Verschueren, C. Dekker, Room-temperature
transistor based on a single carbon nanotube, Nature 393 (1998) 49 52.32 A. Rip, T. J. Misa, T. J.,J. Schot, Managing Technology
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. 36 40, D-76021 Karlsruhe, Germany Received 13 may 2004; received in revised form 30 september 2004;
accepted 2 october 2004 Abstract Technology assessment reflecting on R&d and technological trends in the area of nanotechnology and its implications is confronted with the problem that most scientific endeavours of nanotechnology can be allocated to basic research
while most of the technological visions related to nanotechnology are far (N10 years) in the future. Since technology assessment has to integrate the socioeconomic context of a technical product
Technology assessment Methods and Impacts, Springer Heidelberg, New york, 2004. T. Fleischer et al.//Technological forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 1112 1121 1120 2 T. Fleischer, A. Grunwald, Technikgestaltung fu r mehr Nachhaltigkeit Anforderungen an die Technikfolgenabscha
Change 71 (1 2)( 2004) 1 3. 9 R. Galvin, Science roadmaps, Science 280 (5365)( 1998) 803.10 A. Grunwald, Technikfolgenabscha tzung eine
Change 71 (1/2)( 2004) 161 185.12 S. Walsh, J. Elders, International Roadmap on MEMS, Microsystems, Micromachining and Top Down Nanotechnology, MANCEF, Naples
Change 71 (3)( 2004) 287 303. Torsten Fleischer has a background in physics. After serving as a project manager for several technology assessment studies for the Institute for Technology assessment and Systems analysis (ITAS) of Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Germany,
Since 2003 he is a member of the scientific staff and since February 2004 deputy head of the Institute for Technology assessment and System Analysis (ITAS) at the Research centre Karlsruhe.
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Although earlier conferences had focused in a rather self-reflexive manner on future perspectives for FTA (2004 and the impact of fta on decision-making (2006,2008),
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In future-oriented research, the nature and implications of‘weak signals'have been debated actively during the last few years (Mendonça et al. 2004;
For example, Lane and Max-field (2004) distinguished between truth uncertainty, semantic uncertainty, and ontological uncertainty.
and R. Maxfield. 2004. Ontological uncertainty and innovation. Journal of Evolutionary economics 15, no. 1: 3 50.
and F. Ruff. 2004. Wild cards, weak signals and organisational improvisation. Futures 36, no. 2 march: 201 18.
Comparative analysis of biogas development in Denmark and The netherlands (1973 2004. Technovation 30, no. 2: 87 99.
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and the review article of Porter (2004) lists the nine families of foresight methods including quantitative and qualitative explorations and forms of stakeholder involvement.
Sturken et al. 2004) like the‘electronic superhighway'in the 1990s or the‘hydrogen economy'of the last decade.
Porter, A. 2004. Technology futures analysis: Toward integration of the field and new methods. Technological forecasting and Social Change 71, no. 3: 287 303.
and S. J. Ball-Rokeach, eds. 2004. Technological visions. The hopes and fears that shape new technologies.
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see Porter et al. 2004. So far, strategic foresight has uneven success and popularity. On the one hand, scholars have shown that in the last two decades a significant number of leading firms of such diverse sectoor as energy, automotive, telecommunications,
Tsoukas and Shepherd 2004. However, scholars omitted to investigate thoroughly what kind of foresight techniques and practices should a firm adopt
Porter et al. 2004; Roveda et al. 2007. However, strategic foresight had uneven success. Rigby (2001) found that only 21.5%of North american executives used scenario planning in 1999, approximately 50%fewer than in 1994.
Tsoukas and Shepherd 2004. In this vein, scholars focused on methodological issues regarding how to implement a large number of foresight practices and techniques.
Tsoukas and Shepherd 2004. Data collection and data analyses were designed in order to improve the construct and internna validity of our conceptual framework.
Wild cards are low-probability, high-impact events (Mendonça et al. 2004. Continuous and discontinuous drivers might have either low or high probability and either high impact or low impact:
and F. Ruff. 2004. Wild cards, weak signals and organisational improvisation. Futures 36, no. 2: 201 18.
Porter, A l.,B. Ashton, G. Clar, J. F. Coates, K. Cuhls, S w. Cunningham, K. Ducatel, et al. 2004.
and J. Shepherd. 2004. Introduction: Organization and the future, from forecasting to foresight. In Managing the future:
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Entovation International 2004; Losada and Heaphy 2004; Fredrickson and Losada 2005. As a reminder, the model seeks to enable a common strategy
and/or strategies aligned across the network, founded on a shared vision for sustainable development to be pursued by all actors, with interdependent and agreed roles;
Entovation International. 2004. The characteristics of 5th generation management. http://www. entovation. com/assessment/fifthgen. htm (accessed December 2004.
Fell, L, . and D. Russel. 1994. An introduction to‘Maturana's'biology. In Seized by agreement,
Losada, M. and E. Heaphy. 2004. The role of positivity and connectivity in the performance of business teams:
Pilot Draft, SIGMA Project Management Team. http://www. projectsigma. co. uk/Guidelines/default. asp (accessed January 2004) Tuomi, I. 2011.
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Received 13 may 2004; received in revised form 15 september 2004; accepted 16 september 2004 Abstract Sandia National Laboratories conducts a variety of research projects each year under its Laboratory-directed research and development (LDRD) program.
Recently, information visualization techniques have been used with corporate data to map several LDRD investment areas for the purpose of understanding strategic overlaps and identifying potential opportunities for future development outside of our current technologies.
Tools, techniques, and specific analyses are presented here. We find that these tools and techniques hold great promise for aiding the future direction of the science and technology enterprise.
D 2004 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Keywords: Laboratory-directed research and development; Investment; Sandia 1. Introduction The Laboratory-directed research and development (LDRD) program at Sandia National Laboratories conducts world-class research on a variety of subjects that are relevant to Sandia's missions and potentially useful to other national needs.
Much of the technology that has been developed 0040-1625/$-see front matter D 2004 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. doi:
The extent of overlap between CIS and ES has remained roughly constant over the period from 2001 to 2004,
Some of these were anticipated by the CIS investment team in that the FY2005 calls (issued in March 2004) reflected an increased interest in informatics,
Sci. 101 (Suppl. 1)( 2004) 5214 5219.4 G. S. Davidson, B. N. Wylie, K. W. Boyack, Cluster stability and the use of noise
Vis. 2004 (2004) 965 971.10 S. K. Kim, J. Lund, M. Kiraly, K. Duke, M. Jiang, J. M. Stuart, et al.
Sci. 101 (Suppl. 1)( 2004) 5192 5199. Kevin W. Boyack is a Principal Member of Technical Staff (PMTS) in the Computation, Computers, Information,
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Phaal, Farrukh, and Probert 2004. In other words, roadmaps are tools for the combination of organisational knowledge that may be‘unlinkable'with other strategic methods (see e g.
Petrick and Echols 2004; Phaal, Farrukh, and Probert 2006. As a process methodology, roadmapping consists of several modules.
and Probert (2003), Kostoff, Boylan, and Simons (2004); Phaal, Farrukh, and Probert (2004), Lee and Park (2005) and Phaal and Muller (2009).
Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:05 03 december 2014 840 T. Ahlqvist et al. Acknowledgements Toni Ahlqvist wishes to thank the Academy of Finland (grant SA132628) for the financial support for this work.
International Journal of Technology management 26, no. 1: 12 9. Geels, F. W. 2004. From sectoral systems of innovation to socio-technical systems:
and G r. Simons. 2004. Disruptive technology roadmaps. Technological forecasting & Social Change 71, no. 2: 141 59.
and A e. Echols. 2004. Technology roadmapping in review: A tool for making sustainable new product development decisions.
and D. R. Probert. 2004. Technology roadmapping a planning framework for evolution and revolution. Technological forecasting & Social Change 71:5 26.
and S. Kuhlmann. 2004. The rise of systemic instruments in innovation policy. International Journal of Foresight and Innovation policy 1, nos. 1/2: 4 32.
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