Paper presented at the 10th DRUID conference, DRUID, Aalborg Copenhagen, 2005.47 K. Van der Heijden, Scenarios, The Art of Strategic Conversation, John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, 1996.48
Proceedings of the 3rd IEEE Conference on Standardisation and Innovation in Information technology, 2003, pp. 27 35, Delft. 24 H. Grupp, The Foundations of the Economics of Innovation theory, Measurement and Practice
with the Prime minister giving the keynote speech at its conference. On the other hand, the second round, which echoed political discussions that were occurring more widely in Sweden at the time,
Paper presented at the 9th ICTPI conference, Santorini, June 18 21 2006.2 K. Cuhls, L. Georghiou, Evaluating a participative foresight process:‘
paper presented in the conference of European Group of Public Administration, Lisbon, September 2003.28 A. Molina, Sociotechnical constituencies as processes of alignment:
At the Berlin Conference, held on 18 19 september 2003, however, the need to incorporate doctoral studies into the Bologna Process was mentioned specifically 41,
and given invited lectures at international conferences and workshops. He has advised national governments and international organisations on the above issues. 582 A. Havas/Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008) 558 582
The challenge of joining forces to develop more robust future-oriented support to decision making has been addressed in the series of International Seville FTA Conference organized by the Institute of Prospective Technological Studies, one of the Joint research Centers
Building on the success of the 2004 and 2006 events, the third edition of the Conference in October 2008
The rising importance of FTA is reflected in the interest for the Third International Seville FTA Conference.
In total, 180 participants attended the Conference, representing/covering all continents. Out of the 166 abstracts that were submitted (50 more than in 2006), the Conference Scientific Committee selected 56 papers in order to build a comprehensive Conference program.
The Conference program covered both FTA methodological aspects and application of fta to policy fields such as, research and innovation, security and sustainability.
The best papers presented in this conference are published in four different scientific journals of which this special issue for Technological forecasting and Social Change consists of the selected papers with particular emphasis on methodological aspects of FTA,
thus following the example of the first special issue from the previous edition of the Conference 2. This issue offers the reader a unique opportunity to travel with the editors on a journey of discovery where new approaches to the development of policies for advancing societal
innovation are encountered and revealed. The selection of papers provides the practitioners of future-oriented technology analysis (FTA innovation policy development and others inclined toward the provocation of innovation an opportunity to learn some new approaches as well as to reflect further upon some familiar tools such as risk assessment being profiled re within the new context of FTA.
The papers and technical notes assembled from the 2008 FTA Conference were selected carefully and further nurtured to bring out three key themes:
when he presented his paper Analysis for Radical Design to the FTA Conference: Changes are multitudinous.
To conclude this special issue we welcome the column From My Perspective of the Founder and Editor-In-chief of this journal and one of the key participants of the FTA 2008 Seville Conference, Professor Harold A. Linstone.
Impacts and implications for policy and decision making The 2008 FTA International Seville Conference. Online source:
Paper Presented at the Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology, Portland, 2007.2 A. De Haan, K. Mulder, Sustainable air transport:
discursive technology assessment, consensus conferences, brainstorming, expert workshops, Delphi questionnaires and expert Fig. 1. Popper's diamond 9. 1165 R. Koivisto et al./
and consensus conferences have emerged, and both technology-driven and problem-driven approaches are taken 1. It is stressed also that it is important to see technology as part of a whole technological and societal system 11.
discursive technology assessment, consensus conferences, brainstorming, expert workshops and interviews Development and future expectations of the approach New approaches like inherent safety and resilience engineering address the complex nature of industrial processes.
, T. Luoma, S. Toivonen, Managing uncertainty in the front end of radical innovation development, Proc. of IAMOT 2007 16th International Conference on Management of Technology, May 13 17,2007, Florida
Proceedings of the XIX ISPIM Annual Conference. Open innovation: Creating Products and Services through Collaboration. Tours, France, 15 18 june 2008.
XXV Nordic Hydrological Conference Northern Hydrology and its Global Role (NHC-2008), Reykjavík, Iceland. 11 13,august 2008, 2008.38 B. Walker, D. Salt, Resilience Thinking.
The last phase ended with a conference. Nevertheless, this conference marked the beginning of the integration of the topics that were identified into the German innovation system and into BMBF.
It was rather a bridging conference than an end. In detail the different phases of the process delivered different outputs
and served different purposes. The following sections describe which methodologies were applied in which phase of the process.
and the participants of the 3rd International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis which took place in October 2008 for useful discussions and comments.
These attempts have included consensus conferences, citizen juries and mass surveys but these have attracted a small set of people
The Internet including VOIP Asynchronous e-mail Telephone conferencing Consensus conferences Social accounting and auditing. Behavioural traits (see the VALS 1 hierarchy) will have marked a influence on
The Asilomar Conference 24 introduced the necessity for a moratorium on further gene research for a specified period:
particularly when it is forced say, through the processes of a consensus conference. Recognition of a distribution of opinions is probably of more use to a policy maker particularly
the Futur process, Second International Conference on Technology foresight Tokyo, 27 28,february 2003. 3 D. Loveridge, P. Street, Inclusive foresight, Foresight:
technology platforms and institutional entrepreneurship, Paper Presented at the Triple Helix Conference, Turin, May 18 21 2005.40 D. K. R. Robinson, A. Rip, V. Mangematin, Technological agglomeration
8 november 2009,915 916 EDITORIAL Impacts and implications of future-oriented technology analysis for policy and decision making*Most of the papers in this special issue were presented at the Third International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) that took place in October 2008.
The above papers, a selected subset representing the themes1 of the 2008 FTA Conference offer a clear insight that smarter policy and corporate decision-making processes are needed to deal with recent crisis and the threat of discruptive changes.
Ozcan Saritas, Cristiano Cagnin, Attila Havas and Ian Miles Note 1. Reflecting the 2008 FTA Conference emphasis on impacts and implications of FTA for policy and decision making
, during the conference posters and papers were presented within five different themes including:(1) Methods and tools contributing to FTA;(
In The approach to and the potential for new technology foresight, The Proceedings of an International Conference on Technology foresight, Tokyo, Japan. http://www. nistep. go. jp/achiev/ftx/eng/mat077e/html/mat077oe
Paper presented at the Second FTA Conference, 28 29 september, Sevilla, Spain. Keenan, M. 2003. Identifying emerging generic technologies at the national level:
Paper presented at the 40th Anniversary Conference of SPRU,‘The Future of Science, Technology and Innovation policy:
Paper presented at conference on‘Probing the future: developing organizational foresight in the knowledge economy',11 13 july 2002, University of Strathclyde Graduate school of Business, Glasgow, UK.
Paper presented at 3rd Strathclyde international conference on organisational foresight, 16 18 august 2007, University of Strathclyde Graduate school of Business, Glasgow, UK.
Paper presennte at the proceedings of international conference on Technology foresight the approach to and potential for new technology foresight.
Paper presented at Nordic conference, 14 16 august 2003, Lillehammer. http://www. ks. no/upload/4342/p-hagen asmervik. doc (accessed September 2009).
Various databases compile information on journal and conference papers patents, R&d projects, and so forth. In addition, many researchers share information via the Internet (e g.,
and conference research papers gathered from the Science Citation Index and INSPEC, and 9724 patent family records from DWPI.
o another indicator of how hot a research area is the ratio of conference to journal publication relatively low for this subtopic in comparison to the larger research domain we might want to explore this discrepancy with our subject experts,
261 articles 44%last 3 years 72 priority patents 14%last 3 years 133 family patents 32%last 3 years*Conference/Journal Ratio:
a biennial conference series developed, hosted by the Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (JRC-IPTS) of the European commission Directorate General Joint research Centre.
In successive conferences conclusions have noted this tendency to regard FTA as the name of the conference
''7 It is perhaps not surprising that a conference series that seeks to bring together futurists
By the time of the second conference, the‘‘impact of fta approaches on policy and decision-making''had become the core theme
In preparing the conference the scientific committee had concluded that a better focus could be achieved through the production by its members of‘‘anchor papers''.
It was against this history that the third conference from which this edition derives emerged.
The 2008 FTA Conference continued the focus on the‘‘impacts and implications of FTA for policy and decision making''but this time constructed its themes and anchor papers differently.
For a conference that attracted 166 abstracts and accepted only 56 of them, there was always the opportunity for a rich vein of ideas to be mined.
13 but the anchor papers plus another which represented a crosscutting theme emerging at the conference (tailoring foresight) have been put together here.
The special edition concludes with two contributions that sought to take advantage of the confluence of futures expertise brought about by the conference.
Johnston and Cagnin review the main findings from a series of interviews about the status of FTA as an activity with nine personalities attending the FTA conference.
Introduction/Futures 43 (2011) 229 231 230 In Spring 2011 the fourth FTA Conference will take place.
The conference focuses on the knowledge triangle of research higher education and innovation. From a forward looking perspective, special emphasis should be given to the combination of quantitative
The conference will seek to understand further how far the institutionalisation (i e. embeddedness) of FTA supports both the achievement of measurable impacts and the strengthening of interaction s between research, higher education and innovation.
In addition the conference aims to debate the use of horizon scanning as a process that enables policy to explore actively emerging challenges
Presentation at PRIME Annual Conference 2005,7 8 january, Manchester, 2005.42 A. Bonaccorsi, Explaining poor performance of European science:
Presentation at the Conference‘‘Knowledge for Growth: European Strategies in Global economy'',Toulouse, July 7 9, 2008.46 B. Kahane, A. Delemarle, L. Villard, P. Lare'do, Knowledge dynamics and agglomeration phenomena:
Presentation at the 2nd PRIME Indicators Conference on STI Indicators for Policy Addressing New Demands of Stakeholders, Oslo, 28 30,may 2008. 47 A. Bonaccorsi, The dynamics of science in the nano
or conferences and symposia. Other ways of describing what we are looking for include:!Signals of change!
Daheim and Uerz 7 at the Second FTA Conference in Seville conference noted the emergence of open foresight as a trend,
A review for the 2006 FTA conference noted an increasing use of scenarios for the sector in the face of a number of pressures
Extensive Ideas were exposed in conferences and a survey was launched to opinion-formers leaders in business, government, media, NGOS and academia.
However, it has aspects of extensive engagement of stakeholders as outcomes are tested against the views of international panel of peer experts through exposure of results in conferences
The 2008 FTA International Seville Conference, 2009, available at: http://forera. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2008/intro. html. 2009-11-10). 2 R. Smits, S. Kuhlmann, The Rise of systemic instruments
Paper Presented at the Proceedings of International Conference on‘Technology foresight, Science and Technology'foresight Center of NISTEP, Tokyo, Japan, 2001.27 A. Havas,
more conferences and symposia providing opportunities for mutual learning and exchange of ideas across communities of research
Steering committee Stakeholder groups Expert networks Conferences & seminars Participants'and stakeholders'pilot projects R &d activities and strategy work Regional and national strategies and priority setting International agreements/strategies/priority setting Expert interviews Delphi surveys, questionnaires Interactive workshops focusing on SWOT
on foresight process and results Conference papers Project website Fig. 2. Different foresight elements in a dynamic process of shared knowledge creation, a SECI perspective.
and much more content of the study can be located by use of search engines including the presentation made at the FTA conference in 2006 43.14 We refer to Cole et al. 44,
but this was some time after the UK's Royal Society embarked, in 1981, on a series of conferences on the assessment and perception of risk.
consensus conferences and strenuous efforts to increase the publics'understanding of science. All these procedures highlighted the breadth of the cascade of situations as they have evolved over the last 40 years.
The latter is the principle of Agenda 21 (the document consensually approved at the UN Conference on Environment
at least, the Second International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis (September 2006. The greater acknowledgement of the co-evolution of technology and society,
In the 2006 FTA Conference, the FTA COMMUNITY realised the need to address the imperative of improving the two-way linkage between knowledge and the building of a‘common world'.
Exploring New Ways to Explore the Future, COST A22 Conference (CD: P042-T4), Athens, July 9 11 (Keynote paper), 2007.19 EC, Growing Regions, Growing Europe:
and Conferences was expressed the concern by some attendees that an opportunity was being missed to use the assembly of Strategic foresight experts to gain more insights into the state of Foresight content regarding critical issues and trends,
It has been structured to allow the Conference attendees, mainly the organizers and practitioners of Foresight, an opportunity to contribute to a value-adding Futures 43 (2011) 292 312 A r T I C L E I N F O Article history:
Futures experts (attendees of the FTA 2008 Conference) were invited to state their opinions on these questions by considering the trends, drivers, wilds cards,
The survey was launched 6 months prior to the Conference. More than 250 responses were submitted by the Conference date.
The results collected were synthesised and presented back to the attendees in a plenary presentation by the authors.
The originators of this survey used the responses to lead a plenary discussion at the 2008 FTA Conference,
(FTA) 2008 Conference, previous FTA meetings tended to focus on methodology, policy linkages and success factors for Foresight design & delivery.
The Scientific Committee of the FTA 2008 Conference heard that some attendees felt that an opportunity had been missed to discuss future Foresight determinants
2. Building on a survey of FTA Conference attendees-experts about critical trends, drivers, shocks-wildcards, discontinuities and weak signals, new insights can be gained about the state of Foresight and future uncertainties,
106 (about 50%of FTA Conference attendees; Respondent Distribution Charts by: years of experience, country of residence and affiliation;(
comprising more than a quarter of the total of all respondents clear evidence of the substantial experience present at the FTA Conference.
66th IFLA Council and General Conference, Jerusalem, Israel, 13 18 august 2000. Available at: http://www. ifla. org/IV/ifla66/papers/006-120e. htm (last visited on:
The setting for the interviews was the Future-oriented technology analysis International Conference organised by the EU Joint research Centre Institute for Prospective Technology studies (IPTS) in Seville in October 2008.
Available online 19 november 2010 A b s T R A c T This paper is based on a series of interviews with nine leading researchers conducted during the Future-oriented technology analysis International Conference held in Seville
§This paper is based on interviews with nine leading FTA researchers conducted during the Future-oriented technology analysis International Conference held in Seville on October 16 17,2008.
since the 2006 International Seville FTA Conference had seen significant development in FTA capacity across many countries and regions:‘‘
A paper by Calof and Smith at the 2008 International Seville FTA Conference 3 concludes‘‘methodology,
the greater emphasis should be on improving the processes that influence impact. 3. The contribution of the FTA Conference A particular feature of the FTA Conference series is that it‘‘acts as a magnet to bring people interested in FTA together
and a glue to hold them together after the Conference''.''2 As in the Mental health and Wellbeing project. 3 As in the Obesity report.
R. Johnston, C. Cagnin/Futures 43 (2011) 313 316 314 The first FTA Conference in 2004 gathered predominantly the EU-US community together to take stock of the developments
The focus of the Conference was on foresight, technology forecasting and technology assessment methods and tools.
The conclusions of this event are documented in the conference proceedings 4 and a special issue of Technological forecasting and Social Change 5. The second Conference in 2006 enlarged the geographical base of participants,
and had a special emphasis on the delivery of policy outcomes and impacts from FTA ACTIVITIES on policy and decision-making processes.
and Technology analysis & Strategic management 8. The large number of papers submitted in 2008 is an indication both of the central role the FTA Conference has come to play, principally for European researchers but also increasingly for researchers from around the world,
In this scenario, several new applications of FTA have been identified 9. It is important to highlight that an effective Conference can provide a‘showcase'of the field,
and organise the next Conference and its publicity so there is maximum opportunity for those who might apply FTA to their policy
This would suggest the need for continuing evolution of the format of the conference so as to engage policy-makers directly with issues in
The focus of two sessions of the 2008 FTA Conference on security and sustainability may be a useful first move in this direction.
and in all components of public and private decision-making. 4. Conclusions The interviews conducted as a component of the Future-oriented technology analysis International Conference held in Seville on 16 17 october 2008 provide a clear insight into the current state of the FTA
and in supporting the linkage between the analysis of the interviews with the overall results of the 2008 FTA Conference.
FTA Conference, Seville, 2008.3 J. Calof, J. Smith, Critical success factors for government led foresight, in:
Future-oriented technology analysis International Conference, Seville, October, 2008, accessible at: http://forera. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2008/prog day1. html. 4 F. Scapolo, E. Cahill, New horizons and challenges for future-oriented technology analysis, in:
9 2008 FTA Conclusions written by the Conference's Scientific Committee available at: http://forera. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2008/conclusions. html. 10 UK Foresight programme, Flood and Coastal Defence, 2004, http://www. foresight. gov
Design/methodology/approach This introductory paper provides an overview of selected FTA 2011 Conference contributions for this Special issue.
Research limitations/implications From a large set of excellent papers presented at the FTA 2011 Conference, only a restricted number of papers could be included in this Special issue highlighting the broad diversity of FTA application fields in response to grand challenges.
The 4th International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) held in May 2011 illustrated the existing variety of FTA APPROACHES to address structural
In this context, this introductory paper provides an overview of selected FTA 2011 conference contributions and the diversity of application fields in
I. H. 1980),‘Predictive accuracy of British transport studies'',paper presented at the PTRC Annual Conference, University of Warwick, Coventry.
''paper presented at the European Transport Conference, Glasgow, 12 october. Kleindorfer, P. R. 2008),‘Reflections on the decision making under uncertainties'',Faculty and Research Working Paper, INSEAD, Fontainebleau, available at:
conferences on the subject are organised and so forth. That is some paths are becoming less visible and probable,
R. O. van Merkerk, H. van Lente/Technological forecasting & Social Change 72 (2005) 1094 1111 1097 technological field, with its dedicated journals, conferences and communities.
United nations (1992),‘Agenda 21 Report'',United nations Conference on Environment and Development, 3-14 june, Ri'o de Janeiro. van der Heijden, K. 1996), Scenarios:
a need for systematic anticipation, address delivered at the National Conference on the Causes of Popular Dissatisfaction with the Administration of Justice, St paul, MN, April 1976'',New york state Bar Journal, p. 49.
Haegeman, K.,Scapolo, F.,Ricci, A.,Marinelli, E. and Skolov, A. 2011),‘Premises and practices in combining quantitative and qualitative FTA METHODS'',paper presented at the 4th International Seville Conference
''paper presented at the 4th International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis, Seville. Johnston, R. 2008),‘Historical review of the development of future-oriented technology analysis'',in Cagnin, C.,Keenan, M.,Johnston, R.,Scapolo, F. and Barre',R. Eds), Future-oriented technology analysis:
''a paper presented at the 4th International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis, Seville. Miles, I. and Keenan, M. 2003),‘Two and a half cycles of foresight in the UK'',Technikfolgenabscha tzung Theorie und Praxis, Vol. 12, pp. 41-9. PAGE
Saritas, O. 2011),‘Systemic foresight methodology'',paper presented at the 4th International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis, Seville.
I. 2011),‘Foresight in an unpredictable world'',paper presented at the 4th International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis, Seville.
and systemic changes A series of conferences on future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) has been organised by the Institute for Prospective Technological Studies of the European commission's Joint research Centre over the past years.
These unique conferences have brought together practitioners from three different communities of foresight, forecasting and technology assessment.
The fourth editiio (2011) of the International Seville Conference on Future-Orientedtechnologyanalysis (FTA) focused its attention on processes of transformative change in response to Grand Societal Challennges
Although earlier conferences had focused in a rather self-reflexive manner on future perspectives for FTA (2004 and the impact of fta on decision-making (2006,2008),
the FTA Conference Scientific Committee took the stance that FTAHAS a potentially useful role to play in exploring future developments of complex societal systems and in defining effective policy actions, by way of:
shaping and defining research and innovation agendas (2011 FTA Conference Scientific Committee. 1 An even more basic question raised during the conference relates to
what the often proclaimed Grand challenges really are and what we exactly have to prepare for. This topic was taken up by Harold Linstone in his keynote speech,
With a similar line of thought in his keynote at the 2011 FTA Conference, Ollila (2011) from Nokia focused on the future challenges for innovation policy as resulting in particcula from global economic developments.
Notes 1. Call for papers, Fourth International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA), http://foresight. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2011/FTA2011 CALL FINAL. pdf. Last accessed July 2012.2.
Fourth international Seville conference on future-oriented technology analysis, May 12 13, Seville. Hames, R. 2011b. Feedback on the 2011 international Seville conference on future-oriented technology analysis.
IPTS internal note. Inayatullah, S. 1998. Causal layered analysis: Poststructuralism as method. Futures 30, no. 8: 815 29.
Fourth international Seville conference on future-oriented technology analysis, May 12 13, Seville. http://foresight. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2011/documents/download/PRESENTATIONS/Keynotes/FTA%202011
Fourth international Seville conference on futureorieente technology analysis, May 12 13, Seville. http://foresight. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2011/documents/download/PRESENTATIONS/Keynotes/JO
and the selected firms, including historical annual reports, financial analysts'reports, conference presentations by top managers,
He has presented on these themes at international conferences and published in international journals such astechnological Forecasting and Social Change, Technology analysis and Strategic management,
Second general conference of the specialization course, Brasilia. Losada, M. and E. Heaphy. 2004. The role of positivity and connectivity in the performance of business teams:
Proceedings of the fourth international Seville conference on futureorieente technology analysis, Seville, Spain. Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:04 03 december 2014 A framework, with embedded FTA,
2 3730 documents from EI Compendex (journal and conference articles; 3097 patent families from DWPI;
ITICTI International Conference on Technological innovation and Competitive Technical intelligence, Beijing. Porter, A l.,X.-Y. Jin, J. E. Gilmour, S. Cunningham, H. Xu, C. Stanard,
''paper presented at the Fourth International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis, May 12-13, Seville. Fisher, R. and Ury, W. 1991), Getting to Yes Negotiating Agreement Without Giving In, Penguin, New york, NY.
''paper presented at the Fourth International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis, May 12-13, Seville. Welp, M.,de la Vega-Leinert, A.,Stoll-Kleemann, S. and Jaeger, C. C. 2006),‘Science-based stakeholder dialogues:
The Lund Declaration of 2009 1 (the outcome of a conference on‘‘New worlds New Solutions''held under the Swedish Presidency of the EU) crystallised several important aspects related to the mobilisation of scientific,
results of a national Delphi'',3rd International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA), 16-17 october, Seville, Book of Abstracts.
It does so by critically reflecting on the selected papers for this special issue as well as on the discussions that took place at the fourth Seville International Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis.
FTA practices Fundamental change and transformations Grand challenges 1. Introduction Drawing upon a critical reflection on the selected papers for this special issue as well as on the discussions that took place at the fourth Seville International Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis,
The papers discussed below have been selected initially by the scientific committee of the fourth Seville International Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis to be considered for publication with several other papers.
/Technological forecasting & Social Change 80 (2013) 379 385 In more detail, Haegeman et al. 4 depart from the methodological debate that has been a relevant element of the International Seville Conference series on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA
The 4th International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA), 2011,12 13 may. 7 L. Gao, A l. Porter, J. Wang, S. Fang, X. Zhang, T. Ma, W. Wang, L. Huang, Technology life cycle analysis method
since the first edition of the International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA), there is still little dialogue
building on the debates at the conference and between members of the conference Scientific Committee, to which the authors of this paper belong.
Qualitative Quantitative Barriers Combination Integration FTA Epistemological divide 1. Introduction The methodological debate has been a relevant element of the International Seville Conference series on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA
This article, drawing on a position paper written for the conference, reports and expands on the lessons learnt during the event.
Nevertheless in the discussions at the 2011 FTA Conference some trends were identified suggesting that methodological combination may potentially become more common amongst FTA scholars and practitioners.
It is important to stress that the reflections in this paper are elaborated on the basis of discussions at the FTA conference and the debate (both before and after the event) between members of the Scientific Committee, to
and share their views on this topic at future FTA conferences. 2. Sense or nonsense of applying qualitative
Since its first edition the International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis devoted part of its attention to the development of new tools and methods, novel use of existing methods and (new) disciplines applied by FTA.
Comparison of outcomes of qualitative and quantitative approaches Participants at the 2011 International Seville Conference on FTA raised the potential of the use of qualitative and quantitative methods for identifying
During the 2011 International Seville Conference on FTA, the use of images and visualisation techniques was suggested as a tool,
is therefore of the essence. 9 8 During the 2011 FTA Conference a lively discussion was devoted to the shift of FTA usage from exploring potential risks to inspiring sustainable innovation.
The different and highly heterogeneous contributions to the 2011 International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis in this area share a common bottom line:
and both the Scientific Committee and the participants of the 2011 Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis for the fruitful discussions that helped shaping and refining it.
Fourth International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis, May 12 13 (2011) Seville, 2011, Available at: http://foresight. jrc. ec. europa. eu/fta 2011/documents/download/PRESENTATIONS/Keynotes/FTA%202011%20%205-9%20%20hl%20%20
The 4th International Seville Conference on Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA: FTA and Grand Societal Challenges Shaping and Driving Structural and Systemic transformations, 2011, Available at:
and in organising several foresight trainings and International Seville Conferences on Future-oriented technology analysis. He has been publishing articles and reports on anticipatory and analytical research in support of European RTDI policy and on new methods and tools for FTA.
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