Synopsis:
Time & dates: Dates: Years: 2002:
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a project funded by the DG JRC-IPTS and conducted by the ESTO network in 2002/2003 34.17 For the Nordic Hydrogen Energy Foresight,
see Andersen et al. 35.18 FISTERA Foresight on Information society Technologies in the European research area was funded by the European commission between 2002
Change 69 (2002) 929 951.31 K. H. Dreborg, E. A. Eriksson, Best practice guide for assessment methods, Report D21 of the DG VII
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Manag. 14 (2)( 2002) 183 200.7 A. Salo, J. P. Salmenkaita, Embedded foresight in RTD programs, Int. J. Technol.
Policy Manag. 2 (2)( 2002) 167 193.8 Woodwisdom-Net, Woodwisdom-Net website, visited 31.1.2007, http://www. woodwisdom. net/.
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2002). ) 20 H. F. Moed, W. Glänzel, U. Schmoch (Eds. Handbook of Quantitative Science and Technology research, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht (The netherlands), 2004.21 K. Blind, The Economics of Standards Theory, Evidence, Policy, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham
Econ. 34 (16)( 2002) 1985 1998.26 R. Bekkers, G. Duysters, B. Verspagen, Intellectual property rights, strategic technology agreements and market structure the case of GSM
, Research policy, vol. 31 (7), 2002, pp. 1141 1161.27 K. Koch, M. Rafiquzzaman, S. Rao, The Impact of Regulatory policies on Innovation:
Cross country Evidence, ECO/WKP (2002) 2, OECD (ed.),Paris. 29 U. Blum, A. Töpfer, G. Eickhoff,
Beuth,(ed.)(2002. 515 K. Blind/Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008) 496 516 35 I. Mörschel, C. Schwengels:
Beuth Verlag Gmbh, pp. 51 65 (2002. 36 K. Blind, Standards in the Service Sectors:
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how the opportunity landscape interacts with business strategy to anticipate technological trends, Technovation 22 (2002) 91 100.21 D. R. Myers, C. W. Sumpter, S. T. Walsh, B. A. Kirchhoff
Manage. 49 (4 november 2002) 322 329.22 S. T. Walsh, Roadmapping a disruptive technology: A case study. The emerging microsystems and top-down nanosystems industry, Technol.
Manage. 49 (4 november 2002) 375 387.25 R. N. Kostoff, R. Boylan, G r. Simons, Disruptive technology roadmaps, Technol.
Chem. 74 (2002. 57 F. K. Balagadde, L. C. You, C. L. Hansen, F. H. Arnold, S. R. Quake, Long-term monitoring of bacteria undergoing programmed population control in a microchemostat
Chem. 74 (2002) 3984 3990.59 T. P. Burg, S. R. Manalis, Suspended microchannel resonators for biomolecular detection, Appl.
Concepts, Spaces and Tools, Edward Elgar, 2002, pp. 355 381.65 B. Elzen, P. S. Hofman, F. W. Geels, Sociotechnical scenarios (STSC) A new
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An Evaluation of the Second Round of Swedish Technology foresight, Teknisk Framsyn, 2002 2004,2005. 7 J. Cassingena Harper, L. Georghiou, The targeted and unforeseen impacts of foresight on innovation policy:
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Manag. 6 (3)( 2002) 301 318.3 P. Anderson, M. Tushman, Technological discontinuities and dominant designs:
E 65 (6)( 2002) Article Number 066130.25 J. Gill, Bayesian Methods: A Social and Behavioral Sciences Approach, Chapman & Hall, 2002.26 J. J. Garrett, AJAX:
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, J. Hertin, Foresight futures scenarios, Developing and Applying a Participative Strategic planning Tool, Greener Management International (37 Special issue on Foresighting for Development), 2002, pp. 37 52.27 G
Change 69 (9)( 2002) 929 951.48 H. Turton, Sustainable global automobile transport in the 21st century:
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Foresight for Europe, Final Report of the High level Expert Group for the European commission, April 24, 2002, European commission, Brussels, 2002.6 A. Eerola, E. Väyrynen, Developing technology forecasting and technology assessment
available on website http://www. vtt. fi/inf/pdf/tiedotteet/2002/T2174. pdf read 7. 8. 08). 7 A. Eerola, B. H. Jørgensen
2002, s. 291 303.24 N. Wessberg, R. Molarius, J. Seppälä, S. Koskela, J. Pennanen, Environmental risk analysis for accidental emissions, J. Chem.
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Futures research methodology Version 2. 0 (CD-ROM), American Council for the United nations University, 2002. For further information see:
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The Finnish association of graduate engineers developed a technology barometer in collaboration with VTT Innovation studies during 2002 2003. The first technology barometer was published in 2004
JRC (2002) and compilation by OECD. Area/name of composite indicator Economy Composite of Leading indicators (OECD) OECD International Regulation Database (OECD) Economic Freedom of the World
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Stud. 23 (2002) 949 977.33 B. White, Will policy makers use long range forecasts? Paper prepared at the invitation of the Woodrow wilson International Center for Scholars Foresight and Governance Project, 2002.34 L. Fuerth, Strategic Myopia, the Case for Forward Engagement, The National Interest, Spring
A Tool for Reducing Avoidable Surprises, Cambridge university Press, Cambridge, 2002, and New york. 41 J. Hertin, K. Jacob, A. Volkery, Policy appraisal, in:
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The Informed Student Guide to Management Science, Thomson Learning, London, 2002, p. 72.22 W. Ulrich, Systems thinking as if People Mattered:
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Policy 31 (6)( 2002) 935 946.25 C. Freeman, C. Perez, Structural crises of adjustment: business cycles and investment behaviour, in:
Path Dependence and Creation, Lawrence Earlbaum Associates, Mahwah, 2002, p. 138.29 M. Borup, N. Brown, K. Konrad, H. Van Lente, The sociology of expectations
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Johnson and Scholes 2002. Based on this strategy discipline quite a fewbooks and journal articles have provided lists of foresight methods
Followiin the change of government in Denmark in late 2001 the energy research programmes were cut by two-thirds in 2002,
The latest strategy plan for the Technical research Council was Strategy plan 2003 2007, publisshe in August 2002 (Statens Teknisk-Videnskabelige Forskningsråd 2002.
From the beginning of the process it was clear for many of those involved that the Strategy plan would be simpler than the previous 5-year plan (1998 2002),
early in 2002. The Research Agency played, in collaboration with the council, an important role in the definition of this communication format.
and K. Scholes. 2002. Exploring corporate strategy. 6th ed. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice-hall. Kaivo-oja, J. 2001.
Statens Teknisk-Videnskabelige Forskningsråd. 2002. Strategiplan 2003 2007. Teknisk-videnskabelig forskning: En forudsae tning for vae kst og velfaerd.
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000 000 120 000 000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Public research centres FNR UL Figure 1. Public
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and clustering as important instruments for enhancing the innovative performance in emerging areas of specialisation (OECD 2002).
and networked character of political decision making and implementtatio (Smits 2002; Smits and Kuhlmann 2004. Initially, the prevailing technocratic and linear process models of policy making (e g. in terms of formulation implementation evaluatiio phases) were replaced by cycle models,
Smith 2002) draws our attention to various policy practices relying extensively on the knowledge, experience and competence of the different stakeholders concerned.
Freeman, C. 2002. Continental, national, and sub-national innovation systems complementarity and economic growth. Research policy 31, no. 2: 191 211.
Maklu Uitgevers N. V. OECD. 2002. Dynamising national innovation systems. Paris: OECD. OECD. 2005. Governance of innovation systems, Vol. 1:
Smith, K. 2002. What is the‘knowledge economy'?'Knowledge intensity and distributed knowledge bases. Discussion papers 06.
Smits, R. 2002. The new role of strategic intelligence. In Strategic policy intelligence: current trends, the state of play and perspectives, ed. A. Tübke, K. Ducatel, J. Gavigan and P. Moncada-Paternò-Castello.
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and follow rules and procedures (Bood 2002). Schwandt and Gorman (2004) argue that organisations do not necessarily follow a straight and rational logic of techno-scientific expectations and promises.
as a form of governance (Wynne 2002; Grunwald 2004; Cunliffe 2005; Konrad and Voß 2006) in designing foresight processes and adaptive planning (Grin, Felix, and Bos 2004;
and limits of inclusive foresight in municipal planning processes and expounds the challenges of our contemporary understanding of communicative planning tools as power instruments (Pløger 2002).
The participation of young people as stakeholders in the vision project is an example of a wider legitimation movement that does not base stakeholder participation on authority but on authenticity (Brown and Michael 2002.
as steering and decision-shaping and of politics as decision-making (Johnston 2002). Foresight as well as governance is seen often as consisting of networking
1999), Ringland (2002), Brown, Rappert, andwebster (2000), Böhle (2003), Genus (2006), Georghiou (2001), Johnston (2001), Berkhout and Hertin (2002.
see Shipley and Newkirk (1999), Shipley (2002), Shipley et al. 2004). ) 6. Slaughter (2004,92 4) sees the development of Critical Future Studies (CFS) following the traditions of STS in‘challenging the inevitability
The notions of active citizenship and community involvement have become increasingly promineen in political discussions and policy practices within planning and future oriented governance (Stukas and Dunlap 2002;
. and J. Hertin. 2002. Foresight futures scenarios: developing and applying a participative strategic planning tool. Greener Management International 37:37 52.
Technikfolgenabschätzung 12, no. 2: 32 8. Bood, R. 2002. Exploring the future as social practice. Paper presented at conference on‘Probing the future:
developing organizational foresight in the knowledge economy',11 13 july 2002, University of Strathclyde Graduate school of Business, Glasgow, UK.
and M. Michael. 2002. From authority to authenticity: governance, transparency and biotechnology. Health, Risk and Society 4: 259 72.
Johnston, R. 2002. The state and contribution of international foresight: new challenges. Paper presented at EU US seminar:
the role of foresight in the selection of research policy priorities, 13 14 may 2002, Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS), Seville, Spain.
Keenan, M. 2002. Using expert and stakeholder panels in technology foresight principles and practice. Foresight Methodoloogie 45 59.
Ling, T. 2002. Decision making in the public sector. In Scenarios in public policy, ed. G. Ringland, 124 31.
Pløger, J. 2002. Communicative planning and democracy new perspectives in planning research. NIBR Report no. 17.
Ringland, G. 2002. Scenarios in public policy. Chichester: Johnwiley. Sanz-Menéndez, L, . and C. Cabello. 2000.
Shipley, R. 2002. Visioning in planning: is the practice based on sound theory. Environment and Planning A 34, no. 1: 7 22.
and M. R. Dunlap. 2002. Community involvement: theoretical approaches and educational initiatives. Journal of Social issues 58, no. 3: 411 27.
Wynne, B. 2002. Risk and environment as legitimatory discourses of technology: reflexivity inside out? Current Sociology 50, no. 3: 459 477.
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1999 2000 2001 2002 Priority Patents Family Member Patents Factor Map keywords-combo (Cleaned)( tec..
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 nano-combo methanol stuff Map:
Exploiting New technologies for Competitive advantage, Wiley, New york, 2005.2 T. Teichert, M.-A. Mittermayer, Text mining for technology monitoring, IEEE IEMC 2002 (2002) 596 601.3 R
improving the literature review, Scientometrics 53 (2002) 351 370.6 K. Bo rner, C. Chen, K. W. Boyack, Visualizing knowledge domains, Annual Review of Information science and Technology 37 (2003) 179 255.7 A l. Porter, E. Yglesias, A. Kongthon, C. Courseault, N c. Newman, Getting
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Kaivo-oja, Marttinen, and Varelius 2002; Andersen et al. 2007. For examplle the Ministry of Trade and Industry has facilitated a so-called Foresight Forum (Könnölä, Brummer, and Salo 2007;
the Finnish Agency for Technology and Innovation (Tekes) has catalysed extensive consultation processes with researchers and industrialists in its strategy developmmen (Salo and Salmenkaita 2002;
Salmenkaita and Salo 2002. This situation changed in April 2005 when the Government took a decision in principle on the structural development of the public research system at large.
Salo and Salmenkaita 2002. Yet, the very remit of the foresight exercise for which the apt title Finnsight 2015 was coined implied that a large-scale consultative process was called for,
and J. Varelius. 2002. Basic conceptions and visions of the regional foresight system in Finland. Foresight 4, no. 6: 34 45.
and A. Salo. 2002. Rationales for government intervention in the commercialization of new technologies. Technology analysis and Strategic management 14, no. 2: 183 200.
and J.-P. Salmenkaita. 2002. Embedded foresight in RTD programs. International Journal of Technology Policy and Management 2, no. 2: 167 93.
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and the long wave, Futures 34 (3 4 april 2002) 317 336.5 F. Scapolo, New horizons and challenges for future-oriented technology analysis the 2004 EU-US seminar, Technological forecasting
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Mckinsey Quarterly 2 (2002) 48 57.7 Mark Buchanan, Power laws and the new science of complexity management, Strategy & Business 34 (2003 Spring) 76.
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effects of implementing the science policy priority for biotechnology in The netherlands, Research policy 15 (1986) 253 268.16 R. Coombs, L. Georghiou, A new industrial ecology, Science 296 (2002
A First Overview, Commission of the European communities, EUR 20921, October 2002, p. 10.30 L. Georghiou, The UK Technology foresight Programme, Futures 28 (4)( 1996) 361.31
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f Commissioned by the Finnish Government. g A FP5 IST Thematic Network (2002 2005) coordinated by JRC-IPTS and managed in collaboration with DG Information society. h Commissioned by JRC-IPTS.
1998 2002) a specific programme for research on a"User-friendly information society"."Today, with the i2010 policy framework, the EU aims to"promote the positive contribution that information
Foresight on Information society Technologies in the European research area (2002 2005) was an FP5 IST Thematic Network coordinated by JRC-IPTS
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the earlier studies mentioned in the text are the‘‘Taylor Report''(Advisory Group On Nanotechnology, 2002) 25 and (40 see also 41.
2002 http://www. risoe. dk/rispubl/SYS/ris-r-1362. htm (accessed 09/02/10). 22 A. Eerola, B. H. Jørgensen, Foresight in Nordic
a UK strategy for nanotechnology, London, Department of Trade and Industry, 2002 while the original webpage for this text widely cited as‘‘The Taylor Report''has been removed,
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A White paper, Commission of the European communities, 2001.11 J. P. Olsen, Reforming European institutions of governance, Journal of Common market studies 40 (2002) 581 602.12 W. Ulrich, Critical systems
The Informed Student Guide to Management Science, Thomson Learning, London, 2002,, p. 72.13 D. Loveridge, P. Street, Inclusive foresight, Foresight 7 (3)( 2005) 31 47.14 D. Loveridge, Foresight:
. org/BSRSERVICES/CSR. cfm#ZURICH. 27 C. Shelton, Quantum leaps, Butterworth-Heinemann, 1997.28 NNSR, Novo Nordisk Sustainability Report, 2002 http://www
/Futures 43 (2011) 279 291 290 35 M. E. Porter, M. R. Kramer, The competitive advantage of corporate philanthropy, Harvard Business Review (2002.
37 S. A. Aaronson, J. Reeves, The European response to public demands for global corporate responsibility, National policy Association, USA (2002.
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An overview of the historical development of the latter is given in van Asselt and Rotmans (2002.
van Asselt and Rotmans (2002) provide a categorisation of the sources of uncertainty, whereas a general differentiation is made between uncertainty due to variability and uncertainty due to limited knowledge of the system.
Banister (2002 p. 134) stipulates: Two crucial issues in all TPMS have been the assumption of stability in model coefficients over time
References Banister, D. 2002), Transport Planning, 2nd ed.,Routledge, London. Cagnin, C. and Keenan, M. 2008),‘Positioning future-oriented technology analysis'',in Cagnin, C.,Keenan, M.,Johnston, R.,Scapolo, F. and Barre',R. Eds), Future-oriented technology analyses.
http://optic. toi. no van Asselt, M. B. A. and Rotmans, J. 2002),‘Uncertainty in integrated assessment modelling'',Climate change, Vol. 54, pp. 75
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Glouberman and Zimmerman (2002) A complex system is made up of many individual, self-organizing elements capable of responding to others and to their environment.
Glouberman, S. and Zimmerman, B. 2002), Complicated and Complex systems: What Would Successful Reform of Medicare Look like?
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2000 2001 2002 Fig. 1. Number of times dnanotubet is mentioned in article titles (Picarta. 3 The fact that we use the emergence of this specialised journal for this paper is the fact that nanotubes is one of the major topics in this journal.
and large firms invested over $2 billion in nanotechnology worldwide in 2002 13. No single definition can be given for nanotechnology,
In 2002, James Heath's group at the University of California (Los angeles) reported that guiding the growth with an electric field could solve the problem of growing straight nanotubes 25.
In 2002 Rueckes et al. 16 state: bplans for molecular electronics, may be realized soon. Q In 2001 Nantero 19 states:
networks, Angewandte Chemie International Edition 41 (2)( 2002) 353 356.26 Y. Huang, X. Duan, Q. Wei, C. M. Lieber, Directed
assembly of one-dimensional nanostructures into functional networks, Science 291 (2001) 630 633.27 P. Ball, Cylinders make circuits spontaneously, Nature News Service (2002)( January.
Concepts, Spaces and Tools, Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham, 2002, pp. 359 385. Rutger van Merkerk is currently a Phd student (Copernicus Institute for Sustainability and Innovation, University of Utrecht,
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contrary to what some fictional movies may lead one to think (e g. the 2002 movie Minority report,
as requested for instance in the European union (European commission, 2002), as well as the performance of ex post evaluation of regulations (which is part of the progress development of regulatory policies,
European commission (2002), European Governance: Better Lawmaking, COM (2002) 275 Final, European commission, Brussels. Gasco'n, G. 2005),‘Compstat Plus:
in depth auditing, mentorship, close collaboration'',The Police chief Magazine, Vol. 72, pp. 34-43. Haegeman, K.,Scapolo, F.,Ricci, A.,Marinelli, E. and Skolov, A. 2011),‘Premises and practices in combining quantitative and qualitative FTA METHODS'',paper presented at the 4th International Seville Conference
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Between 1997 and 2002 he was a member of the scientific staff of the Europa ische Akademie Gmbh where he managed several TA-projects
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Following van Asselt and Rotmans (2002), they characterised variability uncertainty as‘ontological uncertainty'.'2 The ontological uncertainty of van Asselt and Rotmans and Walker et al. is about uncertainty of attributes associated with given objects.
when we already know that they are not (Tuomi 2002; Taleb 2007. In contrast to this biblical ontological model, below we adopt a model of constant creation that relies on a different ontology.
when a potential user group finds a meaningful way to integrate latent innovative opportunities in the current social practice (Tuomi 2002).
Tuomi 2002; Oudshoorn and Pinch 2003), downstream innovators also include creative members of communities of practice.
For example, in the multifocal model of Tuomi (2002), new technical functionalities and propensities are thrown in effect from the‘upstream'to a‘downstream'field of interacting social practices,
Tuomi, I. 2002. Networks of innovation: Change and meaning in the age of the Internet.
and J. Rotmans. 2002. Uncertainty in integrated assessment modelling. Climatic Change 54, no. 1: 75 105.
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as much is shrouded in various forms of ignorance, especially the unknown unknowns1 form (Rumsfeld 2002). The paper sets out to pay much attention to the situations that may confront FTA practitioners,
Rumsfeld, D. 2002. Department of defense news briefing, February 12, http://www. defense. gov/transcripts/transcript. aspx? transcriptid=2636 (accessed December 1, 2010.
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but the next time it might succeed (Hellsten 2002). In some cases, such as nuclear fusion, this mechanism has secured costly research during decades (e g. on the Joint European Torus and International Thermonuuclea Experimental Reactor),
and are uncertain about their future rivals in the future battlefields (Williams and Sorensen 2002). In addition, sociologiist of science and technology point to the dynamic nature of science and technology:
Kuusi and Meyer 2002. The criticism is that such dynamics can be traced only ex post,
Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:02 03 december 2014 Navigating foresight in a sea of expectations 781 Hellsten, I. 2002.
and M. Meyer. 2002. Technological generalizations and leitbilder the anticipation of technological opportunities. Technological forecasting and Social Change 69, no. 6: 625 39.
and Sorensen, K. H. 2002. Shaping technology, guiding policy: Concepts spaces and tools. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
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but to prepare the firm for the future (van der Heyden et al. 2002; Tsoukas and Shepherd 2004.
Roadmaps, 3 scenarios, 4 and strategic options (Dixit and Pindyck 1994) are by far the most popular foresight techniques (Becker 2002;
but in preparing to deal with the future by means of a learning process that helps the organisation to remain matched to its changing environment (van der Heijden et al. 2002;
which previous scholars have suggested as the main contribution of foresight to strategic decision-making (van der Hejden et al. 2002;
Becker, P. 2002. Corporate foresight in Europe: A first overview. RTD K-2 Scientific and Technological foresight, Brussels:
and G. Wright. 2002. The sixth sense: Accelerating organisational learning with scenarios. Chichester: Wiley. Hofer, C. W,
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and Watts 2002) are the cornersstone of networked sustainability. Moreover, the value activities in the network must align
According to Gertler and Wolfe (2002), networked learning enables a process of adaptation that is participatory and interactive and in
Berg et al. 2002; Kwak and Ibbs 2002; von Zedtwitz 2002; Rosenbeer 2003; Verweire and Berghe 2003;
Entovation International 2004; Losada and Heaphy 2004; Fredrickson and Losada 2005. As a reminder, the model seeks to enable a common strategy
and/or strategies aligned across the network, founded on a shared vision for sustainable development to be pursued by all actors, with interdependent and agreed roles;
Progress towards sustainable development may depend on building dynamic partnerships among these three pillars (Holliday, Schmidheiny, andwatts 2002.
and J. Pihlajamaa. 2002. Assessment of quality and maturity level of R&d. International Journal of Production Economics 78, no. 1: 29 35.
and D. A. Wolfe. 2002. Local social knowledge management: Community actors, institutions and multilevel governance in regional foresight exercises.
and P. Watts. 2002. Walking the talk: The business case for sustainable development. San francisco, CA: Berrett-Koehler.
and C. W. Ibbs. 2002. Project management process maturity (PM) 2 model. Journal of Management in Engineering, 18, no. 3: 150 5. Larsen, A. H. 2003.
Management Decision 41, no. 8: 782 90. von Zedtwitz, M. 2002. Organizational learning through post-project reviews in R&d.
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Technol. 53 (9)( 2002) 764 774.6 J. Dowling, Information retrieval using latent semantic indexing and a semi-discrete matrix decomposition, Unpublished Bachelor's thesis
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and Lu 2002) examines a technology of interest by search and retrieval of abstract records on the topic.
we focus selectively as such analyses are fairly well known (Porter, Kongthon, and Lu 2002). We begin by showing trends based on the annual activity from each database in Figure 3. It is clear that the research publications drawn from the SCI
Rantanen and Domb 2002) to help locate current capabilities along innovation pathways. This paper extends our FIP approach.
and J.-C. Lu. 2002. Research profiling: Improving the literature review. Scientometrics 53, no. 3: 351 70.
and E. Domb. 2002. Simplified TRIZ: New problem-solving applications for engineers and manufacturing professionals. Boca raton, FL:
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National science Foundation (2002),‘Converging technologies for improving human performance'',National science Foundation, Arlington VA. National science Foundation (2005),‘Managing nano-bio-info-cogno innovations:
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Defending Against the Unknown, the Uncertain & the Unexpected, Presidents & Prime ministers, vol. 11, Issue 2, 2002, pp. 33 36,(Mar/Apr 2 D. Loveridge, O. Saritas
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Quant. 36 (1)( 2002) 43 53.5 C. Teddlie, A. Tashakkori, Foundations of Mixed Methods Research:
)( 2012) 56 68.75 H. White, Combining quantitative and qualitative approaches in poverty analysis, World Dev. 30 (3)( 2002) 511 522.76 C. Ansell, A. Gash
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1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
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Econ. 12 (2002) 259 281.21 R. Dawkins, Universal Darwinism, in: D. S. Bendall (Ed.),Evolution from Molecules to Men, Cambridge university Press, 1983, pp. 403 425.22 K. Popper, Objective Knowledge:
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Policy 31 (2002) 1467 1479.30 C. S. Holling, Adaptive Environmental Assessment and Management, John Wiley & Sons, New york, 1978.31 R. J. Mclain
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Rev. 18 (2002) 501 531.6 O. H. Pilkey, L. Pilkey-Jarvis, Useless Arithmetic: Why Environmental Scientists Can't Predict the Future, Columbia University Press, New york, USA, 2007.7 R. J. Lempert, S. Popper, S. Bankes, Shaping The next One hundred Years:
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Policy 31 (2002) 233 245.25 T. Rickards, The future of innovation research, in: L. V. Shavinina (Ed.),The International Handbook on Innovation, Pergamon, London, UK, 2003.26 L. Gunderson, C. Folke, M. A. Janssen, Reflective practice, Ecol.
Policy 14 (2002) 1 13.37 R. Sternberg, J. Pretz, J. Kaufman, Types of innovation, in:
The Delphi method, 2002,(Last accessed 31/01/12 and available at http://www. is. njit. edu/pubs/delphibook.
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Nanotechnologie in Deutschland, BMBF Publik, Bonn, 2002, p. 16 S. 3 M. Roco, C a. Mirkin, M. Hersam, Nanotechnology research Directions for Societal Needs
science fiction as science, Configurations 10 (2002) 261 296.36 S. Kaplan, J. Radin, Bounding an emerging technology:
Soc. 24 (2002) 93 109.45 NSTC, National science and Technology Council, Committee on Technology, Subcommittee on Nanoscale Science Engineering and Technology, The National Nanotechnology Initiative:
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Donald Rumsfeld made to the Press in 2002 T here are known knowns; there are things we know we know.
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study, International Journal of Project Management 20 (2002) 1 11.31 E. Osipova, P. E. Eriksson, Balancing control and flexibility in joint risk management:
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L. Friedman, Using the balanced scorecard to measure the performance of your HR information system, Public Personnel Management 31 (2002) 543 557.74 D. Andriessen, Intellectual capital valuation and measurement:
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. Zook, Open-market innovation, Harvard Business Review 80 (2002) 80 89.12 O. Gassmann, E. Enkel, H. Chesbrough, The future of open innovation, R&d
and extension, Academy of Management Review 27 (2002) 185 203.28 D. Collis, C. Montgomery, Competing on resources:
Science.PublicPolicyVol37\2. Joint horizon scanning.pdf
Well-known examples include the Internaationa Council for Science (2002) exercise that focused on societal issues and research agenda settiin and also its foresight analysis (International council for science, 2004.
it was not difficult to label the majority of issues according to these main categories that are nearly identical to the themes as used in the STEEPV approach (see Loveridge, 2002).
International council for science 2002. Identification of Key emerging Issues in Science and Society: an International Perspecctiv on National foresight Studies.
D 2002. The STEEPV acronym and process: a clarificattion ideas in progress, paper 29, Manchester, UK:
Science.PublicPolicyVol37\3. Adaptive foresight in the creative content industries.pdf
Rafi and Kampas, 2002. Those lead to significant changes both in everyday life and business models under the combined influence of technological, organisational and behavioural innovations.
Pricewaterhouusecooper LLP Rafi, F and P Kampas 2002. How to identify your enemies before they destroy you?
Science.PublicPolicyVol37\4. Critical success factors for government-led foresight.pdf
Since founding the Office of Technology foresight at the National research council in 2002, he has led or been an advisor to collaborative foresight projects in several emergiin science and technology (S&t) domains such as:
At an operational level, the nascent Canadian foresiigh initiative (2002 2008) was able to produce some excellent projects with strong insights,
Over the years the program went through numerous changes, in the host organization (from National Reseaarc Council 2002 2004, to Privy council office 2005 2006, to Industry Canada 2007 2008.
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