This paper describes, through a case study on solid oxide fuel cells, the value of quick text mining profiles of emerging technologies.
The two following articles, focusing on Technology assessment (TA) and, using as case study nanotechnology, stress the pressure that new technology developments are posing to the field of TA.
Policy 1 (1)( 2004) 4 32.16 A. Salo, J. Liesiö, A case study in participatory priority-setting for a Scandinavian research program, Int. J. Info.
matching policy instruments and methodologies Innovation surveys Econometric models Control group approaches Cost benefit analysis Expert panels/peer review Field/case studies Network analysis Foresight/Technology assessment
33 was one of the first researchers who conducted first case studies on standards for services
three case studies based on the review of the regulatory frameworks and expert interviews were conducted 50. One of these case studies focused on the future regulatory framework for the use of smart cards. 509 K. Blind/Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008) 496 516 Table 2 Future
needs for standardisation in information and communication technology (Source: NO-REST ITU Survey Fraunhofer ISI 2005)( 1=low importance to 5=high importance) Year Importance R&d Regulation Deregulation Standardisation Widespread use
A case study. The emerging microsystems and top-down nanosystems industry, Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 71 (1 2)( 2004) 161 185.23 G. Spinardi, R. Williams, The Governance Challenges of Breakthrough Science and Technology, in:
The applicability of the resulting impact assessment framework (s) will then be tested via case studies. 555 E. Amanatidou, K. Guy/Technological forecasting & Social Change 75 (2008) 539 557 References 1 E. Amanatidou,
the eforesee Malta case study, International Journal of Foresight and Innovation policy 2 (1)( 2005) 84 103.8 L. Georghiou, M. Keenan, Evaluation of national foresight activities:
A case study of new technology architecture in the information technology domain is presented. An analytical method involving mining weighted graphs from technology archives is presented.
A case study of new technology architecture in the information technology domain is presented. An analytical method involving mining weighted graphs from technology archives is presented.
The case study involves Ajax (asynchronous Javascript and XML. Ajax is responsible for the smoothly scrolling maps seen in Google earth and other internet applications (Fig. 5, below.
include grid computing, the ipod and iphone, virtualization and LAMPP. 4. 1. Data collection and comparative analysis For the case study we collect data about Ajax and component technologies from the Internet.
and case studies. 6. Interpretations from the philosophy and sociology of science The hierarchical random graph is one possible model of science, technology and innovation data.
The case study recognized impending change in nodes related to W3c standard setting, rich Internet technologies, and Internet explorer.
a proper transmission of the facts and arguments gathered throughout the RIF process should be guaranteed 7. 4. Case study Kiesental In the following section,
This was aligned in line with the assumption that this option would lead to high efficiency in operational terms due to a professionally organized central corporation Fig. 4. Desirability conflict diagram for the three options in the Kiesental case study. 1158
and then paves the way for the establishment of a single organization. 4. 6. Summary of the case study In summary,
Fig. 5. Sustainability deficit assessment in the Kiesental case study. 1159 E. Störmer et al.//Technological forecasting & Social Change 76 (2009) 1150 1162 The elaboration of a joint system representation by the different organizations in the Kiese catchment furthermore prepared the ground for intensified collaboration and shared visions.
Two further case studies implementing the RIF approach were carried out in Switzerland: one in a rural area with an urgent need for investment in an old treatment plant.
The other case study was run in a suburb of the city of Zurich with a high pressure of settlement growth
and want to especially thank the core team members of the Kiesental case study for their constructive collaboration.
alternative futures as a case study, Futures 18 (5)( 1986) 658 670.23 L. Börjeson, M. Höjer, K. Dreborg, T. Ekvall, G. Finnveden, Scenario types
Annette Ruef is a scientific researcher at Cirus at Eawag and led the case study Kiesental. 1162 E. Störmer et al./
and case studies have separated and are linked seldom. It is thus interesting to explore how these research traditions can contribute to each other.
The results of this analysis are presented in the following section. 3. 1. Integrated Risk Reduction of Information-based Infrastructure Systems (IRRIIS) A case study of the use of foresight
Methods are developed together with the companies in three different case studies: a medium-size company offering control systems for high-tech companies, a medium-size technology company and a large-size technology company. 2 The back-pocket roadmap starts
The risk assessment procedure is developed at the first stage of a case study concerning Nordic hydropower production 37.
The case study focuses on the hydropower plants in the Kemijoki region of northern Finland. A generic model of the risk assessment procedure, applicable within the Nordic countries, will initially be framed.
and concrete level case studies follow the technical risk assessment tradition. 4. Towards an integrated approach 4. 1. Risk assessment
The studies related to new emerging risks may be the core case studies where the integration of foresight and risk assessment traditions will be profitable at least the integration process would be easiest to carry on in this environment,
Project/questions IRRIIS INNORISK CES How case studies contributed to risk analysis methodology? Scenarios should be as accurate as possible
How case studies contributed to risk assessment methodologies? A good modelling tool would be helpful to model the future interdependencies.
How case studies contributed to risk management methodology? The results show that the integration of proactive risk assessment
How case studies contributed to risk resilience thinking? Scenario building was based on large and vague trend analysis. The innovation process was seen as a whole.
and risk analysis methods new case studies would be needed. Acknowledgements The authors want to thank especially Ms. Riitta Molarius (CES project
The workshop in autumn 2008 is supposed to directly contribute to the theoretical and case study discussion for the translation of outcomes from the collective process into specific options for policy definition and implementation.
This article combines preliminary findings from a review of evaluative scenario literature with workshop discussions among scenario practitioners, using environmental relevant policies as a case study. Subject to the nascent evaluative scenario literature
A diversity of methodological approaches has been applied in a large number of case studies testing to the vibrancy of the field.
which they deviate from the practice described in the case study literature. For instance, deductive approaches to scenario development are used commonly.
In the next phase of our project work, we aim at delivering a sample of focused country case studies for selected member countries of the European union to analyse
Numerous case studies suggest that scenarios can improve the performance of organisations, but few studies have tested these claims.
Coupling endogenous futures with characteristics of innovation journeys (from historical case studies) within the framework of the IC+framework helps us structure the complexities
etc. 3. Case studies 3. 1. Research councils and national research programmes Research councils and national research programmes account for a smaller percentage of total research funding than direct government funding of universities and research institutions,
and its context Two case studies were analysed here, namely the strategy processes of the Danish technical research council and the Danish energy research programme.
Even more clearly than in our first case study, it is obvious that one cannot understand strategy developments in isolation from other activities in and around the programme.
This case study focuses on the round of strategy development in the period after 2001. In this period
and through governmental policy. 3. 5. Summary The two case studies described here represent two quite different sets of circumstances.
Table 1. An overview of the two case studies. Technical research Council Energy research programme Actors involved Programme management Research council Research Agency (secretariat) Energy Authority Core group in strategy processes Research council Research Agency (secretariat+strategy
Table 1 gives an overview of the two case studies. As the two strategy cases were analysed in the context of foresight
parameters for comparing the case studies draw partly from contemporary discussions of foresight typology. The case studies revealed many different rationales for
and understandings of the strategy processse that were undertaken (see Table 2). In the case of the Technical research Council a variety of rationales
Second, as illustrated in our case studies, priority-setting goes beyond selecting between areas of science and technology:
the eforesee Malta case study. International Journal of Foresight and Innovation policy 2, no. 1: 84 103.
Relevance of case study What picture do we have of young people between 14 and 19 years of age?
This will be illustrated by two case studies, first in the area of genetically modified plants and then for the domain of Nanosciences and Nanotechnologies. 2. Background and rationale 2. 1. Tailoring Foresight a revision During the last two decades the field of Foresight has developed a lot through practical experience
In the next section, we will analyse the search regimes that are shaping the development of research in the fields selected for the case studies.
Case study on Chemistry (ERA Dynamics PRIME Project), 2009.45 P. van den Besselaar, A. Schoen, Knowledge dynamics: a network analytical approach, in:
Based upon several case studies the article explains the various benefits that the application of specific FTA methodological approaches (such as scenario planning,
applications and case studies) have developed out of need (see www. andyhinesight. com/category/foresight-2/(accessed August 2011) re practitioner usage);
Design/methodology/approach The paper is a case study presenting the goals, progression and the results of the backcasting exercise of the Finnish Prime minister's Office.
Keywords Delphi method, Environmental politics, Government policy, Scenario planning, Sustainable development, Strategic planning, Forecasting Paper type Case study Introduction Since the 1990s each new Finnish government has prepared a comprehensive foresight report
and we employ it in our case study. We will show that it is possible to trace emerging irreversibilities for a specific application of nanotubes (Section 3). We will conclude by placing our contribution in a historical perspective of technology assessment
These steps make up the method we employ in this paper to perform the case study. These steps are elaborated on in Section 3. The case we discuss in the next section deals with nonvolatile memories based on nanotubes.
and case studies pilot projects, research consortia and academic programmes that are already employing FTA methodological approaches to pursue their objectives.
case studies 3. 1 Introduction FTA ACTIVITIES, techniques and research have registered an impressive growth over the past decade.
as we saw in the Futurict case study, may prove to be extremely useful not only to legal research activities,
case studies and surveys as the most commonly used approaches (Blind, 2006), FTA would add to this methodological list other approaches that could render the evaluation of current laws,
a case study: the emerging microsystems and top-down nanosystems industry, Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 71 (1/2)( 2004) 161 185.12 S. Walsh, J. Elders, International Roadmap on MEMS, Microsystems, Micromachining and Top Down Nanotechnology, MANCEF, Naples
and present four case studies of road mapping projects from the Technical research Centre of Finland (VTT). How to forecast technologies that depend mainly on discontinuous advances?
Descriptive modelling Logical positivist Empiricist Field studies Field experiments Structured interviewing Surveys Prototyping Physical modelling Laboratory experimentation Interpretive Action research Case studies Historical analysis
Our research is based on a multiple-case study of corporate organisations that recently faced major changes in their external environment and increasing turbulence.
and strategic decision-making, we performed a multiple-case study of corporate organisations. In this paper, we focus on BASF in the chemical industry, Daimler in the automotive industry, Philips in the consumer electronics industry,
Methods and data The research design is based on an inductive and multiple-case study of a group of selected firms.
Table 1. Overview of case studies. Firm Business Foresight activities started Philips Consumer electronics Early 1990s BASF Chemicals Mid-1990s Daimler Automotive Late 1970s Siemens Consumer Products,
Building theories from case studies research. Academy of Management Review 14, no. 4: 532 50. Eisenhardt, K. M,
Case study research: Design and methods. 3rd ed. Newbury Park, CA: Sage. Downloaded by University of Bucharest at 05:03 03 december 2014
Third, we illustrate these notions by analysing four roadmapping projects as case studies. Keywords: systemic transformation; capacity;
After that, we demonstrate the‘widened'roadmapping approach by using four of VTT's foresight projects as case studies.
Section 4 presents four case studies of VTT's foresight projects. Finally Section 5 wraps up the argument and opens future avenues for further exploration.
Case studies in bionanoscience. Scientometrics 82, no. 2: 263 87. Rafols, I.,A l. Porter, and L. Leydesdorff. 2010.
Originality/value This paper is a case study of combining outputs at the last stage of a national foresight exercise to identify areas where future innovation is expected.
Keywords Foresight, Combination, Delphi method, Scenario, Innovation, Sustainable development, Forward planning Paper type Case study 1. Introduction The situation surrounding science and technology has undergone a radical change in recent years.
This paper is a case study of combining foresight outputs at the last stage to identify the expected areas of future innovation
Keywords Foresight, Strategic dialogue, Research policy, Stakeholder alignment, Scenario planning, Germany, Innovation, Strategic planning, Governance, Management Paper type Case study 1. The challenge of transferring foresight results Through research policy,
It aims to present a recent Irish case study that identified grand challenges in the national context, with their implications for research and innovation.
Keywords Foresight Grand challenges, Research and innovation policy, Research prioritization, Forward planning, Innovation, Ireland Paper type Case study 1. Introduction Foresight methods have been used widely around the world to enable the research
The method used in the case study is to examine outputs from the foresight project conducted on global drivers and trends and their (national) implications for research and enterprise.
Section 3 presents the methodology used in The irish case study. The main results from the foresight exercise on global drivers,
context and methodology 3. 1 Introduction to the case study analysis The presentation and analysis of the case study below is based on my role as part of the research
and results described in the case study. 3. 2 Scope and context of the exercise In the second half of 2010,
this article introduces a country level case study using a foresight approach to look at the implications of global drivers and trends for Ireland,
D1. 1a Case study: Austria Delphi Austria'',FZK-ITAS Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe Gmbh in der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft, Institut fu r Technikfolgenabscha tzung und Systemanalyse, available at:
we present an illustrative case study about developing an adaptive policy for stimulating the transition of the electric power generation sector toward a more sustainable one.
three case studies are reported in Section 3. Section 4 is a discussion of the results of these cases and their implications for FTA.
a purpose for which it was used in the first case study. The techniques used in each of the tree cases do not exclude each other.
Section 2 sets out the methodology of how we use reflexive inquiry to analyze the scenario case studies.
These concepts and paradigms are used then to analyze the selected scenario case studies. For example, we look how the applied
In order to do so, three complementary questions on policy change are applied to analyze the case studies:(i) How can developing
and practitioners where the case studies have been articulated and analyzed in their context as part of the Cost Action A22 network. 1 In doing so,
and using future scenarios in the case studies from Appendix 1 . When the motivation is oriented towards developing scenarios,
i e. legitimacy for action, our analysis revealed three groups of scenario practice in the case studies from Appendix 1. The following sub-sections will describe the main characteristics for each of these three groups:
i e. empowering stakeholders, our analysis of the case studies from Appendix 1 revealed two groups of scenario practice:
or contributions to the enablers for orientating innovation systems through future scenarios (i e. pros and cons). Our analysis of the case studies listed in Appendix 1 suggests that a variety of modes of futures thinking,
and can be found in our case studies and in literature, see for instance 71,81. To strengthen the enablers for innovation within the scenario process, the link between practice and theory,
Our analyses of the scenario case studies from Appendix 1 revealed elements of good practice and implications on how to better address innovation through future scenarios.
Appendix 1. Overview of the case studies 1. AG2020 DG RTD (2011 Foresight analysis for world agricultural markets (2020) and Europe. www. ag2020. org 2. Danish Technology foresight on Environmentaall Friendly Agriculture K. Borch,(in press) The Danish Technology foresight
In their United states case study on technology foresight in general, Porter and Ashton conclude: The pluralistic nature of the US R&d system, the diverse, dynamic nature of US national political bodies and the limitations of US foresight history makes centralized goal-setting across many
Res. 10 (2009) 666 670.32 A l. Porter, W. B. Ashton, United states case study, in: L. Georghiou, J. C. Harper, M. Keenan,
opting for in depth case studies as the way to identify and assess differences between policy foresight at the local/regional and national levels.
Again the authors take a more empirical or applied approach, by focusing on a particular case study, the‘‘Intelligent Manufacturing Systems 2020''project.
''Based on three case studies they suggest that FTA could help overcome some of the limitations of management approaches by setting up stakeholder dialogues
A second related weakness is signalled by the difficulty of making a credible case for the links between the case studies and the associated methodologies.
Four case studies were analysed, focusing on different settings of strategic policy-making in The netherlands. Each case involved experiences with the application of scenario analysis methods at a regional and/or local policy level (including municipalities and regional authorities.
We compared the findings of the case studies in the local public domain with two studies on the use of foresight at a national level (see 23,24),
One of the authors of this article was involved actively in two of the four local case studies.
Another notable result from the local level case studies is that the respondents did not perceive the potential added value of foresight studies for policy innovation (see also, the conclusion by 26.
Finally, in all the local case studies, the policy-makers indicated that future exploration methods were used in a suboptimal fashion.
which was not how they were applied in most case studies (with the exception of The hague), because of a lack of time or expertise.
In all case studies, external organisations specialising in foresight assisted in developing and/or applying the future analysis,
On the basis of this case study the authors outline what they consider to be the necessary preconditions
The ways in which these have been dealt with in practice are outlined in Section 3 on the basis of a case study,
Two empirical case studies on future TV experiences for/by users Katrien De Moor a b, 1,,
and have contributed to both case studies presented in this article and to the reviewers, for their very helpful feedback and suggestions.
Section 3 outlines the empirical application of the proposed system in three case studies. Results show,
identification of the system's limitations Once validated, the system proposed was tested in three case studies.
its application in practice (case studies) has shown that there are still a number of elements which need to be improved.
Case study research is recommended therefore for exploratory qualitative research characterized by scant previous knowledge 43 45.
Two rationales for multi-case study designs can be identified 44: first two cases already allow for literal or theoretical replication and thus more robust conclusions 46.
To collect data for the EICT and EIT ICT Labs case studies a participant-observer approach was utilized. 2 In both cases
and analyze the findings in our case studies. That is, the cases are translated into the concepts of the CIM and their relationship.
, Case study Research: Design and Methods, 4th ed.,Sage Publications, Inc.,London/New delhi/Singapore/Thousand Oaks, 2009.44 R. K. Yin, Qualitative Research From start to finish, The Guilford Press
, New york, 2011.45 K. M. Eisenhardt, Building theories from case study research, Academy of Management Review 14 (1989) 532 550.46 R. E. Herriott, W
we analysed demand issues by using data from consumer surveys and developing case studies on failed instances of product introduction
As illustrated by the case study analysed in this paper the methodological setup succeeded in generating forward-looking perspectives on the creatiiv content sector, building on a consolidated understtandin of how the sector works and likely future trends.
Yet, little work has been done in this area, with most accounts of impacts confiine to individual case study descriptions.
Case study: The ROMAS project Project description and research setting ROMAS was funded by a consortium of industry partners (i e.
Case study evidence is a core The role of FTA in responding to grand challenges. 137 feature of every FTA conference.
Cuhls, Bunkowski and Behlau provide a case study of the Fraunhofer Institutes'action-oriented foresight process of using global challenges to identify and implemeen research themes for future markets.
Nehme, de Miranda Santos, Filho and Coelho provide a case study of the application of foresight by the Brazilian Center for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE), over the past nine years.
as well as a case study developed by the Center for Strategic management and Studies (CGEE), Brasi'lia. Keywords:
A case study of a strategic organizational foresight execise at the Brazilian Innovation Agency (FINEP), which focused on the knowledge required for a given exercise to achieve the desired outcomes is discussed in Section 5. Finally,
shoes, furniture, automotive, cosmetics, marine, industrial automation, civil construction, medical equipment, plastics, furniture and aeronautics..Strategic foresight for FINEP (the case study of this paper) and the Sa o
Thus, different groups of stakeholders demand different communication skills and style. 5. The FINEP case study In order to illustrate what was discussed earlier in this paper,
a case study in learning from the future',paper presented at International Conference Probing the Future:
Calof, J. 2012)‘ Towards developing an instrument to evaluate Future technology Analysis A Canadian case study',Technological forecasting and Social Change (forthcoming.
It also illustrates IPRM with two case studies from Australia and Finland. The case studies reflect on how the policy perspectives can be constructed in a dynamic context of societal drivers, solution and market development, and enabling technologies.
The paper concludes by assessing the policy implications of the IPRM approach. Keywords: innovation policy; roadmapping;
In Sections 4 and 5, respectively, we provide two case studies from Australia and Finland. The function of the case studies is to demonstrate how the IPRM method can be utilized in the mapping of systemic policy-level trajectories.
In Section 6, we draw together the arguments and conclude by assessing the future potential of the IPRM approach. 2. Systemicity,
In Sections 4 and 5 we reflect on two projects as case studies. The function of these case studies is to demonstrate how the IPRM method can be utilized in the mapping of systemic policy-level trajectories. 4 Case study 1:
Roadmap of green and intelligent buildings in Victoria, Australia 4. 1 Background The first case study is a regional-sectoral strategy process,
the Victoria Technology roadmap, made by Intellectual Capital Services (ICS) and VTT, in Victoria, Australia, in 2009.
Innovation policy roadmapping. 185 5. Case study 2: Roadmap of environmentally sustainable ICT, Finland 5. 1 Background The second case study is a roadmap of an emerging systemic field:
environmentally sustainable ICT. It was completed as a strategic process at VTT Technical research Centre of Finland in 2010, with two aims:
technology roadmap on‘extending natural resources'In the final part of the case study section we present an example of a technology roadmap constructed as a subset of the transformation roadmap (see Fig. 5). The topic of the exemplary roadmap is‘extending natural resources'.
It exemplified IPRM with two case studies from Australia and Finland. The aim of the case studies was to reflect on how the policy perspectives can be constructed in a dynamic context of societal drivers, solution and market development, and enabling technologies.
We discussed how the roadmapping approach can create strategic guidance for identifying the type of steps required for transformation towards a shared vision to take place.
The first case study (green and intelligent buildings in Victoria Australia) was an example of a transformmatio roadmap that was completed as part of a wider regional strategy for industrial renewal.
The second case study (environmentally sustainable ICT in Finland) was an example of a more focused exercise that envisaged the outlines of an emerging systemic and strategic field.
A multilevel perspective and a case study',Research policy, 31: 1257 74..(2004)‘ From sectoral systems of innovation to socio-technical systems.
and capabilities as an integral part of programming. 4. Discussion Building on our experiences from the case studies,
Towards this end, the case studies in Section 3 and numerous other studies36 show evidence of the benefits of applying internet-based soluttion to obtain fast
'which combined issues from at least two areas in the case study) may have to be described at a more abstract
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