One of the concepts discussed was that of robustness in the methodologies on offer when the constituency making use of these results views outcomes.
After selecting a particular (tailored) model from the menu on offer, we delve into the innovation context by setting the scene for the multi-path mapping exercise.
The proposed three-level structure of futures orcascading'visions offers several advantages for policy-makers at various Available online at www. sciencedirect. com Technological forecasting & Social Change 75
and studentconsumerrism'technological development (offering new opportunities, and in the meantime putting extra burdens on the already tight budgets of universities);
or spark dialogues, by offering food for thought, at best. The theoretical framework of this article rests on the innovation systems school 10 15),
Further, as nowadays 30 40%of the relevant age group attend higher education courses, an ever larger number of higher education organisations offer mainly or only teaching.
Finally, for disciples of innovation studies, this approach offer three advantages, as opposed to the case
a medium-size company offering control systems for high-tech companies, a medium-size technology company and a large-size technology company. 2 The back-pocket roadmap starts
and the existing offering in the markets, as well as the drivers and bottlenecks of the ongoing business in a defined time perspective 29.
In the medium-size technology company a roadmap of the offering of the company in the future was done
Here the use of resilience engineering would certainly benefit from the traditions the foresight tradition would offer.
What future development possibilities does the technology barometer instrument offer? Technology barometer is going to be developed towards an instrument that analyzes innovation systems as far-reaching socioeconomic technical complexes.
and conflicting scientific opinions 6. Situations where science has nothing to offer; the subject is unknown to science
offer a clear insight that smarter policy and corporate decision-making processes are needed to deal with recent crisis and the threat of discruptive changes.
Also here the foresight practice offers procedures and tools. For example, Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:09 03 december 2014 Foresight
According to the survey this social group was satisfied least with communal offers for social and cultural engagement.
In sum, tech mining offers partial, but potentially very effective, support for these varied FTA endeavors.
Development of information visualizations especially for S&t offers great potential 12 13. To close, this bnewq method brings to bear available S&t information resources
what societal and industrial needs would be addressed by strengthening the focus area,(iii) what possibilities the focus areawould offer for the concrete application of related knowledge,
with the aim of fostering research that will offer possibilities for the commercial deployment of results within 5 10 years.
and emphasises the need for the kind of participatory approaches that foresight in particular can offer. Tailored approaches are needed that reflect the varied and complex structures of sectors
The paradigm shift from the one gene one function towards a holistic approach that is one the one hand challenging the safety assessment of commercialised GM plants offers on the other hand a cognitive opportunity for modifying stakeholders alignment of interests.
offers nine principles relating to human rights and the environment which have become the ethical roadmap for the future.
Clear belief that health-medicine, climate and the environment will be central to our futures and offer possibilities for improvements, sometimes through dramatic changes;
The survey responses provide a rich and diverse array of issues that cover most of the provocative policy issues now engaging public debate and offer a new set of prospective future issues as well;
In addition, the study confirms that foresight offers interesting opportunities for urban planners, such as anticipating changes,
that sketch the seemingly unlimited possibilities that nanotechnology has to offer. Typical examples are very small robots that can conduct operations inside the human body or an elevator into space based on a nanotube cable.
However, the fact that nanotubes offer great promises for various industries is acknowledged. 3. 1. 2. Technological field After the discovery of the single-walled nanotube in 1993,
in the matrix in Fig. 7. These findings also give answers to the questions as proposed in Fig. 2. Nanotubes as part of nanotechnology Next to the acknowledgement that nanotubes offer huge possibilities,
In addition the study confirms that foresight offers interesting opportunities for urban planners, such as anticipating changes,
offering a great opportunity for policy makers to use futurists'output as input for urban planners'work.
and represented by the offerings of real estate developers. In this scenario, most people live in a consumption spree that makes them reject the sacrifices needed to achieve more sustainable development.
They believet hese will provide a variety of interpretative lenses that offer the possibility to expand our conceptualisation of FTA,
The consulting firm Gartner offers services based on such assumptions: it locates products and techniques on the hype cycle (frominflated expectations,
what this body of literature has to offer for foresight. This article investigated the lessons of the sociology of expectations for the various practices of foresight.
but that different approaches offer different perspectives and levels of detail that can each be of benefit to the analyst or manager.
This TDS offers input to further expert deliberations. We developed this initial DSSC TDS by mining our database search results for leads on importaan stakeholders
advantages that these offer to potential applications, in particular markets; that is, cross-charting can suggest ways that particular technologies might link to potential applications.
and solar cell types that offer less potential gain for our target application. The cross-chart could spawn related probes.
and technology can offer. Figure 2 The procedure of analysis VOL. 15 NO. 1 2013 jforesight jpage 11 4. 2 Overall view Relations between the scenarios
and questions that offers a language for BMBF units to discuss the subject area. In this step, a strategic dialogue may also explore the European
and most promising research areas offering significant innovative potential. This foresight methodology consisted of various expert techniques (surveys
the fast progress of the internet offers new opportunities for participatory projects, of both quantitative2 and qualitative nature;
and what is crucial is to understand the opportunities that different methodologies can offer. In order to better understand those opportunities,
For instance, quantitative analysis of this kind offers valuable information for the development of S&t Delphi survey topics,
EMA aims at offering decision support even in the face of many irreducible uncertainties, by systematically exploring the consequences of a plethora of uncertainties ranging fromparametric uncertainties (e g. parameters ranges), over structural uncertainties (e g. different
Particular attention is given to the potential of EMA in offering decision support for shaping systemic and structural transformation.
FTA aims at offering systemic considerations on future developments for dynamically complex issues. The comprehensive exploration of the consequences of combinations of uncertainties that can be offered by EMA is an important component of such future-oriented
EMA offers practitioners a model-based method for handling such situations. Rather than developing a single or a small number of model-based estimates for a phenomenon of interest,
and provides a powerful approach that offers insights for academics and practitioners into how we constitute knowledge
The third strand, focused almost exclusively on small and medium-sized firms, seeking to build their capabilities and offering some limited resources.
offering both an opportunity to seek a truly central role in guiding research and innovation activities and a threat or marginalisation or even of partial extinction as traditional bases of support are squeezed themselves or terminated.
This Special issue, like many compendia arising out of a professional conference, offers a sample of the state of the art at a particular point in time.
The proposed framework (Fig. 1) offers guidance across variety of practical dimensions, including: how to link strategic objectives with the operational activities to be performed;
we conclude that online working tools offer major support for efficient and participatory management of global foresight.
even in the future, TV should remain a medium that offers and enables shared and co-experiences (as opposed to future TV a personalised and individual).
This offers a robust tool for systemic processes aiming to align strategy and operations across a given system (i e. value chain.
the latter being responsible for describing the capability of a firm's knowledge system to solve problems using organisational learning. 4 In the proposed system the method of perpetual budget 38 offers such characteristics as it supports the analysis of cause
and offering entrepreneurship courses. 3. 3. 4. Negative results The community efforts to put in practice the project actions
The project succeeded in defining scenarios for the creative content industries, offering distinct trajectories and raising different policy challenges.
Although it is now part of ilab (an IBBT research platform offering three complementary infrastructuure for elaborate testing in both controlled and liviin lab settings
various forms of horizon scanning offer tested approaches for identifying signals that indicate emerging issues. But mere listing of such signals does not necessarily support the formulation of policy issues or, more broadly, the develoopmen of coherent policy themes
offering more opportunities but also creating more complexity and reducing the scope for top-down steering. The institutions that pattern actors'behaviours and interactions are also more variable and likely to operate in less than predictable ways as they span traditional boundaries.
These are oriented future processes that offer policy -and decision-makers the potential to look across (disruptive) transformations
together with an exploration of possible future developments that might offer opportunities or threats to ICSU.
ICT offers achievable data and easy-to-use tools for the people to decrease their ecological footprint
Another driver for more collaboration is the increasing pressure in Europe1 and other parts of the world2 for research and innovation to both support competitiveness3 and offer solutions to global and local societal challenges.
For instance in Europe knowledgeshaarin platforms offer tools, good practices and informattio on the current (through mapping of existing programmes), planned (through policy documents) and possible future7 state of research priority setting and research systems.
NETWATCH11) level, each offering some of the functionalities mentioned above. Table 2. Key functions in transnational research programming and related barriers Function Description Key barriers5 Scoping
and offer the opportunities to attain creative results faster with significant societal impacts. Finally, transnational programming in a non-European context may benefit even more from the capacity of foresight to act as an integrator,
Despite this variabillity horizon scanning offers tested approaches for collecctin signals which:.Articulate credible observations about current or imminent changes (either sudden, gradual,
participatory workshop activities offer policymakker an inspiring environment where they can openly discuss the implications of alternative future developments for policy-making in general as well as for their own responsibilities in particular.
they may be enacted best in workshops that offer opportunities for intensive interacttio and shared knowledge creation. Furthermore, the clusters (akin to thecrosscutting challenges
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